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Old Alignments, New Fault Lines: The 2010 Post-Election American Values Survey
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Old Alignments, New Fault Lines: The 2010 Post-Election American Values Survey

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A new post-election survey finds perceptions of President Obama’s religious beliefs, potential conflicts between those identifying with the Tea Party and white evangelicals, and attitudes about Islam …

A new post-election survey finds perceptions of President Obama’s religious beliefs, potential conflicts between those identifying with the Tea Party and white evangelicals, and attitudes about Islam are emerging religious issues that promise to shape the 2012 elections in new ways. The 2010 post-election American Values Survey was conducted by Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) in cooperation with The Brookings Institution.

Published in: Spiritual, News & Politics

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  • Nearly 9-in-10 (87%) of those who say Fox news most trusted source on current events and politics voted Republican.
    Only 7% decided who to vote for on election day.
  • Biggest influence on vote:
    73% common sense and personal experience
    12% what you have seen or read in the media
    9% your religious beliefs
    4% views of friends and family
  • Among Tea Party, nearly as many cited role and size of government (37%) as economy (40%) as most important factor in vote.
  • 65% white Catholics hearing about abortion
    9% hearing about voting for specific candidates and parties
  • Overall:
    9% excited
    41% satisfied
    21% disappointed
    18% worried
    3% angry
  • Obama’s religious beliefs different from own:
    Republicans: 78%
    Tea Party: 76% (66% very different)
    52% of independents
    Democrats: 20%
  • Shares my values (Barack Obama):
    25 Completely agree
    37 Mostly agree
    18 Mostly disagree
    16 Completely disagree
  • Tea Party vote was more anti-Obama than anti-Washington, a nationalized election
    Evangelicals less anti-Obama, more about local issues than Tea Party.
  • GOP #s: women 50, minorities too much attention 47, equal opportunity 57.
    Reverse discrimination:
    44 Total
    57 Evangelical
    61 Tea Party
    56 Republican
    Among XnC (largely in line with WE, slightly higher on minorities getting too much attention):
    46% Not problem if some have more chances in life
    48% minorities get too much government attention
  • Transcript

    • 1. Public Religion Research Institute Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research Old Alignments, Emerging Fault Lines: Religion in the 2010 Election & Beyond An Analysis of the Post-Election American Values Survey
    • 2. The 2010 Election and Aftermath Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines Stable Religious Alignments Modest Direct Influence of Religion 2
    • 3. Stable Religious Alignments in 2010 Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 3 47 71 56 56 23 26 42 18 34 35 68 57 0 20 40 60 80 100 Total White Evangelical White mainline White Catholic Minority Christian Unaffiliated Religious Vote 2010 Republican candidate Democratic candidate
    • 4. Influence of Religion Mostly Unchanged Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 4 6 73 8 13 Role of Faith and Religious Values in Vote Larger role Same role Smaller role Does not play a role
    • 5. Most Important Issue in 2010 Election Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 5 47 19 16 5 4 3 3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 The economy Health care Size and role of government Iraq and Afghanistan Immigration Same-sex marriage Abortion Most Important Issue to Vote
    • 6. Second Most Important Issue in 2010 Election Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 6 40 27 17 8 3 2 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Health care Size and role of government Iraq and Afghanistan Immigration Same-sex marriage Abortion Second Most Important Issue to Vote Among those who said economy most important…
    • 7. What Americans Heard in Church Before the Election Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 7 14 11 34 13 11 17 6 11 31 13 9 56 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Health care reform Proper role and size of government Abortion Hearing about Election Issues in Church Among those attending at least a few times a month... Total White mainline White evangelical Catholic
    • 8. Feelings about the Election Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 8 30 54 6 4 1 22 59 10 5 11 24 46 22 5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Excited Satisfied Disappointed Worried Angry Feelings about Election Outcome Among voters... Tea Party Republican Democrat
    • 9. Most Important Priorities for Obama and Democrats in Congress Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 9 40 30 11 8 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Ensure health care is fully funded Cut taxes for Americans making less $250K Pass economic stimulus bill Pass comprehensive immigration reform Pass climate change legislation Top Priorities for Obama and Congressional Democrats Among Democratic Voters
    • 10. Most Important Priorities for GOP Congress Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 10 36 29 17 8 6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Repeal health care reform law Balance federal budget Cut taxes for all Americans Investigate Obama administration Cut spending on social services Top Priorities for GOP Congress Among Republican Voters
    • 11. EMERGING FAULT LINES Obama’s Religion Dilemma Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 11
    • 12. Views of President Obama’s Religious Beliefs Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 12 28 16 35 9 Among General Population… Very similar Somewhat similar Somewhat different Very different Don't know 9 26 18 38 9 Among Whites… 12
    • 13. Impact of Views of President Obama’s Religious Beliefs on Favorability Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 24 51 39 17 7 32 43 47 39 13 17 3 7 23 27 25 3 6 21 51 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Total Very similar Somewhat similar Somewhat different Very different Favorability of Obama Very favorable Mostly favorable Mostly unfavorable Very unfavorable 13
    • 14. EMERGING FAULT LINES Potential Tensions in the GOP Coalition Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 14
    • 15. Different Factors Motivating Vote Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 15 37 25 22 11 28 37 29 5 27 25 27 14 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 To Help the GOP win control of Congress To Oppose President Obama Against Washington in general About local issues Was your vote mostly... Among Voters Republican Tea Party White evangelical
    • 16. Priorities for Republicans in Congress Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 16 36 29 17 8 6 41 23 18 4 9 32 40 14 8 4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Repeal health care reform law Balance federal budget Cut taxes for all Americans Investigate Obama administration Cut spending on social services Priorities for GOP Congress Among all Republican Tea Party White Evangelical
    • 17. Tensions over Discrimination, Race, and Equal Opportunity Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 17 41 37 41 46 38 50 58 58 64 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Discrimination against women no longer problem Minorities get too much government attention Not a problem if some have more chances in life Issues of Discrimination and Equal Opportunity Total White Evangelical Tea Party
    • 18. EMERGING FAULT LINES Attitudes Towards Islam Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 18
    • 19. Islam and American Values Percent who agree: The values of Islam, the Muslim religion, are at odds with American Values. Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 19 45 36 44 49 51 31 44 46 38 48 30 43 67 66 28 45 47 53 57 -10 10 30 50 70 Total 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Black Hispanic White College graduate Not college graduate Democrat Independent Republican Tea Party Unaffiliated Minority Christian White mainline Catholic White evangelical
    • 20. EMERGING FAULT LINES American Exceptionalism and Foreign Policy Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 20
    • 21. American Exceptionalism by Religious Tradition Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 21 58 32 53 54 67 83 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Total Unaffiliated White Mainline Catholics Minority Christians White Evangelicals God has granted America a special role in human history. % Agreeing
    • 22. American Exceptionalism and Foreign Policy Old Alignments, Emerging Religious Fault Lines 22 52 55 26 42 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Best way to ensure peace through military strength Torture can be justified American Exceptionalism and Foreign Policy Among whites... God granted U.S. special role No special role
    • 23. Old Alignments, Emerging Fault Lines: Religion in the 2010 Election & Beyond An Analysis of the Post-Election American Values Survey