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Hack the past to create the future — e-nnovation Keynote 2011

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Digitalization cues for the future. How past & present behaviors are shaping it.

Digitalization cues for the future. How past & present behaviors are shaping it.

e-nnovation 2011 keynote, Poznan, Poland.

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  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • FASTER.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
  • Innovation faster. Spotify took the guy who created uTorrent.\n
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  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Roll the dice. Time to market. \n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Antenna-gate. Muzukashi-ne = NO. iPod in aquarium.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • Louder. The truth is not kind. BS is BS.\n
  • \n
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  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Analytics. \n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Now better than future. Don’t want to change. 100 USD.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
  • Stronger. Nielsen BS.\n
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  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Online. Does it matter?\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • Know your target time.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • The TRUTH.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
  • Five forces Porter, competitive intensity.\n
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  • Money making trend\n
  • Money making trend\n
  • Money making trend\n
  • Money making trend\n
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  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
  • This will happen here.\n
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  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
  • Think people are not ready for virtual?\n
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Hack the past to create the future — e-nnovation Keynote 2011 Hack the past to create the future — e-nnovation Keynote 2011 Presentation Transcript

  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • +Faster. Louder. Stronger. Better. Hack the past to create the future. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • 1955-2011Lessons for the future Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots Never fear failure Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots Never fear failure Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots Possess a sense of vision Never fear failure Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Create the future Connect the dots Possess a sense of vision Never fear failure Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • You cant connect the dots lookingforward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehowconnect in your future. You have to trust in something – your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down,and it has made all the difference in my life Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Connect the dots You cant connect the dots lookingforward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehowconnect in your future. You have to trust in something – your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down,and it has made all the difference in my life Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Physical + Analog
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital ?
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + The death of analog Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + The death of analog Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + The death of analog 35 iTunes 20 10 10 5 0 0:00 2:00 3:00 0 4:00 CD Singles v. Digital, sales per capita, US (RIAA) EPs are dead Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Connecting the dots Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Connecting the dots Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Connecting the dots 1 The death of friction. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Connecting the dots 1 The death of friction. 2 The ubiquity of nomadic screens. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Connecting the dots 1 The death of friction. 2 The ubiquity of nomadic screens. 3 The platforms for transient goods. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Sometimes when you innovate, youmake mistakes. It is best to admit themquickly, and get on with improving your other innovations. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Never fear failure Sometimes when you innovate, youmake mistakes. It is best to admit themquickly, and get on with improving your other innovations. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • FAILURE IS RELATIVE
  • FAILURE iPad IS RELATIVE
  • FAILURE IS RELATIVE iPhone/iPod
  • iCloudFAILURE IS RELATIVE
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Works. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Works. Perfection. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Works. Perfection. New. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Works. Perfection. New. Status. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Meaning of quality Works. Perfection. New. Status. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Never fear failure Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Never fear failure Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Never fear failure 1 Hack your culture. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Never fear failure 1 Hack your culture. 2 Hack the feedback loop. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Never fear failure 1 Hack your culture. 2 Hack the feedback loop. 3 Hack honesty. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • I think part of what made the Macintosh great was that the people working on it were musicians, poets, artists, zoologists and historians who also happened to be the best computer scientists in the world Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Marry art & scienceI think part of what made the Macintosh great was that the people working on it were musicians, poets, artists, zoologists and historians who also happened to be the best computer scientists in the world Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science 45-54 39.3 37.4 36.5 18-24 35.8 33.7 32.2 22.3 0:00 2:00 3:00 4:00 Untitled 1 Untitled 2 Untitled 3 Average time spent online per demographic group, US, 2010 (comScore) Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Art &science Never forget we’re only humans
  • Art & Inertia Consumerscience behavior Never forget we’re only humans
  • Hyperbolic discountingArt & Inertia Consumerscience behavior Never forget we’re only humans
  • Hyperbolic discountingArt & Inertia Consumerscience Loss aversion behavior Never forget we’re only humans
  • Hyperbolic discountingArt & Inertia Consumerscience Loss aversion behavior Never forget we’re only humans Endowment effect
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science 1 Think usable technology. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science 1 Think usable technology. 2 Surface the data. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Marry art & science 1 Think usable technology. 2 Surface the data. 3 Be elegantly human. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • You can’t just ask customers whatthey want and then try to give that to them. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Possess a sense of visionYou can’t just ask customers whatthey want and then try to give that to them. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • How we spend time Online activity
  • Social networkingHow we spend time 22+% Gaming Online activity 10+ % Email 8+%
  • Social networking 23 % 34 %How we spend time 22+% 10 % Gaming 3 % 3 % 8 % Online activity 3 % 3 % 4 %4 % 4 % 10+ % Email Nielsen, US, 2010 8+%
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What is time? Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What is time? free time Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What is time? free time busy time Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What is time? free time busy time dead time Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition iPhone Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition iPhone social life Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition iPhone social life hobbies Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition iPhone social life hobbies + working Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Time competition iPhone social life hobbies + working sleeping Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Threat of time Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Threat of substitute Threat of time entertainment Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Threat of substitute Threat of time entertainment Threat of price Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Threat of substitute Threat of time entertainment Threat of price Threat of new entrants Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Competitive rivalry Threat of substitute Threat of time entertainment Threat of price Threat of new entrants Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Competition of all human activities. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Competition of all human activities. 2 Competition for attention. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Competition of all human activities. 2 Competition for attention. 3 Competition for time. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Dont be trapped by dogma — which isliving with the results of other peoples thinking Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Create the futureDont be trapped by dogma — which isliving with the results of other peoples thinking Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What are goods? Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What are goods? Car Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What are goods? Phone Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What are goods? Movie Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + What are goods? Movie Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Physical + Analog
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital ?
  • Physical + Analog Physical + Digital Bits + Digital Stream + Digital Virtual
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Asia Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Asia Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Asia 18bn 2bn 2 0:00 Virtual Goods & Currencies, USA v. Asia, 2010, Plus 8 Star Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan DeNA. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan DeNA. 25m users. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan DeNA. 25m users. Mobile. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan DeNA. 25m users. Mobile. Games. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan DeNA. 25m users. Mobile. Games. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual Japan 90% USD 1.3bn 10 0:00 DeNA Revenues in % ads v. virtual items, 2010 Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual South Korea Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual South Korea Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Virtual South Korea 6m 6 4.9 4.81 4.2 4.2 3.87 3.43 3.4 volume, 2.85 USD x100 2.6 2.45 1.68 1.7 0.1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 itemBay growth 2003 - 2009 Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Already virtual Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Already virtual Physical — status. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Already virtual Digital — image. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Already virtual Bits — mind creation. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Already virtual Bits — mind creation. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Challenge of Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Challenge of 2 Challenge of endowment effect. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Create the future 1 Challenge of 2 Challenge of endowment effect. 3 Challenge of valuation. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots hack the past. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots hack the past. Never fear failure hack yourself. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots hack the past. Never fear failure hack yourself. Marry art & science hack your customers Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Connect the dots hack the past. Possess a sense of vision hack the market Never fear failure hack yourself. Marry art & science hack your customers Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Lessons Create the future Faster. Stronger. Louder. Better. Connect the dots hack the past. Possess a sense of vision hack the market Never fear failure hack yourself. Marry art & science hack your customers Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • THANKS. (icons: icotrip.com) Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • + Contact me Paul Papadimitriou facebook.com/paulpapadimitriou twitter.com/papadimitriou www.paulpapadimitriou.com Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Q&A@papadimitriouPaul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou
  • +Be nice to each other. Thank you. Paul Papadimitriou — @papadimitriou