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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, San Diego

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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program. …

Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program.

Global Cities Initiative forum in San Diego, CA on March 22, 2012.

The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project between Brookings and JPMorgan Chase.

Global Cities Initiative forum in Los Angeles, CA on March 21, 2012.

The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase.

For more information: http://www.brookings.edu/projects/global-cities.aspx

Published in: Business

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  • 1. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A JOINT PROJECT OF BROOKINGS AND JPMORGAN CHASE @bruce_katz #globalcities San Diego, CA / March 22, 2012
  • 2. More Jobs11.4 millionjobs needed
  • 3. More Jobs
  • 4. More Jobs & Better Jobs
  • 5. 1 2 3 A vision for the next 1 American economy
  • 6. 1 2 3 The next economy will be2 largely metropolitan
  • 7. 1 2 3 Metropolitan areas METRO3 are driving innovation INNOVATION
  • 8. 1 2 3 A vision for the next 1 American economy
  • 9. Global GDP 21.0% BIC Countries 19.9% US 2009Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
  • 10. Global GDP 26.5% BIC Countries 17.9% US 2015Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
  • 11. Global Metro Population 50% 2009
  • 12. Global Metro Population 60% 2030Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
  • 13. Economic Performance 2010-2011 Highest Performing Metros Lowest Performing MetrosSource: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, January 2012
  • 14. Exports Share of GDP 2010 30% 29% 22% 13% China Canada India 15% 15% United States Japan European UnionSource: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
  • 15. Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
  • 16. Can we get back into the export game?
  • 17. 11%US export growth2009-2010
  • 18. 46%exports share ofGDP growth2009-2011
  • 19. $944 billionUS manufactured exports2010
  • 20. Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions $1477 $1091 $944 $680 $409 France Japan United States Germany ChinaSource: World Trade Organization, 2011
  • 21. What the US makes The world takes
  • 22. US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $518 $160 billion $358 trade surplus Service Service Imports ExportsSource: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
  • 23. Service Exports Share of World Total, 2010 14.0% United States 6.3% GermanySource: Brookings, Export Nation 2012
  • 24. “We set a new goal: We will double our exports over the next five years, an increase that will support two million jobs in America.” President Obama January 27, 2010Photo: Pete Souza, The White House
  • 25. Can the U.S. play in thelow carbon revolution?
  • 26. 2.7 million clean economy jobsSources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011)
  • 27. 2.7 million clean economy jobs 1.4 million biosciences jobs 2.4 million fossil fuel jobs 4.8 million IT jobsSources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
  • 28. Export Intensity Yearly Export Earnings per Job $20,124 $53.9 billion clean economy exports $10,392 National Clean Economy EconomySource: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
  • 29. 35% manufacturing 68% manufacturing 90% manufacturing share of engineers share of R&D share of patentsSource: EOP “A Framework for Revitalizing AmericanManufacturing” (2009)Brookings “Accelerating Advanced Manufacturing with NewResearch Centers” (2011)
  • 30. Can the U.S. be anInnovation Nation?
  • 31. France Sweden Turkey United Kingdom Lebanon Mexico Canada Bolivia Spain Switzerland Uganda Algeria Estonia Slovenia South Africa Mozambique Morocco United States 45th Honduras Share of BAs in Science Lithuania and EngineeringSource: National Science Foundation
  • 32. Trade in Advanced Technology Products $354 billion $273 billion Exports Imports 1990 2010Source: US Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics
  • 33. It is time torediscover our o innovation... Mo j
  • 34. 11% wage premium in exporting firms Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industriesSource: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010)
  • 35. The U.S. must get smart... fast
  • 36. Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher 56% 36% 39% 25% 19% United Asians Non-Hispanic African Hispanics States Whites AmericansSource: US Census Bureau, 2009 American Community Survey
  • 37. Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher 25% 19% African Hispanics AmericansSource: US Census Bureau, 2009 American Community Survey
  • 38. 1 2 3 The next economy will be 2 largely metropolitan
  • 39. Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
  • 40. Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals 75% 66% 63% Population Service Manufacturing Exports ExportsSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  • 41. Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals 76% 78% 66% 68% Population Chemical Business/ Computer/ Products Professional Electronic Services ProductsSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  • 42. Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics Share of U.S. Totals 88% 92% 66% 82% Population U.S. Air Foreign Airline Cargo Waterborne Boardings Weight Cargo WeightSource: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
  • 43. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA
  • 44. San Diego, CA Metro Export Dashboard Goods & Services ExportsExport Volume$16.0 B 64.9% 35.1% goods share services share Export Jobs of exports of exports65,500 Top Manufacturing Sectors Top Services SectorsExport Intensity Computers & Business & 9.8% Electronic Products 18.9% Professional Services 11.2% 9.3% Transportation Equipment 14.2% Royalties 8.8% Chemical Top 100 San Diego Products 11.3% Travel & Tourism 7.9% Metros Metro
  • 45. 1 2 3 Metropolitan areas METRO 3 are driving innovation INNOVATION
  • 46. Innovate Locally
  • 47. Market AssessmentTop Export Sectors Top Export Markets Establish Export Goals & Objectives Double exports Support key sectors Increase global fluency Boost SME exports Collaborate to Compete Firms Universities Governments Philanthropy
  • 48. LA Regional Export Council (LARExC) City of Los Angeles University of University of California Southern California Los AngelesTarget industries: aerospace, computer andelectronic products, pharmaceuticals,professional services, film and television
  • 49. The United States Conference of Mayors “Export Ready” Challenge Antonio Villaraigosa Mayor, Los AngelesPresident, US Conference of Mayors
  • 50. Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
  • 51. State GovernmentsCaliforniaGovernor’s Office ofBusiness & EconomicDevelopmentCalifornia-China Trade &Investment Office
  • 52. State GovernmentsWashington MinnesotaState Export State Trade OfficeInitiative Pennsylvania Center for Trade Development
  • 53. Federal Government port-Imp ort BankEx Reautho rization MAP-21 Moving Ah ead for Progress i n the 21st Centu ry
  • 54. Federal GovernmentFree TradeAgreemee t ra Fr en T d Agreemene ra d e tFree TAgreement Modernize Trade Open Markets Protect Innovation Corridors
  • 55. Federal GovernmentFree TradeAgreemee t ra Fr en T d Agreemene US Trade Representative ra d e tFree T Intellectual PropertyAgreement Enforcement Coordinator US Patent & Trademark Office Modernize Trade Open Markets Protect Innovation Corridors
  • 56. Federal GovernmentFree TradeAgreemee t ra Fr en T d Agreemene US Trade Representative ra d e tFree T Intellectual PropertyAgreement Enforcement Coordinator US Patent & Trademark Office Modernize Trade Open Markets Protect Innovation Corridors
  • 57. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT Council of Economic Advisors Council on Environmental Quality National Security Council Office of Administration Office of Management & Budget Office of Nat’l Drug Control Policy Office of Policy Development Office of Science & Technology Policy Office of the US Trade Representative CABINET AGENCIES Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense Department of Education Department of Energy Department of Health & Human Department of Homeland Security Department of Housing & Urban Department of the Interior Department of Justice Services Development Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of Treasury Department of Veterans Affairs INDEPENDENT ESTABLISHMENTS AND GOVERNMENT CORPORATIONS Corporation for Equal EmploymentAfrican Development Central Intelligence Commodity Futures Consumer Product Defense Nuclear Environmental Export-Import Bank of National and Opportunity Foundation Agency Trading Commission Safety Commission Facilities Safety Board Protection Agency the United States Community Service Commission Federal Federal Mine Safety & Farm Credit Federal Deposit Federal Election Federal Housing Federal Labor Federal Maritime Federal Mediation and Communications Health Review Administration Insurance Corporation Commission Finance Board Relations Authority Commission Conciliation Service Commission Commission Federal Retirement National Aeronautics National Archives and Federal Reserve Federal Trade General Services Inter-American Merit Systems National Capital Thrift Investment and Space Records System Commission Administration Foundation Protection Board Planning Commission Board Administration Administration National Foundation National Railroad National Occupational Safety &National Credit Union National Labor National Mediation National Science Nuclear Regulatory on the Arts and Passenger Corporation Transportation Safety Health Review Administration Relations Board Board Foundation Commission Humanities (AMTRAK) Board Commission Overseas PrivateOffice of Government Office of Personnel Office of Special Pension Benefit Postal Rate Railroad Retirement Securities and Investment Peace Corps Ethics Management Council Guaranty Corporation Commission Board Exchange Commission Corporation US Agency for Selective Service Small Business Social Security Tennessee Valley Trade & Development US Commission on US International Trade International US Postal Service System Administration Administration Authority Agency Civil Rights Commission Development
  • 58. PROPOSED “BUSINESS USA” REORGANIZATIONOffice of the US Trade Representative Export-Import Bank of the United States Department of Commerce Overseas Private International Trade Administration US Census Investment National Technical Information Service Corporation Select USA Bureau of Industry & Security Small Business National Institute of Standards & Technology Minority Business Development Agency Administration
  • 59. Office of the US Trade Representative Export-Import Bank of the United States Department of Commerce Overseas Private International Trade Administration US Census Investment National Technical Information Service Corporation Select USA Bureau of Industry & Security Small Business National Institute of Standards & Technology Minority Business Development Agency Administration Federal Government State GovernmentINTEGRATED METROPOLITAN Universities Firms EXPORT PROMOTION Philanthropy Local Governments
  • 60. Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally Network Globally
  • 61. Toronto London Frankfurt New York Paris Tokyo Shanghai Lagos Sao Paulo Sydney
  • 62. Detroit CologneMonterrey Chongqing Bogota Hanoi Chennai Johannesburg
  • 63. Rotterdam HamburgLosAngeles Tianjin Dubai Seoul Singapore Durbin Buenos Aires
  • 64. Antioch SamarkandTyre Baghdad Tehran Lanzhou Xi’an Delhi
  • 65. Antioch SamarkandTyre Baghdad Tehran Lanzhou Xi’an Delhi
  • 66. GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A JOINT PROJECT OF BROOKINGS AND JPMORGAN CHASE @bruce_katz #globalcities San Diego, CA / March 22, 2012