0
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd


Take Hold of the Future
Why	
  all	
  leaders	
  are	
  Futurists	
  
!
ALL	
  	
  	
  BIG	
  	
  	
  TRENDS	
  	
  	
  ARE	
  	
  	
  RELATED	
  
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
Most debates about future
strategy are about timing
and focus
!
What if global recovery / Turkey
economy / mobile payments...
!12
• Click	
  to	
  edit	
  Master	
  text	
  styles
14
!
Strategies often
overtaken by events
!
World can change faster than
you can hold a board meeting
!
Agility
requires
Simplicity
!
Small = Fast
WGP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  (%,constant	
  prices)	
  
US	
  GDP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  	
  
(%,constant	
  prices)	
  
!21
EU	
  GDP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  	
  
(%,constant	
  prices)	
  
Latvia	
  and	
  Estonia	
  2005-­‐2013	
  GDP	
  %
• Click	
  to	
  edit	
  Master	
  text	
  styles
• Click	
  to	
  edit	
  Master	
  text	
  styles
!
2% inflation
target likely to
be discarded
•
$2.3	
  trillion	
  US	
  +	
  $85bn	
  per	
  month	
  
!
!
!
Expect	
  
INFLATION	
  	
  
$3.4	
  trillion	
  
!
Reserves	
  
Vietnam	
  GDP	
  1985-­‐2011	
  
Digital
Control
The future is about
EMOTION
36
80%	
  lost	
  in	
  seconds	
  
 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
>40%	
  WDP	
  by	
  2015
—IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
300 million move to cities in China and
475 million to cities in Africa by 2030
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years
Europe Dying
!
4 couples to
produce single
great-grand
child
!
1 in 3 Bulgarians over 65 by 2050
Only 50% population worki...
75%	
  of	
  all	
  US	
  and	
  UK	
  wealth	
  owned	
  by	
  
those	
  over	
  65	
  -­‐	
  mostly	
  women
Can we stop ageing ?
Treatment which restores and
maintains the youthful elasticity of
hardened arteries, improves heart
failure – and helps wr...
•Pigs	
  teeth	
  grown	
  inside	
  rats	
  
•Mice	
  grow	
  new	
  teeth	
  from	
  nerve	
  cells	
  /	
  gum
Grow New...
Repair Heart / Brain
with stem cells
Confidential
HSV1	
  causes	
  cold	
  sores.	
  When	
  
engineered	
  as	
  Seprehvir,	
  it	
  is	
  
harmless	
  to	
 ...
• Harvard Bioscience	

• Bioreactor 	

• Bone marrow stem cells	

• Polymer scaffold
• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories
• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
54
Monk...
Slow	
  or	
  no	
  ageing	
  is	
  a	
  reality	
  in	
  animals
Japan	
  women	
  gain	
  15	
  minutes	
  of	
  life	
 ...
lPeople like to belong
lSense of identity
lCommunity
lFamily
lPersonal advisor
“Relationship Retailing”
!
!58
95%	
  EU	
  bandwidth	
  soon	
  video	
  
1	
  trillion	
  pages	
  a	
  month	
  
21%	
  of	
  Latvians	
  use	
  Facebook	
  
Would recommend
you to a friend ?
!
"Perfection!,Wonderful hotel. Good value,
beautiful views.“!
Telford UK, May 20, 2013

This was the most beautiful hotel. ...
!
Scale - Innovation Speed
Large enough for the future ?
Eat or be Eaten, Strategic Mergers, Techno-Partnerships
Mega	
  	
  
Chains
In	
  many	
  EU	
  naNons,	
  up	
  to	
  70%	
  of	
  
retail	
  spending	
  is	
  in	
  <8	
  companies
Expect	
  rapid	
  growth	
  of	
  large	
  retail	
  chains	
  in	
  
BalNc	
  -­‐	
  e.g.	
  Maxima	
  Latvija	
  SIA	
 ...
Latvia	
  Retail	
  Sales	
  (year	
  on	
  year)	
  	
  
Latvia	
  Retail	
  Sales	
  (year	
  on	
  year)	
  	
  
e-­‐commerce	
  hits	
  $1.5	
  trillion	
  2014	
  
12%	
  all	
  UK	
  retail
Expect	
  35%	
  growth	
  in	
  consumer	
  
electronics	
  2013-­‐2017	
  in	
  Latvia
HUGE	
  
MALLS	
  
UK RetailMobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013
50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
Price	
  	
  
Comparison
!
Online / physical
worlds become one in Brazil
!
50% research online - buy in store
40% research in store - buy online
89...
Over	
  4000	
  road	
  hauliers	
  in	
  EU
1.3bn	
  home	
  delivered	
  e-­‐com	
  
items	
  in	
  UK	
  a	
  year	
  (...
Home	
  delivery	
  when	
  no	
  one	
  at	
  home?
80
3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months
Chosen by up to 50% customers for
deliveries
!
•Latvia Online
• >70% online
• 12% smartphones - 44% of 15-24 year olds
• 26% mobile subscribers use smartphonesTele2
Over	
  4000	
  road	
  hauliers	
  in	
  EU
1.3bn	
  home	
  delivered	
  e-­‐com	
  
items	
  in	
  UK	
  a	
  year	
  (...
Italy:	
  58%	
  increase	
  in	
  
aggregator	
  sales	
  of	
  
policies	
  in	
  first	
  6	
  
months	
  of	
  2013	
  ...
56%	
  all	
  private	
  motor	
  insurance	
  sales	
  
Growth	
  1-­‐2%	
  pa	
  -­‐	
  reaching	
  saturaNon	
  
30%	
 ...
• Maxima Latvija SIA and Rimi Latvia SIA dominated Latvian
grocery retailing in 2013	

!
• LatviaWith the news of Latvia's...
Mobile	
  
MarkeNng
LocaNon	
  
MarkeNng	
  
is	
  next	
  
BIG	
  THING
1500% growth car insurance black boxes
!
Telematics
Scale
!
!
!
94
2m	
  businesses	
  use	
  	
  
SQUARE	
  	
  
in	
  US
CUSTOMER	
  CHOICE	
  
200	
  million	
  payments	
  globally
!
!
Kenya	
  -­‐	
  17m	
  customers	
  
$9bn	
  pa	
  -­‐	
  >33%	
  GDP	
  
Tanzania	
  9m	
  people	
  
35	
  naNon	
  li...
97
1.7bn	
  phone	
  
users	
  are	
  
unbanked
Free mobile devices	

calls / web / TV / games / pay	

Higher income model
2010	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
 ...
Internet of Things
1.5m components in supply chain
90% all global data
generated in
last 2 years
Big	
  Data	
  
• 90%	
  Microsoj	
  R&D	
  
CLOUD
Aramco - 30,000 computers hit - files lost
5.5	
  billion	
  cyberalacks	
  
42%	
  increase	
  /	
  year	
  
!
>160Gbps	
  in	
  denial	
  of	
  service	
  
1000	
 ...
• Home
• Work
• Online
• Offline
• Sales
• Entertain
• Phone
• Mobile
• Chat
• Inst Investor / UHNW / Corporate FD etc
!
U...
Regulatory
Swings
!
eg Capital Adequacy / ROI
!
Public pressure v Reality
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom
driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovation
Even strong climate sceptics “go green”
“US emissions of CO2
equivalent to a carpet
of CO2 = 33cms
thick each year over
entire land mass”
Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA
350-393ppm
in 30 y...
Shale gas 33%
US supplies
3.3m US jobs
$468bn pa + more oil
produced than Saudi by 2020
!
200 years global supply
Up from ...
Boom
Bust
5	
  coal	
  plants	
  replace	
  with	
  gas	
  =	
  9000	
  megawaGs	
  wind	
  
Coal	
  prices	
  fall	
  =	
  more	
  ...
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day

7,000 times total power use
QUEBEC	
  from	
  ARIZONA	
  
MOSCOW	
  from	
  SAHARA
Solar	
  cell	
  generaNon	
  parity	
  
Falling	
  solar	
  cell	
  prices	
  
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day

7,000 times total global power use
Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = win...
Smart	
  Power	
  RegulaNon	
  	
  
10%	
  Australian	
  power	
  generaNon	
  only	
  used	
  for	
  72	
  hours	
  a	
  ...
Germany	
  Power	
  Surplus
!
• In	
  June	
  2013	
  
• Electricity	
  prices	
  became	
  negaNve	
  	
  
• -­‐	
  minus...
•Rapid growth HVDC Super Grids	

•500,000 S Korea jobs - $200bn Smart Grid Project	

!
!
!
!
•China planning to power Mosc...
Only sell what you believe in
and would sell to your family
and friends
The	
  only	
  corporate	
  value	
  worth	
  havi...
Teams	
  in	
  top	
  half	
  of	
  Engagement	
  
86% more likely to have better customer metrics	

70% more likely to ha...
Beyond
Compliance
!
Perfect compliance will keep bankers
out of prison but cannot protect brand,
because public expectatio...
Lesson	
  from	
  Non-­‐Profit	
  
FoundaNons	
  
!
Connect	
  with	
  all	
  the	
  passions	
  
people	
  have	
  and	
  ...
Building	
  a	
  Beler	
  World
RESOURCES
!
>500 videos of Keynotes
http://www.youtube.com/pjvdixon
!
!
Global Trends Website:
http://www.globalchange.com...
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum

889

Published on

Future trends and impact on Baltic States: technology, big data, informatics, health care, biotech, demographics, global economy predictions, future of manufacturing, offshoring, reshoring, nearshoring, future of supply chain, future of retail, e-commerce, m-commerce, cyberattacks and hacking threats, future of banking, mobile payments and financial services. Future of energy, sustainability, culture and corporate ethics.

Published in: Business
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
889
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
3
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
224
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Transcript of "SIx Face of the Future - Megatrends impact on Latvia / Estonia / Lithuania - Futurist Speaker at Riga World Trends Forum"

  1. 1. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd 
 Take Hold of the Future
  2. 2. Why  all  leaders  are  Futurists  
  3. 3. ! ALL      BIG      TRENDS      ARE      RELATED   ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
  4. 4. Most debates about future strategy are about timing and focus ! What if global recovery / Turkey economy / mobile payments / retail spending / bank regulation / inflation / demographics, the EU, Middle East and rise of Asian markets all change faster than expected?
  5. 5. !12
  6. 6. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles 14
  7. 7. ! Strategies often overtaken by events ! World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
  8. 8. ! Agility requires Simplicity ! Small = Fast
  9. 9. WGP  1980-­‐2013  (%,constant  prices)  
  10. 10. US  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
  11. 11. !21
  12. 12. EU  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
  13. 13. Latvia  and  Estonia  2005-­‐2013  GDP  %
  14. 14. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles
  15. 15. • Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles
  16. 16. ! 2% inflation target likely to be discarded
  17. 17. • $2.3  trillion  US  +  $85bn  per  month   ! ! ! Expect   INFLATION    
  18. 18. $3.4  trillion   ! Reserves  
  19. 19. Vietnam  GDP  1985-­‐2011  
  20. 20. Digital Control
  21. 21. The future is about EMOTION
  22. 22. 36
  23. 23. 80%  lost  in  seconds  
  24. 24.                
  25. 25. >40%  WDP  by  2015 —IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
  26. 26. 300 million move to cities in China and 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
  27. 27. ! 1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years
  28. 28. Europe Dying ! 4 couples to produce single great-grand child ! 1 in 3 Bulgarians over 65 by 2050 Only 50% population working age Fastest rate of ageing in the world
  29. 29. 75%  of  all  US  and  UK  wealth  owned  by   those  over  65  -­‐  mostly  women
  30. 30. Can we stop ageing ?
  31. 31. Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.
  32. 32. •Pigs  teeth  grown  inside  rats   •Mice  grow  new  teeth  from  nerve  cells  /  gum Grow New Teeth
  33. 33. Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells
  34. 34. Confidential HSV1  causes  cold  sores.  When   engineered  as  Seprehvir,  it  is   harmless  to  healthy  ;ssue. ! • Infect and kill cancer tumour cells • No damage to healthy tissue Viruses to cure cancer ?
  35. 35. • Harvard Bioscience • Bioreactor • Bone marrow stem cells • Polymer scaffold
  36. 36. • After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories • Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay 54 Monkeys on diet live longer
  37. 37. Slow  or  no  ageing  is  a  reality  in  animals Japan  women  gain  15  minutes  of  life  expectancy  every  hour • Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales ! • No signs of getting old
  38. 38. lPeople like to belong lSense of identity lCommunity lFamily lPersonal advisor “Relationship Retailing” !
  39. 39. !58
  40. 40. 95%  EU  bandwidth  soon  video  
  41. 41. 1  trillion  pages  a  month   21%  of  Latvians  use  Facebook  
  42. 42. Would recommend you to a friend ? !
  43. 43. "Perfection!,Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views.“! Telford UK, May 20, 2013
 This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly and good value. 
 “Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed down.“  Paris April, 2013
 NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty. Many guests got sick.
  44. 44. ! Scale - Innovation Speed Large enough for the future ? Eat or be Eaten, Strategic Mergers, Techno-Partnerships
  45. 45. Mega     Chains
  46. 46. In  many  EU  naNons,  up  to  70%  of   retail  spending  is  in  <8  companies
  47. 47. Expect  rapid  growth  of  large  retail  chains  in   BalNc  -­‐  e.g.  Maxima  Latvija  SIA  and  Rimi  Latvia  
  48. 48. Latvia  Retail  Sales  (year  on  year)    
  49. 49. Latvia  Retail  Sales  (year  on  year)    
  50. 50. e-­‐commerce  hits  $1.5  trillion  2014   12%  all  UK  retail
  51. 51. Expect  35%  growth  in  consumer   electronics  2013-­‐2017  in  Latvia
  52. 52. HUGE   MALLS  
  53. 53. UK RetailMobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
  54. 54. Price     Comparison
  55. 55. ! Online / physical worlds become one in Brazil ! 50% research online - buy in store 40% research in store - buy online 89% want digital information in store ! Buy online - deliver to store Buy in store - deliver at home
  56. 56. Over  4000  road  hauliers  in  EU 1.3bn  home  delivered  e-­‐com   items  in  UK  a  year  (+12%  pa)
  57. 57. Home  delivery  when  no  one  at  home?
  58. 58. 80 3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for deliveries
  59. 59. ! •Latvia Online • >70% online • 12% smartphones - 44% of 15-24 year olds • 26% mobile subscribers use smartphonesTele2
  60. 60. Over  4000  road  hauliers  in  EU 1.3bn  home  delivered  e-­‐com   items  in  UK  a  year  (+12%  pa)
  61. 61. Italy:  58%  increase  in   aggregator  sales  of   policies  in  first  6   months  of  2013  v  2012
  62. 62. 56%  all  private  motor  insurance  sales   Growth  1-­‐2%  pa  -­‐  reaching  saturaNon   30%  of  consumers  select  cheapest  policy     Further  58%  select  policy  in  top  five  cheapest   ObjecNve  measure  of  brand  value   UK  Aggregators  Threat
  63. 63. • Maxima Latvija SIA and Rimi Latvia SIA dominated Latvian grocery retailing in 2013 ! • LatviaWith the news of Latvia's successful eurozone bid, rising ratings and improving business environment, we are sure that we leave Latvia in the best shape it has been in years – possibly ever. Still, 2014 is to bring some key moments which will have a significant impact on Latvia's future.
  64. 64. Mobile   MarkeNng
  65. 65. LocaNon   MarkeNng   is  next   BIG  THING
  66. 66. 1500% growth car insurance black boxes ! Telematics Scale ! ! !
  67. 67. 94 2m  businesses  use     SQUARE     in  US
  68. 68. CUSTOMER  CHOICE   200  million  payments  globally !
  69. 69. ! Kenya  -­‐  17m  customers   $9bn  pa  -­‐  >33%  GDP   Tanzania  9m  people   35  naNon  links  via  HomeSend  Hub  
  70. 70. 97 1.7bn  phone   users  are   unbanked
  71. 71. Free mobile devices calls / web / TV / games / pay Higher income model 2010                                                  2013                                  2015                                                     TelcoBanks
  72. 72. Internet of Things
  73. 73. 1.5m components in supply chain
  74. 74. 90% all global data generated in last 2 years Big  Data  
  75. 75. • 90%  Microsoj  R&D   CLOUD
  76. 76. Aramco - 30,000 computers hit - files lost
  77. 77. 5.5  billion  cyberalacks   42%  increase  /  year   ! >160Gbps  in  denial  of  service   1000  major  alacks  /  hr  in  UK   Worries  about  US  Prism  /  security  services  
  78. 78. • Home • Work • Online • Offline • Sales • Entertain • Phone • Mobile • Chat • Inst Investor / UHNW / Corporate FD etc ! UNIVERSAL VIEW of ONE CUSTOMER
  79. 79. Regulatory Swings ! eg Capital Adequacy / ROI ! Public pressure v Reality
  80. 80. $40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
  81. 81. Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovation Even strong climate sceptics “go green”
  82. 82. “US emissions of CO2 equivalent to a carpet of CO2 = 33cms thick each year over entire land mass”
  83. 83. Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA 350-393ppm in 30 years
 x ! ! x 420,000 Years - CO2 and Earth Temperature ”Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over some of northern hemisphere 15,000 years ago”
  84. 84. Shale gas 33% US supplies 3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil produced than Saudi by 2020 ! 200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years
  85. 85. Boom Bust
  86. 86. 5  coal  plants  replace  with  gas  =  9000  megawaGs  wind   Coal  prices  fall  =  more  coal  burnt  in  Vietnam  and  China 57  coal  plants  closed  in  US  in  2012  
  87. 87. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day
 7,000 times total power use QUEBEC  from  ARIZONA   MOSCOW  from  SAHARA
  88. 88. Solar  cell  generaNon  parity  
  89. 89. Falling  solar  cell  prices  
  90. 90. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day
 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert “40% EU power = wind by 2050” Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
  91. 91. Smart  Power  RegulaNon     10%  Australian  power  generaNon  only  used  for  72  hours  a  year   Energy  prices  can  soar  from  $50/Mw  hour  to  $10,000/  Mw  hour
  92. 92. Germany  Power  Surplus ! • In  June  2013   • Electricity  prices  became  negaNve     • -­‐  minus  EU150  /  MWhr  !!
  93. 93. •Rapid growth HVDC Super Grids •500,000 S Korea jobs - $200bn Smart Grid Project ! ! ! ! •China planning to power Moscow
  94. 94. Only sell what you believe in and would sell to your family and friends The  only  corporate  value  worth  having  
  95. 95. Teams  in  top  half  of  Engagement   86% more likely to have better customer metrics 70% more likely to have low staff turnover 70% more likely to be highly productive 44% more likely to be profitable — 10 million surveyed by Gallup

  96. 96. Beyond Compliance ! Perfect compliance will keep bankers out of prison but cannot protect brand, because public expectations change rapidly - with severe judgment on those who justify past “unethical” behaviour on grounds that it was 100% compliant.
  97. 97. Lesson  from  Non-­‐Profit   FoundaNons   ! Connect  with  all  the  passions   people  have  and  they  will  follow   you  to  the  ends  of  the  earth,   promote  what  you  do  with  pride,   and  may  even  be  willing  to  work  for   you  for  next  to  nothing  
  98. 98. Building  a  Beler  World
  99. 99. RESOURCES ! >500 videos of Keynotes http://www.youtube.com/pjvdixon ! ! Global Trends Website: http://www.globalchange.com !
  1. A particular slide catching your eye?

    Clipping is a handy way to collect important slides you want to go back to later.

×