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MORTGAGE MARKETS

     Finance 421




                   Mortgage Markets-1
The Unique Nature of Mortgage
Markets
Mortgage loans are secured by the pledge of real property
as collateral.
Mortgage loans are made for varied amounts - no
standard denomination.
Issuers of mortgages are usually small family or business
entities.
Weak Secondary Market for Original Mortgages
– Little standardization of contracts and terms.
– Traditionally issued and held by lender.
Relatively strong secondary for mortgage-backed
securities
Mortgage markets are highly regulated and supported by
federal government policies.
                                             Mortgage Markets-2
Standard Fixed-Rate Mortgage
(FRM)
 Amortized loan with periodic payments that exceed the
 interest due. Payment in excess of interest is credited
 toward repayment of the principal.
 Interest is usually computed on the declining balance.
 The mortgage is a lien on the property used as collateral
 for the loan.
 If the contract is broken, the lender may use the property
 to pay the loan.
 When mortgage is fully paid, the lien is removed and the
 borrower obtains a clear title to the property.




                                          Mortgage Markets-3
FRM Balance and Payments
                Principal and interest Payments on a 9%, 15-
                 year, $100,000 mortgage with payments of
                              $1,015 per month
           $1,200


           $1,000


            $800
 Payment




                                                                                        Interest Payment
            $600
                                                                                        Principal Payment
            $400


            $200


              $0
                    0   12   24   36   48   60   72   84   96 108 120 132 144 156 168

                                                      Month




                                                                                        Mortgage Markets-4
FRM Balance and Payments
(concluded)
               Principal and interest Payments on a 9%, 30-
                year, $100,000 mortgage with payments of
                              $805 per month
           $900.00
           $800.00
           $700.00
           $600.00
 Payment




           $500.00                                                           Interest Payment
           $400.00                                                           Principal Payment
           $300.00
           $200.00
           $100.00
             $0.00
                     0   36   72   108   144   180   216   252   288   324

                                           Month



                                                                             Mortgage Markets-5
Conventional and Insured
Mortgages
 Conventional mortgages represent
 lending/borrowing in the private markets.
 Insured and/or guaranteed mortgages are
 supported by federal and state agencies.
 – Federal Housing Administration (FHA).
 – Veterans Administration (VA).
 – Downpayment and rates may be lower.




                                   Mortgage Markets-6
Private Mortgage Insurance

 Conventional mortgage borrowers with low
 downpayments must usually buy private
 mortgage insurance (PMI).
 PMI premiums are added to mortgage payments
 until the value of the mortgage is less than 75%
 of the value of the house.




                                  Mortgage Markets-7
Private Mortgage Insurance
 Uninsured conventional Privately Insured
     mortgage                   conventional mortgage
                                                   $12,500 down
                 $25,000 down          Equity      payment
      Equity     payment
                                    Insured Risk $12,500 mortgage
                                                   insurance




     Uninsured   $100,000            Uninsured    $112,500
     Mortgage    mortgage at         Mortgage     mortgage at
                 10% APR.                         10% plus
                                                  insurance
                                                  premium = 10¼
                                                  to 10½% APR
                                                  on $112,500
                                                  balance



                                             Mortgage Markets-8
Adjustable Rate Mortgage
 (ARM)
Fixed-rate mortgages are not attractive to lenders in high
inflation periods.
With adjustable rate contracts, borrowers' costs vary with
inflation and interest rate levels.
Lenders shift interest rate risk to the borrower.
Caps on ARM interest rates limit interest rate risk to borrowers.
 – Capped ARMs may have a “payment cap”, “rate cap”, or
     both.
 – Payment caps limit the maximum amount the payment can
     go up by in any year and over the life of the loan.
 – Interest rate caps or rate caps limit the size of the increase
     in the loan rate in any year and over the loan’s life. Typically,
     the annual cap is 1-2%, and the lifetime cap is 5%.



                                                 Mortgage Markets-9
Methods of Adjustment for
ARMs
Rate may vary in a prescribed range (caps) or without
limit.
Payments, maturity, or principal may vary.
Rates may vary based on a previously determined interest
rate index or the cost of the funds of the lender.
The market prices (difference between fixed and variable
rates) the extent of interest rate risk (impact of varying
interest rates) assumed by borrower and lender.
Common rate indices include Treasury rates, fixed rate
mortgage indices, prime rate, and the LIBOR rate.




                                         Mortgage Markets-10
Fixed and Adjustable Mortgage Rates




                         Mortgage Markets-11
Other Mortgage Instruments
Balloon Payment Mortgages
– Traditional loan where interest is paid until a time when the
  principal was due.
– Terms can be 3, 5 or 7 years.
– Loan is amortized over 15 or 30 year period so that monthly
  payments are no different than a FRM of equal maturity.
– Rate is fixed over the contract term.
– Popular with borrowers who may either sell or refinance prior
  to maturity.
Rollover Mortgage (ROMs)
– Refinanced at new rate every few years.
– Adjustment period is longer than traditional ARMs.
– Payment is fixed




                                            Mortgage Markets-12
Other Mortgage Instruments
 (continued)
Renegotiated Rate Mortgages (RRMs)
– Loan terms renegotiated periodically at terms prevailing in
  the market.
– Adjustment period is longer than traditional ARMs.
– Payment is fixed.
Interest Only Mortgages
– Low payments in initial years (10 to 15 years) – only
  includes interest on borrowed amount.
– After initial period, payments increase such that entire loan
  amount is amortized by the end of 30 years.
– Borrower pays interest for a considerable period on the
  entire loan balance, but avoids having to pay down balance
  in initial years.


                                              Mortgage Markets-13
Other Mortgage Instruments
 (continued)
Construction-to Permanent Mortgages
– Bridge financing is provided by lender over the
  time frame required by the borrower to purchase
  land and construct the house.
– Only interest payment is made until construction is
  completed.
– Loan is financed in increments as construction
  payments have to be made.
– On completion of the construction, loan balance is
  rolled over into the type of mortgage contract
  desired by borrower.

                                      Mortgage Markets-14
Other Mortgage Instruments
(continued)
Reverse Annuity Mortgages (RAMs)
– RAMs allow homeowners to borrow against the
  equity on their homes at low rates.
– Typically obtained by older people whose home
  loans have been paid off, but can use income of
  the real estate investment they own.
– Typical term is no more than 20 years and could
  be for borrower’s lifetime as an annuity.
– Homeowners’ equity declines by amount
  borrowed.

                                   Mortgage Markets-15
Other Mortgage Instruments
(continued)
Second Mortgage - extended at time of
purchase or later as equity is borrowed from
property.
Home equity lines of credit became popular
after the 1986 federal tax law.
Home equity loans and lines of credit allow home
owners to borrow against the equity built up in
their homes because of paying down the loan
and/or because of the appreciation of the
property.


                                 Mortgage Markets-16
What Does it Take to Buy a
Home?
Several factors influence a home buyer’s
ability to secure a mortgage loans.
– Borrower Income from all sources gives the
  lender an idea of the ability of the borrower to
  meet the monthly mortgage commitment.
– Down Payment refers to the amount of cash the
  borrower can contribute towards the cost of the
  house as their equity.
– Mortgage Insurance is necessary for borrowers
  who are unable to come up with a 20 percent
  down payment.



                                    Mortgage Markets-17
Payment to Income Ratio
             Examples
                         30-year Fixed
                           Rate (5%)
Annual Gross   28% of     Mortgage         36% of
  income       monthly   Qualification     monthly
  $20,000       $467       $59,985          $600
  $30,000       $700       $89,913          $900
  $40,000       $933      $119,841         $1,200
  $50,000      $1,167     $149,897         $1,500
  $60,000      $1,400     $179,826         $1,800
  $80,000      $1,867     $239,810         $2,400
 $100,000      $2,333     $299,667         $3,000
 $150,000      $3,500     $449,564         $4,500
                                    Mortgage Markets-18
Mortgage Origination

 The original lender in a mortgage is called the
 mortgage originator. They generate income in
 one or more of the following ways:
 – They charge an origination fee
 – They may sell the mortgage
 – They may service the loan for the eventual owners
   of the loan in exchange for a servicing fee
 – They may sell the servicing of the mortgage to
   another party.
 – They may hold the mortgage in their investment
   portfolio.
                                    Mortgage Markets-19
The Mortgage Origination
Process
 A potential homeowner applies for a loan from a
 mortgage originator. He/she specifies:
 – type of mortgage (FRM,ARM,etc.)
 – when the interest rate is set
 The mortgage originator then performs a credit
 evaluation of the applicant




                                     Mortgage Markets-20
The Mortgage Origination
Process (continued)
 If the lender decides to lend the funds, it sends a
 commitment letter to the applicant, and the
 applicant pays a commitment fee.
 If the mortgage originator intends to sell the
 mortgage, it may obtain a commitment from the
 potential buyer.
 At the closing date, if the borrower does not back
 out, the loan is made. If the borrower backs out,
 he loses the commitment fee.



                                    Mortgage Markets-21
Pipeline Risk

 is the risk associated with mortgage origination
  – Price risk




  – Fallout risk




                                   Mortgage Markets-22
Hedging Pipeline Risk

 Obtain a commitment from a conduit to buy the
 mortgage
 Obtain an agreement for the optional delivery of
 the mortgage




                                   Mortgage Markets-23
Mortgage Holdings Over Time
                                             1978    1985     1995       2005    2008       2010
Amount Outstanding                      $1,169.4 $2,312.3 $4,602.7 $11,942.2 $14,619.0 $14,020.1
($ in billions)


Percentage Held
Thrift institutions                         45.1%   33.1%    13.0%      9.6%     5.9%       4.4%
Commercial banks                             18.3    18.6      23.7      24.8   26.3%     26.4%
Insurance companies and pension funds        10.1      8.8      5.3       2.6    2.5%       2.4%
U.S. government                               2.4      2.3      1.3       0.7    0.7%       0.8%
Government agencies (GSEs)                    6.2      5.9      5.4       4.0    4.8%     35.9%
Mortgage pools, govt. agency                  6.0    16.0      34.1      30.8   33.9%       7.6%
Mortgage pools, private                 —              0.6      6.4      18.0   17.7%     14.5%
Households                                    8.7      5.4      2.5       1.5    0.8%       0.7%
State and local governments                   1.4      3.2      2.5       1.2    1.2%       1.3%
REITs                                         0.5      0.3      0.3       1.4    0.5%       0.4%
Credit unions                                 0.3      0.5      1.4       2.1    2.2%       2.3%
Finance companies                       —              1.2      1.6       2.4    3.1%       2.6%
Other                                         1.0      4.1      2.5       0.9    0.6%       0.5%



                                                                      Mortgage Markets-24
Mortgage Markets-25
Mortgage Markets-26
Risks of Investing in Mortgages

 Credit Risk
 Marketability Risk
 Price Risk
 Prepayment (or cash flow uncertainty) risk




                                  Mortgage Markets-27
Prepayment Risk and the
Price/Yield Relationship for
Mortgages

Price




               Yield

                        Mortgage Markets-28
Refinancing and Mortgage Rates




                       Mortgage Markets-29
Mortgage-Backed Securities --
One way to develop a secondary market
for mortgages.

 Mortgage pass-through securities pass through
 payments of principal and interest on pools of
 mortgages to holder of the securities.
 Other Mortgage backed securities use pools of
 mortgages as collateral for debt securities.




                                  Mortgage Markets-30
Types of Pass-Through
Securities
 Ginnie Mae Pass-Throughs - pools of
 government insured mortgages.
 Freddie Mac Participation Certification - pools of
 conventional mortgages.
 Freddie Mac Guaranteed Mortgage Certificates -
 promises regular repayment of principal and
 interest.




                                    Mortgage Markets-31
Types of Pass-Through
Securities (concluded)
 Fannie Mae pass-throughs - pools of
 conventional or insured mortgages.
 Privately issued pass-throughs (PIP).




                                  Mortgage Markets-32
Other Mortgage-backed Securities

 Unit investment trusts -- Mortgage pools
 assembled by investment bankers in unit "trusts."
  Claims on trust is sold to investor.
 Mortgage-backed mutual funds -- offer GNMA
 insurance but at yields higher than treasuries.
 FHLMC, FNMA, and private mortgage-backed
 debt.
 State/local government revenues bonds -- type of
 muni, tax-free bond.


                                  Mortgage Markets-33
Derivative Mortgage Securities

 Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) --
 fixed maturity date and interest payments similar
 to bonds.
 REMICS -- real estate mortgage investment
 conduit; Investor pays taxes. Type of CMO.




                                   Mortgage Markets-34
Derivative Mortgage Securities

 Floating rate CMOs




 Inverse floating rate CMOs




                              Mortgage Markets-35
Derivative Mortgage Securities
(continued)
 Stripped MBSs
  – IO Strips




  – PO Strips




                       Mortgage Markets-36
Advantages of Mortgage-backed
Securities over Individual
Mortgages
 Issued in standardized denominations and are
 negotiable.
 Issued or backed by quality borrowers.
 Usually insured and highly collateralized.
 Repayment schedules vary, but many are similar
 to other bonds.




                                 Mortgage Markets-37

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421 mortmkts 2012 set 5

  • 1. MORTGAGE MARKETS Finance 421 Mortgage Markets-1
  • 2. The Unique Nature of Mortgage Markets Mortgage loans are secured by the pledge of real property as collateral. Mortgage loans are made for varied amounts - no standard denomination. Issuers of mortgages are usually small family or business entities. Weak Secondary Market for Original Mortgages – Little standardization of contracts and terms. – Traditionally issued and held by lender. Relatively strong secondary for mortgage-backed securities Mortgage markets are highly regulated and supported by federal government policies. Mortgage Markets-2
  • 3. Standard Fixed-Rate Mortgage (FRM) Amortized loan with periodic payments that exceed the interest due. Payment in excess of interest is credited toward repayment of the principal. Interest is usually computed on the declining balance. The mortgage is a lien on the property used as collateral for the loan. If the contract is broken, the lender may use the property to pay the loan. When mortgage is fully paid, the lien is removed and the borrower obtains a clear title to the property. Mortgage Markets-3
  • 4. FRM Balance and Payments Principal and interest Payments on a 9%, 15- year, $100,000 mortgage with payments of $1,015 per month $1,200 $1,000 $800 Payment Interest Payment $600 Principal Payment $400 $200 $0 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 Month Mortgage Markets-4
  • 5. FRM Balance and Payments (concluded) Principal and interest Payments on a 9%, 30- year, $100,000 mortgage with payments of $805 per month $900.00 $800.00 $700.00 $600.00 Payment $500.00 Interest Payment $400.00 Principal Payment $300.00 $200.00 $100.00 $0.00 0 36 72 108 144 180 216 252 288 324 Month Mortgage Markets-5
  • 6. Conventional and Insured Mortgages Conventional mortgages represent lending/borrowing in the private markets. Insured and/or guaranteed mortgages are supported by federal and state agencies. – Federal Housing Administration (FHA). – Veterans Administration (VA). – Downpayment and rates may be lower. Mortgage Markets-6
  • 7. Private Mortgage Insurance Conventional mortgage borrowers with low downpayments must usually buy private mortgage insurance (PMI). PMI premiums are added to mortgage payments until the value of the mortgage is less than 75% of the value of the house. Mortgage Markets-7
  • 8. Private Mortgage Insurance Uninsured conventional Privately Insured mortgage conventional mortgage $12,500 down $25,000 down Equity payment Equity payment Insured Risk $12,500 mortgage insurance Uninsured $100,000 Uninsured $112,500 Mortgage mortgage at Mortgage mortgage at 10% APR. 10% plus insurance premium = 10¼ to 10½% APR on $112,500 balance Mortgage Markets-8
  • 9. Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) Fixed-rate mortgages are not attractive to lenders in high inflation periods. With adjustable rate contracts, borrowers' costs vary with inflation and interest rate levels. Lenders shift interest rate risk to the borrower. Caps on ARM interest rates limit interest rate risk to borrowers. – Capped ARMs may have a “payment cap”, “rate cap”, or both. – Payment caps limit the maximum amount the payment can go up by in any year and over the life of the loan. – Interest rate caps or rate caps limit the size of the increase in the loan rate in any year and over the loan’s life. Typically, the annual cap is 1-2%, and the lifetime cap is 5%. Mortgage Markets-9
  • 10. Methods of Adjustment for ARMs Rate may vary in a prescribed range (caps) or without limit. Payments, maturity, or principal may vary. Rates may vary based on a previously determined interest rate index or the cost of the funds of the lender. The market prices (difference between fixed and variable rates) the extent of interest rate risk (impact of varying interest rates) assumed by borrower and lender. Common rate indices include Treasury rates, fixed rate mortgage indices, prime rate, and the LIBOR rate. Mortgage Markets-10
  • 11. Fixed and Adjustable Mortgage Rates Mortgage Markets-11
  • 12. Other Mortgage Instruments Balloon Payment Mortgages – Traditional loan where interest is paid until a time when the principal was due. – Terms can be 3, 5 or 7 years. – Loan is amortized over 15 or 30 year period so that monthly payments are no different than a FRM of equal maturity. – Rate is fixed over the contract term. – Popular with borrowers who may either sell or refinance prior to maturity. Rollover Mortgage (ROMs) – Refinanced at new rate every few years. – Adjustment period is longer than traditional ARMs. – Payment is fixed Mortgage Markets-12
  • 13. Other Mortgage Instruments (continued) Renegotiated Rate Mortgages (RRMs) – Loan terms renegotiated periodically at terms prevailing in the market. – Adjustment period is longer than traditional ARMs. – Payment is fixed. Interest Only Mortgages – Low payments in initial years (10 to 15 years) – only includes interest on borrowed amount. – After initial period, payments increase such that entire loan amount is amortized by the end of 30 years. – Borrower pays interest for a considerable period on the entire loan balance, but avoids having to pay down balance in initial years. Mortgage Markets-13
  • 14. Other Mortgage Instruments (continued) Construction-to Permanent Mortgages – Bridge financing is provided by lender over the time frame required by the borrower to purchase land and construct the house. – Only interest payment is made until construction is completed. – Loan is financed in increments as construction payments have to be made. – On completion of the construction, loan balance is rolled over into the type of mortgage contract desired by borrower. Mortgage Markets-14
  • 15. Other Mortgage Instruments (continued) Reverse Annuity Mortgages (RAMs) – RAMs allow homeowners to borrow against the equity on their homes at low rates. – Typically obtained by older people whose home loans have been paid off, but can use income of the real estate investment they own. – Typical term is no more than 20 years and could be for borrower’s lifetime as an annuity. – Homeowners’ equity declines by amount borrowed. Mortgage Markets-15
  • 16. Other Mortgage Instruments (continued) Second Mortgage - extended at time of purchase or later as equity is borrowed from property. Home equity lines of credit became popular after the 1986 federal tax law. Home equity loans and lines of credit allow home owners to borrow against the equity built up in their homes because of paying down the loan and/or because of the appreciation of the property. Mortgage Markets-16
  • 17. What Does it Take to Buy a Home? Several factors influence a home buyer’s ability to secure a mortgage loans. – Borrower Income from all sources gives the lender an idea of the ability of the borrower to meet the monthly mortgage commitment. – Down Payment refers to the amount of cash the borrower can contribute towards the cost of the house as their equity. – Mortgage Insurance is necessary for borrowers who are unable to come up with a 20 percent down payment. Mortgage Markets-17
  • 18. Payment to Income Ratio Examples 30-year Fixed Rate (5%) Annual Gross 28% of Mortgage 36% of income monthly Qualification monthly $20,000 $467 $59,985 $600 $30,000 $700 $89,913 $900 $40,000 $933 $119,841 $1,200 $50,000 $1,167 $149,897 $1,500 $60,000 $1,400 $179,826 $1,800 $80,000 $1,867 $239,810 $2,400 $100,000 $2,333 $299,667 $3,000 $150,000 $3,500 $449,564 $4,500 Mortgage Markets-18
  • 19. Mortgage Origination The original lender in a mortgage is called the mortgage originator. They generate income in one or more of the following ways: – They charge an origination fee – They may sell the mortgage – They may service the loan for the eventual owners of the loan in exchange for a servicing fee – They may sell the servicing of the mortgage to another party. – They may hold the mortgage in their investment portfolio. Mortgage Markets-19
  • 20. The Mortgage Origination Process A potential homeowner applies for a loan from a mortgage originator. He/she specifies: – type of mortgage (FRM,ARM,etc.) – when the interest rate is set The mortgage originator then performs a credit evaluation of the applicant Mortgage Markets-20
  • 21. The Mortgage Origination Process (continued) If the lender decides to lend the funds, it sends a commitment letter to the applicant, and the applicant pays a commitment fee. If the mortgage originator intends to sell the mortgage, it may obtain a commitment from the potential buyer. At the closing date, if the borrower does not back out, the loan is made. If the borrower backs out, he loses the commitment fee. Mortgage Markets-21
  • 22. Pipeline Risk is the risk associated with mortgage origination – Price risk – Fallout risk Mortgage Markets-22
  • 23. Hedging Pipeline Risk Obtain a commitment from a conduit to buy the mortgage Obtain an agreement for the optional delivery of the mortgage Mortgage Markets-23
  • 24. Mortgage Holdings Over Time 1978 1985 1995 2005 2008 2010 Amount Outstanding $1,169.4 $2,312.3 $4,602.7 $11,942.2 $14,619.0 $14,020.1 ($ in billions) Percentage Held Thrift institutions 45.1% 33.1% 13.0% 9.6% 5.9% 4.4% Commercial banks 18.3 18.6 23.7 24.8 26.3% 26.4% Insurance companies and pension funds 10.1 8.8 5.3 2.6 2.5% 2.4% U.S. government 2.4 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.7% 0.8% Government agencies (GSEs) 6.2 5.9 5.4 4.0 4.8% 35.9% Mortgage pools, govt. agency 6.0 16.0 34.1 30.8 33.9% 7.6% Mortgage pools, private — 0.6 6.4 18.0 17.7% 14.5% Households 8.7 5.4 2.5 1.5 0.8% 0.7% State and local governments 1.4 3.2 2.5 1.2 1.2% 1.3% REITs 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.5% 0.4% Credit unions 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.2% 2.3% Finance companies — 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.1% 2.6% Other 1.0 4.1 2.5 0.9 0.6% 0.5% Mortgage Markets-24
  • 27. Risks of Investing in Mortgages Credit Risk Marketability Risk Price Risk Prepayment (or cash flow uncertainty) risk Mortgage Markets-27
  • 28. Prepayment Risk and the Price/Yield Relationship for Mortgages Price Yield Mortgage Markets-28
  • 29. Refinancing and Mortgage Rates Mortgage Markets-29
  • 30. Mortgage-Backed Securities -- One way to develop a secondary market for mortgages. Mortgage pass-through securities pass through payments of principal and interest on pools of mortgages to holder of the securities. Other Mortgage backed securities use pools of mortgages as collateral for debt securities. Mortgage Markets-30
  • 31. Types of Pass-Through Securities Ginnie Mae Pass-Throughs - pools of government insured mortgages. Freddie Mac Participation Certification - pools of conventional mortgages. Freddie Mac Guaranteed Mortgage Certificates - promises regular repayment of principal and interest. Mortgage Markets-31
  • 32. Types of Pass-Through Securities (concluded) Fannie Mae pass-throughs - pools of conventional or insured mortgages. Privately issued pass-throughs (PIP). Mortgage Markets-32
  • 33. Other Mortgage-backed Securities Unit investment trusts -- Mortgage pools assembled by investment bankers in unit "trusts." Claims on trust is sold to investor. Mortgage-backed mutual funds -- offer GNMA insurance but at yields higher than treasuries. FHLMC, FNMA, and private mortgage-backed debt. State/local government revenues bonds -- type of muni, tax-free bond. Mortgage Markets-33
  • 34. Derivative Mortgage Securities Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) -- fixed maturity date and interest payments similar to bonds. REMICS -- real estate mortgage investment conduit; Investor pays taxes. Type of CMO. Mortgage Markets-34
  • 35. Derivative Mortgage Securities Floating rate CMOs Inverse floating rate CMOs Mortgage Markets-35
  • 36. Derivative Mortgage Securities (continued) Stripped MBSs – IO Strips – PO Strips Mortgage Markets-36
  • 37. Advantages of Mortgage-backed Securities over Individual Mortgages Issued in standardized denominations and are negotiable. Issued or backed by quality borrowers. Usually insured and highly collateralized. Repayment schedules vary, but many are similar to other bonds. Mortgage Markets-37