International Business Outlook - Presentation Transcript
Telecom Italia International
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Safe Harbour
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this
presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company with
respect to the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global
business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the Company's activities and strategies.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those in the forward looking statements as a
result of various factors.
Analysts and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which
speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia Spa undertakes no obligation to release publicly
the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia Spa
business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors
are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on
Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission , which set out certain
factors that could cause actual results to be materially different from the forward-looking statements
contained herein.
1
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Agenda
Telecom Italia International portfolio
Telecom Italia International strategy
South America
European Broadband
International Wholesale
2
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Telecom Italia International Portfolio
European Broadband
HanseNet (Germany)
TI France
BBNed (The Netherlands)
ETECSA Cuba
(Fixed and Mobile)
Int’l Wholesale Services
Entel Bolivia (Fixed and Mobile)
Telecom Argentina (Fixed and Mobile)
TIM Brasil (Mobile)
Telecom Italia international footprint consistent with TLC market growth macro trends:
Latin America Mobile with expected 2006-2010 CAGR of +10%
European BB with expected 2006-2010 CAGR of +16%
3
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
TI International Portfolio: Financial performance
International portfolio is a key driver of growth, contributing substantially to TI’s Group
performance and value
w/o TI France Revenues
€ bln
2006* 2007*
2005 ** 2007
>30 %
6.35
Revenues 5.07 Bln € 6.75 Bln € 6.35 Bln €
EBITDA 1.11 Bln € 1.55 Bln € 1.60 Bln €
2007 2010
EBITDA margin 22% 23% 25%
EBITDA 2007
2006 Margin
CAPEX 1.19 Bln € 1.39 Bln € 1.24 Bln € %
Op. Cash Flow** -0.17 Bln € 0.10 Bln € 0.28 Bln €
>3 pp
25%
2007 2010
*TI France, HanseNet, BBNed, TIM Brasil, Entel Bolivia
** based on TI stake (50% Entel Bolivia; 69.7% TIM Brasil)
4
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
International Market scenario
European Broadband and Latin America Mobile are TI’s areas of strategic presence and focus,
and key growth areas for the TLC market
Mobile in Emerging Markets represents an additional opportunity for growth
5
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
South America: Market Scenario
Argentina Brasil Bolivia
CAGR
Mobile Lines Mobile Lines 162.0 Mobile Lines
+10%
mln mln 121.0 mln
CAGR
45.6
37.8 +7%
CAGR
4.5
3.6 +8%
2007 2010 2007 2010 2007 2010
Penetration % Pop. 92% 111% Penetration % Pop. 63% 82% Penetration % Pop. 38% 45%
Source: Internal estimates
BB Access BB Access CAGR
13.4
mln mln +21%
CAGR
Mobile is a consolidated
4.4
+21% 7.6 area of strategic growth in
2.5
Latin America
Broadband represents the
2007 2010 2007 2010
Penetration % HH 25% 41% Penetration % HH 15% 20%
fast growing opportunity in
Source: Pyramid Research, Economist Intelligence Unit Source: Internal estimates forthcoming years
6
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Telecom Argentina
Reported data by
Not consolidated Telecom Argentina Δ ’07 vs ‘06
Held by: Telecom Italia and Telecom Italia International 9M 2006 9M **
20052007
3Q
(mln P$, local GAAP) abs %
through Nortel Inversora/Sofora 13.97%
Revenues 5,242 6,515 1,273 24%
OPBDA* 1,730 2,252 522 30%
OPBDA margin 33% 35% +2 pp
CAPEX 755 981 226 30%
Mobile Subscribers Argentina Broadband Customers
.000 .000
+32% +81%
Revenue 10,161
9,881 677
increase mainly 8,425
9,310 602
7,675 526
fueled by the 457
Mobile and BB 375
businesses
3Q '06 4Q '06 1Q '07 2Q '07 3Q '07 3Q '06 4Q '06 1Q '07 2Q '07 3Q '07
*OPBDA = Operating Profit Before Depreciation & Amortization
7
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Entel Bolivia
Consolidated Δ ’07 vs ‘06
Reported data
2006 2007
2005 **
Held by: Telecom Italia International abs %
through ICH/ETI 50%
Revenues 192 Mln € 210 Mln € 18 Mln € 9%
EBITDA 82 Mln € 98 Mln € 16 Mln € 20%
EBITDA margin 43% 47% +4 pp
Op. Cash Flow 85 Mln € 72 Mln € -13 Mln € -15%
Mobile Subscribers Broadband Customers
.000 +22% .000 +68%
14.1
1,756 13.5
1,603 1,665 12.3
1,553
1,443
9.7
8.4
4Q '06 1Q '07 2Q '07 3Q '07 4Q '07 4Q '06 1Q '07 2Q '07 3Q '07 4Q '07
8
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
European Broadband Market and Telecom Italia presence
Net
BB Lines mln 2007 2010 Adds Telecom Italia European Broadband Customer base
6,0
Germany
Germany 19.2 25.0 9% EoY 2007
UK 15.9 22.3 12% 5,4 Germany
France HanseNet+AOL 4th player
France 15.5 20.5 10% 5,0
Italy 10.1 13.6 10% 3,5 The Netherlands ~ 2.3M BB customers
Spain 8.3 3,5 BBNed: 1st challenger on
Spain 11.8 12%
wholesale market
NL 5.7 6.3 3% 0,6
3,5
~ 0.2M BB customers
Turkey
Turkey 4.2 7.7 22%
Alice retail offer launched
Poland 3.5 3,2
6.7 24% in August 2007
1,2
Sweden
Sweden 2.9 3.8 10%
Switzerland 2.1 2.9 11% 0,5
0,5
Austria 1.6
Austria 2.1 10%
Hungary 1.4 1.9 10% 0,5 France
Czech rep.1.3
Czech Rep. 2.2 19% 0,9 TI France: 4th player
Italy
Greece 1.1 2.1 26% 1,1 ~ 0.9M BB customers
0,8 TI: Market leader
Rom 1.0
Romania 1.8 22%
~7.6M BB customers
Ukraine 0.5 1.5 44% 1,0
(Retail + Wholesale)
Germany is a strategic market for TI growth in European BB
9
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Germany: Broadband Market evolution
mln lines
+6 mln lines
+3 bln €
CAGR ’07-’10
10%
~ 25
~ 24
~ 22
19
15
11
7
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
BB Access on
Fixed Lines (%) 18% 28% 39% 50% 57% 63% 68%
German BB market will still experience a sustained growth in the next 3 years (+10%):
~6 Mln of BB access will be added
With ARPU exceeding 40 € per month, this new market will be worth ~3 Bln €
Penetration will reach the European average in 2010 (68% on fixed lines)
10
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Germany: Market scenario
M/S Consolidation is likely to take place in the next two
ADSL customers (Mln) 3Q 2007
ADSL years
The combination of customer base and infrastructure
8.1 46% is an important factor in the consolidation process
Alternative Operators are pursuing different business
2.5 14% models:
United Internet and Freenet are resellers and do
2.3 13% not own infrastructure
Arcor and Versatel have their own network
2.2 13% HanseNet has a mixed model, balancing its own
ULL infrastructure with the use of partners’
networks
1.3 7%
Telefónica and QSC are network based operators
focusing on wholesale market
0.6 3%
Mobile operators O2 and Vodafone continue to push
for convergence in the market
Others 0.5 4% Increased number of regional players investing in
FTTx technology
11
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
HanseNet: 2007 Performance
ADSL customer base Mobile Customer base evolution
‘000 BB customers 2,349 ‘000 BB customers 329
207
929
108
548
47
EoY 2005 EoY 2006 EoY 2007 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007
Alice is marketing a full quadruple play offer with
Strong increase of ADSL customer base
strong increase of Mobile customer base, since the
(+35% organic growth Dec‘07 vs Dec ‘06)
launch of MVO offer in partnership with O2
Market Share Evolution EBITDA
281 € Mln
~ 13%
145 € Mln
5.3% 6.4%
49 € Mln
EoY '05 EoY '06 EoY ‘07
EoY '05 EoY '06 EoY '07
% Margin 17% 28% 26%
Alice is the 4th BB player in Germany 2007 EBITDA Margin diluted by the impact of
AOL integration
12
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
International Wholesale: Strategic guidelines
Enlarge structural presence in strategic markets by developing infrastructure
and international services, in line with the TI profile
Offer a complete set of innovative solutions to Corporate Multinational Customers
and protect the high value A-end Italian Customers, through:
synergies with TI assets & International Subsidiaries
selective partnership agreements
Consolidate the Leadership on the Global Services and Infrastructure market,
with focus on fast growing Regions such as MEA, Eastern Europe and South-East
Asia
13
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Growth on MNCs Market
Develop capabilities and advanced solutions for Italian and
Goal
European Multinational Customers
DRIVERS NETWORK COVERAGE
MNCs Proprietary Network
TI Sparkle global capabilities
Intra-Group
Synergies Telecom Italia new ICT focus
Telecom Italia’s Int’l Operations
Synergies with Telefónica
Partnership Partners to complement TI TI global presence through:
geographical presence Proprietary Network (112 access POPs)
Partnership agreements with Global Carriers
(i.e. C&W, Verizon) and Regional Operators
(i.e. CPCNet, Tunisie Telecom, Batelco, GTS)
14
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Focus on Mediterranean infrastructure growth
Internet demand EU-India (Gbps)
US CAGR ’07-’11 2.009
1.598
US +52%
1.101
UK
622
373
Italy
Greece
UK Spain Turkey 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Internal estimates
Cyprus Lebanon
Algeria Tunisia
Morocco
Libya
Saudi Arabia Pakistan
Egypt
UAE
TI 100% proprietary backbones India
SeaMeWe 4
SeaMeWe 3
IMEWE
Bilateral Cables (Tunisia, Libya, Croatia, Albania, Greece)
New network infrastructure
Sri Lanka
Italy through Palermo and Catania is a key point of interconnection for major
cable systems connecting Europe, US and South-East Asia
Leadership position to capture the high traffic growth driven by large demand for
new BB services in emerging markets
15
STEFANO MAZZITELLI
TELECOM ITALIA INTERNATIONAL
Building on current assets for future growth
Consolidate presence in market where Telecom Italia can sustain a long term
profitable position
Monitor opportunities in emerging high growing markets and segments
Consolidation of present assets Selective growth
Enhance Operational High growing Monitor business
performance markets and opportunities in emerging
segments markets with expected
Portfolio assessment and
Convergence long term growth
consolidation
Scale Portfolio optimization
Short Term Medium-Long Term
16
Telecom Italia European
Broadband Project – Germany
HARALD RÖSCH
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Safe Harbour
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this
presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company with
respect to the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global
business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the Company's activities and strategies.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those in the forward looking statements as a
result of various factors.
Analysts and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which
speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia Spa undertakes no obligation to release publicly
the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia Spa
business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors
are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on
Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission , which set out certain
factors that could cause actual results to be materially different from the forward-looking statements
contained herein.
1
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Agenda
2007 Results and Achievements
Outlook 2008 - 2010
2
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
What we committed on vs. what we delivered
Guidance What we did
Revenues: ca. 1.1 bln € Revenues 1,074 bln €
EBITDA: 25% of revenues – 275 EBITDA: 26% - 281 mln €
Economics mln €
Positive Operational Free Operational Free Cash Flow: +16 M€
Cash Flow
BB 2,5 mln Broadband 2,35 mln Broadband Customers
Customers Customers EOY
Development of full quadruple play offer
Launch of new AOL/Alice portal now among top
Leading edge innovative product
50 German sites
portfolio will be created
Introduction of state of the art ISP services
Operations Network: 60% ULL coverage Network: ULL coverage has reached 60% ,
reaching - 24 mln Households impacting positively on ARPU and margins
Consolidation since 1st March 2007
AOL integration Completion of customer migration to TI systems
Ongoing upselling of AOL customers to ULL
3
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
HanseNet: 2007 Key Financial Results
Growth % Growth
Reported data 2006 2007
2005 ** Main drivers of organic growth
‘07 vs ‘06 ’07 vs ‘06
BB ARPU slightly growing QoQ
+ 103%
throughout 2007 as upselling of
Revenues 528 Mln € 1,074 Mln € +546 Mln € (18% AOL customers* and introduction
Organic) of options were offsetting impact
of deflationary market
+ 94%
EBITDA 145 Mln € 281 Mln € +136 Mln € (45% Growth of gross margin due to
Organic) additional customers
Cost savings also due to synergies
EBITDA margin 28% 26% from AOL merger (>25 mln €)
CAPEX 196 Mln € 344 Mln € +148 Mln € + 76% Enlargement of own ULL network
Migration of AOL customers to TI
Capex on revenues 37% 32% systems and network
Op. Free Cash
- 13 Mln € 16 Mln €
Flow
* Upselling from AOL to Alice products requires individual customer opt-in but doubles ARPU and multiplies margins 4x in ULL area
4
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Growth of Broadband customer base
Residential and Business Broadband Customers EOP
(000s) 2.349
Alice is clearly among top 4
broadband players in
+153% Germany
Broadband customer base
has increased to 2,349,000
929 including 1,083,000
acquired from AOL
548
Organic growth Q4: 105,000
240 More than 50% of new
105
orders done through internet
and inbound calls
Q4/2003 Q4/2004 Q4/2005 Q4/2006 Q4/2007
Share of German
DSL Market*
3% 5% 6% 13%
* Source: HanseNet Analysis
5
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Agenda
2007 Results and Achievements
Outlook 2008 - 2010
6
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Competitive scenario 2008
REGULATION:
No significant change in
regulatory scenario expected for
2008
DSL INDUSTRY: Intense competition based on
triple/quadruple play offers ALTERNATIVE BB TECHNOLOGIES
Further consolidation – not
more than 5 national players expected – but no further price Cable companies market triple
decrease play packages – currently with
Stabilization of price levels at limited but growing success
29,90 €/ month for double
flat Broadband access Increasing number of city
carriers investing in FTTx
Increasing pressure with technology
triple play offers
MOBILE COMPETITION
O2 and Vodafone continue
aggressive push in the BB
market
7
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
HanseNet: Strategic Priorities in 2008
Focus on market success and operational excellence/efficiency to ensure profitable
growth in a challenging market environment
Market Success Operational Excellence
Grow BB customer base enhancing existing Streamline operational processes and
quadruple play offer technical quality to optimize customer
Increase brand awareness to 75% (vs. 46 in experience and decrease costs for customer
2007) management
Network Extension Profitability
Further increase ULL coverage only Keep Opex (including SAC and advertising)
stable
through 3rd parties
Balance impact of price war on ARPU
Launch FTTB trial in selected areas of through push of options and upselling to ULL
Hamburg products
8
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Market success: enhancement of existing quadruple play product
Fixed voice Internet Access
Main offers: National fixed calls Main offers: DSL flatrate at 16 Mbs
included in DSL Bundles Portal IPortal
Optional int’l flatrate
FttB
Coverage: 100% of Germany Coverage: 100% of Germany
Mobile IPTV
Main offers: Optional SIM card offering Main offers: 100 basic TV channels +
free calls between Alice access to video-on-demand
fixed and Mobile numbers
New: Mobile Other Calls at 15 New channels
Internet ct/minute and features
Coverage: 100% (only available for Coverage: 25%
Alice DSL subscribers)
9
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Operational Excellence: 2008 priority
Key elements
Reach truly excellent availability for DSL and Telephone Services
Improve Quality of (99,99% on own ULL network)
existing products Significantly reduce perceived difference in quality between Voip based
and services telephone services and traditional technology
Publish audited technical and call center performance on web
Complete roll-out of decision support tool in customer service to
ensure that agents provide correct and coherent information also in a
highly complex environment
Optimize customer-
facing processes Significantly improve trouble shooting
(higher first call fix rate at front office, reduced mean time to repair)
Further reduce average answering times at call center
Streamline and
Increase degree of automation of internal processes to save cost and
adapt internal
reduce error rates
processes
10
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Network Development: 2008-10
ULL Network Coverage* HanseNet will not extend further
~ 70% own ULL network as development
~ 60%
70%
~ 75% ~ 75% of NGNs might reduce timeframe
60% for usage (see NL)
~41%
50% ULL coverage will be expanded to
40% 70% of households through 3rd
parties. Telefónica will be
30%
preferred (but not exclusive)
20% 12% supplier
10% The remaining 30% will continue
0% to be covered through DTs resale
1Q ‘05 2Q ‘07 2007 2008 2009 2010 network
HanseNet will start a FTTB trial in
# HH (Mln) ~5 ~ 16 ~ 24 ~ 28 ~ 30 ~ 30
an area of Hamburg where market
% ULL coverage
~ 18% ~ 26% ~ 26% ~ 26% ~ 26%
share on households is > 40% -
through Alice network
final coverage will reach 130,000
households
* % on Households, HH (mln)
11
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Profitability: 2008
Key elements
Continue upselling to ULL products – weight of customers on DTs
resale network will decrease to 30% (down from >40% EOP 2007)
Keep ARPU stable
Push options such as mobile (target > 600.000 subs, 8-9 Euro ARPU),
IPTV (target >50.000 subs, 10 Euro ARPU), content and ISP services
Gross margin will grow in absolute terms because of higher customer
Grow Gross numbers although higher weight of customers on 3rd party ULL
Margin* networks and higher mobile revenues could decrease the percentage
level (55% in 2007)
Achieve high brand awareness target with advertising budget at 2007
Keep Opex level
stable** at <25% Reduce further commissions per gross add growing mainly through low
revenues cost channels (web and call center)
Achieve higher efficiency through operational excellence
* Groos margin = revenues – variable network costs (COGS)
12
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
2010
HanseNet: 2008 - 2010 Targets Targets
Reported data 20072007
Actual 2008 Targets 2010 Targets
Actual
BB Customer Portfolio 2.3 2.6-2.7 ~ 3.4
(‘mln Access - EoY)
Revenues 1.1 Bln € ~ 1.3 Bln € ~ 1.7 Bln €
EBITDA margin 26% ~ 26% ~ 29%
< 0.7 Bln €
CAPEX 0.3 Bln € ~ 0.3 Bln €
(cum ’08-’10)
13
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Appendix
14
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Alice is clearly among top 4 broadband players in Germany
mln DSL customers, Q 3 2007 Market Share
8,1 46%
2,5 14%
2,3 13%
2,2 13%
1,3 7%
0,6 3%
Others 0,5 4%
Source: Press Releases, HanseNet Analysis
15
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
Revenues have reached 1,074 mln €
Mln €
1,074
+103%
528
Revenues are
296 increasing by
161 103% and reached
102 1,074 mln €
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
16
HARALD RÖSCH
TELECOM ITALIA EUROPEAN BROADBAND PROJECT - GERMANY
EBITDA reached 281 mln €
Mln €, %
281
+94% EBITDA is increasing
by 94% to 281 mln €
145
Cash flow positive on
49 a full year basis
18 35
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
% EBITDA
18% 22% 17% 28% 26%
on revenues
Cash flow -13 -17 -76 -13 +16
17
TIM BRASIL
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Safe Harbour
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements appear in a number of places in this
presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company with
respect to the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global
business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the Company's activities and strategies.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and
uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those in the forward looking statements as a
result of various factors.
Analysts and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which
speak only as of the date of this presentation. Telecom Italia Spa undertakes no obligation to release publicly
the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and
circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Telecom Italia Spa
business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Analysts and investors
are encouraged to consult the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F as well as periodic filings made on
Form 6-K, which are on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission , which set out certain
factors that could cause actual results to be materially different from the forward-looking statements
contained herein.
1
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Agenda
2007 results highlights
The Brazilian market context
2008-10 Plan overview
Targets for 2008-10
2
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Highlights 2007
TIM Brasil is positioned as leader in value in the Brazilian mobile market, by means of its:
National presence
Innovation in terms of Marketing and Technology
Strong brand
In 2007, main results achieved were:
Leadership in service revenues share (since 2006)
Best value customer mix (postpaid segment) and ARPU above market average
Top of Mind (four times in the last 5 years) and best preference index
Positive Net Cash Flow and positive Net Income
All 2007 targets achieved
In 2007, TIM Brasil decided to change through:
Fixed line license acquisition: entrance in fixed and internet market
Launch of a new business model targeting Low ARPU
3G License acquisition
3
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Footprint of the major players 2007ye Miln. lines Market Share
Telefonica/Vivo Embratel/Claro Oi Brasil Telecom TIM
Acquisition of frequency in
Acquisition Telemig/ 27.0% in player
set/07 completion of a
Amazonia Celular Ago/07 area
national coverage
Mobile
~33 ~30 ~16 ~4 ~31
13,3% in player
28% 25% 13% area 4% 26%
Incumbent in long
distance
Fixed
~12 ~1 ~14 ~8
~32% ~3% ~37% ~21% STFC license in
May 2007
4
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Leadership with profitability
IAS
Subscribers Total Revenues EBITDA Net Income
(mln lines) (bln R$) (bln R$ (%)) (bln R$)
14.8% 13.3 23.8% 3.2
23.0% 31.3
11.6*
25.4 2.6
Break-even
22.4,% * 24.2%
24.1%**
-0.5
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
* Figure adjusted considering Bill & Keep elimination starting 01/01/06
**Organic Local currency excluding exceptional items, IAS Gaap
5
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Achievement of all 2007 Targets
IAS 2007 Actual 2007 Targets
Customers Portfolio
31.3 ~29
(Mln SIM)
M/S TIM Brasil on SIM 25.8% ~26%
22.7% with
Revenues Growth - Organic* 14.8% >10% Bill&Keep vs
>15% target
EBITDA margin - Organic 24.2% ~23%
op. Free Cash Flow Break Even
825
(mln R$) 2007
* Figure adjusted considering Bill & Keep elimination starting 01/01/06
6
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Agenda
2007 results highlights
The Brazilian market context
2008-10 Plan overview
Targets for 2008-10
7
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Political and Economic Scenario
Gross domestic product growth Minimum-salary increase* vs. inflation
Inflation Agreement between Government and
Minimum-salary increase Trade Unions to readjust the minimum-
salary until 2011.
Minimum-Salary (Y)= GDP growth (Y-2) +
16.7% INPC growth (Y-1)
5.2% 15.4%
4.9%
4.5%
4.4%
4.2% 8.3%
7.4%
2.9%
8.6%
7.6%
5.7%
2.3% 4.5% 4.6% 4.5% 4.3%
3.1%
2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E
PAC – investments approx. R$ 500 bln to R$ 900 bln between 2007 – 2010.
Lower interest rates producing a record bank lending, powering consumer spending
Positive Trade Balance since 2001
In January ‘08, Brazil became a net foreign creditor for the first time in history.
Source: Brazilian Central Bank, Abinee, BNDES
8
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Regulatory framework
2008 2009-10
Definition of cost based model by Introduction of the new cost-based model
Termination rate (VU-M) Anatel of regulatory accountability.
Number Portability (F+M) Commercial launch 2H/08. Full implementation (1Q/09)
Fixed license since 2Q07.
3G License of frequency available 3G and Wimax: high competition on
3G License/Fixed license in 1Q/08 broadband market
Value payment R$ 1.3bln for 3G Possibility of new auction of 3G
frequencies (5 MHz band).
Stringent obligations from 3G acquisition
License of frequency available in
Wi-Max License 2008
contracts
Partially regulated commercially
Unbundling not viable
Commercially viable
Permission for telecom Increase PayTV offers into Telecom market
Bill 29 (PL 29) companies to provide PayTV Brazilian government stimulating national
content TV content
9
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Competitive Scenario
Challenges ahead
2007 2008
Tim will no longer be the only national player
A 4th operator will start in São Paulo, 35% of Brazilian GDP
Mergers & Acquisitions will continue in 2008
Oi and Brasil Telecom
Telemig acquisition by VIVO and Amazonia by Oi.
Number portability
New mobile operator rules (SMP)
Launch of 3G
Handset subsidy
10
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Market Evolution
CAGR 07-10
Lines (millions) Revenues (R$ bln)
162
152 10.2%
142 +7.6%
Mobile* 38.0 47.3
121
100
86
Mobile
Fixed (voice) 42.6 -3.6% 38.2
39 39 39 39 39 39
Fixed (voice) 0.5%
8 10 11 13 Fixed (BB) 7.6 +20.3% 13.2
4 6 20.5%
Fixed (BB)
2005 2006 2007 2008E 2009E 2010E 2007 2010
Source: Internal estimate
* Service revenues
11
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Mobile residual market in lower classes and broadband
penetration
Mobile penetration by social class Broadband penetration by social class
83% 67%
77%
63,5%
53%
24%
28%
10,0%
5%
1%
Brasil Class A Class B Class C Classes D/E Brasil Class A Class B Class C Class D
MS = Minimum-salary = R$ 415.00 / month
Class A > 20 MS
Class B > 10 and < 20 MS
Class C > 5 and < 10 MS
Class D > 3 and < 5 MS
Class E > 1 and < 3 MS
Source: IBGE (PNAD, 2006), CGI 2006, Consumer Market Sizing Research
12
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Agenda
2007 results highlights
The Brazilian market context
2008-10 Plan overview
Targets for 2008-10
13
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
In 2008 TIM will continue to execute on the following strategy
Market Evidence Strategic goals Guidelines
Generate more value from the Postpaid: increase cross/up selling and
1 loyalty
Mobile
customer base
Core Business 2 Prepaid: efficiency in acquisition cost
Optimize services offer to
increase profitability 3 Corporate: increase portfolio share
Increase focus on fixed voice services, through pure
4
Convergence
fixed offer, leveraging number portability.
Potential market Attack the fixed-line and Compete on Broadband market with 3G/HSPA.
5 Take advantage of PCs sales boom.
revenue: ~R$50bln broadband market
6 Increase customer value with mobile, data and
fixed bundle offer.
Low-ARPU
7 Micro-recharges: R$1; R$3 and R$5
Potential customers Grow customer base ensuring
market: 60mln profitability
8 Extensive door-to-door sales channel
14
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
3G: Wireless Broadband
TIM’s convergent offers
2007 2008 2009
TIM Web, GPRS / EDGE, Speed up to200 Kbps
3G licenses Evolution of offers for speeds up to:
acquisition 7.2 Mbps
Total licenses cost: Competitive plans with broadband
R$ 1.325 bln Encouraging use of VAS
National coverage
231 cities covered 460 cities covered
The PC market* in Brazil will grow +21.3% in 2008 reaching 12.9 mln units, of which 88.3% Desktops and 21.7%
Laptops
Brazil has the highest usage of internet per home user, 23 hours and 04 minutes per month **
As of Sept 2007 Brazilian dial up internet home users totaled 7.1 mln
* IBOPE/Netratings – November 2007
** IDC 2007
15
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Agenda
2007 results highlights
The Brazilian market context
2008-10 Plan overview
Targets for 2008-10
16
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
TIM Brasil targets
IAS 2007 Actual 2008 Targets 2010 Targets
2010 Targets
Customer Portfolio (Mln SIM) 31.3 ~37 ~43
Mkt Share on SIM 25.8% ~26% stable
~8%
Revenues Growth - Organic 14.8%* > 12%
(CAGR ’07-’10)
EBITDA margin - Organic 24.2% > 24% ~ 29%
~ 3.0
CAPEX (Bln €) 0.9 ~1.5
(Cum. ’08-10)
License 3G excluded ~1.0 ~ 2.5 (cum. 08-10)
* Growth considering Bill & Keep elimination starting 01/01/06
Revenues growth reported: 22.7%
17
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
Back Up
18
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
CAPEX evolution breakdown
IAS, Bln Euros
100%= 0.7 0.9 ~3.0
Administrative 2% 3%
18% Of which 17% License 3G
Commercial 34% 27%
26%
22%
IT 22%
17%
Network 48% 38%
43%
2006 2007 2008-2010
CAPEX/Net Revenues 17,6% 17,3% 17,1%
19
MARIO CESAR ARAUJO
NOME COGNOME
DEL RELATORE
TIM BRASIL
3G Licenses
Brazil's telecoms regulator Anatel, during the 2.100MHz
IV VI
3G Auction, raised a total of 5.3 bln Reais (US$2.9 bln),
representing an 86.7% premium over the bid base prices
I
II
TIM Brasil acquired 10+10 MHz for all areas, but for: VIII X
Area III e IV, São Paulo Metropolitan area and North
IX
Region: TIM acquired 15+15 MHz VII
XI
Area VII, Cities of Minas Gerais State that are V
considered part of “Triangulo Mineiro”: Despite not III
having acquired 2.100MHz license in this small area,
TIM will be able to provide 3G services based on the
current 850 MHz license
20
0 comments
Post a comment