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Future of risk management - Conference keynote speaker

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http://www.globalchange.com Risk management, managing uncertainty, economy. Future of Euro, Greece, Italy, Ireland, Spain, Portugal. Risk of defaults on government debt and impacts on bank solvency, …

http://www.globalchange.com Risk management, managing uncertainty, economy. Future of Euro, Greece, Italy, Ireland, Spain, Portugal. Risk of defaults on government debt and impacts on bank solvency, contagion of global banking system. Future of Eurozone and European Union. Economist trends, wild cards, black swans, agile leadership. Reputational risk, financial risk, business disruption, supply chain risk, sudden events, climate risks, political risks, marketing risk, exchange rate risks, credit or banking risis, inflation risks, deflation risks, competitor risk and legal or compliance risk. Change management - leadership styles to change teams, structures, processes, organisations, businesses. Take hold of your future: emotions. Lessons from the past in trends analysis, growth strategies, leadership training, motivational speaker. Patrick Dixon biography, bio, cv - ranked one of world's 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50 2005) Great events change people: 4,500 event organisers(MPI. Keynote conference speaker (MPI).Future corporate events: motivational leadership programmes, executive education, team development, innovation seminars, strategy workshops, consumer groups, marketing forums, competitor analysis think tanks, team building exercises and motivational client events. Effective management depends on great communication of leadership vision, mission and strategy. Future of banks, banking, insurance, health, technology, social media, advertising, telecom, mobile phones, smartphones, e-commerce, retail, manufacturing, logistics, supply chain management, oil industry, energy, environment, green tech, pharmaceutical industry, education, government trends, regulation, compliance, human resources. Conference organisation and event planning. Great leadership speeches, motivational tools for team leadership, and how to communicate with large audiences. Change management, business transformation and vision building. Video by keynote conference speaker and Futurist Patrick Dixon. How to motivate business leaders for high performance, profitability and shareholder value. Industry trends for successful events in banking, banks, financial services, investments and fund management, insurance, retail, manufacturing, logistics, services, advertising brands, marketing, aviation, travel, transport, tourism, construction and real estate, government and non profit organisations, energy, sustainability, sustainable innovation, green technology, open innovation, crowdsourcing, outsourcing, food and drink / beverages, fast-moving goods (FMG), IT and communications, mobile phones, smart phones, satellite, entertainment industry, music industry, media, public relatiions, human resources, change management, strategy, risk management and other sectors. Secrets of successful corporate events, and how to give a great, inspiring, uplifting, encouraging, powerful CEO keynote speech. Effective executive education, programme development and mana

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  • 1. The Future of Risk ManagementDr Patrick Dixon – Chairman Global Change Ltd
  • 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of risk management (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  • 3. The Greatest Risk of All• Eg Nestle
  • 4. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical
  • 5. Fast Risk from Impatience• Time pressure• Irrational action• Short cuts• Lethal mistakes• PROCEDURES
  • 6. Wild Cards – Managing UncertaintyLow probability, high impact risks – many
  • 7. Asymmetric Risks• Cyber attack on Estonia• Suicide bomber in City of London bank HQ• Sub-prime contagion
  • 8. Sovereign Wealth Funds• >$3 trillion already – exchange rate risks• Far larger than hedge funds
  • 9. Health: Truth about global risk from new viruses• New viruses all the time in nature and in research• Major risks of more mutations like Bird Flu or Sars in China / Far East
  • 10. Future risk from rapid changes in emotion
  • 11. Fast Risk from trusting market research  Shows what people think today but they will behave differently tomorrow!
  • 12. This ad was banned on UK TV! Why?
  • 13. Fast A news story can destroy a fund in a week TRUST at RISK Hard to gain Easy to lose Managing reputational risk Strong systems and values Open and humble when wrong
  • 14. Truth about Retail Investment Funds• Yield after charges often very low• Many fund managers unwilling to invest own money in retail funds• Many in the industry say their own products are not worth investing in
  • 15. Risk of major unrest from growing gap between rich and poor
  • 16. How many people would it take to stop oil production in Nigeria?
  • 17. Contrasts are Growing
  • 18. Ageing Risks 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
  • 19. 75% of all US / UK wealthowned by over 65s – mostly women Premium Everything
  • 20. Urban Risks from longer living
  • 21. Grow New Teeth• Pigs teeth grown inside rats
  • 22. Urban Successful Heart repair • Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass • Improves heart function up to 85%
  • 23. Animal BrainRepair AfterStroke
  • 24. Spinal cord repaired in rats and humans• Treatment with adult human stem cells
  • 25. Live to 150years old?
  • 26. We will copy animals that don’t age Turtles, sturgeon fish , some humpback whales
  • 27. Tribal Risk of Global Clash  One culture ?  Same values ?  Global branding ?
  • 28. Tribal Tribalism conflictsPalestinian landKosovo / BosniaNorthern IrelandBasque separatistsChechnya / IraqRwanda / BurundiBlack / White
  • 29. Risk from growing tensions in EUbetween local identity / regional power• Tribalism – we are all different• Universalism – we are all one Tribal risks will affect all large corporations and major investment
  • 30. Global Universal Brands - Success?
  • 31. Eat or be Eaten Risks of being stampeded into mergers oracquisitions and then break-ups
  • 32. Urban 140,000 IT professionals work in Bangalore – 20,000 more than in Silicon Valley
  • 33. • Community takes over the web• Started Feb 2005• No advertising• 400 million videos viewed a day• 12 months later bought for $1.6bn
  • 34. …Who Trusts Online Advertising?• What do you believe on Google? –Paid adverts? –Google listings?
  • 35. Hotel Information• Directory • Online Community – Official listing – Consumer – Sounds wonderful comments – Zero reality check – Real stories – Total picture – Zero trust – Total trust
  • 36. • "Perfection!," A TripAdvisor Member, Pittsburgh, May 2, 2005 This was the most beautiful hotel I have ever stayed in! Just perfect. Service was also perfect. We... "The Money is worth it for the great memories!," A TripAdvisor Member, Chicago, IL, Apr 27, 2005 This was an incredible honeymoon stay! I am a diamond member, so we used points for our stay, but I...
  • 37. Radical Single Issue Politics Old Party Politics New Issues World view Narrow agenda Systematic Campaign History New causes Tradition Radical Left / Right Sometimes irrational
  • 38. Radical Single Issues Capital Adequacy US / global Environment Global Transparency US / Europe Genetic Revolution Germany National owner energy Russia
  • 39. Global village has become a lawless city – no police or city government Globalisation 4-6 billion people live in global city Global Law Gap International Governance / UN 2000
  • 40. Compliance with every regulation today could put you out of business - Insider dealing was thought smart –- Bribes were set against corporation tax -
  • 41. Sustainability
  • 42. 3 years ago how many leaderswere talking about global warming?
  • 43. Climate Risks
  • 44. CO2 at highest level for 1 million years
  • 45. Carbon Boom and Bust Risks
  • 46. Who cares about your risk strategy? Does it really matter to them?
  • 47. Crisis of Purpose at Work• 90% of 30-40 year olds want to leave conventional business jobs• 60% of 25-35 year olds feel unfulfilled in careers• 90% are looking for a higher purpose at work• 59% say they seen no meaningful purpose in their work or organisation
  • 48. Ethical Companies will change how they talk• Growth• Profits• Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  • 49. Ethical Individuals will still talk about • Personal happiness • Family and friends • Community • World we all live in …emotion
  • 50. The basis of all risk management
  • 51. • Fast / Urban / Universal• Tribal / Radical / Ethical• Slides:• Globalchange.com/ppt
  • 52. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of risk management (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.