Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdBioFore SustainAgility
Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and hasbeen ranked one of the 20 most influential busine...
3Rapid Growth of Safe, Sustainable,Profitable Businesses
do things you believe in
Most debates aboutfuture are about timingImpact on biofore strategy ifworld changes faster ?
 	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  Related	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  ...
Wild	  Cards:	  Risk	  Management
• Click	  to	  edit	  Master	  text	  styles13
• Click	  to	  edit	  Master	  text	  styles14
Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 millionExpect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Ma...
• Click	  to	  edit	  Master	  text	  styles20
The future is about
22
24The future is about
•EU330m moreEU1 trillion debt
30
The future is aboutEMOTION
Passions ChangeDemands for more responsible capitalism, socially-mindedSUSTAINABLE BUSINESS following global banking crisis
39
80%	  lost	  in	  10	  seconds	  
 	  	  	  	  	  	  	  
300 million  cities in China by 2020Commodity price pressure
Growth	  of	  Middle	  Class•150m	  	  700m	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  in	  India	  alone	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  	  in	...
48
49
50
66% of over 50s in Asia by 205081 million now over 60 in IndiaBig impact on China growth
52CHINA loss of 40mmanual workers in 2015
EuropeDying4 couples neededto produce just onegreat-grandchild
18 million children in Turkeywill be adults in next 15 years
Can we stop ageing ?
Treatment which restores and maintains theyouthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improvesheart failure – and helps wrin...
Grow New Teeth•Pigs teeth grown inside rats•Mice grow new teeth fromnerve cells / gum tissue
Successful Heart repair•Inject bone marrowstem cells afterbypass•Improves heartfunction
Slow or no ageing is a reality•Rockfish, Turtles,some Whales•No signs of gettingold
People like to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyTeam and BrandHappy to Belong
Every strong brand creates a tribe
India:	  	  25	  million	  new	  readers	  of	  newspapers	  or	  magazines	  in	  two	  years	  -­‐	  330	  million	  tot...
Expect	  >3%	  growth	  pa	  paper	  /	  pulp	  industry	  globally	  	  2014-­‐	  2020:	  driven	  mainly	  by	  Asia	  ...
1	  trillionpages	  a	  month
Future Search:Why had to change
"Perfection!,Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful“Telford UK, May 20, 2012This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, frie...
73China trade
Cardboard	  will	  dominate	  trade	  Re-­‐usable	  cartons
Instant	  informaSon	  	  peace	  of	  mindonline	  tracking,	  accurate,	  detailed
Intelligent	  Paper	  –	  RFID	  in	  Euros	  
Why “old” outsourcing story in India nearly over
 25,000 IT graduates pa
33%	  in	  UK	  don’t	  watch	  live	  TV
95%	  EU	  bandwidth	  soon	  video
SPEED	  =	  Paper	  =	  faster	  read	  (eye	  data)
86
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boomdriven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Data accepted widelyScience of global warming might possibly turnout to be incorrect, but it is highly influential
Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA350-393ppmin 30 yea...
“400,000 sq miles of Arctic ice melted in 30 years”
China water crisis“In 20 years, 18,000 square miles of ice melted”“3000 out of 4000Tibetan lakes dried up”“Yellow river...
Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”
5 coal plants replace with gas =9000 megawatts wind power =17 million tons CO2 a year
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert“33-49% EU power = wind...
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use
Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week101
30 million acres lostEU 5% gasoline and diesel from food25% of 2010 US grain  fuel
103
Nuclear energy - global growthChallenge to achieve carbon reductionAND cut nuclearWild card = dirty terror bomb or anoth...
Government will force action on generationConsumers will pay - no addition to deficits105
Cardboard	  houses?
Recycle Metal70% less energy40% less water85% less air pollution75% less water pollution
“15%	  of	  Finland	  electricity	  -­‐	  1%	  of	  emissions”•4th	  highest	  level	  of	  CO2	  of	  US	  industries•40	...
ActivistAgreement
•Less	  weight•Eco-­‐friendly	  paper•100%	  recycled	  content•Building	  a	  world	  from	  what	  we	  grow
BeyondCompliance“We capture 4m tons of CO2 a year”
Innovation: Intel + Chandler City - US1.5m gallons a day into $19m desalination plant Pumped into sandstone acquiferRe...
Street Lights - Philips5%  2% of US / EU energyPayback period 4 years120 million EU street lamps75% replace in 15 yea...
Full co-operation with independent advisors / activistsTransparencyPublic commitment to global excellence
Win the argumentConnect with passionFor individualsFor familyFor community / investorsFor whole earthMaking Life Bet...
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdBioFore SustainAgility
Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and hasbeen ranked one of the 20 most influential busine...
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker
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Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker

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Green technology innovation. How open innovation and crowdsourcing will help save world from climate change, global warming, food and energy shortages. New energy supplies, solar, wind, waste to electricity. New kinds of batteries for electric cars. New ways to save energy, heat buildings, live sustainably. Sustainable business models.

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Transcript of "Sustainagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and Wood - Conference Keynote Speaker"

  1. 1. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdBioFore SustainAgility
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and hasbeen ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)Susatinagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and wood -Keynote for UPM (2012)500 videos of keynoteswww.youtube.com/pjvdixonover 4 million viewswww.globalchange.com14 million unique visitors
  3. 3. 3Rapid Growth of Safe, Sustainable,Profitable Businesses
  4. 4. do things you believe in
  5. 5. Most debates aboutfuture are about timingImpact on biofore strategy ifworld changes faster ?
  6. 6.                      Related                                                                                              Issues  7
  7. 7. Wild  Cards:  Risk  Management
  8. 8. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles13
  9. 9. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles14
  10. 10. Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 millionExpect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
  11. 11. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles20
  12. 12. The future is about
  13. 13. 22
  14. 14. 24The future is about
  15. 15. •EU330m moreEU1 trillion debt
  16. 16. 30
  17. 17. The future is aboutEMOTION
  18. 18. Passions ChangeDemands for more responsible capitalism, socially-mindedSUSTAINABLE BUSINESS following global banking crisis
  19. 19. 39
  20. 20. 80%  lost  in  10  seconds  
  21. 21.                
  22. 22. 300 million  cities in China by 2020Commodity price pressure
  23. 23. Growth  of  Middle  Class•150m    700m                in  India  alone                      in  20  years–>  $6,000  a  year  income  –    Paper,  Wood,  Cardboard
  24. 24. 48
  25. 25. 49
  26. 26. 50
  27. 27. 66% of over 50s in Asia by 205081 million now over 60 in IndiaBig impact on China growth
  28. 28. 52CHINA loss of 40mmanual workers in 2015
  29. 29. EuropeDying4 couples neededto produce just onegreat-grandchild
  30. 30. 18 million children in Turkeywill be adults in next 15 years
  31. 31. Can we stop ageing ?
  32. 32. Treatment which restores and maintains theyouthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improvesheart failure – and helps wrinkled skin. Alteon
  33. 33. Grow New Teeth•Pigs teeth grown inside rats•Mice grow new teeth fromnerve cells / gum tissue
  34. 34. Successful Heart repair•Inject bone marrowstem cells afterbypass•Improves heartfunction
  35. 35. Slow or no ageing is a reality•Rockfish, Turtles,some Whales•No signs of gettingold
  36. 36. People like to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyTeam and BrandHappy to Belong
  37. 37. Every strong brand creates a tribe
  38. 38. India:    25  million  new  readers  of  newspapers  or  magazines  in  two  years  -­‐  330  million  total  readers      82,000  newspapers  in  Indiaturnover top 20 paper manufacturers (20% share)growing 13 to 14% pa
  39. 39. Expect  >3%  growth  pa  paper  /  pulp  industry  globally    2014-­‐  2020:  driven  mainly  by  Asia  packaging  etc
  40. 40. 1  trillionpages  a  month
  41. 41. Future Search:Why had to change
  42. 42. "Perfection!,Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful“Telford UK, May 20, 2012This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly andgood value.“Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed.“ Paris April, 2012NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty.Many guests got sick.74  million  users  a  month
  43. 43. 73China trade
  44. 44. Cardboard  will  dominate  trade  Re-­‐usable  cartons
  45. 45. Instant  informaSon    peace  of  mindonline  tracking,  accurate,  detailed
  46. 46. Intelligent  Paper  –  RFID  in  Euros  
  47. 47. Why “old” outsourcing story in India nearly over
  48. 48.  25,000 IT graduates pa
  49. 49. 33%  in  UK  don’t  watch  live  TV
  50. 50. 95%  EU  bandwidth  soon  video
  51. 51. SPEED  =  Paper  =  faster  read  (eye  data)
  52. 52. 86
  53. 53. $40 Trillion Green Tech Boomdriven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
  54. 54. Data accepted widelyScience of global warming might possibly turnout to be incorrect, but it is highly influential
  55. 55. Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA350-393ppmin 30 yearsxx420,000 Years - CO2 and Earth Temperature”Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over some ofnorthern hemisphere 15,000 years ago”
  56. 56. “400,000 sq miles of Arctic ice melted in 30 years”
  57. 57. China water crisis“In 20 years, 18,000 square miles of ice melted”“3000 out of 4000Tibetan lakes dried up”“Yellow river dried up recently for 226 days”
  58. 58. Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”
  59. 59. 5 coal plants replace with gas =9000 megawatts wind power =17 million tons CO2 a year
  60. 60. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert“33-49% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to methane ?Gas power - load balancing
  61. 61. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use
  62. 62. Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week101
  63. 63. 30 million acres lostEU 5% gasoline and diesel from food25% of 2010 US grain  fuel
  64. 64. 103
  65. 65. Nuclear energy - global growthChallenge to achieve carbon reductionAND cut nuclearWild card = dirty terror bomb or another meltdown
  66. 66. Government will force action on generationConsumers will pay - no addition to deficits105
  67. 67. Cardboard  houses?
  68. 68. Recycle Metal70% less energy40% less water85% less air pollution75% less water pollution
  69. 69. “15%  of  Finland  electricity  -­‐  1%  of  emissions”•4th  highest  level  of  CO2  of  US  industries•40  gigajoules  of  energy  to  generate  1  metric  ton  of  finished  paper•1  ton  coal  =  3.66  tons  CO2•2  tons  of  coal  for  one  ton  finished  paper.•7.3  tons  CO2  per  ton  finished  paper•But  50-­‐66%  of  energy  used  is  recovered  in  the  process  of  making  paper  in  efficient  recovery  mills
  70. 70. ActivistAgreement
  71. 71. •Less  weight•Eco-­‐friendly  paper•100%  recycled  content•Building  a  world  from  what  we  grow
  72. 72. BeyondCompliance“We capture 4m tons of CO2 a year”
  73. 73. Innovation: Intel + Chandler City - US1.5m gallons a day into $19m desalination plant Pumped into sandstone acquiferReplaces 75% of water used by factoryGood relationship with local government planners / image / morale
  74. 74. Street Lights - Philips5%  2% of US / EU energyPayback period 4 years120 million EU street lamps75% replace in 15 years at unit costof $750 including labour
  75. 75. Full co-operation with independent advisors / activistsTransparencyPublic commitment to global excellence
  76. 76. Win the argumentConnect with passionFor individualsFor familyFor community / investorsFor whole earthMaking Life Better
  77. 77. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdBioFore SustainAgility
  78. 78. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and hasbeen ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)Susatinagility - BioFore, Forests, Paper and wood -Keynote for UPM (2012)500 videos of keynoteswww.youtube.com/pjvdixonover 4 million viewswww.globalchange.com14 million unique visitors

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