On October 23rd, 2014, we updated our
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Explanations – human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable & predictable
Not A Black Swan
Balance Sheet Assets ↔ Liabilities ↑ Equity ↓ Income Statement Revenue ↔ Expenses ↑ Net ↓ What is happening?
Balance Sheet Assets ↔ Liabilities ↑ Equity ↓ Income Statement Revenue ↔ Expenses ↑ Net ↓ ↓ What if?
Balance Sheet Assets ↔ Liabilities ↑ Equity ↓ Income Statement Revenue ↔ Expenses ↑ Net ↓ ↓ ↓ What if?
Balance Sheet Assets ↔ Liabilities ↑ Equity ↓ Income Statement Revenue ↔ Expenses ↑ Net ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ What if?
Decision Life Cycle Comparisons This decision life cycle diagram is a simplified version of the OODALoop created by COL John R. Boyd, a fighter pilot (Hammonds, 2002). His original design is more involved and useful for those wanting to explore the OODA Loop and perhaps adopt it as a part of a business school’s strategy process.
Headlines This Week
High Probability Near-term Outcomes Greece will default French Banks require a bailout US enters another recession (double dip) Elected officials continue with “business as usual” China economy starts to decline Deleveraging becomes a driving force Families Companies Governments (local, state, national) More budget cuts More pain
Some References Endgame: The End of the Debt Supercycle and How It Changes Everything by John Mauldin & Jonathan Tepper Newsletter: Outside the Box by John Mauldin http://www.johnmauldin.com/ Newsletter: Security Weekly by Stratfor Global Intelligence www.stratfor.com Multiple Industry Focused Newsletters http://www.smartbrief.com/signup/index.jsp www.blog.myeemba.com firstname.lastname@example.org
My Contact Information RGAlsup@Gmail.com www.SlideShare.net/alsup