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National Venture Capital Association
2009 Venture Capital Predictions
Survey Results
December 17, 2008

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NVCA 2009 Venture Capital
Predictions Survey
n Third Annual Predictions Survey
n Conducted in Nov. 24 – Dec. 12, 2008
n More than 400 responses
n Quotes and press release available:
n Contact: Emily Mendell (emendell@nvca.org)
n Contact: Laura Cruz (lcruz@weisergroup.com)
2

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Ninety two percent of VCs predict venture
investment to slow in 2009
What range will venture capital investment
levels be in 2009?
Est. 2008 Investment
Percent of Respondents
80%
61%
60%
40% 31%
20%
3% 4%
1%
0%
<$27 BN $27-29 BN $30 BN $32-35 BN > $35 BN
Range of Investment $
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In 2009, 53 percent of VCs predict they
will invest in the same or more
companies.
In 2009, our firm will invest in:
34%
47%
19%
Same # of companies More companies Fewer companies
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Clean technology and life sciences were
predicted as having the highest potential
for stability/growth.
48%
Clean Tech 20%
32%
25%
Biotech 33%
42% Increase
Unchanged
24% Decrease
Medical Devices 38%
38%
14%
Internet 28%
58%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
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Semiconductors and Media were predicted
by most VCs to see a slow down in
investment.
11%
Software 30%
59%
14%
Wireless 26%
60% Increase
Unchanged
11% Decrease
Media 18%
71%
3%
Semiconductors 18%
79%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
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Most VCs predict a slowdown of
international investing in 2009.
28%
China 21%
51%
22%
India 22%
56% Increase
Unchanged
10% Decrease
Israel 34%
56%
6%
Europe 20%
74%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
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VCs predict a decrease in seed and early
stage investment in 2009.
45%
Late 20%
35%
30%
Expansion 22%
48% Increase
Unchanged
15% Decrease
Early 21%
64%
22%
Seed 18%
60%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
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Most venture capitalists do not predict
IPO relief until 2010 or beyond.
The venture backed IPO market will re-open in:
1%
0% 9%
18%
72%
Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 2010 or beyond
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Acquisition volume may increase but
values are predicted to decline.
In 2009 venture backed In 2009 venture backed acquisition
acquisition volume will: values will:
9% 4%
23%
34%
43% 87%
Increase Decrease Same Increase Decrease Same
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2009 will be a difficult year for
entrepreneurs.
It will be harder to sustain exisiting It will be harder for new
portfolio companies. companies to get funded.
7% 4%
93% 96%
Agree Disagree Agree Disagree
11

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The reallocation of institutional funds will
result in fewer venture capital firms going
forward.
Institutional investors will More VC firms will not be able to
reduce commitments to VC. raise money.
15% 4%
85%
96%
Agree Disagree Agree Disagree
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Venture capitalists expect collective
overall returns to decline in the short and
long term.
VC returns will decline in the VC returns will decline in the long
short term (3-5 years) term (5 - 10 years)
8% 17%
92% 83%
Agree Disagree Agree Disagree
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Most venture capitalists believe the
economy will remain the same or worsen
in 2009.
How will the U.S. economy fare in 2009?
19.0%
25.0%
56.0%
Improve Worsen Unchanged
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Few VCs predict the Dow Jones to rise
above 10,000 in 2009.
At what level will the DJIA be on
December 31, 2009?
13.6%
14.0%
41.1%
31.3%
< 8000 8000-9000 9000-10000 >10,000
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Historical Venture Capital Statistics

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Venture Capital Fundraising
1998 – 2008 (thru Q3)
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
2008
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Q3
$B Gross 29.7 55.8 104.4 39.0 3.8 10.6 19.1 28.0 31.4 35.5 25.4
Source: NVCA and Thomson Reuters
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Venture Capital Investment
1998 – Q3 2008
$120 $105.0
$100
$ Billions Invested
$80
$54.0
$60 $40.6
$40 $26.7 $30.8
$21.1 $22.0$19.8 $22.5 $23.1 $22.6
$20
$0
2008 Q3
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Source: The MoneyTree Report by PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association; Data: Thomson Reuters 18

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Venture Exit Counts-
IPOs and M&A by Year 1993 – 2008 (Q3)
700
600
500
Number of Issues
400
300
200
100
0
'08
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07
Q3
M&A 74 100 97 116 164 209 240 317 353 316 293 339 351 369 359 199
IPO 220 166 202 270 136 77 260 264 41 24 29 93 57 57 86 6
Year
19
Source: NVCA and Thomson Reuters