Future of Real estate and Estate agents - Conference keynote speaker

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http://www.globalchange.com - Real estate investment trends, real estate outsourcing, infrastructure decisions, leasing, security, energy conservation, building lifetime, construction industry and multinational HQs. Location, airport hubs, logistics and other real estate issues. Factory sites, industrial parks, environmental issues. Real estate risks and managing real estate market shocks. Ethical issues in real estate: construction, demolition, eco footprint and global warming. Corporate real estate future investment return on equity, gearing and financing. Specific real estate issues in India, China, Australia, Europe and the US

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Future of Real estate and Estate agents - Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of Real estate and Estate agents (2011) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. 60,000  50,000 Estate Agentsin single year – what of the future?
  4. 4. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical Vision  Trends  Strategy  Tactics
  5. 5. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  6. 6. Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million  Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
  7. 7. 10% Cleveland homes repossessed1 in 146 homes new action in Nevada744,000 homeless in July 2008 – Las Vegas Bus Tour
  8. 8. Australia Interest Rates – Flat  Fall ?
  9. 9. Unnofficial inflation targets rising globally
  10. 10. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  11. 11. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  12. 12. Chance of 2 in 30 people sharing same birthday
  13. 13. Chance of 2 in 50 people sharing same birthday
  14. 14. Chance of 2 in 57 people sharing same birthday
  15. 15. The future will be shaped by emotion
  16. 16. Fast Who wants to wait? Convenience consumers Cash rich, time poor Web world makes us impatient  Checkout / lift One-stop convenience
  17. 17. Overtaken by EventsCorporate Real Estate will be a survival issue  New mergers or reorganisations before you finish a combined HQ  Requirements constantly changing  New technologies and standards shorten life of offices to < 15 years  SO….. Keep all your options open
  18. 18. 1 billionchildren in Asiaand Africa willsoon beconsumers34% of Malaysiapopulation is under theage of 15  9 millionnew adults
  19. 19. 300 million  cities in China by 2020
  20. 20. China move to cities hardly begun
  21. 21. Commodity Prices – Demographics Link
  22. 22. 260m tons of iron ore pa  ChinaA$256bn Australian commodity exportsA$85 billion China  Australia tradeBut China only around 20% exports
  23. 23. 160,000 babies pa
  24. 24.  Glenden 1:23 men to women 120,000 missing young men
  25. 25. 66% of over 50s in Asia by 205081 million now over 60 in IndiaBig impact on China growth
  26. 26. Japan women 1 year more in 4
  27. 27. 75% of all US and UK wealth owned by those over 65
  28. 28. 1 millionvoters over90 years oldin Italy by2026
  29. 29. Can we stop ageing ?
  30. 30. We will copy animals that don’t age Turtles, sturgeon fish , some humpback whales
  31. 31. People like to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyPersonal broker
  32. 32. Every strong brand creates a tribe
  33. 33. 85% of 5.3bn will access web in 2011
  34. 34. 300,000 apps7 bn downloads
  35. 35. Brand values opportunity
  36. 36. “Perfection!, Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views.“ Brisbane, May 13, 2011 This was the most beautiful hotel. Lovely staff…. “Worst hotel I have ever beenin. Should be closeddown.“ Adelaide, April 10,2011NEVER stay in this terrible
  37. 37. Radical New Shape of Politics Old Party Politics New Issues World view Narrow agenda Systematic Campaign History New causes Tradition Radical Left / Right Sometimes irrational
  38. 38. Sustainability
  39. 39. Global Warming - facts
  40. 40. Heat Pumps <EU30bn pa 70% new buildings in Sweden 45% new buildings in New Zealand 30% new buildings in Switzerland Up to 50% energy savings Payback 15 years but boosts electricity demand
  41. 41. Make Buildings Last30% + of lifetime energy use = build and demolish
  42. 42. Build to Last 30% building energy is construct and demolish
  43. 43. E-Crete Concrete industry = 5-7% global CO2 Geoplymers such as E-crete (power station ash)  Jannie Van Deventer, University of Melbourne, founder Zeobond.
  44. 44. Green Roofs
  45. 45. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power use
  46. 46. Solar Cells = $500 / ton savedbut costs will fall fast towards10c / KwH in hot countries
  47. 47. Consumers need to understand thereality
  48. 48. Local Water Permit Trading Smart irrigation control Drip irrigation Central leak detection 1000 cubic metres for $360
  49. 49. Ethical Companies will change how they talk Growth Profits Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  50. 50. For individualsFor familyFor communityFor whole earthGlobalchange.com/ppt
  51. 51. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical Vision  Trends  Strategy  Tactics
  52. 52. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of Real estate and Estate agents (2011) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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