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Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare  - Conference keynote speaker
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Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare - Conference keynote speaker

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globalchange.com - Future health funding and ageing populations. Contrast with emerging nations. Health treatment access and health injustice issues. Pharmacogenomics and gene prophecy. Ethical …

globalchange.com - Future health funding and ageing populations. Contrast with emerging nations. Health treatment access and health injustice issues. Pharmacogenomics and gene prophecy. Ethical issues in gene therapy. HIV and AIDS search for treatments, cure and vaccine. Lack of drug innovation and empty pharmaceutical product pipeline. Generic manufacturer pharma competition and product recalls. Patent expiry and intellectual property protection. Legal challenges and research scandals. Biogenetics and large molecule therapeutics. Cellular mechanisms of disease. Unmet health care needs. Government purchasing policies and health insurance cover. Online pharmacy price pressures. Search for new health care treatment blockbusters. Chronic disease and orphan drug therapies. Rheumatoid arthritis and asthma. Search for new antibiotics and multiple resistance infection problems. Search for powerful antiviral therapy.

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  1. Dr Patrick DixonChairman Global Change Ltd
  2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare (2009) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. From Global Crisis to Recovery
  4. Summary• Get ready for unexpected• Go beyond market research• Grow emerging markets• Focus on Performance• Win the funding / regulator debate• And the most important thing is.....
  5. Wild CardsLow probability, high impact events
  6. 10% Cleveland homes repossessed 1 in 146 homes new action in Nevada – Las Vegas 744,000 homeless in July 2008 Bus Tour
  7. Future of Pharma will be shaped by emotion
  8. Don’t (always) believe market research
  9. Huge Unmet NeedsMany More Blockbusters to Find
  10. "Perfection!, Wonderful hotel.Good value, beautiful views.“Faro Sept 20, 2008This was the most beautiful hotel... “Worst hotel I have ever been in.Should be closed down.“Paris Sept 18, 2008NEVER stay in this terrible place...
  11. 1 billionchildren inAfrica and Asia
  12. China – 300m move to cities by 2020 748m in African cities by 2020 Growth of meat-eating middle class
  13. Growth of Middle Class • 100m  600m in India alone over 20 years • Meat  vets > $6,000 a year income
  14. Expect 150,000 branded OTCstores in India alone by 2025
  15. Obesity Epidemic• 1 in 3 newborn babies in New York will develop diabetes• Obesity costs US $100bn a year
  16. EuropeDying 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
  17. 75% of all US and UK wealth owned by those over 65
  18. 1 millionpeople over90 years old in Italy by 2026
  19. Single Most Dominant Pharma / Health Factor Will Be Ageing • 65% health budget • Rising fast • But almost all major diseases are age-related
  20. Future in developed markets isabout performance not wellness
  21. “Yesterday’s drugs were about need: tomorrow’s will be aboutliving faster and staying young”
  22. People Want to Look Better• 51% growth in botox treatment• 31% growth laser hair removal• 31% growth in cosmetic surgery enquiries• (UK 2007  2008)
  23. Sexual Performance
  24. Brain Faster – and better?
  25. Failure of InnovationPatent Expiry wiped $80bn pa from industry sales 2004-2007
  26. Innovation in Ageing
  27. DNADesigner Life New “DNA”needed inside big pharma
  28. Genetic Prophecy – Are We Ready?
  29. Worn out Mitochondria – Energy Boostalphalipoic acid and acetyl-carnitine improves energy levels in rats, as well as mental capability
  30. Treatment which restores andmaintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries – and helps wrinkled skin. Global sales?
  31. Urban Successful Heart repair • Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass • Improves heart function
  32. Near-perfect repair ofheart or brain damage following coronary / strokeusing adult stem cells
  33. YourBrain CanRepair ItselfDaily
  34. Negligible senescence is a reality• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales• No signs of getting old
  35. Impact on Budgets and Health Rations
  36. Future Unmet Needs Who pays? Radical Shifts Above line = health budget / government spending Clinical conditionsSeverityPublic Female baldnessHealthPolicy Trend – line is falling IVF Male baldness Memory Performance / life-enhancement Number Affected
  37. Above and Below the Line Future Medical NeedsSeverity Clinical conditions Mainstream Pharma Large numbers affected Major morbidity / mortality Female baldness Trend – line is falling IVF Male baldness Performance / life-enhancement Number Affected
  38. Above and Below the Line Today’s luxury is tomorrow’s health needSeverity Clinical conditions Mainstream Pharma Large numbers affected Major morbidity / mortality Female baldness IVF Male baldness Trend – line is falling Performance / life-enhancement Number Affected
  39. Global instability from growing gap between rich and poor
  40. 1 in 10 women die giving birth in parts of Northern Mozambique 1 in 12 in Liberia – UNICEF 2005
  41. Future is about Justice • Patent breaking will increase • Global supply from poorest nations • Public-owned research  direct to generic production • Public ownership of knowledge
  42. Ethics Companies talk about • Growth • Profits • Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  43. Ethics Individuals talk about… • Their own personal needs • Their family and friends • Their community • The world they live in …emotion
  44. Summary• Get ready for unexpected• Go beyond market research• Grow emerging markets• Focus on Performance• Win the funding / regulator debate• And the most important thing is.....
  45. Slides: globalchange.com/ppt 12 million different visitors 1.7 million video views
  46. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50)Future of the Pharma industry : pharmaceutical trends and healthcare (2009) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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