Christian Development in a Rapidly Changing WorldDr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd         Founder, AIDS Care Ed...
Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of    15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most  influential ...
F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical      Huge Opportunities
Supporting 2,300 children in     Zimbabwe alone
Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
Future of Iran nuclear     programme
10% Cleveland homes repossessed    1 in 146 homes new action in                Nevada – Las Vegas 744,000 homeless in July...
EU 2 trillion -10 hours
$55 trillion credit default swops  Zero regulation Zero transparency$360bn of claims soon
Hedge Funds Pull Out$43bn equities sold in  September aloneUp to $700bn may need to be sold <3 months
US and Japan Money    Comes Home  Dollar and Yen riseemerging currencies fallChina $2 trillion: action?
What will happen to all the cash?• Money out of shares• Money out of propertyEvery month cash grows  from NEW pension  fun...
Who is best able to takecurrency and inflation risks?
1 billion   childrenMost live in cityslums – leavingchurch mission    behind
China – 300m move to cities by 2020   748m in African cities by 2020 Growth of meat-eating middle class
The race to secure commodities
66% of over 50s in Asia by 2050• 81 million now  over 60 in  India• Big impact on  China growth
EuropeDying 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
75% of all US and UK wealth  owned by those over 65     Gifts after Death
Massive         growth in         high net         worth         people 5pybjo         wealth damages         their famil...
Tribal         Positive Tribalism = ValuesPeople need to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyChurchLocal decisions
Tribal         Micro-banking / Insurance                 • 7,000 microfinance                   institutions              ...
India: another religious conflict• Dec 2007: 100 churches destroyed Orissa• Expect ongoing religious violence – mainly  Hi...
India: 160-200m Dalits - Uprising                • Expect unrest                  and government                  changes ...
Global instability from growing gap between rich and poor
Africa growth in oil production• Already supplies  12% of world’s oil• Libya 22%• Nigeria 8th largest  oil nation• Curse o...
How many people would it take tostop all oil production in Nigeria?
Huge economic impact in Africa, Middle   East and Asia of mobile phones
Hundred Million Micro-Enterprises
Unipolar to Multipolar Inequality
Emerging Economies  China
Growth of Middle Class        • 100m  600m          in India alone          over 20 years         > $6,000 a year income
•   $4bn turnover•   $1bn profit•   40% growth in 2007•   Training 25,000 new IT graduates a year
WHY “OLD” OUTSOURCINGSTORY IN INDIA NEARLY OVER
Huge social need will remain
Church as Universal“Virtual Organisation”  clustering
Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation       88% of 200 million• Expect struggle for political power by  radical groups in Indo...
• Civilian armies in cities• Young children carrying weapons• Passionate fighters who really want to  die• People movements
Future is about Justice      • Patent breaking will increase      • Global supply from poorest        nations      • Publi...
Sustainability
Uganda cut Nile water flow by 33% to   let Lake Victoria fill up - 2006  • Water as a    commodity  • Egypt claims    82% ...
Global Warming - facts
CO2 and Earth Temperature                                                                                    Future?Dip eq...
Bangladesh: climate threat• Expect blame for plight of millions to be  placed on worst polluters – flooding and  diaster
Carbon Neutral• Offset energy• Offset project  travel – DON’T STOP
Cost of making every flight carbon neutral is v low                £4 – 1 hour flight               £30 – 9 hour flight
Government Action (EU)• Subsidies  – 58% for fossil fuels  – 29% for nuclear• Regulations• Will impact energy markets for ...
Why Biofuels Are No Answer
18% of 2008 US grain  fuel• 20 million acres lost• 33% 2007 corn crop   fuel• EU also 5% gasoline and  diesel from food ...
33 nations threatened with instability – World bank
Morocco, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Mauritania, Niger, Uzbekistan,            Senegal, Haiti, Bolivia Indonesia• Cameroon 24 peopl...
“Crime against humanity”• “The United States and the European Union  have taken “criminal path” by contributing to  explos...
Ethical          Crisis of Purpose at Work • 90% of 30-40 year olds want to leave   conventional business jobs • 60% of 25...
Ethics         Companies talk about • Growth • Profits • Shareholder value   ( + customers…)
Ethics         Individuals talk about…              • Their own personal                needs              • Their family ...
Called to Make a Difference
Ultimate slogan•   For individuals – your own needs•   For family – people close to you•   For community – neighbourhood o...
Slides: globalchange.com/ppt          11 million different visitorsFast, Urban,And UniversalOrRadical, EthicalAnd Tribal ?
Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of    15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most  influential ...
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world  - Conference keynote speaker
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Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world - Conference keynote speaker

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http://www.globalchange.com - Change your life and strengthen your organisation. Building a Better World by building a better organisation. Show how you make a difference in peoples lives . Leadership - motivational leadership styles, leadership skills, leadership quotes, management tools. Biggest ethical test for every culture and every nation: creating a better world, improving life for people. Core value to drive every political debate, underwrites all laws, basis of all team leadership impossible to lead effectively for long without this principle: will the world be a better place as a result of this activity or not? Keys to reputation and motivation. Applies to leadership and team management in every organisation, including NGOs, Agencies, banks, banking, retail, communication, technology, phone companies, logistics, travel, tourism, freight, manufacturing, health care, pharmaceutical industry, innovation, product development, research, construction, real estate investment, fund management, investment banking and energy, transport and aviation. Whose world? Fundamental principle. If everyone or every organisation followed this example, would the world be a better place?

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Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world - Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. Christian Development in a Rapidly Changing WorldDr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Founder, AIDS Care Education and Training (ACET)
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical Huge Opportunities
  4. 4. Supporting 2,300 children in Zimbabwe alone
  5. 5. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  6. 6. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  7. 7. Future of Iran nuclear programme
  8. 8. 10% Cleveland homes repossessed 1 in 146 homes new action in Nevada – Las Vegas 744,000 homeless in July 2008 Bus Tour
  9. 9. EU 2 trillion -10 hours
  10. 10. $55 trillion credit default swops Zero regulation Zero transparency$360bn of claims soon
  11. 11. Hedge Funds Pull Out$43bn equities sold in September aloneUp to $700bn may need to be sold <3 months
  12. 12. US and Japan Money Comes Home Dollar and Yen riseemerging currencies fallChina $2 trillion: action?
  13. 13. What will happen to all the cash?• Money out of shares• Money out of propertyEvery month cash grows from NEW pension fund savings  ????$23 trillion under management Jan 2007 in 11 major nations
  14. 14. Who is best able to takecurrency and inflation risks?
  15. 15. 1 billion childrenMost live in cityslums – leavingchurch mission behind
  16. 16. China – 300m move to cities by 2020 748m in African cities by 2020 Growth of meat-eating middle class
  17. 17. The race to secure commodities
  18. 18. 66% of over 50s in Asia by 2050• 81 million now over 60 in India• Big impact on China growth
  19. 19. EuropeDying 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
  20. 20. 75% of all US and UK wealth owned by those over 65 Gifts after Death
  21. 21. Massive growth in high net worth people 5pybjo wealth damages their families  Future Philanthropy
  22. 22. Tribal Positive Tribalism = ValuesPeople need to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyChurchLocal decisions
  23. 23. Tribal Micro-banking / Insurance • 7,000 microfinance institutions • 16 million accounts • >250 million benefit
  24. 24. India: another religious conflict• Dec 2007: 100 churches destroyed Orissa• Expect ongoing religious violence – mainly Hindu v Christian; Hindu v Muslim
  25. 25. India: 160-200m Dalits - Uprising • Expect unrest and government changes • Many millions quietly converting as way to exit the caste system
  26. 26. Global instability from growing gap between rich and poor
  27. 27. Africa growth in oil production• Already supplies 12% of world’s oil• Libya 22%• Nigeria 8th largest oil nation• Curse of mineral and oil wealth
  28. 28. How many people would it take tostop all oil production in Nigeria?
  29. 29. Huge economic impact in Africa, Middle East and Asia of mobile phones
  30. 30. Hundred Million Micro-Enterprises
  31. 31. Unipolar to Multipolar Inequality
  32. 32. Emerging Economies  China
  33. 33. Growth of Middle Class • 100m  600m in India alone over 20 years > $6,000 a year income
  34. 34. • $4bn turnover• $1bn profit• 40% growth in 2007• Training 25,000 new IT graduates a year
  35. 35. WHY “OLD” OUTSOURCINGSTORY IN INDIA NEARLY OVER
  36. 36. Huge social need will remain
  37. 37. Church as Universal“Virtual Organisation”  clustering
  38. 38. Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation 88% of 200 million• Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
  39. 39. • Civilian armies in cities• Young children carrying weapons• Passionate fighters who really want to die• People movements
  40. 40. Future is about Justice • Patent breaking will increase • Global supply from poorest nations • Public-owned research  direct to generic production • Public ownership of knowledge
  41. 41. Sustainability
  42. 42. Uganda cut Nile water flow by 33% to let Lake Victoria fill up - 2006 • Water as a commodity • Egypt claims 82% of Nile • 1929 treaty
  43. 43. Global Warming - facts
  44. 44. CO2 and Earth Temperature Future?Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over xsome of northern hemisphere 15,000years ago Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA
  45. 45. Bangladesh: climate threat• Expect blame for plight of millions to be placed on worst polluters – flooding and diaster
  46. 46. Carbon Neutral• Offset energy• Offset project travel – DON’T STOP
  47. 47. Cost of making every flight carbon neutral is v low £4 – 1 hour flight £30 – 9 hour flight
  48. 48. Government Action (EU)• Subsidies – 58% for fossil fuels – 29% for nuclear• Regulations• Will impact energy markets for 50 years
  49. 49. Why Biofuels Are No Answer
  50. 50. 18% of 2008 US grain  fuel• 20 million acres lost• 33% 2007 corn crop  fuel• EU also 5% gasoline and diesel from food by 2010
  51. 51. 33 nations threatened with instability – World bank
  52. 52. Morocco, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Mauritania, Niger, Uzbekistan, Senegal, Haiti, Bolivia Indonesia• Cameroon 24 people killed, 1,600 arrested• Indonesia 10,000 outside presidential palace - soya bean prices rose >50% in a month• Egypt 7 people die in fights or of exhaustion queuing for subsidised bread• Burkina Faso Riots in three towns• Guinea Five anti-government riots last 18mths• Pakistan 1000s of troops guard food trucks
  53. 53. “Crime against humanity”• “The United States and the European Union have taken “criminal path” by contributing to explosive rise in global food prices through using food crops to produce biofuels”• UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food• UN Press Release: 28 April 2008
  54. 54. Ethical Crisis of Purpose at Work • 90% of 30-40 year olds want to leave conventional business jobs • 60% of 25-35 year olds feel unfulfilled in careers • 83% say they are having a “quarter-life crisis” • 90% are looking for a higher purpose at work • 59% say they seen no meaningful purpose in their work or organisation Connect with passion to win war for talent
  55. 55. Ethics Companies talk about • Growth • Profits • Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  56. 56. Ethics Individuals talk about… • Their own personal needs • Their family and friends • Their community • The world they live in …emotion
  57. 57. Called to Make a Difference
  58. 58. Ultimate slogan• For individuals – your own needs• For family – people close to you• For community – neighbourhood or nation• For the whole earth – the good of all Leaders tell their own good news story
  59. 59. Slides: globalchange.com/ppt 11 million different visitorsFast, Urban,And UniversalOrRadical, EthicalAnd Tribal ?
  60. 60. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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