A BRIEF HISTORY OF FORESIGHT / FUTURES António Alvarenga / Paulo Soeiro de Carvalho Lisboa, 2008
RAND   (Delphi,  CIA) Meadows  (1971)   Forrester (MIT) Kahn  (1967) Hudson   Institute  (1961)  Bell, D.,  (1965) Battell...
1940’s   1950’s   1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Berger (1957;1964) Commissariat Général du Plan  (1962) Massé, P.  (195...
1940’s   1950’s   1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Schwartz (1991) Heijden (1996; 2002) Porter (1985) Schoemaker  1993; 19...
1940’s   1950’s   1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Ben Martin (1989; 1995) Ian Miles (SPRU -> PREST) Michael Keenan (PREST...
1940’s   1950’s   1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Wendel Bell (1997) Slaughter Dator Inayatullah Peter Bishop (Houston) F...
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Brief History Of Foresight Futures Alvarenga Carvalho

2,074 views
1,948 views

Published on

Published in: Technology, Business
0 Comments
4 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Views
Total views
2,074
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
64
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
0
Comments
0
Likes
4
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide
  • Brief History Of Foresight Futures Alvarenga Carvalho

    1. 1. A BRIEF HISTORY OF FORESIGHT / FUTURES António Alvarenga / Paulo Soeiro de Carvalho Lisboa, 2008
    2. 2. RAND (Delphi, CIA) Meadows (1971) Forrester (MIT) Kahn (1967) Hudson Institute (1961) Bell, D., (1965) Battelle (IFS) Arlington Helmer/Amara “Institute for the Future” (1968) Ogburn (1929) North Carolina Research Institute (NCRI) (Future Mapping) Stanford Research Institute (SRI) Rhyne Coyle (FAR) Gordon The Futures Group (TIA) Von Kerman (1944) WFSF (1973) Office of Technology Assessment (OTA) (1974) WFS (1966) ORIGINS AND PIONEERS 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000
    3. 3. 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Berger (1957;1964) Commissariat Général du Plan (1962) Massé, P. (1959-1966) Jouvenel, H Futuribles Lesourne, J. Relatório Interfuturs (1979) Godet 1977 1982 (CNAM) 1992 Gonod (1996) Jouvenel, B. (1964) Futuribles (1975) Elf (1964;...) CEPII (1978) France Telecom (1983) DATAR (1963) THE FRENCH SCHOOL - LA PROSPECTIVE
    4. 4. 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Schwartz (1991) Heijden (1996; 2002) Porter (1985) Schoemaker 1993; 1995 Decision Strategies International Wack Shell (1971 – 1981) HBR (1985) Global Business Network GBN (1987) De Geus (1988) Shell (1967-Presente) Hamel (1994) Ansoff (1965) Weick (1995) Mintzberg (1994) Kelly (2001) Christensen (1997) SHELL’S INFLUENCE A FEW STRATEGY AND INNOVATION LANDMARKS
    5. 5. 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Ben Martin (1989; 1995) Ian Miles (SPRU -> PREST) Michael Keenan (PREST) Jantsch (1967) SPRU (Sussex) (1966) C. Freeman (1974) Foresight (DTI) (1994) PM Foresight Unit UK’S FORESIGHT
    6. 6. 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000 Wendel Bell (1997) Slaughter Dator Inayatullah Peter Bishop (Houston) Finland (FFA; Turku University; TEKES; SITRA; NOKIA; ...) FAST (CE) (1979) Cellule de Prospective (CE) (1989) Association of Professional Futurists - APF Shaping Tomorrow Trendwatching.com COST A22 Millennium Project OTHER KEY ACTORS AND NEW INITIATIVES European Futurists Conference Lucerne

    ×