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Capacity Building Program “Pricing Renewables: Feed-in Tariff (FiT) Design and Structure for Wind Farms and Solar Plants” - October 23-27, 2011

Capacity Building Program “Pricing Renewables: Feed-in Tariff (FiT) Design and Structure for Wind Farms and Solar Plants” - October 23-27, 2011

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    Jordan Jordan Presentation Transcript

    • Pricing Renewable FEED in Tariff design andstructure for wind Farms andSolar (PV-CSP) plants 23rd – 27th Oct 2011 Prepared by Hanin Alsouri Meqdad Qad xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
    • OverviewTotal area: 89 342 sq. KmPopulation: 6.113 MSea Port: AqabaGDP:18,762 million JD (MUS$ 26,426)GDP per Capita: 3,069 JD (US$ 4,320)GDP Growth:7% annually (2000-2010)
    • Jordan’s Power System (2010) Peak Load: 2650 MW Generated Energy: 14777 GWh Imported Energy : 670 GWh Exported Energy : 57 GWh Installed Capacity: 3148 MW Transmission Lines Length: 4035 Km.circuit Main Substations Capacity: 9657 MVA Electrification Rate: 99.9%
    • Jordan’s Power SystemEnergy generated by fuel type: LFO Renewabl 3% 0.5% Imported LFO Electricity 0.4% 4% Renewable NG 0.5% 89% Imported NG Electricity 69% HFO HFO 3% 24% 8% 2009 2010
    • Jordan’s Power System
    • Generation Expansion Plan Committed Expansion Plan Year Project ]Capacity [MW 2011 IPP2(ST) 132 End of 2013 Samra III(ST) 140 2013 IPP4 250 2014 IPP3 350
    • Energy Policy:Ensuring security of supply of all energy forms.Diversification of energy sources.Enhancing the efforts to utilize the local energy resources.Increasing the share of the renewable energy in the total mix of primary energy.
    • Electricity Sector in Jordan Ministry of Energy & Policy Maker Mineral Resources Electricity RegulatoryObserver & Regulator & licenser Commission CEGCO Generation & Power SEPGCO Producers AES JORDAN (IPP1) + QEPC (IPP2) Interconnection Transmission owner & System Operator NEPCO JEPCO IDECO Distribution EDCO
    • Single Buyer ModelGeneration Electrical IPPsCompanies Interconnection NEPCO Transmission Network + System Operator + Bulk Supplier Distribution Principal Companies Consumers Consumers
    • PV Applications in Jordan More than 100 PV systems were installed in Jordan since 1985 Water Pumping Communications Police Stations
    • PV Applications in Jordan More than 100 PV systems were installed in Jordan since 1985 Water Pumping Police Stations Communications Schools Teachers Residences Clinics Mosques Others TOTAL 500 KWp
    • Electricity Generation by Wind EnergyAl-Ibrahimiah wind farm- 320 Hofa wind farm 1.125 MW, kW, established in 1987 established in 1996
    • Wind Data BaseIbrahimya 1Ibrahimya 2 Hofa • 34 Stations Kamsha Al-Reesheh • Wind speed is measured at Jubeiha different heights Fakoe (10,40 m) Zabda (10,40,50 m) Tafila (30,45 m) Fujaij 1 (22,40,60 m) Fujaij 2 Ar-Rajef Fujaij 3 (10,24 m) Fujaij 4 Aqaba 1 Fujaij 5 Aqaba 2 Aqaba 3
    • Biogas Energy• The total installed capacity used biogas for electricity generation is about 4 MW at Russifa biogas project.• The future plans are to expand the biogas utilization for power generation purposes such that the installed capacity reaches 20 MW by the year 2020.
    • Legislations andRegulations
    • Jordan Renewable policy targets• 2007 Energy Strategy, has set ambitious goals for the development of RE:• By the year 2020, the share of RE in primary energy supply is to increase from the current 1% to 10%. – wind power (installation of about 1200 MW), – solar power (600 MW) and – waste/energy (30-50MW).
    • National Energy Strategy• Diversify our energy resources• Reduce dependence on imported energy The strategy aims to reduce dependence on imported energy from 96% in 2007 to 75% in 2015, and 61% in 2020 through: – Energy conservation and awareness. Studies indicate that Jordan is capable of reducing 20% of its energy consumption via energy conservation – Expand on renewable energy projects (wind , solar, biofuels- 10% by 2020) – Utilize domestic resources (oil shale, natural gas, etc.)
    • Renewable Energy & EE Law• The Law was Approved in Feb, 2010 – Allowing the government to establish companies for implementing RE project with the participation of the private sector – The mechanism of dealing with any proposal submitted to the government by the private sector – Awarding special certificate by the government to RE project – Electric tariff for RE projects
    • Renewable Energy Law / Energy Efficiency Fund…(Financing)– Incentives (Tax and custom duty and land leasing breaks )– A fund to be known as (Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Fund) A fund which will be used for “supporting” renewable energy and energy conservation projects.– The Fund shall enjoy all exemptions and facilities provided for Ministries and government departments.- Global Environmental Facility GEF
    • Economic Indicators:• 1800 MW RE mix in 2020 as considered in Government policy fits with the potential analysis and with the Network capacity limits.• Indicative prices range are different following different technologies. Within each technology Prices are most sensitive to Capacity Factor and Investment Cost, and financial variables.
    • FuturePlanning
    • Electricity Demand Forecast Main Drivers for Demand Growth: • Population growth. • Economic growth. 7.1% 25000 20000 15000 5.5%MW 10000 3.9% 5000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Low Forecast Medium Forecast High Forecast
    • Renewable Energy Strategy Wind Energy 2020 1200 MW Solar Energy 2020 600 MWTotal Renewable Energy Sources Capacity up to year 2020:1800 MW ( 10% of total Energy)
    • Generation Split by source
    • National Energy Strategy: 2010 – 2020 The Energy Mix in Jordan (2010 – 2020) Renewable 2010 Energy 2% N.G 31% Electricty Crude oil & Imported Products 2% 65%2015 Domestic Resources 4%, Imported 96% 2020 Oil Imported Renewable7% 2015 Imported Renewable 10% 2020Shale 11% Electricity 2% Nuclear 6% Oil Electricity 1% Shale 14% Oil Products 51% Oil Products 40% N. Gas 29% N. Gas 29% Domestic Resources 25%, Imported 75% Domestic Resources 39%, Imported 61%
    • 2012 – 2020 Renewables program Power plant Unit Capacity, 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Wind W1 MW 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Wind W2 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Wind W3 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Wind W4 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 Wind W5 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Wind W6 300 300 300 300 300 300 Wind W7 200 200 200 200 200 Wind W8 100 100 100 Solar CSP1 100 100 100 100 100 Solar CSP2 100 100 100 100 Solar with storage CSP3 200 200 200 Solar CSP4 100 100 100 PV PV1 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV2 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV3 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV4 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV5 10 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV6 10 10 10 10 10 PV PV7 10 10 10 10 PV PV8 10 10 10 PV PV9 20 20 Total Wind W 1100 0 0 0 0 500 600 900 1100 1100 1200 1200 Total Solar CSP 300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 200 300 300Total Solar with storage CSP s 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 200 Total PV PV 100 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 100TOTAL AVAILABLE 1800 0 0 10 20 530 640 950 1260 1370 1780 1800
    • Generation Expansion PlanBase Case Scenario (BCS): 16000 14000 12000 10000MW 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Existing & Committed GT Steam Peak Load GT: 1140 MW Steam: 13200 MW
    • Generation Expansion PlanNuclear&Oil Shale Scenario (NOS): 16000 14000 12000 10000 MW 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Existing & Committed GT Steam NPP OSPP Peak Load GT: 1080 MW NPP: 5000 MW Steam: 7200 MW OSPP: 900 MW
    • Uranium:Jordan has an estimation of 80,000 tones ofuranium deposits plus 100,000 tones in itsphosphate reserves. Jordan has takenpractical steps to start extraction of uraniumdeposits.Jordan has signed in February 2008 anagreement with AREVA (a French company)to start extraction of uranium in a specifiedlocation in the central part of Jordan.
    • Oil Shale Oil shale in Jordan is available in big quantities in Jordan. These quantities are estimated at about (40) billion tons. Major deposits are located in the central part of Jordan The negotiation with EESTI ENERGIA to build an Oil Shale Power Plant (OSPP) using direct burning technology with a proposed capacity up to 900 MW is still going on The OSPP is expected to be in operation by the end of year 2016.
    • Challenges against RE RE may located far from the existing grid, interconnecting a renewable energy resource to the grid could trigger the need for tens of millions . RETs have high capital investment costs compared with conventional technologies. RE have very low capacity factor comparing with conventional technologies Non confirmed capacity to the network therefore we cannot consider in our generation plan.
    • Challenges against RE Environmental Limitation• Wind:1-Noise level of wind energy is very high2- bird migration3- one MW of wind energy need 10,000 square meter• Solar:1- Dust :Low efficiency and added cost cause of dust .2- One MW of P.V energy need 25,000 square meter
    • Thank you for your attention