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Twitter Libya

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  • Unfortunately on many topics it is no more possible to evaluate the trend and sentiments of an international political topic, the social medias are now manipulated by governments http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2011/mar/17/us-spy-operation-social-networks I have seen this system in action for the first time with the Libyan war.
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Transcript

  • 1. Can Twitter be used to evaluate the Trend and Sentiment of an international political topic? Andrew T. Allen
  • 2. Civil War in Libya
    • International topic
    • #Libya on Twitter
    • UN Security Council Resolution 1973
    • Approved March 17, 2011
    • Many countries participating in no-fly zone and other measures
  • 3. Participating Countries in UNSC Resolution 1973 In Green: Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Denmark, France, Greece, Italy, Jordan, Netherlands, Norway, Qatar, Spain, Sweden, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States Libya In Orange
  • 4. Methodology
    • Examine Twitter Trend for #Libya for each participating country
    • Examine Sentiment toward #Libya for each participating country
    • Libya's Twitter left out – Radian 6 finds no Tweets in that region.
  • 5. Methodology pt. 2
    • Time period:
      • March 17, 2011
        • (the day Resolution 1973 was approved
      • To April 16, 2011 – 30 days (a month) later
    • Widgets used:
      • Tweet Volume Trend
        • Basic
        • Sentiment
        • Language
        • Region
      • River of News
  • 6.  
  • 7.
    • United States (Purple) has the most tweets by far
      • Over 90k tweets at highest peak
    • United Kingdoms (Red) follows after
      • Roughly 25k tweets at highest peak
    • Other countries < 5000 tweets at highest peaks
    Twitter Trend by Region
  • 8.
      • Compare the Trend
      • Very Similar
      • Individual Peaks
      • per Country
      • What are these peaks?
  • 9. Peaks
    • Show when a new source of information appears
      • For instance, a presidential speech on the topic
  • 10. Twitter Trends: Sentiment
    • Belgium, France, Qatar
    • Varies from country to country
    • Most posts 'neutral'
    • Neutral trend looks much the same as the normal trend
    • Sentiment mostly negative
  • 11. Problems with Sentiment in Twitter
    • Top: Positive Bottom: Negative
    • Hard to judge sentiment in politics
    • Roughly same topic – critiquing Obama's speech
    • Yet there are two different sentiments for the tweet
  • 12. Sentiment cont'd
    • In the case of politics:
      • Sentiment better for seeing where people disagree
      • Check out peaks in Sentiment
      • Find that you have a positive peak and a negative peak at the same time
      • Makes things hard to judge
  • 13. Conclusion
    • Can Twitter be used to evaluate the Trend and Sentiment of an international political topic?
    • Trend: Yes. Twitter works excellently at following where, how, and what people talk about on the topic of #Libya.
    • Sentiment: Tricky. Can have positive and negative sentiment on the same subject. Follow the peaks and use the River of News widget to see what the peaks are talking about. Can definitely be used to see where there's strong disagreement on a subject.
  • 14. Questions?