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Canada Economy Overview
for March 2015 – Trends and
Policies Analysis
By: Paul Young, CPA, CGA
Automotive Sector
Automotive Production
Canada Auto Sales
Scotia Bank
Automotive
International Trade
Canada Exports and Imports
Canada Trade
Canada Trade
Canada Exports
Canada Exports
Canada Exports
Exports and Imports
Trade Analysis
Trade by Sector for Canada
Trade by Sector for Canada
Trade by Sector for Canada
Comments Trade/February 2015
Comments Trade/February 2015
Comments Trade/February 2015
Canadian Manufacturing Sales
Canadian Manufacturing
Canada MFG Sales
Canadian Manufacturing Analysis
Canadian Manufacturing Analysis
MFG Sales - Canada
Saskatchewan
Aerospace
PMI Index
Freight Index
Housing Starts
Housing Starts
AG Equipment
Electricity Power
Metal Processing Center
Metal Processing Center
Commodity Prices
Commodity Index
Commodity Index
Nickel
Oil Rig Count
USA Oil Production
Machine Tool Orders
Class 8 Truck Sales
Freight loads
Truck Sales
Steel Analysis
Steel Outlook
Green Technology
Copper
Other Provinces
BC
• https://www.visioncritical.com/news-events/vision-critical-bcs-booming-tech
• http://www.labcanada.com/news/27m-supports-clean-tech-projects-in-bc/1
Alberta
• http://
www.globalmeatnews.com/Industry-Markets/Canadian-beef-firm-spends-20
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/telus-plans-4-2b-albert
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/cleantech-plays-ke
/
Saskatchewan
• http://
regina.ctvnews.ca/cn-rail-to-spend-500m-to-improve-feeder-lines-in-western
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/regina-truck-maker
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/big-money-uranium
/
• http://
panow.com:8080/article/508096/carrot-river-sawmill-investment-could-crea
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/sask-steel-pipe-ma
/
Saskatchewan
Manitoba
• http://www.miningweekly.com/article/hudbay-to-expand-manitoba-assets-t
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/supply-chain/harper-government-s
• http://www.newflyer.com/index/news-app/story.187
Ontario
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/hamilton-wastewate
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/edc-finances-190m
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/sofino-foods-refurb
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/supply-chain/pele-mountain-resou
/
Ring of Fire
Quebec
• http://
www.cascades.com/en/media-centre/press-release-and-news/press-release
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/financing/quebec-to-forge-ahead-w
/
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/financing/province-willing-
to-help-keep-manac-operations-in-quebec-146747/
New Brunswick
• http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/saint-john-lands-7-
5m-barge-terminal-1.3023341
• http://www.canplastics.com/packaging/packager-ipl-makes-
technology-expansion-in-new-brunswick-plant/1003434904/
Nova Scotia
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/lockheed-
martin-canada-awarded-170m-naval-defence-supply-contract-
146916/
PEI
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/feds-put-
50m-into-17-km-p-e-i-power-cable-project-146491/
• http://www.foodincanada.com/exporting-and-importing/p-e-i-tops-
1-billion-in-international-exports-130792/
Newfoundland
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/newfoundla
nd-and-labrador-must-boost-innovation-to-compete-in-oil-sector-
says-study-147161/
North
• Diamond Business (http://www.miningweekly.com/article/global-
diamond-jewellery-demand-hits-record-81bn-2015-03-19)
• http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/nunavut-tables-stand-pat-
budget-with-thin-36m-surplus-1.2654587
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/yukon-looks-
to-open-liard-basin-to-fracking-147116/
Economic Trends for Canada
Canada GDP – January 2015
Retail Sales
Retail sales by Province
Retail sales by Segment
Retail Sales
Employment
Currency
Currency
FDI
Corporation
Corporation
US Capital
Corporation
Corporation
Corporation
Corporation
Canada Corporation
Canada Corporation
Canada Corporation
Canada Corporation
Canada Corporation
Global Trends
India
Global Trends
Canada Economic
Government Policies
Taxation
Mexico Climate Change
Farmers Loans
Farmers Loans
US Gas Fracking
Cap and Trade - Ontario
Quebec Taxation
Other Links

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Key industry and market indicators for march 2015 canada and north america

Editor's Notes

  1. 1. Source: Wards Automotive
  2. Source: http://www.desrosiers.ca/pdfs/autowatch.pdf Source: http://driving.ca/chrysler/auto-news/news/canadian-auto-sales-climbed-3-4-per-cent-in-february
  3. Source: http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/bns_auto.pdf
  4. Scotia bank
  5. Source: Stats Canada Exports changed their reporting to breakout key countries in October 2014. Estimated 2015 based on higher US exports (US economy is expanding)
  6. Government of Canada
  7. Government of Canada
  8. EDC
  9. EDC
  10. Canada Manufacturing
  11. BNS Economics
  12. Stats Canada
  13. Stats Canada Energy / Mining sector exports have dropped by $2B Transportation equipment is up by $500M to help soften the blow of mining/refined products
  14. Stats Canada
  15. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?action=show&lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&cid=7BXTT-XXR89-JXS6T&comaction=show
  16. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&comaction=show&cid=HS87P-XD8EV-H8PMB
  17. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&comaction=show&cid=HS87P-XD8EV-H8PMB
  18. Stats Canada
  19. Stats Canada Energy rebounded Transportation sales fell
  20. Stats Canada
  21. TD Bank 1. TD normally is known to be more Liberal friendly with their post. The CEO for TD is doing asset review for LPO
  22. Scotia Bank Economics
  23. http://www.brantfordexpositor.ca/2015/04/15/auto-plant-closures-help-drag-down-canadian-factory-sales
  24. http://gulllakesk.ca/2015/04/16/sask-manufacturing-shipments-reached-1-48b-in-february/
  25. Scotia Bank
  26. http://www.rbc.com/newsroom/_assets-custom/pdf/CA_Manufacturing_ENG_1504_LITE.pdf RBC Canadian Manufacturing PMI™ In association with the Supply Chain Management Association Manufacturing PMI signals slower downturn in business conditions during March Key findings: n Manufacturing PMI picked up slightly from February’s survey-record low... n ...helped by slower declines in output and new orders n Staffing levels decreased for the third month running March data indicated a further downturn in business conditions across the Canadian manufacturing sector, but the rate of contraction moderated from the survey-record low seen in the previous month. Output, new business and employment levels all fell at slower rates than in February. Manufacturers nonetheless signalled a solid reduction in work-in-hand (but not yet completed), and inventory levels were reduced again amid concerns about the outlook for client demand. The headline figure derived from the survey is the RBC Canadian Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™), which is designed to provide timely indications of changes in prevailing business conditions in the Canadian manufacturing sector. PMI readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions, while readings below 50.0 signal deterioration. At 48.9 in March, up fractionally from 48.7 in February, the seasonally adjusted RBC Canadian Manufacturing PMI posted below the neutral 50.0 value for the second month running. This represents the first back-to-back deterioration in overall business conditions in the survey’s four-and-a-half year history. Moreover, the average reading for Q1 as a whole (49.5) is the weakest since the survey began in late-2010. Survey respondents suggested that falling capital spending among clients in the energy sector remained the key factor weighing on new business intakes in March. That said, the latest overall decline in incoming new work was only modest and less marked than that seen in the previous month. Export sales also fell at a slower pace than in February, with some firms commenting on support from exchange rate depreciation and stronger demand from clients in the U.S. A moderate drop in overall new orders resulted in another decrease in manufacturing production in March. Moreover, the latest survey suggested a lack of pressure on operating capacity, as highlighted by a reduction in backlogs of work for the fourth consecutive month. Reduced production schedules and falling workloads contributed to more cautious staff hiring patterns in March. Latest data signalled that payroll numbers decreased for the third month running, although the rate of job shedding moderated from February’s survey-record pace. A number of manufacturers pointed to deliberate stock reduction policies at their plants in response to the uncertain business outlook. Pre-production inventories decreased at the fastest rate since November 2010, while stocks of finished goods were depleted at the most marked pace for just under three years. Volumes of input buying fell for the second month running in March, reflecting efforts to prevent inventory accumulation across the manufacturing sector. This helped alleviate supply chain pressures in March, with the latest lengthening of vendor lead times the least marked since August 2013. Average cost burdens increased at a robust pace in March, which survey respondents overwhelmingly attributed to exchange rate depreciation and a corresponding rise in imported raw material costs. That said, the overall rate of input cost inflation moderated since February, while factory gate charges also rose at a weaker pace. In association
  27. Source: Department of Transport - United States http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/programs/freight_transportation/ Analysis: Rail carloads, rail intermodal, and pipeline grew in January but air freight, trucking and waterborne decreased, resulting in the continuing decline in the overall freight index. Institute for Supply Management data indicated that growth in production, orders, and inventory slowed in January.
  28. CMC and Bureau of Stats
  29. BMO
  30. Source: http://www.aem.org/MarketInfo/Stats/Reports/AgTCR-US/
  31. EIS
  32. http://americanmachinist.com/news/service-centers-shipments-mixed-inventories-rising
  33. http://americanmachinist.com/news/service-centers-shipments-mixed-inventories-rising
  34. BMO Economics
  35. BMO Economics
  36. BMO Economics
  37. Mining News
  38. Baker Hughes
  39. http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/weekly/
  40. http://www.amtonline.org/amt_items/USMTO_Jan15.pdf
  41. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/1/12/Decembersales2ndbestmonthin21stcentury.aspx
  42. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/4/22/Truckloadfreightratesstillclimbing.aspx
  43. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/4/10/MarchNewClass8tractorsalesbestinnineyears.aspx
  44. http://www.worldsteel.org/statistics/crude-steel-production.html
  45. World Steel Organization
  46. Bloomberg and Renewable Energy
  47. Mining weekly
  48. BC has a new carbon tax on Liquefied Natural Gas: http://www.pwc.com/ca/en/tax/budgets/2014/british-columbia-unveils-its-liquefied-natural-gas-tax.jhtml
  49. Saskatchewan Government
  50. Mining Weekly
  51. BNS Economics
  52. Source: Scotia Bank
  53. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/150320/t150320b001-eng.htm
  54. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/150320/t150320b001-eng.htm
  55. CIBC – Economics
  56. Stats Canada
  57. BMO Economics
  58. BMO Economics
  59. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  60. BNS Scotia
  61. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  62. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  63. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  64. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  65. CIBC Economics
  66. CIBC Economics
  67. CIBC Economics
  68. CIBC Economics
  69. CIBC Economics
  70. www.businessstandard. com/article/printerfriendlyversion? article_id=115032000312_1
  71. http://www.rbc.com/economics/economic-reports/pdf/quarterly-economic-update/fcst_mar2015.pdf
  72. 1. New rules proposed for tax avoidance
  73. Renewable.com
  74. Canadian MFG.com
  75. Canadian MFG.com
  76. Industry Week
  77. http://www.eco.on.ca/blog/tag/cap-and-trade/
  78. Canadian Manufacturing