Probayes
                              Mastering Uncertainty                                                      Behaviou...
Company
                                                   Founded in 2003 – Based in France (Grenoble)                   ...
Mission
statement

                    Develop
best
of
breed
                    






computed‐aided
decision
making
sol...
Our
methodology
                       Classify
Behaviors
                                 Right
/
wrong
gesture,
turn
leL...
A
unique
approach
                         Mixing
                                        Dealing
with
Uncertainty
and
In...
Our
team
                   A
team
of
15
double
skilled
engineers
                                                        ...
Our
offer
                                                         Product
                                                ...
Target
markets
              Finance

                                     Opera:onal
Risk
                              ...
References
              Finance

              Process
Management
(BPM)
              Business
Intelligence
             ...
Our
products
                 ProBT
                   Probabilis:c
&
Predic:ve
analy:cs
soLware
tool
                  ...
Examples
of
applica;ons

              Fraud
Detec;on
                         
Probabilis:c
modeling
of
fraud
behaviors
c...
Examples
of
applica;ons
(2)

                        Churn
Predic;on
                                  
Find
out
customers...
Online
demos
                        Sensor
fusion:
Gesture
Recogni;on
                                  
Capability
of
u...
When
are
we
relevant
?
                                       Big
Data
                                       Extract
pred...
Contacts
                                                commercial_contact@probayes.com
                                 ...
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General presentation of Probayes

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General presentation of Probayes, its products, its profesionnal services.
Probayes develops best of breed decision making solution based on predictive behavior analytics.

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General presentation of Probayes

  1. 1. Probayes
 Mastering Uncertainty Behaviour Analytics
& Prediction December 2010Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 1
  2. 2. Company
 Founded in 2003 – Based in France (Grenoble) Spin-off of a well-known lab (INRIA/CNRS) Office: France, Mexico 22
Employees
 80%
PhD
 Privately
held
by
founders
&
employees
 $ Profitable
since
incep:on
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 2
  3. 3. Mission
statement

 Develop
best
of
breed
 






computed‐aided
decision
making
solu;on
 


based
upon
 
 
predic;ve
behavior
analy;cs
 Behavior
of
:


 
Objects
   
Process
   
People
(Consumers)
   PREDICT
BEHAVIOR
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 3
  4. 4. Our
methodology
 Classify
Behaviors
 Right
/
wrong
gesture,
turn
leL
/
right
 
 
Learn
Behaviors
 
 







Build
models
or
learn
from
data
 
 
 
Recognize
Behaviors
 
 
 







Compute
probability
to
be
in
a
given
behavior
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 

 THEN,
PREDICT

NEXT
BEHAVIORS
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 4
  5. 5. A
unique
approach
 Mixing
   Dealing
with
Uncertainty
and
Incompleteness
   Modeling
knowledge
(formal
or
uncertain)
   Mining
data
 Using
unique
and
powerful
mathema:cal
tools
 (Bayesian
network,
mul:‐model,
Markov
chain,
..)
 KNOWLEDGE
&
DATA

=>

RELEVANCE
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 5
  6. 6. Our
team
 A
team
of
15
double
skilled
engineers
 Mathema:cs

 SoLware
engineers
 + Astrophysics
 Robo:cs
 …
 Strong
project
management
exper;se
:

   Work
with
F500
companies
(Areva,
Toyota,…)
   Know
how
to
deal
with
confiden:ality
and
Intellectual
Property

 DOUBLE
SKILLED
ENGINEERSCopyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 6
  7. 7. Our
offer
 Product
 (ProBT,
BofSDK,
RecoSDK)
 +
 Professional
Services
 (Modeling,
Data
Mining,
Machine
Learning)
 =
 
Solving
efficiently
complex
problems

 






(behavior
detec;on,
sensor
fusion,
predic;on,
…)
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 7
  8. 8. Target
markets
 Finance

   Opera:onal
Risk
   Fraud
&
Money
laundering
detec:on

 Process
Management
(BPM)
   Industrial
process
(produc:on,
maintenance)
   Automo:ve,
Health,
Energy,
Security
 Business
Intelligence
   Helpdesk,
Call‐center
   Consumer
behavior
(web,
energy,
wholesale)
 Defense
&
Automo;ve
   Data
&
sensor
fusion
   Classifica:on
&
Behavior
Recogni:on
   Trajectory
predic:on
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 8
  9. 9. References
 Finance

 Process
Management
(BPM)
 Business
Intelligence
 Defense
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 9
  10. 10. Our
products
 ProBT
   Probabilis:c
&
Predic:ve
analy:cs
soLware
tool
   10
years
of
R&D
 
 
 
 
‐

Score
15
millions
bank
transac;ons
a
day

‐
 RecoSDK
   Processing,
Analysis,
Classifica:on
of
:me
series
in
real
;me
   Supervised
Learning,
Hidden
Markov
Models
 
 
 
 
‐

Gesture
Recogni;on
using
any
sensor
‐
 BOF
SDK
   Probabilis:c
grid
to
merge
sensors
data
   1
patent
 
 
 
 
‐

Reliable
Mul;
sensors
fusion
‐
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 10
  11. 11. Examples
of
applica;ons

 Fraud
Detec;on
 
Probabilis:c
modeling
of
fraud
behaviors
coupled
with
self
learning
capabili:es
   so
 the
 system
 adapts
 and
 adjusts
 automa:cally
 to
 new
 fraud
 pacerns,
 it
 can
 assign
a
probability
of
fraud
for
all
transac:ons.
 
 
 
Reduce
fraud
$$$
 Energy
consump;on
predic;on
 
Predict
energy
consump:on
of
complex
systems
such
as
district
hea:ng,
water
   boilers,
engines,
and
help
op:mize
energy
by
analyzing
user
behavior.
 
 
 
Save
energy,
improve
comfort
 Predic;ve
maintenance
 
 Modeling
 complex
 compound
 equipments
 such
 as
 mechatronics
 solu:ons,
 and
   predict
the
future
trend
of
equipment
condi:on.

 
 
 
An;cipate
breakdown
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 11
  12. 12. Examples
of
applica;ons
(2)

 Churn
Predic;on
 
Find
out
customers
who
are

likely
to
leave
a
mobile
operator
within
   the
next
coming
weeks.

 
 
Improve
ROI
&
ARPU
 Self‐adjus;ng
se^ng
 
Based
on
behavior
analy:cs,
an:cipate
the
future
needs
and
then
make
   the
proper
sedng
most
likely
to
be
used.

 
 
Improve
&
adjust
user
experience
to
the
User
 Gesture
recogni;on
 
Recognize
the
type
of
gesture
a
person
is
making
as
soon
as
possible,
   and
of
course
before
the
gesture
is
fully
completed.
Use
any
sensors.
 
 
Use
gestures
as
commands
 h_p://www.my‐smart‐phone.com/move‐n‐play/videos/
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 12
  13. 13. Online
demos
 Sensor
fusion:
Gesture
Recogni;on
  
Capability
of
using
different
sensors
(video,
accelerometer,
…)
  
Learn
and
recognize
gestures
  
Behavior
detec:on
(panic,
faint,
…)
 
h_p://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z50IrzkUY08
 Collision
detec;on
system
  
Fusion
informa:on
from
different
sensors
(video,
laser)

  
Track
objects,
quickly
predict
collision
risk
for
the
next
10
seconds
  
Keep
into
account
both
objects
&
drivers/users
behavior
 
h_p://www.probayes.com/IMG/mov/BOF.mov
 Keystroke
dynamic
  
Recognize
a
person
using
the
way
she
uses
a
keyboard
  
So
you
need
user/password,
and
the
way
to
key
in
the
informa:on
  
Improve
iden:fica:on
on
websites,
systems
&
applica:ons.
 
h_p://www.keystroke‐dynamics.com
(user:
web,
password:
web4you)
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 13
  14. 14. When
are
we
relevant
?
 Big
Data
 Extract
predic:ve
models
from
data
 Classify
&
Segment
data
 Classify
&
Organize
 Uncertainty
 Missing
data,
hidden
variables
involved
in
a
process
but
impossible
to
read
 Sensor
with
poor
precision,
or
sensor
degrading
over:me
 Incomplete
models
with
no
data,
few
or
a
lot 
 Inverse
problem
 ?
 ?
 Many
prac:cal
problems
are
called
”inverse"
in
the
sense
that
it
is
easy
to
 ?
 know
the
result
of
an
ac:on,
but
very
difficult
to
know
the
ac:ons
leading
to
 desired
result.
 PREDICT
TO
BETTER
DECIDE
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 14
  15. 15. Contacts
 commercial_contact@probayes.com
 Probayes
 345
rue
Lavoisier
 38
330
Montbonnot
 France
 www.probayes.com
 +33
476
426
413
 THANK
YOU
Copyright © 2010 Probayes All Rights Reserved 15
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