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Amplify Talk

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Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

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    Amplify Talk Amplify Talk Presentation Transcript

    • re•making tomorrow JAMAIS CASCIO JUNE 2009
    • What if we really COULD change the future for the better?
    • THREE NUMBERS
    • 74,000 50 3
    • 74,000
    • 74,000 Years Ago
    • 50
    • 50 Year Scenario
    • Jamais Casio Research Affiliate Institute for the Future Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat April 20–21, 2009 © 2009 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1229 12
    • WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION BANK FAILURES MASS UNEMPLOYMENT POLITICAL INSTABILITY
    • GLOBAL WAR TRIGGERED BY MISCOMMUNICATION WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES
    • DEADLY PANDEMIC MILLIONS DIE A GENERATION LOST BURNS ITSELF OUT
    • ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION HYPER-INFLATION RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS
    • EVEN LARGER WORLD WAR EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK
    • HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?
    • HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO? IT ALREADY HAPPENED.
    • THE “LONG DEPRESSION,” 1870S-1890S 19 4
    • WORLD WAR I 20 5
    • GREAT INFLUENZA 21 6
    • GREAT DEPRESSION 22 7
    • WORLD WAR II 23 8
    • THIS CENTURY’S CHALLENGES...
    • climate disruption
    • climate disruption
    • resource collapse
    • resource collapse
    • financial meltdown
    • financial meltdown
    • the rise of the post- hegemonic era
    • the rise of the post- hegemonic era
    • AND REFUGEES AND PANDEMICS AND TOPSOIL DEGRADATION AND OVERPOPULATION AND REGIONAL WARS AND BIOTERROR AND NANOTERROR AND SPAM AND...
    • RESILIENCE
    • RESILIENCE RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY OF A SYSTEM TO TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.
    • flexibility
    • participation
    • interconnection
    • augmented awareness
    • catalytic innovation
    • 3
    • 3%
    • THE BIG PICTURE
    • JAMAIS CASCIO CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM TWITTER: @CASCIO