Amplify Talk

4,660 views
4,255 views

Published on

Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

Published in: Technology

Amplify Talk

  1. re•making tomorrow JAMAIS CASCIO JUNE 2009
  2. What if we really COULD change the future for the better?
  3. THREE NUMBERS
  4. 74,000 50 3
  5. 74,000
  6. 74,000 Years Ago
  7. 50
  8. 50 Year Scenario
  9. Jamais Casio Research Affiliate Institute for the Future Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat April 20–21, 2009 © 2009 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1229 12
  10. WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION BANK FAILURES MASS UNEMPLOYMENT POLITICAL INSTABILITY
  11. GLOBAL WAR TRIGGERED BY MISCOMMUNICATION WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES
  12. DEADLY PANDEMIC MILLIONS DIE A GENERATION LOST BURNS ITSELF OUT
  13. ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION HYPER-INFLATION RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS
  14. EVEN LARGER WORLD WAR EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK
  15. HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?
  16. HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO? IT ALREADY HAPPENED.
  17. THE “LONG DEPRESSION,” 1870S-1890S 19 4
  18. WORLD WAR I 20 5
  19. GREAT INFLUENZA 21 6
  20. GREAT DEPRESSION 22 7
  21. WORLD WAR II 23 8
  22. THIS CENTURY’S CHALLENGES...
  23. climate disruption
  24. climate disruption
  25. resource collapse
  26. resource collapse
  27. financial meltdown
  28. financial meltdown
  29. the rise of the post- hegemonic era
  30. the rise of the post- hegemonic era
  31. AND REFUGEES AND PANDEMICS AND TOPSOIL DEGRADATION AND OVERPOPULATION AND REGIONAL WARS AND BIOTERROR AND NANOTERROR AND SPAM AND...
  32. RESILIENCE
  33. RESILIENCE RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY OF A SYSTEM TO TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.
  34. flexibility
  35. participation
  36. interconnection
  37. augmented awareness
  38. catalytic innovation
  39. 3
  40. 3%
  41. THE BIG PICTURE
  42. JAMAIS CASCIO CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM TWITTER: @CASCIO

×