Future of logistics & supply chain management- Conference keynote speaker

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"http://www.globalchange.com Future of logistics and supply chain management for Deutsche Post and DHL. Risk of institutional blindness -- blind to opportunities and risks. Danger of missing innovation, new ideas, creative change because part of organisation too long. Provoke out of the box, fresh thinking. Managing uncertainty, unlikely events happen often because so many potential wild cards. Multinational corporations managing risk. Logistics and distribution risks critical with just in time systems, low stock, controlled inventory, warehousing, manufacturing, supply chain. Sub-prime crisis was a wild card risk. Hundreds of other risks in financial instruments, hedge funds. Contagion in globalised world. Strategy development, multiple strategies, and multiple scenarios planning for change. New mergers and acquisitions. Disruptive events such as Sars or Bird flu. Business management video by keynote conference speaker Dr Patrick Dixon, Futurist and author of 12 books on global trends including Futurewise and Building a Better Business. Future of logistics and supply chain management. Future of national post offices and postal service monopolies. DHL, Fedex and UPS global competition for just-in-time courier services. Growth of air freight, alternative delivery services. Deregulation of delivery services. Distribution and supplies of components, raw materials and finished products. Package and parcel RFID tracking technologies and RFID controversy. Road, rail, air and shipping comparative costs. Inflation and outsourcing. Overnight delivery and same day delivery services -- growing demand. Pharmacies and garages lead way. Integration of EPOS data. Planning security of supplies and risk management. Online tracking and tracing of products. Integration into global supply chain, suppliers, manufacturers, wholesalers, warehouses, retail. How technology reduce costs in distribution. Last mile. Home delivery, office and factory delivery. Video by keynote conference speaker Dr Patrick Dixon, Futurist and author of 12 books on global trends including Futurewise and Building a Better Business.
Logistics, supply chain, management, wholesale, retail, transportation, distribution, supplies, freight, courier, tracking, dhl, deutsche post, fedex, ups, manufacturing, post offices, monopoly, integration, software, data. logistics supply chain management wholesale retail transportation distribution supplies freight courier tracking dhl"

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Future of logistics & supply chain management- Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. prime time – April 15, 2008„Futurewise“ – Patrick DixonDPWN University
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of logistics & supply chain management For Deutsche post (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. Take Hold of Your FutureNext Generation Logistics and Distribution Dr Patrick Dixon for Deutsche Post World Net
  4. 4. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  5. 5. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  6. 6. SARS / Bird Flu impact on emerging economies
  7. 7. Every wild card is an unexpected sales opportunity and logistical challenge
  8. 8. Companies need to act faster• Web makes us impatient• Web very slow delivery
  9. 9. The future isFast about emotion
  10. 10. Sovereign Wealth Funds• >$3 trillion already – exchange rate risks• Far larger than hedge funds
  11. 11. Don’t believe market research
  12. 12. Tribal Keep close to your customers
  13. 13. Tribal Greater impact in a crowded marketplace • Consumers see – $1bn a month of advertising – 30,000 brand names
  14. 14. Marketsaturation
  15. 15. Future of 70 million letters a day
  16. 16. The Future of Paper Delivery?
  17. 17. Client wants a human being – not a robot!
  18. 18. Virtual Companies Grow Fast
  19. 19. Virtual Conveyor Belt
  20. 20. Total Integration
  21. 21. Expect huge growth in globaldistributors  personal delivery
  22. 22. 100% global reliability:DHL, Fedex and TNT
  23. 23. A logistical challenge• Find product online – US manufacturer• Get delivered to my home in London in 2.5 hours• 6 phone calls – UK distributor  retailer• 3 e-mails• 1 online (paypal) payment• Arrived by courier 5 minutes too late
  24. 24. Gold standard in online retailing: 6pm orders for 10am delivery up to 1,000 miles away – guaranteed
  25. 25. Gold standard:10am orders for 3pm Delivery Anywhere in same country
  26. 26. 30 minutes to pick, pack and send
  27. 27. Instant delivery system: minicabsPickup twice as fast as couriers for small packages
  28. 28. Instant information  peace of mind online tracking, accurate, detailed• Stress from untraceable shipment of books – Unknown shipment reference number
  29. 29. Online sales need to deliver almost as fast as getting into the car
  30. 30. Tesco: EU 45 million profit online food / other deliveries
  31. 31. Dealing with the last mile • Food • Amazon books • Online catalog sales • Mail • Packages • Garagenvertrag
  32. 32. Home Office• Problem of pick- up and signed- for delivery when no one is home
  33. 33. Challenge to reduce returns• 5% returns can wipe out 50% of margin• Restocking cost• Invoice adjustment• Depreciation / damage
  34. 34. Human beings are the weakest link
  35. 35. TechnicalChallengesWater and metal
  36. 36. Self-Service Mass Retail• Wal-Mart and other large chains• Automated check-out / RFID• Germany METRO Group – Future Store with “Smart Shelves” and RFID tagging of all products
  37. 37. Michelin Tyres• Truck and car tyres with embedded RFIDs already in trials• Alerting to mechanical problems but also a way to track individuals in addition to road cameras
  38. 38. Fast International Travel Industry• Tagging for passports and transport security / tickets
  39. 39. Airline Baggage Handling - RFID
  40. 40. Shipping Inspections and Control
  41. 41. Micro-management of container spaces
  42. 42. RFIDs = Clinical Monitoring
  43. 43. “A free big brother in every pack”
  44. 44. Sustainability
  45. 45. Global Warming - facts
  46. 46. Petrochemical Product Exchange in EU• Save $35m a year• 100 million km less truck driving• 10 million litres of fuel saved a year
  47. 47. Export Driven EconomiesCoastal Drivers of Growth
  48. 48. Universal Low Cost World of Shipping • 150 km container journey in UK by road costs more than ship from UK to Shanghai
  49. 49. Summary• Customers will expect more, faster for less• Next-generation logistics will deliver huge cost savings and gains in delivery speed• Winners will be companies with vision to invest now in well-designed integrated systems• RFID technology will transform every aspect of the supply chain
  50. 50. www.globalchange.com/ppt Patrick Dixon Slides and Videos 10 million Visitors
  51. 51. prime time – April 15, 2008Thank you for your attention!
  52. 52. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of logistics & supply chain management For Deutsche post (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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