School Bell Signals
In Missouri
New Polling on
K-12 Education & School Choice
Expanded Opportunities Discussion
April 25, ...
About the Friedman Foundation
edchoice.org
• Established in 1996 by Milton & Rose Friedman
• 501(c)(3) / Nonpartisan / Non...
Survey Profile
Data Collection: Braun Research, Inc. (BRI)
Interview Dates: February 27 to March 11, 2014
Interview Method...
Observing the following metrics…
~ Levels
~ Margins (i.e. differences, gaps)
~ Intensities (strong positive – strong negat...
Topics
• Direction of K-12 education
• Rating the state’s public school system
• Grade local schools (public, private, cha...
Missouri’s K-12 Profile
Average State Rank on NAEP 28
High School Graduation Rate 83.7%
# Regular Public School Students 9...
What do voters say about the
state of K-12 education in Missouri?
How do voters grade schools in their
communities?
What type of school is first preference?
BETTER EDUCATION / QUALITY 71
INDIVIDUAL ATTENTION / ONE-ON-ONE 62
ACADEMICS / CURRICULUM 59
BETTER TEACHERS / TEACHERS / ...
What do voters say
about tax-credit scholarships?
Favor Oppose Margin Intensity
% % N=
ALL RESPONDENTS 67 27 + 40 + 16 660
St. Louis Metro 64 32 + 32 + 8 227
Kansas City Me...
What do voters say about
interdistrict student transfers?
Levels of Support
67% Tax-Credit Scholarships
64% Charter Schools
62% Vouchers
60% ESAs
60% Interdistrict Student Transfer...
Takeaways
• Missourians are negative about the quality and
direction of K-12 education in the state
• Major disconnect bet...
Thank You
Missouri K-12 & School Choice Survey
to be publicly released on May 6
Full report and supplemental files will be...
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
Missouri Poll Slides (2014)
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Missouri Poll Slides (2014)

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Missouri Poll Slides (2014)

  1. 1. School Bell Signals In Missouri New Polling on K-12 Education & School Choice Expanded Opportunities Discussion April 25, 2014 Paul DiPerna paul@edchoice.org
  2. 2. About the Friedman Foundation edchoice.org • Established in 1996 by Milton & Rose Friedman • 501(c)(3) / Nonpartisan / Nonprofit • Based Indianapolis, IN • Activities and Services in 30+ states • What do we do? Outreach ~ Education Research ~ Data Analysis Advocacy ~ Marketing
  3. 3. Survey Profile Data Collection: Braun Research, Inc. (BRI) Interview Dates: February 27 to March 11, 2014 Interview Method: Live Telephone | 70% landline, 30% cell phone Interview Length: 14 minutes (average) Sample Frame: Registered Voters Sampling Method: Dual Frame; Probability Sampling; RDD Population Samples: MISSOURI = 660 St. Louis Metro = 227 Kansas City Metro (including oversample) = 165 Margins of Error: MISSOURI = ± 4.0 percentage points St. Louis Metro = ± 6.5 percentage points Kansas City Metro = ± 7.6 percentage points Response Rates: Landline (LL) = 9.7% Cell Phone = 8.3% Weighting? Yes (Landline/Cell, Age, Race, Ethnicity, Gender, Region) Oversampling? Yes (Kansas City Metro)
  4. 4. Observing the following metrics… ~ Levels ~ Margins (i.e. differences, gaps) ~ Intensities (strong positive – strong negative) ~ Min vs. Max
  5. 5. Topics • Direction of K-12 education • Rating the state’s public school system • Grade local schools (public, private, charter) • Preferred school type, and why • Tax-credit scholarships • Interdistrict student transfers
  6. 6. Missouri’s K-12 Profile Average State Rank on NAEP 28 High School Graduation Rate 83.7% # Regular Public School Students 900,842 # Charter School Students 17,868 # Private School Students 93,066 # Home School Students n/a % Regular Public School Students 89.0% % Charter School Students 1.8% % Private School Students 9.2% # School Districts 522 # Regular Public Schools 2,451 # Charter Schools 38 # Private Schools 565 $ Revenue Per Student $11,069 $ “Total” Per Student Spending $10,963 $ “Current” Per Student Spending $9,461 $ “Instructional” Per Student Spending $5,669
  7. 7. What do voters say about the state of K-12 education in Missouri?
  8. 8. How do voters grade schools in their communities? What type of school is first preference?
  9. 9. BETTER EDUCATION / QUALITY 71 INDIVIDUAL ATTENTION / ONE-ON-ONE 62 ACADEMICS / CURRICULUM 59 BETTER TEACHERS / TEACHERS / TEACHING 57 SOCIALIZATION / PEERS / OTHER KIDS 48 CLASS SIZE / STUDENT-TEACHER RATIO 35 DIVERSITY / VARIETY 32 ENVIRONMENT / CULTURE / COMMUNITY 32 SAFETY / LESS DRUGS, VIOLENCE, BULLYING 27 DISCIPLINE / STRUCTURE 26 Q8. What is the most important characteristic or attribute that would cause you to choose a [INSERT SCHOOL TYPE FROM PREVIOUS QUESTION] for your child? Please use one word, or a very short phrase. Top 10 | Specific impressions offered by respondents in the statewide sample. Numbers represent counts (n), not percentages.
  10. 10. What do voters say about tax-credit scholarships?
  11. 11. Favor Oppose Margin Intensity % % N= ALL RESPONDENTS 67 27 + 40 + 16 660 St. Louis Metro 64 32 + 32 + 8 227 Kansas City Metro 65 29 + 36 + 23 165 School Parent 71 25 + 46 + 21 210 Non-Schooler 66 29 + 37 + 13 437 COMMUNITY Urban 64 33 + 31 + 14 120 Suburban 66 30 + 36 + 15 271 Small Town 76 20 + 56 + 19 123 Rural 63 25 + 38 + 13 136 PARTY ID Democrat 63 32 + 31 + 8 181 Republican 76 19 + 57 + 25 177 Independent 64 31 + 33 + 14 194 AGE GROUP 18 to 34 80 17 + 63 + 21 151 35 to 54 66 28 + 38 + 18 240 55 & Over 58 35 + 23 + 17 251 HOUSEHOLD INCOME Under $40,000 70 21 + 49 + 15 239 $40,000 to $79,999 67 29 + 38 + 18 233 $80,000 & Over 62 35 + 27 + 6 133 RACE/ETHNICITY Black 70 26 + 44 + 27 49 Hispanic 80 20 + 60 + 36 16 White 66 28 + 38 + 12 546
  12. 12. What do voters say about interdistrict student transfers?
  13. 13. Levels of Support 67% Tax-Credit Scholarships 64% Charter Schools 62% Vouchers 60% ESAs 60% Interdistrict Student Transfers Margins (favor vs. oppose) +40 Charter Schools +40 Tax-Credit Scholarships +30 Interdistrict Student Transfers +30 Vouchers +28 ESAs
  14. 14. Takeaways • Missourians are negative about the quality and direction of K-12 education in the state • Major disconnect between survey preferences and actual school enrollment patterns • Private schools are viewed very positively • Broad support for school choice policies • Right now voters are most likely to support tax- credit scholarships and charter schools
  15. 15. Thank You Missouri K-12 & School Choice Survey to be publicly released on May 6 Full report and supplemental files will be available on edchoice.org and showmeinstitute.org Paul DiPerna paul@edchoice.org
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