HACKING THE EARTH

           JAMAIS CASCIO
       FUTURESONIC 2009
HACKING THE EARTH
We know what
we need to do.




                 HACKING THE EARTH
We know what
we need to do.




But we may not
have the time.
                 HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HOW MANY PEOPLE
ARE WE WILLING TO
LET DIE?




                    HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
That is our future.




                      HACKING THE EARTH
ANTHROPOCENE:
The present geologic epoch, the time in which human activity
has begun to change the geophysical environment...
ANTHROPOCENE:
The present geologic epoch, the time in which human activity
has begun to change the geophysical environment...
The ANTHROPOCENE
can’t be reversed...




              HACKING THE EARTH
...but it can be hacked.




                  HACKING THE EARTH
POSSIBLE GEOENGINEERING TECHNIQUES




                                     HACKING THE EARTH
THIS IS NOT ABOUT CONTROL.




  IT’S ABOUT RESPONSIBILITY.




                HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
Geoengineering would
be the most simulation
and model-heavy project
in human history.




                    HACKING THE ...
The technical and scientific
challenges are enormous.




                        HACKING THE EARTH
The ethical and political
challenges are even bigger.




                        HACKING THE EARTH
Liability for Disrupted Weather Patterns




                                           HACKING THE EARTH
Conflicts Over Control




                        HACKING THE EARTH
Strategic Misuse




                   HACKING THE EARTH
HUBRIS




         HACKING THE EARTH
It’s not a choice between
It’s not a choice between
HUBRISTIC and HUMBLE.
HUBRISTIC and HUMBLE.




                      ...
It’s a choice between
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES and
   UNPRECEDENTED CATASTROPHE
         It’s a choice between
UNINTENDED C...
HACKING THE EARTH
“We are as gods, so we
may as well get good at it.”

 
 
 
 — Stewart Brand




                        HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH
Here’s where we start.




                    HACKING THE EARTH
HACKING THE EARTH

     JAMAIS CASCIO
   OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
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Hacking the Earth

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Hacking the Earth

  1. 1. HACKING THE EARTH JAMAIS CASCIO FUTURESONIC 2009
  2. 2. HACKING THE EARTH
  3. 3. We know what we need to do. HACKING THE EARTH
  4. 4. We know what we need to do. But we may not have the time. HACKING THE EARTH
  5. 5. HACKING THE EARTH
  6. 6. HACKING THE EARTH
  7. 7. HACKING THE EARTH
  8. 8. HACKING THE EARTH
  9. 9. HOW MANY PEOPLE ARE WE WILLING TO LET DIE? HACKING THE EARTH
  10. 10. HACKING THE EARTH
  11. 11. HACKING THE EARTH
  12. 12. HACKING THE EARTH
  13. 13. HACKING THE EARTH
  14. 14. HACKING THE EARTH
  15. 15. HACKING THE EARTH
  16. 16. That is our future. HACKING THE EARTH
  17. 17. ANTHROPOCENE: The present geologic epoch, the time in which human activity has begun to change the geophysical environment. HACKING THE EARTH
  18. 18. ANTHROPOCENE: The present geologic epoch, the time in which human activity has begun to change the geophysical environment. Nature is no longer natural. HACKING THE EARTH
  19. 19. The ANTHROPOCENE can’t be reversed... HACKING THE EARTH
  20. 20. ...but it can be hacked. HACKING THE EARTH
  21. 21. POSSIBLE GEOENGINEERING TECHNIQUES HACKING THE EARTH
  22. 22. THIS IS NOT ABOUT CONTROL. IT’S ABOUT RESPONSIBILITY. HACKING THE EARTH
  23. 23. HACKING THE EARTH
  24. 24. Geoengineering would be the most simulation and model-heavy project in human history. HACKING THE EARTH
  25. 25. The technical and scientific challenges are enormous. HACKING THE EARTH
  26. 26. The ethical and political challenges are even bigger. HACKING THE EARTH
  27. 27. Liability for Disrupted Weather Patterns HACKING THE EARTH
  28. 28. Conflicts Over Control HACKING THE EARTH
  29. 29. Strategic Misuse HACKING THE EARTH
  30. 30. HUBRIS HACKING THE EARTH
  31. 31. It’s not a choice between It’s not a choice between HUBRISTIC and HUMBLE. HUBRISTIC and HUMBLE. HACKING THE EARTH
  32. 32. It’s a choice between UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES and UNPRECEDENTED CATASTROPHE It’s a choice between UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES and UNPRECEDENTED CATASTROPHE HACKING THE EARTH
  33. 33. HACKING THE EARTH
  34. 34. “We are as gods, so we may as well get good at it.” — Stewart Brand HACKING THE EARTH
  35. 35. HACKING THE EARTH
  36. 36. Here’s where we start. HACKING THE EARTH
  37. 37. HACKING THE EARTH JAMAIS CASCIO OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
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