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Future Logistics, Supply Chain Management, Manufacturing, Retail, e-Commerce, offshoring, inshoring, outsourcing - Futurist Speaker - keynote by Patrick Dixon
 

Future Logistics, Supply Chain Management, Manufacturing, Retail, e-Commerce, offshoring, inshoring, outsourcing - Futurist Speaker - keynote by Patrick Dixon

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Future of logistics and supply chain management in Mexico, Latin America, global trends. Future of manufacturing, wholesale, retail trends. Distribution and disruptions in supply chain, managing ...

Future of logistics and supply chain management in Mexico, Latin America, global trends. Future of manufacturing, wholesale, retail trends. Distribution and disruptions in supply chain, managing supply chain risks. Onshoring, offshoring, outsourcing. Future of manufacturing in Mexico and China. Future global economic outlook, GDP growth in Mexico, US, European Union, China and Vietnam. Future of road haulage and trucking, tranportation by rail, air and sea. Future of container ports, shipping and transport hubs. Future of freight management, couriers, Fedex, DHL, packaging. Futurist speaker Patrick Dixon giving keynote to Logistic Summit and Expo 2014 in Mexico. L exposicion mas importante de logistica en Mexico. Enfassis.

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    Future Logistics, Supply Chain Management, Manufacturing, Retail, e-Commerce, offshoring, inshoring, outsourcing - Futurist Speaker - keynote by Patrick Dixon Future Logistics, Supply Chain Management, Manufacturing, Retail, e-Commerce, offshoring, inshoring, outsourcing - Futurist Speaker - keynote by Patrick Dixon Presentation Transcript

    • Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd 
 Future of Supply Chain Management and Logistics ! !
    • Complexity and scale create risks
    • ! Strategies often overtaken by events ! World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
    • Every  sudden  event  is  opportunity  and  challenge
    • 85,000 combinations of door parts alone on a single model
    • ! Agility also requires Simplicity
    • Mexico  Retail  Growth  
    • Manufacturing  in  Mexico  will   grow  for  US  market  
    • Nearshoring  Boom
    •  11%  wage  inflaAon  in  China   in  2013  -­‐  expect  similar  in  2014   Bank  of  America
    •  Impact  of  stronger  Chinese  currency     and  tougher  polluAon  controls
    • $3.4  trillion   ! $2    trillion
    • WGP  1980-­‐2013  (%,constant  prices) Diversity  to  seize   global  markets
    • US  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
    • EU  GDP  1980-­‐2013     (%,constant  prices)  
    • Vietnam  GDP  1985-­‐2011  
    • >40% WDP by 2015 — IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity
    • 300 million move to cities in China and! 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
    • Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040 !
    • ! Middle  Class   ! LaAn  America  -­‐  50  million  more  people  in  last  10  years   ! Mexico:      44  million  -­‐  39%  populaAon   ! Brazil:    113  million  -­‐  56%  populaAon   ! !  
    • • Soriana, Cencosud, Casino (CBD, Exito), Carrefour and Wal-Mart
    • The future is about EMOTION
    • !
    • Gold standard:
 10am orders for 3pm Delivery
 Anywhere in same country 10am  orders  for  3pm   Delivery
    • 70m  people  online  in  Mexico  (58%)   88m  in  Brazil  (46%)   28m  in  ArgenAna  (67%)   10m  in  Chile  (59%)   10m  in  Peru  (34%)  
    • Most  people  in  LaAn  America  are  not  BUYING  online  yet,  BUT....   Global  e-­‐commerce  $1.5  trillion  in  2014      -­‐    $100bn  in  LaAn  America     $6.2bn  in  Mexico  led  by  tradiAonal  retailers  -­‐  40%  growth  in  2012   12%  of  all  retail  is  online  in  UK
    • ! Online Sales per user ! Latin America: $578 Mexico: $854 Brazil: $717 Argentina $380 ! ! Pay-Pal survey 52%  of  online  users  in     Mexico  have  bought  with  Pay-­‐Pal  
    • Mobile6m  new  mobile  users  in  Mexico  in  2014   28%  populaAon  -­‐  highest  in  LaAn  America   30m  smartphones  -­‐  up  49%  last  year   60%  of  25-­‐34  year  olds  using  smartphones  
    • Mobile RetailMobile influenced $29bn of retail sales in UK in 2013 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
    • Online / physical worlds become one in Brazil ! 50% research online - buy in store 40% research in store - buy online 89% want digital information in store ! Buy online - deliver to store Buy in store - deliver at home
    • Over 4000 road hauliers in EU 1.3bn  home  delivered  e-­‐com   items  in  UK  a  year  (+12%  pa)
    • 53 3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for deliveries
    • Internet of Things
    • 90% all global data generated in last 2 years ! Sales of canned food in Mexico store = demand for more steel tins in China Big Data
    • Global  Warming  -­‐  factsDoing  More  with  Less
    • 150kms by road can cost more than 10,000kms by sea
    • 59
    • Rail up to 10 times energy efficient than road
    • $226bn on Mexico rail, road, ports since 2006 SUPER HUBS
    • >30%  energy  savings  with  green  tech
    • 63 Tyres  –  4.3%        Streamlining  –  12%      1.5  metres  longer  –  5%   Hybrid  engine  –  30%      Heat  power  air  con  ec  –  5%   Shocks    power  –  4%          Slow  from  65  to  55mph    -­‐  20%   SAVE  ENERGY  ON  EVERY  TRUCK   !
    • 30% EU trucks run empty “We  waste     25  million    miles  a  year     driving  empty   trucks”     ! US  major  retailer  
    • ! Future Supply Chains in Mexico ! Uncertainty and complexity will mean shorter supply chains China / Asia costs will rise fast Huge benefit for Mexico supplying US Future of retail will change in Mexico E-commerce will impact supply chains Internet of Things and Big Data Huge opportunities to save energy / cost !
    • Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Future of Supply Chain Management and Logistics ! ! Slides and Videos globalchange.com