Technology's Failure: Four Futures Where It's Gone Terribly Wrong(or mostly wrong)Peter BG Shoemaker, Pinyon PartnersThe New Media Consortium2009 Symposium for the FutureOctober 28, 2009

Scenario 1: Doppelganger© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Doppelganger trendsMaturing virtual learning spaces; economic disparity between regions; continuing and deepening globalization; growing importance of China/India/developing world;continuing and increasingly competitiveness for postsecondary educational credentials; climate warming and economic vitalization. © 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Scenario 2: Stopgap© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Stopgap trendsAging population in the West; US just barely holding steady in new births; social safety net funding insufficient; career turnover; constant economic requirement for new skills and education; elders aging into complete self-sufficiency (and comfort) with technology and Internet; nature of jobs changing, stressing mental over physical labor.© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Scenario 3: Unanimity© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Unanimity trendsInformation/data/connection glut; Social media continues its domination (along with its accompanying discontents); collaborative innovation growing in popularity; social network attacks; social networks influencing physiological processes; Western preoccupation with terror and its definition (and identification)© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Scenario 4: Polis© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Polis trendsIncreasing velocity of urbanization; maturation of customization and personalization technologies; digitalization of all published works; changing tensions between macroeconomic actors (state and federal govt; regions and nations; country and city); increasingly pervasive efforts to evaluate educational ROI.© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLC

Commentary or discussion:© 2009 Pinyon Partners, LLCpshoemaker@pinyonpartners.com