Future of pulp, packaging and paper industries - Conference keynote speaker

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globalchange.com - Futurist conference speaker - industry trends. Future trends in paper and packaging industry- entire 30 minute presentation. Paper and packaging industry. Future of sustainable packaging, paper, logistics. Demographics, digital impact, distribution and destiny. Demographics 1 billion new consumers. Emerging markets growth and demand for commodities / resources / paper and cardboard. Growth of emerging middle class and paper products growth. Oil price rises, growing populations, food supply, growth of meat eaters, shortage of grain, rice, wheat, soya. Energy shortage and conservation. Developed world population decline -- e.g. Germany, small families and ageing population, decline unless migration / immigration. France, Portugal, Spain, UK demographic challenges in European Union. Expect huge immigration, populations shifts. Video on future of paper and packaging industry by Patrick Dixon, author Futurewise, conference keynote speaker. Economic and population growth with decline in developed nations creates future differences in paper demand. India and China paper use compared to America / US and EU -- 300kg paper use per year compared to 4kg in India. Emerging economies growth in paper and cardboard packaging. India paper consumption trends. Energy costs impact on pulp, paper, cardboard and packaging industries, future manufacturing, supply chain management and logistics. Future oil price trends. Global energy savings. Impact on paper industry -- Future of newspapers and newsprint industry in US, UK, Australia, Japan, France and rest of EU. Fall of newspaper revenues, rise of online advertising revenues. Growth of magazines. Growth of newspapers in India -- 5,500 titles and 25 million new newspaper readers in last 24 months alone. Digital impact on newspapers, direct mail and paper industry. Future of communications -- does paper have a future? Future has more paper in it than people think. Why the future is about emotion and how consumers actually feel. Emotional pull of books and paper media. Touch and feel of books. Video on future of paper and packaging industry by Patrick Dixon, author Futurewise, conference keynote speaker. Why market research often gives wrong answers about the future. Future of handwriting. Future of Yellow Pages and paper directories. Future of direct mail and paper letters. Future of books and why book sales will continue to do well. Challenge to save energy, protect environment. Why paper communicates data faster to human eye than digital screens -- lower resolution and lower contrast. Why printing big reports is faster to read than on-line. Future of screens. Why rapid scanning of text will be a primary leadership skill. Distribution and packaging -- minimising waste. Easy, cheap, strong and light -- competition with plastics packaging. Easier to justify sustainability. RFID packaging and scanning of products. Printing aerials with conducting ink. Rapid growth of RFIDs in supply chain management, lo

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Future of pulp, packaging and paper industries - Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. Take Hold of Your FutureTrends in Paper and CardboardDr Patrick Dixon – Chairman Global Change Ltd
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of pulp, packaging and paper industries (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. 1 billion childrenin Africa and Asia join market for paper and cardboard
  4. 4. Growth of Middle Class• 100m  600m in India alone over 20 years > $6,000 a year income
  5. 5. Expect 2% growth pa paper industryglobally  2020: driven mainly by Asia
  6. 6. Paper: growth and decline• U.S. citizen > 300 kgms of paper pa• Developed nations paper use fell 6% 2000-5• India 4 kgms• 20 African nations <1kgm
  7. 7. India: 25 million new readers ofnewspapers or magazines in last two years 5500 newspapers in India
  8. 8. The future is alsoabout emotion
  9. 9. Emotional Attachment to Paper Paper use increase in many offices despite e-mail
  10. 10. Paper = faster read (eye data)
  11. 11. Cardboard will dominate global trade
  12. 12. Instant information  peace of mind online tracking, accurate, detailed
  13. 13. Intelligent Paper – RFID in Euros and Dollars
  14. 14. Everycartontagged
  15. 15. Global Warming - facts
  16. 16. Offsets?• 4th highest level of CO2 of US industries• 40 gigajoules of energy to generate 1 metric ton of finished paper• 1 ton coal = 3.66 tons CO2 = 22 gigajoules• 2 tons of coal for one ton finished paper.• 7.3 tons CO2 per ton finished paper• But 50-66% of energy used is recovered in the process of making paper in efficient kraft recovery mills
  17. 17. The ultimate paper and board slogan• For individuals – cost, convenience, speed• For family – people close to you• For community – neighbourhood / nation• For the whole earth – the good of all
  18. 18. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of pulp, packaging and paper industries (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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