Future of Cotton Industry, Textiles, Clothing and Retail Trends

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Future of Cotton Industry, Textiles, Clothing and Retail Trends

  1. 1. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Take Hold of the Future Key trends in Textiles and Retail Text
  2. 2. — Soriana, Cencosud, Casino (CBD, Exito), Carrefour and Wal-Mart
  3. 3.  
  4. 4. Future of textiles is about SPEED
  5. 5. • Click 13
  6. 6. Shale gas 33% US supplies 3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil produced than Saudi by 2020 200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years
  7. 7. —30 million acres lost —EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food 16 30% US grain now burnt in vehicles Biofuels link energy and land / food prices
  8. 8. 18
  9. 9. WGP  1980-­‐2013  (%,constant  prices)  
  10. 10. US  GDP  1980-­‐2013   (%,constant  prices)  
  11. 11. EU  GDP  1980-­‐2013   (%,constant  prices)  
  12. 12. Vietnam  GDP  1985-­‐2011  
  13. 13. >40%  WDP  by  2015 —IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
  14. 14. 25
  15. 15. Future of textiles is about EMOTION
  16. 16. US consumers willing to pay more for 100% cotton
  17. 17. Telling a simple 10,000 year old story: Grown from land and will return to the land - absorbs moisture, breaths, feels good. 100% renewable, natural, biodegradeable. Huge improvements in land use, less water, less pesticides. 100 million farming families depend on cotton - in 80 nations
  18. 18. Future of textiles is about DEMOGRAPHICS
  19. 19. 1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years
  20. 20. Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child 0-14 years old EU 15% : Turkey 26% >65 years old EU 18% : Turkey 7%
  21. 21. 75%  of  all  US  and  UK  wealth  owned  by   those  over  65  -­‐  mostly  women
  22. 22. Future of textiles is about EMERGING MARKETS
  23. 23. 300 million move to cities in China and 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030
  24. 24. Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040
  25. 25. Emerging Middle Class Love Cotton
  26. 26. Cotton consumption (m of tons) will be dominated by emerging markets
  27. 27. Cotton in emerging markets: 96% mill use, 97% imports, 81% production, 52% exports
  28. 28. Winding down of huge China stocks of cotton
  29. 29. Future of textiles is about SCALE
  30. 30. In  many  EU  naOons,  up  to  70%  of  retail   spending  is  in  <8  companies
  31. 31. Future of textiles is about INNOVATION
  32. 32. Future of textiles is about MOBILE
  33. 33. e-­‐commerce  will  hit   $1.5  trillion  in  2014 12%  of  all  retail  in  UK
  34. 34. Mobile Retail50% of all UK online sales are using mobile Mobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013 Mobile influenced 72% of retail sales in Brazil in 2013
  35. 35. 1  trillion  pages    a                            month
  36. 36. >  200  million  mobile  payments >  70%  in  Africa     >  $160bn  
  37. 37. Kenya  -­‐  17m  customers $9bn  pa  -­‐  >33%  GDP
  38. 38. LocaOon  MarkeOng is  next BIG  THING
  39. 39. Future of textiles is about Internet of Things
  40. 40. 90% all global data generated in last 2 years Big Data
  41. 41. Future of textiles is about Fusion of Online / Offline
  42. 42. Over  4000  road  hauliers  in  EU 1.3bn  home  delivered  e-­‐com  items  in  UK   a  year  (+12%  pa)
  43. 43. Big  Returns home  delivery  -­‐  sample  dresses  in   every  size  -­‐  up  to  6  out  of  7  clothing   items  returned
  44. 44. 71 3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for deliveries
  45. 45. Gold  standard: 10am  orders  for  3pm  Delivery 10am orders for 3pm Delivery
  46. 46. Future of textiles is about SUSTAINABILITY and ETHICS
  47. 47. What is Sustainable Cotton ? •Be$er  use  of  land,  water,  transport,  energy,  labour  force •Benefit  to  environment,  communi;es  and  future  world
  48. 48. Double cotton production per acre since 1960s Impact of transgenic cotton on yields
  49. 49. Synthetic textiles - industrial oil-based product
  50. 50. •In  the  UK,  sales  of  Fairtrade  products  in  2012  reached  £1.5 •78  per  cent  of  consumers  recognise  the  FAIRTRADE  Mark •One  in  every  three  bananas  sold •44  per  cent  of  bagged  sugar  sold •25  per  cent  of  all  roast  and  ground  retail  coffee   •Fairtrade  products  are  now  sold  in  more  than  125  countries •FAIRTRADE  logo  most  widely-­‐recognised  ethical  label  globally Fair Trade Food Sales up 18% pa
  51. 51. Organic v Fair Trade Bananas
  52. 52. Supply Chain - Cotton Initiative - Cotton Made in Africa
  53. 53. Partnership Great  industry  examples  of  NGO  acOvists  as   senior  policy  advisors Key  supply  chain  partnerships Delivery  Timing  -­‐  AdapaOon  -­‐  InnovaOon   IntegraOon  -­‐  CollaboraOon  -­‐  Accountability     Transparency  -­‐  Sustainability
  54. 54. Future of textiles is about EMOTION + SPEED DEMOGRAPHICS EMERGING MARKETS INNOVATION SCALE + MOBILE FUSION OF ONLINE / OFFLINE INTERNET OF THINGS SUSTAINABILITY and ETHICS
  55. 55. •Individuals •Families •Farmers •Workers •Shareholders •Communi4es •Wide  World Clothing  for  a  Be`er  World
  56. 56. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd globalchange.com 5 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS

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