SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 22
Download to read offline
Webinar | Public Pension Resource Guide
Case Studies of State
Pension Plans that
Switched to Defined
Contribution Plans
February 10, 2015
Download at www.nirsonline.org
Why We Did this Study
•  A misperception exists that DC plans “save money”
when compared with traditional DB pensions.
•  However, NIRS’ Still a Better Bang for the Buck
report shows that DB plans are more economically
efficient than DC plans, due to economies of scale.
•  A few states have made the switch to DC -- most
recently, Alaska in 2006.
•  Enough time has passed since making these
changes to assess what each state has
experienced.
2
What We Did
•  Case studies of three states: West Virginia, Michigan,
and Alaska.
•  Examined the issues in play and impact of plan changes
over time. Specifically:
–  Impact of overall demographic changes on system membership;
–  Changes in the cost of providing benefits;
–  Percent of actuarially required contribution (ARC) made over
time;
–  Effect on retirement security of workers impacted by the
change;
–  Impact on overall funding level of the plan.
3
Key Findings
Overall, certain trends appear common to all three states:
1.  Changing from a DB plan to a DC plan did not help an existing
underfunding problem, and, in fact, increased pension plan costs.
2.  Workers in the DC plan face increased levels of retirement
insecurity.
3.  The best way to address a pension underfunding problem is to
implement a responsible funding policy of making the full annual
required contribution each year, and to evaluate and adjust
assumptions and funding over time, as appropriate.
4
1991 | West Virginia Moves to DC Plan
•  In 1991, DB plan closed to new
teachers due to a persistent
underfunding.
•  Underfunding was result of years of
the state and school boards failing to
make adequate contributions to the
pension fund.
•  New teachers given DC plan only;
current teachers given a one-time
choice to move to the DC plan.
5
DB Plan Sees Financial Challenges,
DC Plan Found Inadequate
•  By 2005, in the DB plan:
–  The pension paid benefits to 27,000 retirees, versus just 18,000
active teachers in the plan.
–  The DB plan was funded at just 25%.
•  By 2005, in the DC plan:
–  The average account balance was less than $42,000.
–  Of 1,767 teachers over age 60, only 105 had balances over
$100,000.
•  DB plan challenge: The direct result of the “soft freeze” of the pension.
•  DC plan challenge: Largely the result of poor investment returns as
compared to the DB plan (1.6% difference.)
6
Moving to a DC Plan Changes Plan
Demographics, Can Increase Costs
Generally, when new participants are frozen out of the DB plan
and moved to a DC plan:
•  The active population in the DB plan continues to age, so
they will amass a higher average liability as their wages grow.
•  At the same time, the number of active members will fall, as
individuals retire.
•  This means that the loss of new members to the DC plan
makes it more difficult to finance the unfunded obligations in
the DB plan.
7
West Virginia Moves New Hires
Back to DB Plan
•  In 2003, a study found that providing equivalent benefits would
be less expensive in the DB than in the DC plan.
•  Legislation was passed that, starting in 2005, all new hires would
be put back into the DB plan.
•  The state also became more disciplined about funding. On top of
the required contribution:
–  Additional contributions of $290 million and $324 million were
made in 2006 and 2007.
–  An additional $807 million was contributed from a tobacco
bond securitization.
8
West Virginia Becomes More
Disciplined about Funding
•  2006-2007: Additional contributions
and tobacco bond contribution
•  Most years from 2003-2013 have
made the full ARC (100%)
9
West Virginia Allows Current
Teachers to Opt Back into DB Plan
•  In 2008, teachers in DC plan given choice to opt back into DB plan.
•  78.6% (nearly 15,000) chose to switch, including 76% of those under
40 years old:
•  Because more younger teachers than expected opted for the switch,
state saved more money than anticipated: $1.2 billion in savings
projected in the first 30 years.
Age Percent Transferred
Under 40 76%
45-64 81%
65-69 69%
70+ 50%
10
West Virginia Today: On Its Way to
Full Funding
Today....
•  The West Virginia Teachers pension plan continues to improve
financially:
–  58% funded as of July 1, 2013. The funding gap has
narrowed by more than half since reopening the pension.
–  Recommended contributions are much more stable: in 2013,
the recommended contribution was lower than in 2010.
–  The plan is expected to reach full funding by 2034.
•  West Virginia teachers in the DB plan have a much greater
opportunity for retirement security than they would have had
under the DC plan.
11
Michigan Moves to DC Plan in 1997
•  1997, Michigan state employees pension
closed to new hires who were put in a DC plan.
•  Current employees given a one-time choice to
opt into DC plan.
•  DB pension plan was overfunded at 109%.
•  State thought it would “save money” by
providing a maximum contribution of 7% of pay
into the DC plan, whereas the accrual cost in
the DB plan was 9.1% of pay.
•  However, any cost savings was due to a drastic
benefit reduction in the DC plan.
12
Employees in the DC Plan See a
Lower Benefit....
•  By 2013, 33,000 current employees were in the DC plan (2/3
of active workers).
•  Average DC account balance in 2011 was $50,000.
•  For those close to retirement, the average balance was
$123,000. This would provide an annuity of just $8,200 per
year.
•  By contrast, the average DB benefit for people currently
retiring is over $20,000 per year.
13
....And It Comes At a Higher Cost
•  Assuming a “best case” DC scenario, in which the employee
contributes enough to receive maximum employer contribution.
•  After 25 years of service.....
DC Plan DB Plan
Projected
benefit
$1,600 per month
($288,000 at current annuity rates)
$2,050 per month
Total cost 10% of pay
(7% employer + 3% employee)
8% of pay
(DB plan normal cost)
Assume starting wage of $40,000, 2% annual wage increases and 6% net investment DC returns per year.
14
Michigan DB Costs Continue to
Increase Due to Freeze
•  Since freezing the plan in 1997, the plan has amassed significant
unfunded liability due to:
–  Demographic shifts.
–  Two large financial market downturns.
–  Many years in which the state did not make its full contribution.
1997 2012
Funded level 109% 60.3%
Unfunded
liability
None.
(Excess assets of $734 million)
$6.2 billion
Annual required
contribution
$230 million $611 million
15
Michigan Becomes More Disciplined
about Funding
•  From 2008 onward, the state has
been more disciplined about
funding.
•  Over 80% of ARC paid each year
from 2008 - 2013.
•  While the state is more disciplined
about funding, and the DB still
provides a higher benefit at a lower
cost than the DC, the state has not
proposed a switch back, like West
Virginia.
16
Alaska Moves to DC Plan in 2006
•  In 2005, Alaska adopted legislation that moved all
employees hired after July 1, 2006 into a DC plan.
•  The state faced a combined unfunded liability of
$5.7 billion in its two pension plans and health care
trust.
•  The unfunded liability was the result of:
–  Failure to adequately fund pensions over time
–  Stock market declines
–  Actuarial errors, which accounted for some $2.5
billion of the unfunded liability. (The state won a
$500 million settlement after suing actuarial
firm.)
•  The DC switch was sold as a way to slow down
increasing unfunded liability.
17
Alaska Continued to Make
Inadequate Contributions
•  The state contributed just 47% and
45% of the ARC to PERS and TRS
in 2005.
•  At end of 2006, the total unfunded
liability increased to $6.9 billion.
•  The state failed to make the full
contribution in 6 of 8 years from
2006-2013.
18
Alaska DB Costs Continue to
Increase After the Freeze
The unfunded liability has more than doubled since
making the DC switch in 2006.
2006 2014
PERS Prior Service Cost 12.4% of pay 24.2% of pay
TRS Prior Service Cost 24.6% of pay 43.5% of pay
Total Unfunded Liability
(PERS, TRS, and health trust)
$5.7 billion $12.4 billion
19
Alaska Demographics Continue
to Worsen
20
•  In 2005, both pensions had more
active members than retired
beneficiaries.
•  By 2013, those trends had flipped:
TRS had 1.8 retirees for every
active, and PERS had 1.4.
•  As the demographics worsen, plan
underfunding increases as a
percent of a declining payroll.
Alaska Infuses More Cash
Into Pension
•  In 2014, the state made an
additional $3 billion in contributions
to reduce the underfunding.
•  The law also included a longer
amortization period (30 years) and
shifted more pension cost to
municipalities.
•  Bills have been introduced to move
back to a DB plan, but nothing has
moved forward.
21
“I very much was concerned
when we closed our
retirement systems and went
to a defined contribution that
by closing those systems we
were going to find ourselves
in the position we are in
today, which was ultimately
having to step in with a
significant financial bailout.”
-- Representative Mike Hawker
(Anchorage), 2014
Conclusions
In West Virginia, Michigan, and Alaska:
•  Changing from a DB plan to a DC plan did not help an existing
underfunding problem; opposite effect of increasing pension plan costs.
•  Employees under the DC plan face increased levels of retirement
insecurity.
•  Best way to address a pension underfunding is to implement a
responsible funding policy of making the full annual required
contribution each year, and to evaluate and adjust assumptions and
funding as appropriate.
•  Case studies important tool for policymakers considering changes to
public retirement system.
22

More Related Content

What's hot

Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 final
Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 finalDhn budget webinar april 2 2012 final
Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 finalIwg Dhn
 
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears Policy in Practice
 
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural Meeting
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural MeetingAdvocacy Interest Group Inaugural Meeting
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural MeetingAcademyHealth
 
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...Policy in Practice
 
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)TNenergy
 
Current Issues in Aging: Campell
Current Issues in Aging: CampellCurrent Issues in Aging: Campell
Current Issues in Aging: Campellnado-web
 
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)TNenergy
 
ARRA Overview
ARRA OverviewARRA Overview
ARRA OverviewCSW
 
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSIS
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSISProposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSIS
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSISuwlackawayne
 
Intl confltc millersept2012
Intl confltc millersept2012Intl confltc millersept2012
Intl confltc millersept2012soder145
 
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit Challenge
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit ChallengeContra Costa County Employee Benefit Challenge
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit ChallengeBill Gram-Reefer
 
Long term care planning 101
Long term care planning 101Long term care planning 101
Long term care planning 101Adam Eisenberg
 
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child Welfare
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child WelfareNew Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child Welfare
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child WelfareAdvocates for Ohio's Future
 

What's hot (20)

Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 final
Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 finalDhn budget webinar april 2 2012 final
Dhn budget webinar april 2 2012 final
 
AACC Federal Legislative Update March 21 2012
AACC Federal Legislative Update March 21 2012AACC Federal Legislative Update March 21 2012
AACC Federal Legislative Update March 21 2012
 
2011 Year-End Legislative Update
2011 Year-End Legislative Update2011 Year-End Legislative Update
2011 Year-End Legislative Update
 
AOF fiscal cliff webinar
AOF fiscal cliff webinarAOF fiscal cliff webinar
AOF fiscal cliff webinar
 
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears
Welfare reforms and reducing rent arrears
 
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural Meeting
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural MeetingAdvocacy Interest Group Inaugural Meeting
Advocacy Interest Group Inaugural Meeting
 
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...
Policy in Practice present local initiatives to support vulnerable households...
 
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Katie)
 
Current Issues in Aging: Campell
Current Issues in Aging: CampellCurrent Issues in Aging: Campell
Current Issues in Aging: Campell
 
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)
Qualified Energy Conservation Bonds (Pete)
 
3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond
3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond
3.8 What’s at Stake: Federal Policy Decisions in 2012 and Beyond
 
AOF 1.17.12 webinar powerpoint
AOF 1.17.12 webinar powerpointAOF 1.17.12 webinar powerpoint
AOF 1.17.12 webinar powerpoint
 
Children and the 2015-16 State Budget Proposal
Children and the 2015-16 State Budget ProposalChildren and the 2015-16 State Budget Proposal
Children and the 2015-16 State Budget Proposal
 
ARRA Overview
ARRA OverviewARRA Overview
ARRA Overview
 
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSIS
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSISProposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSIS
Proposed FY2012 Commonwealth Budget :: ANALYSIS
 
Intl confltc millersept2012
Intl confltc millersept2012Intl confltc millersept2012
Intl confltc millersept2012
 
AOF Webinar: Debt Ceiling
AOF Webinar: Debt CeilingAOF Webinar: Debt Ceiling
AOF Webinar: Debt Ceiling
 
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit Challenge
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit ChallengeContra Costa County Employee Benefit Challenge
Contra Costa County Employee Benefit Challenge
 
Long term care planning 101
Long term care planning 101Long term care planning 101
Long term care planning 101
 
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child Welfare
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child WelfareNew Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child Welfare
New Opportunities in Adult Protective Services & Child Welfare
 

Similar to Pension vs 401(k) study by the National Institute on Retirement Security

Pension plan policy and efficiencies
Pension plan policy and efficienciesPension plan policy and efficiencies
Pension plan policy and efficienciesKYPublicPension
 
Graves ncsl2012 slides
Graves ncsl2012 slidesGraves ncsl2012 slides
Graves ncsl2012 slidessoder145
 
Pension project final edited
Pension project final editedPension project final edited
Pension project final editedLauren Mcdermott
 
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual Turnaround
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual TurnaroundState Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual Turnaround
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual TurnaroundEmily Jackson
 
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural Problems
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural ProblemsACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural Problems
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural ProblemsMercatus Center
 
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian Blase
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian BlaseACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian Blase
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian BlaseVictoria Otteson
 
Implications of public pension enhancement in Canada
Implications of public pension enhancement in CanadaImplications of public pension enhancement in Canada
Implications of public pension enhancement in CanadaAlex Mazer
 
Employee Benefits Legislative Update
Employee Benefits Legislative Update Employee Benefits Legislative Update
Employee Benefits Legislative Update Adelle Brisbois
 
2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation
2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation
2013 Healthcare Reform PresentationBrett Webster
 
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015Jon Yoffie
 
Pension jointhearing 20110914
Pension jointhearing 20110914Pension jointhearing 20110914
Pension jointhearing 20110914Shawn Andrews
 
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac Tax
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac TaxHow to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac Tax
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac TaxBill Conlan
 
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14Greg Wass
 
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13abear202
 
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13abear202
 
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm final.pptx
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm  final.pptxPolicy change webinar cja june 28 4pm  final.pptx
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm final.pptxKaren Minyard
 
FRS Defined Benefit Plan
FRS Defined Benefit PlanFRS Defined Benefit Plan
FRS Defined Benefit Planpublicemployees
 
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...HawaiiSenate
 

Similar to Pension vs 401(k) study by the National Institute on Retirement Security (20)

Pension plan policy and efficiencies
Pension plan policy and efficienciesPension plan policy and efficiencies
Pension plan policy and efficiencies
 
Graves ncsl2012 slides
Graves ncsl2012 slidesGraves ncsl2012 slides
Graves ncsl2012 slides
 
Pension project final edited
Pension project final editedPension project final edited
Pension project final edited
 
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual Turnaround
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual TurnaroundState Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual Turnaround
State Pensions-- Working Towards a Gradual Turnaround
 
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural Problems
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural ProblemsACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural Problems
ACA Has Worsened Medicaid's Structural Problems
 
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian Blase
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian BlaseACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian Blase
ACA Medicaid Presentation--Brian Blase
 
Implications of public pension enhancement in Canada
Implications of public pension enhancement in CanadaImplications of public pension enhancement in Canada
Implications of public pension enhancement in Canada
 
Employee Benefits Legislative Update
Employee Benefits Legislative Update Employee Benefits Legislative Update
Employee Benefits Legislative Update
 
2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation
2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation
2013 Healthcare Reform Presentation
 
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015
Where's the Money? State and Local Government Finance Forecast - Outlook 2015
 
Pension jointhearing 20110914
Pension jointhearing 20110914Pension jointhearing 20110914
Pension jointhearing 20110914
 
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac Tax
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac TaxHow to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac Tax
How to Avoid a Head-on Collision with The Cadillac Tax
 
Pension Reform
Pension ReformPension Reform
Pension Reform
 
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14
Budgeting for Results and Paying for Success in State Government 5.6.14
 
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
 
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
Ives town hall ppt 07.23.13
 
March 10, 2011 AACC Legislative Update
March 10, 2011 AACC Legislative UpdateMarch 10, 2011 AACC Legislative Update
March 10, 2011 AACC Legislative Update
 
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm final.pptx
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm  final.pptxPolicy change webinar cja june 28 4pm  final.pptx
Policy change webinar cja june 28 4pm final.pptx
 
FRS Defined Benefit Plan
FRS Defined Benefit PlanFRS Defined Benefit Plan
FRS Defined Benefit Plan
 
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...
SENATE WAYS AND MEANS - Overview of HB1700 SD1 (Budget Bill) and the State Fi...
 

Recently uploaded

Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the trade
Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the tradeGroup_5_US-China Trade War to understand the trade
Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the tradeRahatulAshafeen
 
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdh
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdhEmbed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdh
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdhbhavenpr
 
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...srinuseo15
 
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...Faga1939
 
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...Andy (Avraham) Blumenthal
 
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
The political system of the united kingdom
The political system of the united kingdomThe political system of the united kingdom
The political system of the united kingdomlunadelior
 
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopko
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopkoEmbed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopko
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopkobhavenpr
 
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full Details
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full DetailsPolitician uddhav thackeray biography- Full Details
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full DetailsVoterMood
 
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...IT Industry
 
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdf
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdfdeclarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdf
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdfssuser5750e1
 
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreie
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreieGujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreie
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreiebhavenpr
 
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdflambardar420420
 
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...anjanibaddipudi1
 
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...hyt3577
 
China's soft power in 21st century .pptx
China's soft power in 21st century   .pptxChina's soft power in 21st century   .pptx
China's soft power in 21st century .pptxYasinAhmad20
 
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024Insiger
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the trade
Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the tradeGroup_5_US-China Trade War to understand the trade
Group_5_US-China Trade War to understand the trade
 
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdh
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdhEmbed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdh
Embed-4.pdf lkdiinlajeklhndklheduhuekjdh
 
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...
Transformative Leadership: N Chandrababu Naidu and TDP's Vision for Innovatio...
 
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...
THE OBSTACLES THAT IMPEDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRAZIL IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA A...
 
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...
America Is the Target; Israel Is the Front Line _ Andy Blumenthal _ The Blogs...
 
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
05052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
The political system of the united kingdom
The political system of the united kingdomThe political system of the united kingdom
The political system of the united kingdom
 
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopko
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopkoEmbed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopko
Embed-2 (1).pdfb[k[k[[k[kkkpkdpokkdpkopko
 
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full Details
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full DetailsPolitician uddhav thackeray biography- Full Details
Politician uddhav thackeray biography- Full Details
 
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...
KING VISHNU BHAGWANON KA BHAGWAN PARAMATMONKA PARATOMIC PARAMANU KASARVAMANVA...
 
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdf
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdfdeclarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdf
declarationleaders_sd_re_greens_theleft_5.pdf
 
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreie
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreieGujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreie
Gujarat-SEBCs.pdf pfpkoopapriorjfperjreie
 
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf
422524114-Patriarchy-Kamla-Bhasin gg.pdf
 
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...
*Navigating Electoral Terrain: TDP's Performance under N Chandrababu Naidu's ...
 
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...
{Qatar{^🚀^(+971558539980**}})Abortion Pills for Sale in Dubai. .abu dhabi, sh...
 
China's soft power in 21st century .pptx
China's soft power in 21st century   .pptxChina's soft power in 21st century   .pptx
China's soft power in 21st century .pptx
 
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
04052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
9953056974 Call Girls In Pratap Nagar, Escorts (Delhi) NCR
9953056974 Call Girls In Pratap Nagar, Escorts (Delhi) NCR9953056974 Call Girls In Pratap Nagar, Escorts (Delhi) NCR
9953056974 Call Girls In Pratap Nagar, Escorts (Delhi) NCR
 
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
06052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024
Job-Oriеntеd Courses That Will Boost Your Career in 2024
 

Pension vs 401(k) study by the National Institute on Retirement Security

  • 1. Webinar | Public Pension Resource Guide Case Studies of State Pension Plans that Switched to Defined Contribution Plans February 10, 2015 Download at www.nirsonline.org
  • 2. Why We Did this Study •  A misperception exists that DC plans “save money” when compared with traditional DB pensions. •  However, NIRS’ Still a Better Bang for the Buck report shows that DB plans are more economically efficient than DC plans, due to economies of scale. •  A few states have made the switch to DC -- most recently, Alaska in 2006. •  Enough time has passed since making these changes to assess what each state has experienced. 2
  • 3. What We Did •  Case studies of three states: West Virginia, Michigan, and Alaska. •  Examined the issues in play and impact of plan changes over time. Specifically: –  Impact of overall demographic changes on system membership; –  Changes in the cost of providing benefits; –  Percent of actuarially required contribution (ARC) made over time; –  Effect on retirement security of workers impacted by the change; –  Impact on overall funding level of the plan. 3
  • 4. Key Findings Overall, certain trends appear common to all three states: 1.  Changing from a DB plan to a DC plan did not help an existing underfunding problem, and, in fact, increased pension plan costs. 2.  Workers in the DC plan face increased levels of retirement insecurity. 3.  The best way to address a pension underfunding problem is to implement a responsible funding policy of making the full annual required contribution each year, and to evaluate and adjust assumptions and funding over time, as appropriate. 4
  • 5. 1991 | West Virginia Moves to DC Plan •  In 1991, DB plan closed to new teachers due to a persistent underfunding. •  Underfunding was result of years of the state and school boards failing to make adequate contributions to the pension fund. •  New teachers given DC plan only; current teachers given a one-time choice to move to the DC plan. 5
  • 6. DB Plan Sees Financial Challenges, DC Plan Found Inadequate •  By 2005, in the DB plan: –  The pension paid benefits to 27,000 retirees, versus just 18,000 active teachers in the plan. –  The DB plan was funded at just 25%. •  By 2005, in the DC plan: –  The average account balance was less than $42,000. –  Of 1,767 teachers over age 60, only 105 had balances over $100,000. •  DB plan challenge: The direct result of the “soft freeze” of the pension. •  DC plan challenge: Largely the result of poor investment returns as compared to the DB plan (1.6% difference.) 6
  • 7. Moving to a DC Plan Changes Plan Demographics, Can Increase Costs Generally, when new participants are frozen out of the DB plan and moved to a DC plan: •  The active population in the DB plan continues to age, so they will amass a higher average liability as their wages grow. •  At the same time, the number of active members will fall, as individuals retire. •  This means that the loss of new members to the DC plan makes it more difficult to finance the unfunded obligations in the DB plan. 7
  • 8. West Virginia Moves New Hires Back to DB Plan •  In 2003, a study found that providing equivalent benefits would be less expensive in the DB than in the DC plan. •  Legislation was passed that, starting in 2005, all new hires would be put back into the DB plan. •  The state also became more disciplined about funding. On top of the required contribution: –  Additional contributions of $290 million and $324 million were made in 2006 and 2007. –  An additional $807 million was contributed from a tobacco bond securitization. 8
  • 9. West Virginia Becomes More Disciplined about Funding •  2006-2007: Additional contributions and tobacco bond contribution •  Most years from 2003-2013 have made the full ARC (100%) 9
  • 10. West Virginia Allows Current Teachers to Opt Back into DB Plan •  In 2008, teachers in DC plan given choice to opt back into DB plan. •  78.6% (nearly 15,000) chose to switch, including 76% of those under 40 years old: •  Because more younger teachers than expected opted for the switch, state saved more money than anticipated: $1.2 billion in savings projected in the first 30 years. Age Percent Transferred Under 40 76% 45-64 81% 65-69 69% 70+ 50% 10
  • 11. West Virginia Today: On Its Way to Full Funding Today.... •  The West Virginia Teachers pension plan continues to improve financially: –  58% funded as of July 1, 2013. The funding gap has narrowed by more than half since reopening the pension. –  Recommended contributions are much more stable: in 2013, the recommended contribution was lower than in 2010. –  The plan is expected to reach full funding by 2034. •  West Virginia teachers in the DB plan have a much greater opportunity for retirement security than they would have had under the DC plan. 11
  • 12. Michigan Moves to DC Plan in 1997 •  1997, Michigan state employees pension closed to new hires who were put in a DC plan. •  Current employees given a one-time choice to opt into DC plan. •  DB pension plan was overfunded at 109%. •  State thought it would “save money” by providing a maximum contribution of 7% of pay into the DC plan, whereas the accrual cost in the DB plan was 9.1% of pay. •  However, any cost savings was due to a drastic benefit reduction in the DC plan. 12
  • 13. Employees in the DC Plan See a Lower Benefit.... •  By 2013, 33,000 current employees were in the DC plan (2/3 of active workers). •  Average DC account balance in 2011 was $50,000. •  For those close to retirement, the average balance was $123,000. This would provide an annuity of just $8,200 per year. •  By contrast, the average DB benefit for people currently retiring is over $20,000 per year. 13
  • 14. ....And It Comes At a Higher Cost •  Assuming a “best case” DC scenario, in which the employee contributes enough to receive maximum employer contribution. •  After 25 years of service..... DC Plan DB Plan Projected benefit $1,600 per month ($288,000 at current annuity rates) $2,050 per month Total cost 10% of pay (7% employer + 3% employee) 8% of pay (DB plan normal cost) Assume starting wage of $40,000, 2% annual wage increases and 6% net investment DC returns per year. 14
  • 15. Michigan DB Costs Continue to Increase Due to Freeze •  Since freezing the plan in 1997, the plan has amassed significant unfunded liability due to: –  Demographic shifts. –  Two large financial market downturns. –  Many years in which the state did not make its full contribution. 1997 2012 Funded level 109% 60.3% Unfunded liability None. (Excess assets of $734 million) $6.2 billion Annual required contribution $230 million $611 million 15
  • 16. Michigan Becomes More Disciplined about Funding •  From 2008 onward, the state has been more disciplined about funding. •  Over 80% of ARC paid each year from 2008 - 2013. •  While the state is more disciplined about funding, and the DB still provides a higher benefit at a lower cost than the DC, the state has not proposed a switch back, like West Virginia. 16
  • 17. Alaska Moves to DC Plan in 2006 •  In 2005, Alaska adopted legislation that moved all employees hired after July 1, 2006 into a DC plan. •  The state faced a combined unfunded liability of $5.7 billion in its two pension plans and health care trust. •  The unfunded liability was the result of: –  Failure to adequately fund pensions over time –  Stock market declines –  Actuarial errors, which accounted for some $2.5 billion of the unfunded liability. (The state won a $500 million settlement after suing actuarial firm.) •  The DC switch was sold as a way to slow down increasing unfunded liability. 17
  • 18. Alaska Continued to Make Inadequate Contributions •  The state contributed just 47% and 45% of the ARC to PERS and TRS in 2005. •  At end of 2006, the total unfunded liability increased to $6.9 billion. •  The state failed to make the full contribution in 6 of 8 years from 2006-2013. 18
  • 19. Alaska DB Costs Continue to Increase After the Freeze The unfunded liability has more than doubled since making the DC switch in 2006. 2006 2014 PERS Prior Service Cost 12.4% of pay 24.2% of pay TRS Prior Service Cost 24.6% of pay 43.5% of pay Total Unfunded Liability (PERS, TRS, and health trust) $5.7 billion $12.4 billion 19
  • 20. Alaska Demographics Continue to Worsen 20 •  In 2005, both pensions had more active members than retired beneficiaries. •  By 2013, those trends had flipped: TRS had 1.8 retirees for every active, and PERS had 1.4. •  As the demographics worsen, plan underfunding increases as a percent of a declining payroll.
  • 21. Alaska Infuses More Cash Into Pension •  In 2014, the state made an additional $3 billion in contributions to reduce the underfunding. •  The law also included a longer amortization period (30 years) and shifted more pension cost to municipalities. •  Bills have been introduced to move back to a DB plan, but nothing has moved forward. 21 “I very much was concerned when we closed our retirement systems and went to a defined contribution that by closing those systems we were going to find ourselves in the position we are in today, which was ultimately having to step in with a significant financial bailout.” -- Representative Mike Hawker (Anchorage), 2014
  • 22. Conclusions In West Virginia, Michigan, and Alaska: •  Changing from a DB plan to a DC plan did not help an existing underfunding problem; opposite effect of increasing pension plan costs. •  Employees under the DC plan face increased levels of retirement insecurity. •  Best way to address a pension underfunding is to implement a responsible funding policy of making the full annual required contribution each year, and to evaluate and adjust assumptions and funding as appropriate. •  Case studies important tool for policymakers considering changes to public retirement system. 22