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Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world - Conference keynote speaker

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http://www.globalchange.com - Change your life and strengthen your organisation. Building a Better World by building a better organisation. Show how you make a difference in peoples lives .......

http://www.globalchange.com - Change your life and strengthen your organisation. Building a Better World by building a better organisation. Show how you make a difference in peoples lives . Leadership - motivational leadership styles, leadership skills, leadership quotes, management tools. Biggest ethical test for every culture and every nation: creating a better world, improving life for people. Core value to drive every political debate, underwrites all laws, basis of all team leadership impossible to lead effectively for long without this principle: will the world be a better place as a result of this activity or not? Keys to reputation and motivation. Applies to leadership and team management in every organisation, including NGOs, Agencies, banks, banking, retail, communication, technology, phone companies, logistics, travel, tourism, freight, manufacturing, health care, pharmaceutical industry, innovation, product development, research, construction, real estate investment, fund management, investment banking and energy, transport and aviation. Whose world? Fundamental principle. If everyone or every organisation followed this example, would the world be a better place?

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  • 1. Christian Development in a Rapidly Changing WorldDr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Founder, AIDS Care Education and Training (ACET)
  • 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  • 3. F astU rbanT ribalU niversalR adicalE thical Huge Opportunities
  • 4. Supporting 2,300 children in Zimbabwe alone
  • 5. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  • 6. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  • 7. Future of Iran nuclear programme
  • 8. 10% Cleveland homes repossessed 1 in 146 homes new action in Nevada – Las Vegas 744,000 homeless in July 2008 Bus Tour
  • 9. EU 2 trillion -10 hours
  • 10. $55 trillion credit default swops Zero regulation Zero transparency$360bn of claims soon
  • 11. Hedge Funds Pull Out$43bn equities sold in September aloneUp to $700bn may need to be sold <3 months
  • 12. US and Japan Money Comes Home Dollar and Yen riseemerging currencies fallChina $2 trillion: action?
  • 13. What will happen to all the cash?• Money out of shares• Money out of propertyEvery month cash grows from NEW pension fund savings  ????$23 trillion under management Jan 2007 in 11 major nations
  • 14. Who is best able to takecurrency and inflation risks?
  • 15. 1 billion childrenMost live in cityslums – leavingchurch mission behind
  • 16. China – 300m move to cities by 2020 748m in African cities by 2020 Growth of meat-eating middle class
  • 17. The race to secure commodities
  • 18. 66% of over 50s in Asia by 2050• 81 million now over 60 in India• Big impact on China growth
  • 19. EuropeDying 4 couples needed toproduce just one great- grandchild
  • 20. 75% of all US and UK wealth owned by those over 65 Gifts after Death
  • 21. Massive growth in high net worth people 5pybjo wealth damages their families  Future Philanthropy
  • 22. Tribal Positive Tribalism = ValuesPeople need to belongSense of identityCommunityFamilyChurchLocal decisions
  • 23. Tribal Micro-banking / Insurance • 7,000 microfinance institutions • 16 million accounts • >250 million benefit
  • 24. India: another religious conflict• Dec 2007: 100 churches destroyed Orissa• Expect ongoing religious violence – mainly Hindu v Christian; Hindu v Muslim
  • 25. India: 160-200m Dalits - Uprising • Expect unrest and government changes • Many millions quietly converting as way to exit the caste system
  • 26. Global instability from growing gap between rich and poor
  • 27. Africa growth in oil production• Already supplies 12% of world’s oil• Libya 22%• Nigeria 8th largest oil nation• Curse of mineral and oil wealth
  • 28. How many people would it take tostop all oil production in Nigeria?
  • 29. Huge economic impact in Africa, Middle East and Asia of mobile phones
  • 30. Hundred Million Micro-Enterprises
  • 31. Unipolar to Multipolar Inequality
  • 32. Emerging Economies  China
  • 33. Growth of Middle Class • 100m  600m in India alone over 20 years > $6,000 a year income
  • 34. • $4bn turnover• $1bn profit• 40% growth in 2007• Training 25,000 new IT graduates a year
  • 35. WHY “OLD” OUTSOURCINGSTORY IN INDIA NEARLY OVER
  • 36. Huge social need will remain
  • 37. Church as Universal“Virtual Organisation”  clustering
  • 38. Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation 88% of 200 million• Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia
  • 39. • Civilian armies in cities• Young children carrying weapons• Passionate fighters who really want to die• People movements
  • 40. Future is about Justice • Patent breaking will increase • Global supply from poorest nations • Public-owned research  direct to generic production • Public ownership of knowledge
  • 41. Sustainability
  • 42. Uganda cut Nile water flow by 33% to let Lake Victoria fill up - 2006 • Water as a commodity • Egypt claims 82% of Nile • 1929 treaty
  • 43. Global Warming - facts
  • 44. CO2 and Earth Temperature Future?Dip equivalent to 0.5 mile of ice over xsome of northern hemisphere 15,000years ago Source: „Vostok“ (Antarctica) ice cores, World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA, Boulder, CO, USA
  • 45. Bangladesh: climate threat• Expect blame for plight of millions to be placed on worst polluters – flooding and diaster
  • 46. Carbon Neutral• Offset energy• Offset project travel – DON’T STOP
  • 47. Cost of making every flight carbon neutral is v low £4 – 1 hour flight £30 – 9 hour flight
  • 48. Government Action (EU)• Subsidies – 58% for fossil fuels – 29% for nuclear• Regulations• Will impact energy markets for 50 years
  • 49. Why Biofuels Are No Answer
  • 50. 18% of 2008 US grain  fuel• 20 million acres lost• 33% 2007 corn crop  fuel• EU also 5% gasoline and diesel from food by 2010
  • 51. 33 nations threatened with instability – World bank
  • 52. Morocco, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Mauritania, Niger, Uzbekistan, Senegal, Haiti, Bolivia Indonesia• Cameroon 24 people killed, 1,600 arrested• Indonesia 10,000 outside presidential palace - soya bean prices rose >50% in a month• Egypt 7 people die in fights or of exhaustion queuing for subsidised bread• Burkina Faso Riots in three towns• Guinea Five anti-government riots last 18mths• Pakistan 1000s of troops guard food trucks
  • 53. “Crime against humanity”• “The United States and the European Union have taken “criminal path” by contributing to explosive rise in global food prices through using food crops to produce biofuels”• UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food• UN Press Release: 28 April 2008
  • 54. Ethical Crisis of Purpose at Work • 90% of 30-40 year olds want to leave conventional business jobs • 60% of 25-35 year olds feel unfulfilled in careers • 83% say they are having a “quarter-life crisis” • 90% are looking for a higher purpose at work • 59% say they seen no meaningful purpose in their work or organisation Connect with passion to win war for talent
  • 55. Ethics Companies talk about • Growth • Profits • Shareholder value ( + customers…)
  • 56. Ethics Individuals talk about… • Their own personal needs • Their family and friends • Their community • The world they live in …emotion
  • 57. Called to Make a Difference
  • 58. Ultimate slogan• For individuals – your own needs• For family – people close to you• For community – neighbourhood or nation• For the whole earth – the good of all Leaders tell their own good news story
  • 59. Slides: globalchange.com/ppt 11 million different visitorsFast, Urban,And UniversalOrRadical, EthicalAnd Tribal ?
  • 60. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Christian NGO development agencies in a rapidly changing world (2008) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.