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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Denver
 

Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Denver

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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program. ...

Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program.

Global Cities Initiative forum in Denver, CO on June 26, 2013.

The Global Cities Initiative is a Joint Project of Brookings and JPMorgan Chase.

For more information: http://www.brookings.edu/projects/global-cities.aspx

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    Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Denver Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: Global Cities Initiative, Denver Presentation Transcript

    • GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Denver, CO / June 26, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities
    • 10 millionjobs needed More Jobs
    • 81 millionpoor or near poor in 2000 More Jobs & Better Jobs
    • 107 millionpoor or near poor in 2011 More Jobs & Better Jobs
    • A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
    • The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
    • 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
    • A vision for the next American economy 1 2 3 1 2 3
    • 2009 Global GDP 19.9% US 21.0% BIC Countries Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
    • 2018 Global GDP 28.2% BIC Countries 17.6% US Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2013
    • Global Metro Population 2009 50%
    • Global Metro Population 2030 60% Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
    • Economic Performance 2011 - 2012 Highest Performing Metros Lowest Performing Metros Source: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, November 2012
    • Exports Share of GDP 2010 13% United States 29% 22% 15% 30% Japan China Canada India European Union 15% Source: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
    • Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
    • Can we get back into the export game?
    • billionUS manufactured exports 2010 $944
    • Japan $680 $944 United States GermanyFrance $409 China $1477 $1091 Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions Source: World Trade Organization, 2011
    • $358 Service Imports Service Exports $518 US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $160 billion trade surplus Source: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
    • Can the U.S. play in the low carbon revolution?
    • Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) 2.7 millionclean economy jobs
    • 1.4 millionbiosciences jobs 4.8 millionIT jobs 2.4 millionfossil fuel jobs 2.7 millionclean economy jobs Sources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
    • $53.9 billionclean economy exports Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
    • $53.9 billionclean economy exports National Economy $10,392 Export Intensity Yearly Export Earnings per Job $20,124 Clean Economy Source: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011) and Moody’s Economy.com
    • Can the U.S. be an Innovation Nation?
    • US Names China On Intellectual-Property Watchlist China's insufficient protection of intellectual property rights remains a top priority for U.S. trade policy, given the "troubling" direction of recent government measures aimed at supporting domestic innovation, the U.S. Trade Representative's office said Monday. China Begins to Lose Edge as World’s Factory Floor January 16, 2013 BEIJING - China is losing its competitive edge as a low-cost manufacturing base, new data suggest, with makers of everything from handbags to shirts to basic electronic components relocating to cheaper locales. The shift - illustrated in weakened foreign investment in China - has pluses and minuses for an economy key to global growth. Shale Gas Fuels U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance January 10, 2013 Abundant, affordable domestic natural gas is helping to revitalize energy-intensive industries like petrochemical manufacturing. “Looking back 20 years, chemicals were out nation’s top export product. But as recently as five years ago, we were on the verge of becoming an importer. Now the industry is back. January 19, 2013 The number of firms known tohave “reshored” manufacturing to America is well under 100.Doubtless many more are doing so quietly. Examples range from the tiny, such as ET Water Systems, to the enormous, such as General Electric, which last year moved manufacturing of washingmachines. fridges, and heaters back from China. Reshoring Manufacturing:Coming Home
    • 11%wage premium in exporting firms Source: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010) Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industries
    • The U.S. must get smart... fast
    • Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans Non-Hispanic Whites Asians 25% 39% 56% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher United States 36%
    • Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey Hispanics 19% African Americans 25% Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher
    • The next economy will be largely metropolitan 1 2 31 2 3
    • Source: Brookings analysis of US Bureau of Economic Analysis data
    • Colorado Denver, Colorado Springs Population GDP 64% 64%
    • Colorado Denver, Colorado Springs Population GDP Boulder, Fort Collins/Loveland, Grand Junction, Greeley, Pueblo 86% 85%
    • Service Exports 75% 63% Manufacturing Exports Population 66% Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
    • Top 100 Metro Exports Chemical Products 68% 76% Business/ Professional Services Computer/ Electronic Products 78% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
    • Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics U.S. Air Cargo Weight 82% 88% Foreign Waterborne Cargo Weight Airline Boardings 92% Population 66% Share of U.S. Totals Source: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
    • Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
    • Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA, warrior481.blogspot.com
    • 61,102 US Denver Metro Manufacturing Intensity 8.5% 5.1% Manufacturing Jobs Top Manufacturing Sectors Denver, CO Metro Manufacturing Dashboard Food 12.5% Fabricated Metal Products 11.1% Computers & Electronics 10.3% Aerospace 10.0% Misc Manufacturing 9.9% US Denver Metro Manufacturing Growth 2010 Q1 - 2011 Q4 2.7% 0.1% Source: Brookings, Locating American Manufacturing 2012
    • $10.2 B Top 100 Metros Denver Metro Export Intensity 9.8% 7.2% Export Volume Goods & Services Exports 46.7% goods share of exports Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard 72,800 Export Jobs 56.3% services share of exports Top Services SectorsTop Services Sectors Travel & Tourism 17.2% Business Services 13.9% Royalties 8.4% Top Goods SectorsTop Goods Sectors Transportation Equipment 6.2% Petroleum and Coal Products 5.5% Computers and Electronics 5.2% Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
    • Denver, CO Metro Export Dashboard Source: Brookings, ExportNation 2012 Denver’s Top Export Destinations By 2010 Volume (in millions) Canada Mexico Japan United Kingdom China $1,422.7 $773.0 $719.9 $716.5 $474.7 Germany Brazil Netherlands South Korea France $428.8 $358.0 $294.4 $284.1 $268.1
    • Denver, CO Metro Global Aviation Dashboard Source: Brookings “Global Gateways: International Aviation in Metropolitan America” (2012) Share of Denver Passenger Air Travel to Major Global Regions By 2011 Total Passengers Denver’s Top Air Travel Connections By 2011 Total Passengers Latin America/ Caribbean Western Europe North America 36.7% Rest of World 27.5% 16.4% 19.4% Cancun 141,540 London Toronto Puerto Vallarta Mexico City 121,891 92,456 71,175 72,945
    • 1 2 31 2 3 Metropolitan areas are driving innovation METRO INNOVATION
    • Innovate Locally
    • T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • Globally Aware Globally Fluent Globally Oriented Global Fluency The level of understanding, competence, practice and reach that a metro area exhibits in an increasingly interconnected world economy.T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • 1. Leadership with a Worldview 2. Legacy of Global Orientation 3. Specializations with a Global Reach 4. Adaptability to Global Dynamics 5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation 6. Opportunity and Appeal to the World 7. International Connectivity 9. Government as Global Enabler 10. Compelling Global Identity 8. Investment for Strategic Priorities T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • Governments Philanthropy Firms Universities Collaborate to Compete 1. Leadership with a Worldview T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • STEM Jobs Requiring B.A. Wage Premium $42,967 $74,135 STEM Jobs261,210 22.4% 59.7% STEM Job Share 2011 5. Culture of Knowledge and Innovation Denver’s STEM Economy T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • T h e 1 0 T R A I T S o f G L O B A L LY F L U E N T M E T R O A R E A S
    • Innovate Locally
    • Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
    • State Governments Colorado Space Cluster 4 states joining Colorado to advocate for and promote space cluster initiatives $20m competitive matching grants for early-stage tech development in CO Ohio Third Frontier & Edison Tech Centers 7 regional centers providing innovation & commercialization services to foster innovation ecosystem in Ohio 2010-2016 $700 m
    • State Governments Florida 12 international offices $3 b state GDP added from export assistance & business development in 2011 Office of Freight, Logistics & Passenger Operations Coordinates multimodal freight statewide by aligning with regional freight strategies Enterprise Florida
    • Reform Immigration for Competitiveness Open New Markets Free Trade AgreementFree Trade AgreementFree Trade Agreement Federal Government Modernize & Prioritize Trade Corridors National Freight Strategy Trans-Pacific Partnership Europe Export Financing International Market Intelligence International Trade Administration Export-Import Bank
    • Innovate Locally Advocate Nationally
    • Innovate Locally Network GloballyAdvocate Nationally
    • Play video on Youtube
    • GLOBAL CITIES INITIATIVE A J O I N T P R OJ ECT O F B R O O K I N GS A N D J P M O R GA N C H AS E Denver, CO / June 26, 2013 @bruce_katz #globalcities