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Amplify Talk
 

Amplify Talk

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Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

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Amplify Talk Amplify Talk Presentation Transcript

  • re•making tomorrow JAMAIS CASCIO JUNE 2009
  • What if we really COULD change the future for the better?
  • THREE NUMBERS
  • 74,000 50 3
  • 74,000
  • 74,000 Years Ago
  • 50
  • 50 Year Scenario
  • Jamais Casio Research Affiliate Institute for the Future Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat April 20–21, 2009 © 2009 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1229 12
  • WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION BANK FAILURES MASS UNEMPLOYMENT POLITICAL INSTABILITY
  • GLOBAL WAR TRIGGERED BY MISCOMMUNICATION WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES
  • DEADLY PANDEMIC MILLIONS DIE A GENERATION LOST BURNS ITSELF OUT
  • ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION HYPER-INFLATION RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS
  • EVEN LARGER WORLD WAR EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK
  • HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?
  • HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO? IT ALREADY HAPPENED.
  • THE “LONG DEPRESSION,” 1870S-1890S 19 4
  • WORLD WAR I 20 5
  • GREAT INFLUENZA 21 6
  • GREAT DEPRESSION 22 7
  • WORLD WAR II 23 8
  • THIS CENTURY’S CHALLENGES...
  • climate disruption
  • climate disruption
  • resource collapse
  • resource collapse
  • financial meltdown
  • financial meltdown
  • the rise of the post- hegemonic era
  • the rise of the post- hegemonic era
  • AND REFUGEES AND PANDEMICS AND TOPSOIL DEGRADATION AND OVERPOPULATION AND REGIONAL WARS AND BIOTERROR AND NANOTERROR AND SPAM AND...
  • RESILIENCE
  • RESILIENCE RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY OF A SYSTEM TO TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.
  • flexibility
  • participation
  • interconnection
  • augmented awareness
  • catalytic innovation
  • 3
  • 3%
  • THE BIG PICTURE
  • JAMAIS CASCIO CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM TWITTER: @CASCIO