Telecom Italia strategic outlook - Presentation Transcript
Building the Foundation for Growth
BERNABE’
FRANCO BERNABE’
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Safe Harbour
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this
presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company with
respect to the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global
business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the Company's activities and strategies.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those in the forward looking statements as a
result of various factors.
Analysts and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which
speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia Spa undertakes no obligation to release publicly
the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia Spa
business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors
are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on
Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission , which set out certain
factors that could cause actual results to be materially different from the forward-looking statements
contained herein.
1
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Building the Foundation for Growth: Our roadmap
From Defence Transformation…
To Transformation… …and Growth
Up to 2007 2008 2010
2
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Agenda
From Defence to Transformation
An Evolving Industry
Pillars of Transformation and Growth
Our Targets
3
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
From a Defence Strategy….
ASSETS KEY DECISIONS RESULTS
Volumes achieved at the
Strong Defence of domestic expense of value
Domestic market shares – focus
Quality of Service decline
Market on sales strategy
Position High level of litigation with
competitors and Regulatory
Authorities
Concentration on domestic
Broad Divest and
market
Portfolio of concentrate on few
international markets
assets Limited Growth Opportunities
abroad
4
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
…to a Transformation Strategy …
ASSETS KEY DECISIONS
RESULTS
Strong Domestic Concentrate on quality as a
value driver Stabilise and possibly increase
Market Position
ARPU in key businesses
Increase total share of wallet
(including adjacent sectors)
World Class
Create growth opportunities in
competencies in the
Leverage innovation and an otherwise mature market
core business entrepreneurship in the
organisation
Selected Presence Exploit potential of current
Defend and expand where
in international presence is strong assets
Divest weaker positions
markets Rebuild a solid growth platform
5
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
…maintaining a strong financial discipline
Raise cash from non strategic assets and pursue non cash intensive growth
intensive
where there is a strong market opportunity
thresholds
Select investments on payback period and return ratios thresholds
Mine efficiencies across the organization and synergies with Telefonica and
other partners whenever possible
Focus on the deleveraging
6
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Agenda
From Defence to Transformation
An Evolving Industry
Pillars of Transformation and Growth
Our Targets
7
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
An Evolving Industry – Constraints and Opportunities
Market Saturation New Competitors
coming from Strict Regulatory
Constraints on Traditional
Adjacent Sectors Environment
Services
New Growth Expansion in
Opportunities New Addressable TLC Market
Opportunities Adjacent Consolidation
in Innovative
Services Markets
8
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
An Evolving Industry – Engines of Domestic Growth
Italian Addressable TLC & ICT Market
Bn € CAGR
07-
’07-10
~ 47 2% VAS (1)
43.3 44.7
Equipment ICT (2)
~ 42 2% 26%
39.8
38.3
Innovative
8% 47%
services 34% 46%
(includes
addressable 27%
ICT and VAS)
Traditional
services -2%
Broadband (3)
Current growth drivers:
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ICT
(1) Interactive VAS, Adv on-line & Contents distribution, messaging
Fixed broadband
(2) Applications, infrastructures, network services .. Mobile broadband
(3) fixed and mobile
Source: internal estimates based on OVUM, Gartner, IDC, Assinform and Sirmi data Value Added Services
9
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
An Evolving Industry – Expansion of Adjacent Markets
Technology Enabler Addressable Markets
Wireless sensor Consumer Electronics Market
networks
Ambient Intelligence
High definition IPTV Media & Advertising Market
User generated content
User profiling & context
Virtualization ICT Market
Service oriented
architecture
Sw as a service
Broadband TLC Market
Mobile
Time
Addressable Market
10
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
An Evolving Industry - Telecommunications Market
Consolidation
Liberalization
Tlc Consolidation
The Market contains more players than
the fundamental economics can justify Market will evolve, in a convergence
framework, towards a greater stability in
competition dynamics
Demand Evolution
Reduced number of players in
Bandwidth-
Bandwidth-hungry applications wireline (and possibly mobile)
require investments in broadband Market shifting focus to value rather
infrastructures than volume, reducing pressure on prices
Fixed-
Fixed-Mobile Convergence
High quality services
11
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Agenda
From Defence to Transformation
An Evolving Industry
Pillars of Transformation and Growth
Our Targets
12
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Pillars of Transformation and Growth
Serve our customers to higher satisfaction
and create shareholder value
Transform Consolidate Mine efficiency across regions
Domestic Business International Presence and business lines
Consolidate and Transform Network and Service Platforms
Disciplined financial policy and focus on deleveraging
13
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business - Quality as a Value Driver
Mobility
Premium
Defend the Quality as a
value of the Fixed Line
Value Driver
service
TARGET
Bridge the Gap vs Industry
Bandwidth
Average and become quality
leader in three years
CSI from 58.4 in 2007
to over 64.0 by 2010
14
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business – Convergence as a Value
driver
Control Wireline Retain High End customers
churners Low-
Control churn of Low-end customer vs mobile only solutions
Manage Leverage voice
Increase voice value thanks to mobile price premium
Fixed Mobile up”
“price up”
Convergence
Broadband Accelerate mobile broadband development through convergent offers
offers
development Avoid price competition between fixed/mobile Broadband
15
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business – Convergence will drive Broadband
growth
Fixed Broadband Mobile Broadband
~50/100M VDSL2 Telepresence LTE, WIMAX ~100M
and Mobile BB
HSPA ev. ~30/40M
ev.
~10/20M ADSL 2+
Mobile
Internet HSPA2+ ~14M
IPTV and HSPA2 ~7M
~2/6M ADSL Flat
Mobile TV HSPA1 ~3M
~256/640K ADSL free
VoIP
UMTS ~300K
EDGE ~100K
~64K Dial up Web, Email GSM ~10K
Time 2007 2010 Time 2007 2010
Fixed Broadband market Mobile Broadband market
(Access mln) (mobile browsing users, mln)
14.6 15.4
10.1
2.7
TI 6.4 8.3 1.1 7.0
TI
2007 2010 2007 2010
16
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business - Focus on Share of Wallet
Bln €
Grow in digital content
~14.8 distribution and web Estimate TI 2007
Digital Media and
11.3 12.1 2.0 new media Market Share ~ 2%
Advertising*
Increase market share Estimate TI 2007
~ 15.8 through integrated
ICT Services*** 14.2 14.5 Market Share
TLC/IT Services
~ 7%**
Estimate TI 2007
Focus on Value
Telecom 36.1 35.7 ~ 36.7 Market Share Market Share
Services*** ~ 55%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
*Excludes RAI public subscription fee
** On addressable market
Source: internal estimates based on OVUM, Gartner, IDC, Assinform, Sirmi & ATKearney data ***Includes equipment
17
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business – Customer Driven
Organisation
B-down of 2007
MOBILE FIXED Domestic Revenues
Convergent (pro-forma)
New Wholesale
Network Paradigm and
OLO
broader opening of 15 %
MVO
the Network
OSS/BSS ISP
Integration
Networked ICT
Network/Field services Corporate /
26 %
Service Business
Approach
Integration
Fixed Voice
Mobile VoIce Fixed BB Mobile and Web 2.0
Mobile BB Corporate ICT Access Network driven strategy Consumer 59 %
Web Portal
Already in place To be implemented
18
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business – Customer Driven
Organisation
Organization
Gradual implementation from today until end of 2008
Reporting
fixed-
Continuity of fixed-mobile reporting in 2008
2Q08
Pro forma representation of revenues by customer segment from 2Q08
Management Accountability
Current accountability maintained during 2008
Responsibility of consumer convergent offer assigned to mobile
2009 Budget based on new accountability by segment
19
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Transform Domestic Business - Main Targets
Mobile and BB Retain the best customers through convergent offers
Consumer
Increase share of wallet on customers
Strategy
Domestic revenue
Maintain leadership on Top & Large Accounts trend reversed in
Networked ICT
Growth in the SME segment
3 years time
for Business
Customers Increase ICT revenues and market share
Leverage on the Wholesale Market as a value creation
New Wholesale engine
Paradigm Improve Relation with Regulation Authorities
20
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Consolidate International Business
Enhance TI positioning eventually exploiting
positioning, Monitor
Europe
opportunities in the consolidation process business
opportunities
on high
Consider exiting less attractive markets
growing
markets
Grow in Brazil strengthening mobile proposition and
Latin exploiting convergent options
America Build
Focus to increase the participation in Sofora Financial
(Telecom Argentina
Telecom Argentina) Partnerships
and Alliances
Focus on the Italian Hub for the Mediterranean,
Int.l Wholesale Middle- East, South-East Asia
Innovative solutions for Multinational Companies
21
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Consolidate International Business - Main Targets
Increase international contribution to Group
Overall
results and growth prospects
Continue to profitably expand the company, Focus on
Germany focusing on market success and operational International
excellence and efficiency Growth
Generate more value from the customer base and
increase profitability
Brazil fixed-
Build share in the fixed-line and broadband
markets
low-
Profitably penetrate low-ARPU customer base
22
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Mining Efficiencies and Synergies
TARGET
2008-2010 cash costs efficiencies (vs.
2008-
Reduction of Overhead costs 2007) 1.2 B€ (including 0.7B€ from
B€
Optimization of
synergies with Telefonica)
Field Services costs
Convergent
Wholesale
network and WHOLESALE
Customers
Service
Cash costs platforms
reduction in IT Business Synergies with Telefonica
Information
services systems Customers BUSINESS
(OSS/BSS & IT
Infrastructure)
Private
CONSUMER
Access Network
Customers
Optimization of
technical
infrastructures
costs
Optimization of sales and
customer care costs
23
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Consolidate and Transform Network and Service
Platforms
Focus on Investment Return and Pay Back Period
IPTV broadcasting and VOD Dynamic HDTV Platform
Middleware Platforms for Net Software as Service Suites
Service Computing, Storage, Asset
Platforms Management Context Aware Services platform
Full IP Managed Unified Sensor Networks Expert Systems
Communication Platform
Broadband Fixed 90% ADSL2 and 8% Deployment of a convergent
NGN by 2010 FTTx,
broadband network based on FTTx,
Network LTE and Femtocells
Platforms Broadband mobile 85% High Speed
3G and first deployment of LTE by QoS Policy Management Features
2010
24
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Disciplined financial policy and focus on deleveraging
Priority of debt reduction
Focus on
deleveraging Monetisation / disposal of non core activities
Deleveraging
Shareholder Dividend policy to be sustainable in the long term
remuneration
Capex and Cash flow will be prudently used for organic
portfolio growth
management
to maximise Strengthening position of key existing
returns international assets
25
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Agenda
From Defence to Transformation
An Evolving Industry
Pillars of Transformation and Growth
Our Targets
26
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
TI Group 2008 targets and 2009-2010 guidance
€ bln, %
2007 Actual 2008 Targets 2009 - 2010 Trends
Organic* Organic* Organic* vs. 2008
Revenues 30.9 ~31.0 CAGR 2008-2010 =
+1% / +2%
EBITDA 12.25 ~38.5%
EBITDA margin %
(excluding 1998 Licence
~ 39.0 %
EBITDA Margin 39.7% Fee income for ~ 0.5 bln €)
~5.4
CAPEX 5.4 (including 0.5 bln€ 3G Cum. 2008-2010 = ~15.0
Licence in Brasil) Capex reducing YoY
35.7 NFP and ratio to EBITDA
Net Financial Position
Reducing YoY
NFP/ Ebitda 3.1x < 3.0 x 2010 NFP/EBITDA ~2.5x
* Assuming perimeter as of 31/12/2007 excluding TI France, 2007 exchange rates and including restructuring costs
27
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Domestic 2008 targets
€ bln, %
2007 Actual 2008 Targets 2009 - 2010 Trends
Organic* Organic* Organic* vs. 2008
REVENUES 24.2 >23,0 Domestic
Fixed revenues 15.7 ~15.0 revenue trend
reversed in
Mobile revenues 10.0 ~ 9.8 2010
EBITDA 10.8 ~44.0%
EBITDA Margin %
(excluding 1998 Licence
Broadly Stable
EBITDA margin % 44.5% Fee income for ~ 0.5 bn €)
2008-
Cum. 2008-2010 =
CAPEX 4.1 ~3.5
~11.0
* Assuming perimeter as of 31/12/2007 excluding TI France, 2007 exchange rates and including restructuring costs
28
FRANCO BERNABE’
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
BUILDING THE FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Building the Foundation for Growth: Our Roadmap
Transform Domestic Consolidate International Exploiting Efficiencies Financial
Business Business and Synergies Discipline
Improve quality Continue Growth in Customer segment Investment and
Latin America organization Portfolio
Customer knowledge Management
Strengthen Position Convergent Network
Convergent offers in Germany and IT model Shareholder
Remuneration
Develop ICT market Portfolio Monitor Efficiencies and
Synergies with
Telefó
Telefónica
Domestic revenue Focus on
Group EBITDA
trend reversed in International Deleveraging
Improvement
3 years time Growth
29
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