Personal robot industry
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Personal robot industry



Personal robot industry prediction

Personal robot industry prediction



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    Personal robot industry Personal robot industry Presentation Transcript

    • Personal Robot Industry? Rev. 3.0 Monday, April 05, 2010
    • About the author
      • Author: LCC
      • Blog
        • (mainly in Chinese)
      • MSN: [email_address]
      • Email: pekinlcc
    • Where the idea came from
      • When I first saw ‘ PR2 robot folding towels ’, I was so interested in it.
      • Then I read ‘ CNET Crave: Towel-folding robot won't do the dishes ’, it says: ‘ Still, the experiment shows that general-purpose humanoid robots, with all-purpose manipulators, can be successfully programmed for practical tasks around the home.’
      • So I wander: how can we have PR2 do different things without changing its program each time? Then the idea appears and I want it to be shared to you.
    • About PR2
      • The PR2 is an open and robust robot platform designed from the ground up for software developers and researchers. By eliminating the need to first build a hardware system and then re-implement code, the PR2 allows software experts to immediately create new functionality on the robot.
      • The PR2 robot is fully integrated with ROS , providing the power of all the ROS developer tools and out-of-the-box functionality for everything from full system calibration to manipulation.
      • Please join the pr2-announce mailing list for updates.
      • Quote:
    • From PC to PR
      • To some extent, the flourish of the PC industry is a result of clear division of labor. Software companies like Microsoft and hardware companies like HP cooperate together and carry the industry and technologies forward.
    • Analogy
      • PC
      • Hardware platform: Computer
      • Software platform: Windows
      • Software: Firefox can surfing the internet, MSN can keep friends connected
      • PR
      • Hardware platform: PR2 etc.
      • Software platform: ??????????
      • Software: Designed by researchers for a special mission
    • Put all the algorithms for different tasks in the cloud server
      • If PR2 become the industry standard hardware platform for PR, how can we have a PR2 do different things without change the programs inside it?
      • We can put all the algorithms for different tasks in a cloud server. Then each time a PR2 want to do a new task, it just connect to the server and get the right algorithm it want. See the flow chart.
    • Cloud server Fold towers Wash dishes Close windows PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 ……
    • Why not setup a company just run the cloud server?
      • Now, the cloud server’s role in PR industry just like the Windows in the PC industry.
      • Company A holds a cloud server, and most algorithm in this server are for housework. These algorithms are provided by programmers all around the world.
      • There can be many companies providing all kinds of algorithms that can help the PR2 execute all kinds tasks.
    • Company A Cloud server A Housework $200/Year Company B Cloud server B Assembly line work $3000/Year Company ……… PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2
    • A consumer’s shopping process
    • Change the brain of your robot whenever you want
      • The cloud server are paid by days or years, the consumers can change the brain of their robot (cloud server) anytime they want.
    • Benefits of the idea
    • 1: the PR2 can be more cheaper
      • In this idea, the tasks are computed on the cloud in fact. So the PR2 don't have to be equipped a very strong CPU. The local CPU only have to collect the information on a task scene and control the PR2 to execute the commands sent from the server.
      • Thus, the PR2 can be made smaller and cheaper.
    • 2: Faster computing
      • Absolutely, the cloud server’s performance on computing must be far better than a local computing system.
      • A question which the local CPU needs to compute for days can be handled in seconds.
    • 3: Clear division of labor
      • Clear division of labor may cause a series of revolutions in the PR industry.
      • The hardware manufacturers produce PR2 just as the industry hardware. And the cloud brain companies can focus on developing new and better algorithms.
    • 4: Unified Control
      • If one day, the robots really rebel, we just need to damage the cloud servers….
      • And the robot network can be controlled just as a broadcasting system.
    • 5: Many other advantages just like Cloud Computing
      • Computing resources can be made well use of.
      • The computing resources can be paid by need.
      • …………………… ..
    • Some obstacles
    • Safety
      • Yes, safety is absolutely the most significant issue about this idea. How to keep the PR2’s connection to the server safety?
      • However, we cannot give up internet because of viruses.
    • Bandwidth
      • Bandwidth will be a scarce resource in the near future.
    • In summary
    • PR2 PR2 PR3 PR4 Wireless connection Cloud system Local robot Server A Server B
    • Industrial chain
      • PR industry
      • Algorithm operators
      • Hardware manufacturers
      • Customers
      • Wireless industry
      • Operators: Android Market
      • Hardware: Droid or HTC G1
      • Customers
      • Local robot
        • Basic control module
        • Information collection module: eyes etc.
        • Etc.
      • Cloud system
        • Super brain shared by thousands of robots
    • To be completed
      • Rev. 2.0