The Development of Risk Responses

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In this presentation, Ricardo shows the factors that influence responses to risk, and explain the various ways of addressing the threats and opportunities of the project.

In this presentation, Ricardo shows the factors that influence responses to risk, and explain the various ways of addressing the threats and opportunities of the project.

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  • 1. The Development of Risk Responses Ricardo Viana Vargas, MSc, IPMA-B, PMP ricardo.vargas@macrosolutions.com.br © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 2. Ricardo Viana Vargas, MSc, IPMA-B, PMP Ricardo Viana Vargas is a project, portfolio and risk management specialist. During the past 15 years, he has been responsible for over 80 major projects in various countries in the areas of petroleum, energy, infrastructure, telecommunications, information technology and finances, comprising an investment portfolio of over 18 billion dollars. He was the first Latin American volunteer to be elected Chairman of the Board for the Project Management Institute (PMI), the largest project management organization in the world with close to 500,000 members and certified professionals in 175 countries. Ricardo Vargas has written ten books on project management, published in Portuguese and English, which have sold over 200,000 copies throughout the world. In 2005 he received the PMI Distinguished Award for his contribution to the development of project management and the PMI Professional Development Product of the Year award for the PMDome® workshop, considered the best project management training solution in the world. He is a project management professor for various MBA courses, and actively participates on editorial boards for specialized journals in Brazil and the United States. Vargas is a recognized reviewer of the PMBOK Guide, the most important reference in the world for project management, and also chaired the official translation of PMBOK into Portuguese. He is a chemical engineer and holds a master’s degree in Industrial Engineering from UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais). Ricardo Vargas also holds a Master Certificate in Project Management from George Washington University and is certified both as a Project Management Professional (PMP) by PMI and as IPMA-B by the International Project Management Association. He attended the Program on Negotiation for Executives at Harvard Law School. Over an eleven year timeframe, which began in 1995, Ricardo, in conjunction with two partners, established one of the most solid Brazilian businesses in the area of technology, project management and outsourcing, which had a staff of 4,000 collaborators and an annual income of 50 million dollars in 2006, when Ricardo Vargas sold his share of the company to dedicate himself on a fulltime basis to the internationalization of his project management activities. He is a member of the Association for Advancement of Cost Engineering (AACE), the American Management Association (AMA), the International Project Management Association (IPMA), the Institute for Global Ethics and the Professional Risk Management International Association (PRMIA). 2 © BY MACROSOLUTIONS SA. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 3. Factors that Influence the Responses Lack of information on the impact of risks Lack of information about probabilities Personal benefits for assuming the risks voluntarily Depth of vulnerability to the risk Existence or lack thereof, of alternate risk responses 3 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 4. Risk Responses to Threats Avoid Mitigate Accept Transfer The risk is mitigated up The risk is not eliminated to acceptable The risk is The risk is levels by the eliminated by transferred to and the project use of eliminating its another party cause (ex: Insurance) assumes its contingency plans and/or consequences insurances 4 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 5. Risk Responses to Opportunities Ignore Improve Explore The team The team tries its best tries to efforts to The risk is increase the take recorded probability but no advantage of and/or action is the positive opportunity, taken impact of increasing the risk its benefits 5 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 6. Insurance It’s a traditional way of risk transfer. The insured pays the insurance company so that the insurer compensates the policyholder for losses that occur in case the risk do happen. It is a buy and sell relationship for identified risks. 6 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 7. Reserves Reserves are budget provisions or a plan to mitigate risks. Management reserves – to cover the unknown risks (unknown-unknown) Contingency reserves – to cover the known and identified risks (unknown-known) 7 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 8. The Size of Reserves Actual Cost Orçamento Orçamento + Reservas Custo Real Budget Budget + Reserves 8 © BY RICARDO VIANA VARGAS. TODOS OS DIREITOS RESERVADOS
  • 9. Visit www.ricardo-vargas.com to access other presentations, podcasts, videos and technical content about project , risk and portfolio management. © BY MACROSOLUTIONS SA