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• Body Level One
• Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
• Body Level Four
• Body Level Five
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Dr Patrick Di...
do things you really believe in
Life	
  is	
  Short	
  	
  
• Body Level One	

• Body Level Two	

• Body Level Three	

• Body Level Four	

• Body Level Five
Who	
  cares	
  about	
  ...
• Body Level One	

• Body Level Two	

• Body Level Three	

• Body Level Four	

• Body Level Five
All	
  leadership	
  
com...
!
One word will
dominate ALL
FUTURE !
The future is about
EMOTION
Title Text
!
Strategies often
overtaken by events
!
World can change faster than
you can hold a board meeting
WGP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  (%,constant	
  prices)	
  
US	
  GDP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  	
  
(%,constant	
  prices)	
  
EU	
  GDP	
  1980-­‐2013	
  	
  
(%,constant	
  prices)	
  
Vietnam	
  GDP	
  1985-­‐2011	
  
>40%	
  WDP	
  in	
  Asia	
  by	
  2015
—IMF	
  -­‐	
  adjusted	
  for	
  Purchasing	
  Power	
  Parity	
  
—50%	
  popu...
$3.4	
  trillion	
  	
  
!
Buy	
  mines	
  and	
  mining	
  rights
$2.4	
  trillion	
  	
  
!
Reserves	
  
 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Growth of Middle Class in Africa
250m people - $2 trillion by 2040
!
300 million move to cities in China
(66% of all seabourne trade in iron ore)
475 million to cities in Africa by 2030
!
!
!...
!
Europe Dying
!
4 couples to
produce single
great-grand
child
!
Title Text
• Body Level One
– Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
– Body Level Four
» Body Level Five
!
Most	
  STEM	
  graduates	
  in	
  emerging	
  markets	
  
China	
  and	
  India	
  dominate	
  
STEM	
  degrees	
  	
  
including	
  post-­‐graduate	
  /	
  PhDs
Title Text
• Body Level One
– Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
– Body Level Four
» Body Level Five
•Pigs	
  teeth	
  grown	
  inside	
  rats	
  
•Mice	
  grow	
  new	
  teeth	
  from	
  nerve	
  cells	
  /	
  gum
Grow New...
49
• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories
• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
Monk...
Slow or no ageing is a reality in animals
Japan women gain 15 minutes of life expectancy every hour
• Rockfish, Turtles, so...
1	
  trillion	
  pages	
  a	
  month	
  
!
People love Cities and Offices
TeleworkingOnly 2.5% of US workers are exclusively home-based
60% UK office workers have opportunity to work from
home reg...
Diversity	
  in	
  
workplace	
  leads	
  to	
  
diversity	
  in	
  
marketplace	
  
85%	
  of	
  leaders	
  of	
  largest	
  US	
  corporaVons	
  
say	
  diversity	
  is	
  key	
  to	
  innovaVon
Forbes	
  ...
 How	
  many	
  militants	
  	
  to	
  shut	
  down	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
...
Tribal Gas / Energy
!
Scale - Innovation Speed
!
Eat	
  or	
  be	
  Eaten
How	
  commodity	
  wealth	
  can	
  strangle	
  economies
UN study: exchange rate rises so other business uncompetitive, ...
Nearshoring	
  Boom	
  
 11%	
  wage	
  inflaVon	
  in	
  China	
  in	
  2013	
  and	
  2014	
  
e-­‐commerce	
  hits	
  $1.5	
  trillion	
  2014	
  
12%	
  all	
  UK	
  retail
MOBILEMobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013
50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
Internet of
Things
90% all global data
generated in
last 2 years
!
Sales of canned food
in Mexico store =
demand for more
steel tins in China...
Future	
  of	
  Household	
  
Appliances	
  and	
  
RoboVcs	
  ?
Rio Tinto driverless trucks - 130 million tons of material	

2.3m kms, >57 trips around the equator.
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom
driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
!
!
“EU	
  emissions	
  of	
  CO2	
  
equivalent	
  to	
  a	
  carpet	
  of	
  	
  
CO2	
  =	
  28cmsthick	
  each	
  year...
Shale gas 33%
US supplies
3.3m US jobs
$468bn pa + more oil
produced than Saudi by 2020
!
200 years global supply
Up from ...
5	
  coal	
  plants	
  replace	
  with	
  gas	
  =	
  9000	
  megawa>s	
  wind
!
57	
  closed	
  in	
  US	
  in	
  2012-­‐...
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day

7,000 times total power use
Solar cell generation parity
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day

7,000 times total global power use
Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
Why China will domi...
!
•10% capacity used 4 days a year in Australia
•Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr
Managing	
  Peak	
  Power	
  	
  
Germany	
  Power	
  Surplus
!
• In	
  June	
  2013	
  electricity	
  prices	
  became	
  negaVve	
  -­‐EU150	
  /	
  MWhr
•Future for next-generation Super-Grids
Nuclear	
  energy	
  -­‐	
  expect	
  global	
  growth….
—Challenge to achieve carbon reductionAND cut nuclear
—Wild car...
—30 million acres lost
!
—EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food
25% of 2010 US grain ! fuel

!84
40% US corn burnt in vehi...
!85 Biofuel impact on food prices
do things you really believe in
Life	
  is	
  Short	
  	
  
image can be “dirty, dangerous, destructive, corrupt”
commodity extraction creates many ethical challenges
Ethical	
  Mini...
Social	
  Contract	
  
Teams	
  in	
  top	
  half	
  of	
  Engagement	
  
86% more likely to have better customer metrics	

70% more likely to ha...
Lesson	
  from	
  Non-­‐Profits	
  and	
  AcVvists	
  
!
Connect	
  with	
  all	
  the	
  passions	
  people	
  
have	
  an...
!
!
Building	
  a	
  Be?er	
  World
The	
  Magic	
  of	
  every	
  great	
  Business
• Body Level One
• Body Level Two
• Body Level Three
• Body Level Four
• Body Level Five
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Dr Patrick Di...
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto
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Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto

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Future of Mining Industry, commodities, steel, iron ore, precious metals. Futurist keynote speaker Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto.

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Transcript of "Future of Mining - key trends - keynote by Patrick Dixon for Rio Tinto"

  1. 1. • Body Level One • Body Level Two • Body Level Three • Body Level Four • Body Level Five          Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd 
 Take  Hold  of  the  Future
  2. 2. do things you really believe in Life  is  Short    
  3. 3. • Body Level One • Body Level Two • Body Level Three • Body Level Four • Body Level Five Who  cares  about     the  new  strategy?  
  4. 4. • Body Level One • Body Level Two • Body Level Three • Body Level Four • Body Level Five All  leadership   comes  from  VISION   of  a  be?er  future  
  5. 5. ! One word will dominate ALL FUTURE !
  6. 6. The future is about EMOTION
  7. 7. Title Text
  8. 8. ! Strategies often overtaken by events ! World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
  9. 9. WGP  1980-­‐2013  (%,constant  prices)  
  10. 10. US  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
  11. 11. EU  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
  12. 12. Vietnam  GDP  1985-­‐2011  
  13. 13. >40%  WDP  in  Asia  by  2015 —IMF  -­‐  adjusted  for  Purchasing  Power  Parity   —50%  populaVon  in  India  under  25  years  old
  14. 14. $3.4  trillion     !
  15. 15. Buy  mines  and  mining  rights
  16. 16. $2.4  trillion     ! Reserves  
  17. 17.                
  18. 18. Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040 !
  19. 19. 300 million move to cities in China (66% of all seabourne trade in iron ore) 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
  20. 20. ! Europe Dying ! 4 couples to produce single great-grand child !
  21. 21. Title Text • Body Level One – Body Level Two • Body Level Three – Body Level Four » Body Level Five
  22. 22. !
  23. 23. Most  STEM  graduates  in  emerging  markets  
  24. 24. China  and  India  dominate   STEM  degrees     including  post-­‐graduate  /  PhDs
  25. 25. Title Text • Body Level One – Body Level Two • Body Level Three – Body Level Four » Body Level Five
  26. 26. •Pigs  teeth  grown  inside  rats   •Mice  grow  new  teeth  from  nerve  cells  /  gum Grow New Teeth
  27. 27. 49 • After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories • Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay Monkeys on diet live longer
  28. 28. Slow or no ageing is a reality in animals Japan women gain 15 minutes of life expectancy every hour • Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales ! • No signs of getting old
  29. 29. 1  trillion  pages  a  month   !
  30. 30. People love Cities and Offices
  31. 31. TeleworkingOnly 2.5% of US workers are exclusively home-based 60% UK office workers have opportunity to work from home regularly - but few take it (during office hours)
  32. 32. Diversity  in   workplace  leads  to   diversity  in   marketplace  
  33. 33. 85%  of  leaders  of  largest  US  corporaVons   say  diversity  is  key  to  innovaVon Forbes  study
  34. 34.  How  many  militants    to  shut  down                                                                            oil  producVon?
  35. 35. Tribal Gas / Energy
  36. 36. ! Scale - Innovation Speed ! Eat  or  be  Eaten
  37. 37. How  commodity  wealth  can  strangle  economies UN study: exchange rate rises so other business uncompetitive, military spending rises, corruption rises, instability rises
  38. 38. Nearshoring  Boom  
  39. 39.  11%  wage  inflaVon  in  China  in  2013  and  2014  
  40. 40. e-­‐commerce  hits  $1.5  trillion  2014   12%  all  UK  retail
  41. 41. MOBILEMobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
  42. 42. Internet of Things
  43. 43. 90% all global data generated in last 2 years ! Sales of canned food in Mexico store = demand for more steel tins in China Big Data
  44. 44. Future  of  Household   Appliances  and   RoboVcs  ?
  45. 45. Rio Tinto driverless trucks - 130 million tons of material 2.3m kms, >57 trips around the equator.
  46. 46. $40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
  47. 47. ! ! “EU  emissions  of  CO2   equivalent  to  a  carpet  of     CO2  =  28cmsthick  each  year   over  enVre  land  mass”   ! !
  48. 48. Shale gas 33% US supplies 3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil produced than Saudi by 2020 ! 200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years
  49. 49. 5  coal  plants  replace  with  gas  =  9000  megawa>s  wind ! 57  closed  in  US  in  2012-­‐14 Cheaper  coal  means  more  coal  will  be  burnt  in  Asia  
  50. 50. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day
 7,000 times total power use
  51. 51. Solar cell generation parity
  52. 52. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day
 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert Why China will dominate wind power industry “40% EU power = wind by 2050” Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
  53. 53. ! •10% capacity used 4 days a year in Australia •Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr Managing  Peak  Power    
  54. 54. Germany  Power  Surplus ! • In  June  2013  electricity  prices  became  negaVve  -­‐EU150  /  MWhr
  55. 55. •Future for next-generation Super-Grids
  56. 56. Nuclear  energy  -­‐  expect  global  growth…. —Challenge to achieve carbon reductionAND cut nuclear —Wild card = dirty terror bomb or another meltdown —Mining uranium in future from sea water using today’s technology
  57. 57. —30 million acres lost ! —EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food 25% of 2010 US grain ! fuel
 !84 40% US corn burnt in vehicles Using 100% US corn would only drive 25% of vehicle miles
  58. 58. !85 Biofuel impact on food prices
  59. 59. do things you really believe in Life  is  Short    
  60. 60. image can be “dirty, dangerous, destructive, corrupt” commodity extraction creates many ethical challenges Ethical  Mining    
  61. 61. Social  Contract  
  62. 62. Teams  in  top  half  of  Engagement   86% more likely to have better customer metrics 70% more likely to have low staff turnover 70% more likely to be highly productive 44% more likely to be profitable • Gallup meta-survey > 10 million people
  63. 63. Lesson  from  Non-­‐Profits  and  AcVvists   ! Connect  with  all  the  passions  people   have  and  they  will  follow  you  to  the   ends  of  the  earth,  promote  what  you  do   with  pride,  and  may  even  be  willing  to   work  for  you  for  next  to  nothing   ! ….  and  the  four  word  phrase  is  ….  
  64. 64. ! ! Building  a  Be?er  World The  Magic  of  every  great  Business
  65. 65. • Body Level One • Body Level Two • Body Level Three • Body Level Four • Body Level Five          Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd 
 globalchange.com   15  million  visitors   5  million  video  views
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