Future of telecoms - Conference keynote speaker

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globalchange.com - Future of Telecom and Consumers. Future of communications, marketing, management, leadership, virtual teams and virtual organisations. Virtual meetings and distance learning. Future bandwidth, video streaming demand, convergence and divergence of technology. Future innovations in communication. Strategy for emerging markets and developed markets. Banks will become phone companies and telecom companies will become banks. Mobile payment systems, micropayments, mobile phone credit card transactions and loans. All innovation is divergent - doing things different and better. But most companies focus on convergence on price, quality, features. Image, branding, winning customers, online marketing and building trust. Consumer changes, preferences and lifestyles. Video conferencing and virtual teams. Winning the war for talent - motivation and leadership styles.

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Future of telecoms - Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. Patrick DixonChairman Global Change Ltd
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of telecoms - For AMDOCS (2009) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. 2009 Economic Outlook US house prices must stabilise in 2009/10 before recovery in 2010 Lending will remain frozen in many nations Expact massive increase in “money” (easing) $55 trn credit defaults next big challenge Re-valuation bank assets will take >6-12 months Expect more bank nationalisations
  4. 4. What will happen to all the cash? Money out of shares Money out of propertyEvery month cash grows from NEW pension fund savings  ????$23 trillion under management Jan 2007 in 11 major nations
  5. 5. Government Fear of Deflation Over-reaction Delayed impact of fiscal measures Big cycles of boom and bust likely to follow Economic instability  flexible strategy
  6. 6. 30 years ago100 gig of freestorage wouldhave costEU 800m each
  7. 7.  Voice , TV, data Skype, Vonage, and Yahoo Cable offering phone, tv and mobile TIVO, Wi-Max, RFID Mobile payment systems Local networks eg homes Voice recognition and cloud phones
  8. 8. ConvergenceMore features, identical products and services, economy of scale Divergence Doing things different to serve consumers better - INNOVATION
  9. 9. All innovation is divergent
  10. 10. Add Features
  11. 11. Handies got larger - again
  12. 12. Blackberry phone  services
  13. 13. Nokia  Ovi  Music + e-mail + navigation services
  14. 14. Operators making own handsets  Vodafone
  15. 15. Nintendo WiiGamesWeb browsingSocial networkingVideo streaming
  16. 16. Messaging Convergence SMS E-mail Twitter Communities Voice mail Skype Landline Mobile
  17. 17. RFID Innovation Impact Radio Frequency Identification Devices 1 trillion online addresses by 2016
  18. 18. Intel Surfboard with laptop
  19. 19. Still convergence chaos at home
  20. 20. not be enough to succeed
  21. 21.  Unlimited bandwidth Everywhere, online, all the time No interest in HOW bandwidth arrives Simple, personal, reliable and FAST Low cost
  22. 22. WiMax 70 km radius of tower Max 70kbps slower takeup than forecasts 800k users in US end 2007 Sprint $5bn investment
  23. 23. 3G slower takeoff than forecasts
  24. 24. HDTV by satellite3x increase in next 4 years
  25. 25. Mobile Satellite Services: 60% data  80%
  26. 26. Satellite TV and Digital Radio75% of total satellite services  50% by ?
  27. 27. Global bandwidthGrew 43% pa 2003-2007Two 27 year oldsresponsible for 10% of allweb traffic this year
  28. 28. "Perfection!, Wonderful hotel. Goodvalue, beautiful views.“ Telford UK, May20, 2015This was the most beautiful hotel“Worst hotel I have ever been in. Shouldbe closed down.“Paris May 12, 2015NEVER stay in this terrible place.
  29. 29. Impact of Video on Demand
  30. 30. 2 hour video = 200,000 text e-mails 1 gig / hour per person
  31. 31. Olympics Opening (US views)2008 – 8m  20m 2012
  32. 32. Total global bandwidth 160 tbps by 2010 250 tbps in 2016 (250m video plays) Energy: 2.7 trillion KwHs 2015 (1.3 trillion KwHs 2010)
  33. 33.  75% European – Asia capacity lost – 3 weeks 35 large ships constantly repairing cables 65 Atlantic repairs alone in 2014
  34. 34. Future Demand for Satellites
  35. 35. Spam volume 2011 – 95% e-mails
  36. 36. Maps andSocial Linkmake mostmoney out of mobile Web 2.0
  37. 37. Vodafone Amex Nokia Google
  38. 38. Mobile phone becomes bank cardAll retail cards  mobileTicketing  mobileRemittances  mobile
  39. 39. UK Card market Transactions £700 billion pa Credit card debt £55bn
  40. 40. Monthly Bill v Fees(replace cards with mobile device)Free devices / web / video 2010 2013 2015
  41. 41. Ultimate slogan for 2020 For individuals For family For community For whole world
  42. 42. Patrick Dixon www.globalchange.com - slides11 million visitors – 1 million video views
  43. 43. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of telecoms - For AMDOCS (2009) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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