U.S. Senate Social Graph, 1991 - Present

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  • + guest454873 Jason Murphy 1 week ago
    A couple questions/comments -
    1) How is one 'unable' to identify party affiliation? It seems straightforward and clearly defined (but for the various independents).

    2) As well, I can obviously only say this about folks that are labeled, but a few affiliation errors -
    - Richard Shelby didn’t switch to R until after the 1994 election; he should still be a D in the first couple slides (makes his switch more interesting, in my view).

    - Zell Miller never made an official switch, and (being from Georgia myself, I know this for a fact) still identifies as a Democrat. He wasn’t kicked out of the caucus either, for that matter, so there’s no argument for a de facto switch, in my view.
  • + guest3042c2b guest3042c2b 9 months ago
    This is really interesting. The contrast from the first to the last, and the way the sub-groups within each party, as well as the cross-party alliances jump out are pretty striking. The potential explanations are good, too -- even without being a political scientist type, this kind of visualization of publicly available voting data makes the story of the death (or coma?) of bipartisanship, strong voting blocks emerging and disappearing within parties, and individual patterns like Specter, Snow, Collins etc. really easy to see. Kudos for working this up!
  • + guest3e0a78 guest3e0a78 9 months ago
    Interesting, however doesn’t have enought information. what does each line represent? What does a dot above or below another one indicate? I’m assuming left/right is the political spectrum. Colors? how was this generated? and by whom? legend?
  • + guest799b37b guest799b37b 9 months ago
    Obama’s first name and ’Voinovich’ are not spelled correctly. Also, is there a legend for what the different colors (the yellow and green, not the red and blue) mean? Otherwise very interesting graph.
  • + cwarren cwarren 9 months ago
    I’d love to see a version of this where the weight of the line indicates how closely votes align, though perhaps that’s already shown by distance...? Even if so, adding line weight would be handy - among other things it would allow a finer gradation than the binary connected/no-connected.

    This could also be the basis of a great interactive tool - imagine being able to highlight the nodes based on tags other than party (e.g. social votes, money votes, etc.), and being able to change the connection cut off via a slider and see in real time how the charts change.
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U.S. Senate Social Graph, 1991 - Present - Presentation Transcript

  1. U.S. Senate Social Graph, 1991 - Present
    • Each dot represents a U.S. senator
    • Senators become connected if they vote together 65% or more during a session
    • Visualization technique reveals affinity clusters within and across the parties over time
  2. 102nd Session Daniel Inouye (HI) Quintin Burdick (ND) Al Gore (TN) Arlen Specter (PA) Bob Packwood (OR) William Cohen (ME) Mark Hatfield (OR) Jesse Helms (NC) January 3, 1991, to January 3, 1993 First Gulf war. Dems hold majority. Fairly weak voting blocks with considerable spread within and across parties. Howell Heflin (AL) Richard Shelby (AL) Democrat Republican independent Unable to identify
  3. 103rd Session Jim Jeffords Richard Shelby Mark Hatfield Arlen Specter John Chaffee Note how Dems split into 2 distinct but tight blocks. Repubs are more diffuse. January 3, 1993 to January 3, 1995
  4. 104th Session 1994 Republican Revolution. Repubs gain majority of both houses for first time since 1950s. No cross-party connections. Both parties form solid blocks. Jim Jeffords (VT) Arlen Specter (PA) Howell Heflin (AL) January 3, 1995 to January 3, 1997
  5. 105th Session Jim Jeffords (VT) Arlen Specter (PA) January 3, 1997 to January 3, 1999 House impeaches Clinton. Dem voting block in Senate reemerges.
  6. 106th Session Lincoln Chaffee (RI) Jim Jeffords (VT), becomes independent mid-term Clinton impeachment trial early in this session. Note how Dems generally maintain unity, but Repubs. fracture into 2 groups. Session ends with Bush v. Gore. Arlen Specter (PA) John McCain (AZ) January 3, 1999 to January 3, 2001
  7. 107th Session January 3, 2001 to January 3, 2003 September 11 attacks. Iraq war resolution. Strong party unity with slight fracture in Dem “ liberal” wing. Movement in the middle, with Liberal Repubs moving towards Dems, and conservative Dems move toward Repubs.. Ben Nelson (NE) John Breaux (LA) Lincoln Chaffee (RI) Zell Miller (GA) Susan Collins (ME) Olympia Snow (ME) Jessee Helms (NC)
  8. 108th Session January 3, 2003 to January 3, 2005 Ben Nelson (NE) Norm Coleman (MN) Susan Collins (ME) Olympia Snowe (ME) Arlen Specter (PA) Dems still have slight fracture. Repubs maintain a slight majority with a solid block. However, slight split with Moderate Repubs like Snow, Collins, and Coleman. Zell Miller (GA), switches parties mid-term
  9. 109th Session Ben Nelson (NE) Lincoln Chaffee (RI) Olympia Snowe (ME) Susan Collins (ME) Arlen Specter (PA) Barack Obama Hurricane Katrina, Tom Delay investigation, Terri Schaivo, Abramoff scandal. Dems break into 3 groups, with moderates breaking towards the more liberal members. January 3, 2005 to January 3, 2007
  10. 110th Session January 3, 2007 to January 3, 2009 Hillary Clinton (NY) Joe Biden Sam Brownback (KS) Arlen Specter (PA) Gordon Smith (OR) Susan Collins (ME) Olympia Snowe (ME) Ben Nelson (NE) Norm Coleman (MN) Conservative Repubs split into identifiable voting block. Split in Dems is reduced. Democrats increased their congressional majorities at mid-term and Senator Barack Obama was elected President.
  11. 111th Session January 3, 2007 to present With Specter party switch, Dems have a 60 vote Majority, as well as continued support from moderate Republicans. However, there appears to be a large split in the core Dem blocks. Looks as though a new group of Repubs could be splitting off from the core. Ben Nelson (NE) Olympia Snowe (ME) Susan Collins (ME) Arlen Specter (PA) George Voinovich (OH) Judd Gregg (NH)
    • Murkowski (AK)
    • Lugar (IN)
    • Alexander (TN)
    • Bond (MO)
  12. For more info…
    • To see how the graphs were generated and get further explanation, see:
    http://broadcast.oreilly.com/2009/05/us-senato-social-graph-1991--.html Or http://bitly.com/OujpP

+ O'Reilly MediaO'Reilly Media, 9 months ago

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