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Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Leadership in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
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Leadership in a rapidly changing world - Conference keynote speaker

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"http://www.globalchange.com/leadership Leadership, managing rapid change in a globalized digital world. High velocity decision making with multiple strategies for growth in different circumstances. …

"http://www.globalchange.com/leadership Leadership, managing rapid change in a globalized digital world. High velocity decision making with multiple strategies for growth in different circumstances. The world is changing faster than you can hold a board meeting. Shortened production cycles. Accelerating change and business transformation. Viral events, economic chaos and crisis. Managing multiple risks. How lucky are you in business? Being prepared for the unexpected. Contingency planning.
What is leadership? Secrets of leadership, change management and turning strategy into reality. Leadership quotes and leadership styles. Small business leadership and multinationals. Team leadership, organograms and organizational structures. Leadership qualities, leadership development in crisis, and how to develop strong leadership. Leadership programmes and effective leadership. Motivational leadership, and why motivation matters. Leadership in a crisis. Leadership to command attention, win trust, connect with passion. Leadership ethics and values, leadership development. Business and not-for-profit leadership. Why all people can show leadership depending on situation Dealing with conflict in leadership teams. Integrity, ethics and values in leaders. "

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  • 1. Leadership in a rapidly changing worldDr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
  • 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Leadership in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  • 3. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical Huge Opportunities
  • 4. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  • 5. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  • 6. Future of Iran nuclear programme
  • 7. Military Challenges in• Towns, cities, forests, jungle, mountains, valleys
  • 8. Bird Flu – could kill 100 million
  • 9. 10% Cleveland homes repossessed 1 in 146 homes new action in Nevada – Las Vegas 744,000 homeless in July 2008 Bus Tour
  • 10. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  • 11. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  • 12. Chance of 2 in 30 people sharing same birthday
  • 13. Chance of 2 in 50 people sharing same birthday
  • 14. Absurd Valuations• “Unknown trillions of dollars being traded in non-regulated derivatives” US govt• Marking to current value• Washington Mutual sold for $1.9bn – But has $310bn of “assets”
  • 15. Washington Mutual Shares
  • 16. HBOS v RBS
  • 17. UBS v Credit Suisse
  • 18. Financial Crises• 18 banking crises in US since 2nd WW – Low interest rates  property and stocks boom – Current a/c deficit – Capital inflows increase – Rising public debt – Often deregulation – Some see it coming but who wants to act alone?
  • 19. “Nationalisation” of Banking• Put capital into banks – Buy new shares – Reduce value of other people’s shares• Take “risky” debt off their books – Swop loans secured against property for loans secured against government promise – Fair price per $1 million of debt • Assumes property prices partially recover • Assumes loans held for some years • Assumes stability in market reduces defaults
  • 20. What will happen to all the cash?• Money out of shares• Money out of propertyEvery month cash grows from NEW pension fund savings  ????$23 trillion under management Jan 2007 in 11 major nations
  • 21. More to Life than FinancialService Companies / Banks
  • 22. 1 billion childrenMost peoplelive in cities
  • 23. China – 300m move to cities by 2020 748m in African cities by 2020 Growth of meat-eating middle class
  • 24. Growth of Middle Class • 100m  600m in India alone over 20 years > $6,000 a year income
  • 25. The race to secure commodities
  • 26. Energy as US National Security Issue Engineering shortages
  • 27. 66% of over 50s in Asia by 2050• 81 million now over 60 in India• Big impact on China growth
  • 28. EuropeDying 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
  • 29. 75% of all US and UK wealth owned by those over 65
  • 30. Ethics Feminisation of Marketing Women will drive 70% of retail purchasing decisions in next decade 70% of online banking is by women In some countries – most of the vacation decisions
  • 31. 1 millionvoters over90 years old in Italy by 2026
  • 32. When Will You Feel Old ?YOUTH FIRST LIFER SECOND LIFER SENIOR
  • 33. Can we stop ageing ?
  • 34. Urban Obesity – Growing Challenge• Pressure on airlines to charge differently• Seat design• Bed design
  • 35. Genetic Prophecy – Are We Ready?
  • 36. Genes for speech, memory, criminality, depression, obesity and stable marriage• FOXP2 gene is vital to language and speech development• 17CREB genes are all needed for learning and memory• Vasopressin receptor gene on chromosme 12 – huge effect on mating and pair binding in prairie voles.• Low monoamine oxidase A activity on X chromosome strongly linked to violent, antisocial or criminal behaviour• Gene for obesity: 6% have MC4R gene• Gene linked to serotonin production strongly linked to depression. CREB1 carries 80% risk of depression – in women
  • 37. Worn out Mitochondria – Energy Boostalphalipoic acid and acetyl-carnitine improves energy levels in rats, as well as mental capability
  • 38. Permanent Hair Colour• Adenovirus• Infected mouse hair cells• Permanent colour change
  • 39. Treatment which restores andmaintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries – and helps wrinkled skin. Global sales?
  • 40. Grow New Teeth• Pigs teeth grown inside rats• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue
  • 41. Urban Successful Heart repair • Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass • Improves heart function
  • 42. Near-perfect repair ofheart or brain damage following coronary / strokeusing adult stem cells
  • 43. YourBrain CanRepair ItselfDaily
  • 44. Negligible senescence is a reality• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales• No signs of getting old
  • 45. Tribal Positive Tribalism = Values People need to belong Sense of identity Community Family
  • 46. Every strong brand creates a tribe
  • 47. Global instability from growing gap between rich and poor
  • 48. Africa growth in oil production• Already supplies 12% of world’s oil• Libya 22%• Nigeria 8th largest oil nation
  • 49. How many people would it take tostop all oil production in Nigeria?
  • 50. SMSRevolution
  • 51. "Perfection!, Wonderful hotel.Good value, beautiful views.“Faro Sept 20, 2008This was the most beautiful hotel... “Worst hotel I have ever been in.Should be closed down.“Paris Sept 18, 2008NEVER stay in this terrible place...
  • 52. To discuss – general groups• Most important issues raised – for you• Most important issues left out• Disagreements ?• Clarification ?• Specific industries / regions / issues
  • 53. One Bank or justBreak It Up!
  • 54. Unipolar to Multipolar
  • 55. Emerging Economies  China
  • 56. $24bn corporation. One of world’s most cost- efficient aluminium and copper producers. Hindalco = Fortune 500 Company. Largestaluminium rolling company No. 1 in viscose staple fibre. • The 3rd largest producer of insulators. • The 4th largest producer of carbon black. • The 11th largest cement producer globally
  • 57. Expect 150,000 branded stores in India alone by 2025
  • 58. • $4bn turnover• $1bn profit• 40% growth in 2007• Training 25,000 new IT graduates a year
  • 59. WHY “OLD” OUTSOURCINGSTORY IN INDIA NEARLY OVER
  • 60. All innovation is divergent
  • 61. Don’t (always) believe market research !
  • 62. Vodafone Amex Nokia Google
  • 63. Mobile phone becomes bank card• All retail cards  mobile• Ticketing  mobile• Remittances  mobile
  • 64. Card market for 60 million people• UK cards $1.3 billion pa by 2010• Credit card debt $100bn• Average interest rate 16% (March 07)• 1% of $400bn is $4bn of incentives
  • 65. European Democracy?• Should EU have right to impose decisions on an EU nation?• Votes in proportion to size? – 83 million Germany – 300,000 Malta
  • 66. Nato Democracy?
  • 67. India: another religious conflict• Dec 2007: 100 churches destoyed in Orissa• Expect ongoing religious violence – mainly Hindu v Christian; Hindu v Muslim
  • 68. India: 160-200m Dalits - Uprising • Expect unrest and government changes • Many millions quietly converting as way to exit the caste system
  • 69. Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation 88% of 200 million• Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
  • 70. • Civilian armies in cities• Young children carrying weapons• Passionate fighters who really want to die• People movements
  • 71. Asymmetric Threats• 1 ton car bomb  $2bn damage – Nat West Tower – London 1993• 1 computer virus  global disruption• 1 YouTube video  global PR damage 80 : 20 rule becomes 99.9 : 0.00001
  • 72. Future is about Justice • Patent breaking will increase • Global supply from poorest nations • Public-owned research  direct to generic production • Public ownership of knowledge
  • 73. Sustainability
  • 74. Global Warming - facts
  • 75. CO2 and Earth Temperature Future?Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over xsome of northern hemisphere 15,000years ago Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA
  • 76. Bangladesh: climate threat• Expect blame for plight of millions to be placed on worst polluters – flooding and diaster
  • 77. Carbon Neutral  100% by 2016• Offset energy in manufacturing• Offset lifetime power
  • 78. Government Action (EU)• Subsidies – 58% for fossil fuels – 29% for nuclear• Regulations• Will impact energy markets for 50 years
  • 79. Why Biofuels Are No Answer
  • 80. 18% of 2008 US grain  fuel• 20 million acres lost• 33% 2007 corn crop  fuel• EU also 5% gasoline and diesel from food by 2010
  • 81. 33 nations threatened with instability – World bank
  • 82. Morocco, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Mauritania, Niger, Uzbekistan, Senegal, Haiti, Bolivia Indonesia• Cameroon 24 people killed, 1,600 arrested• Indonesia 10,000 outside presidential palace - soya bean prices rose >50% in a month• Egypt 7 people die in fights or of exhaustion queuing for subsidised bread• Burkina Faso Riots in three towns• Guinea Five anti-government riots last 18mths• Pakistan 1000s of troops guard food trucks
  • 83. “Crime against humanity”• “The United States and the European Union have taken “criminal path” by contributing to explosive rise in global food prices through using food crops to produce biofuels”• UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food• UN Press Release: 28 April 2008
  • 84. Rebalancing Air Conditioning• Energy saving 30-50%• More stable temperature• Intelligent
  • 85. Geothermal Heat Pumps• 70% new buildings in Sweden• 45% new buildings in New Zealand• 30% new buildings in Switzerland• Plus better insulation• Up to 50% energy savings• Payback 15 years
  • 86. Street Lights• 5  2% of US energy• 120 million EU street lamps• 75% replace in 15 years at unit cost of $750 including labour
  • 87. Compliance with every regulation today could put you out of business - Insider dealing was thought smart –- Bribes were set against corporation tax -
  • 88. Future is about talent• Improve image• Win moral arguments
  • 89. Ethical Crisis of Purpose at Work • 90% of 30-40 year olds want to leave conventional business jobs • 60% of 25-35 year olds feel unfulfilled in careers • 83% say they are having a “quarter-life crisis” • 90% are looking for a higher purpose at work • 59% say they seen no meaningful purpose in their work or organisation Connect with passion to win war for talent
  • 90. Employee Passion / Engagement• Gallup meta-survey > 10 million people• Businesses in top half of engagement score – 86% more likely to have better customer metrics – 70% more likely to have low staff turnover – 70% more likely to be highly productive – 44% more likely to be profitable• Only 33% of US employees are engaged
  • 91. Making a Difference
  • 92. Ethics Companies talk about • Growth • Profits • Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  • 93. Ethics Individuals talk about… • Their own personal needs • Their family and friends • Their community • The world they live in …emotion
  • 94. Ultimate business slogan• For individuals – your own needs• For family – people close to you• For community – neighbourhood or nation• For the whole earth – the good of all Leaders tell their own good news story
  • 95. To discuss – general groups• Most important issues raised• Most important issues left out• Disagreements ?• Clarification ?• Specific industries / regions / issues
  • 96. What kind of Leadership ?
  • 97. Slides: globalchange.com/ppt 11 million different visitorsFast, Urban,And UniversalOrRadical, EthicalAnd Tribal ?
  • 98. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Leadership in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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