Amplify Talk

re•making tomorrow JAMAIS CASCIO JUNE 2009

What if we really COULD change the future for the better?

THREE NUMBERS

74,000 50 3

74,000

74,000 Years Ago

50 Year Scenario

WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION BANK FAILURES MASS UNEMPLOYMENT POLITICAL INSTABILITY

GLOBAL WAR TRIGGERED BY MISCOMMUNICATION WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES

DEADLY PANDEMIC MILLIONS DIE A GENERATION LOST BURNS ITSELF OUT

ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION HYPER-INFLATION RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS

EVEN LARGER WORLD WAR EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK

HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?

HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO? IT ALREADY HAPPENED.

THE “LONG DEPRESSION,” 1870S-1890S 19 4

WORLD WAR I 20 5

GREAT INFLUENZA 21 6

GREAT DEPRESSION 22 7

WORLD WAR II 23 8

THIS CENTURY’S CHALLENGES...

climate disruption

resource collapse

ﬁnancial meltdown

the rise of the post- hegemonic era

AND REFUGEES AND PANDEMICS AND TOPSOIL DEGRADATION AND OVERPOPULATION AND REGIONAL WARS AND BIOTERROR AND NANOTERROR AND SPAM AND...

RESILIENCE

RESILIENCE RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY OF A SYSTEM TO TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.

ﬂexibility

participation

interconnection

augmented awareness

catalytic innovation

THE BIG PICTURE

JAMAIS CASCIO CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM TWITTER: @CASCIO

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Amplify Talk

by Jamais Cascio on Jun 23, 2009

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Amplify Talk — Presentation Transcript