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Advancing scenario planning tools

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    • 1. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Organized by Western Lands & Communities A Joint Venture of the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy & Sonoran Institute Shaping the Future of the West
    • 2. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Ted Cochin – U.S. EPA Frank Hebbert – Open Plans Jim Holway, FAICP – Sonoran Institute Jason Lally – PlaceMatters Robert Matthews, AICP– Decision Commons Ray Quay, FAICP – Arizona State University
    • 3. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Opening Access to Scenario Planning Tools Need for Scenario Planning What are Scenario Planning Tools Challenges & Opportunities – Roundtable Recommendations – Roundtable Discussion
    • 4. • Scenario Planning’s Potential• Scenario Planning Practice• Scenario Planning Tools• Challenges to Using SP Tools• Opportunities to Expand Use of SPT• Recommendations for Action
    • 5. Your Organization --- Quick Survey• City• County• MPO• Non-Profit• University• Consultant• Tool Developer• Other
    • 6. Your Role --- Quick Survey• Current Planning• Long Range Planning• GIS - Data Management• Other Technical (including tool developers)• Management• Faculty• Student• Other
    • 7. Opportunities to Expand the Use of Scenario Tools• Encouraging Acceptance of SP & Tools• Reducing Complexity & Cost• Opening Access to Data• Enhancing Interoperability across Tools• Advancing Foresight & Anticipation• Creating an Open Environment for Collaboration
    • 8. Why Do Scenario Planning• Increasing Complexity, Uncertainty, Interdependence• Need to Anticipate & Shape our Future• Look to Longer Time Horizons – 50 year plans• Broader & More Effective Participation to overcome…. – Divergent cultural & ideological values – Inability to make decisions – invest in our future
    • 9. Why Does the Federal Government Care about Open Source Tools & Scenario Planning?• Scenario Planning tools are starting to address a wider range of sustainability and Smart Growth related issues, including jobs, housing, the environment and economic vitality.• Federal Agencies have seen a dramatic increase requests for assistance in funding, training, and capacity building.• Many jurisdictions lack the resources and capacity especially in regard to data and tool deployment.
    • 10. National Priorities for our Elected OfficialsQ: How much of a priority do you thinkeach of the following issues should be toour elected officials? High Priorities (60%+) • Jobs 82% • The economy 85% • Health care costs 70% • Federal deficit 68% • Cost of living 61% • Taxes 63% • Education 63%
    • 11. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Challenges Opportunities• Skepticism & Lack of • Encouraging Acceptance of SP Awareness & Tools• Complexity & High Cost • Reducing Complexity & Cost• Difficult to Obtain/Use Data • Opening Access to Data• Lack Interoperability across • Enhancing Interoperability Tools across Tools• Need Foresight & Anticipation • Advancing Foresight & Anticipation • Creating an Open Environment for Collaboration
    • 12. US Census Bureau Data Web•PSC working with the Census to deliver live streamingdata from the US Census DataWeb•Ultimate goal is to make US Census data more readilyavailable•Communities need easy access to data that can be fedinto scenario planning tools.
    • 13. Data That’s Updated Automatically
    • 14. Sustainable Communities Code-a-thonResulted in several new apps at various stages ofdevelopment - housing, walk ability, transit service.
    • 15. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Challenges Opportunities• Skepticism & Lack of • Encouraging Acceptance of SP Awareness & Tools• Complexity & High Cost • Reducing Complexity & Cost• Difficult to Obtain/Use Data • Opening Access to Data• Lack Interoperability across • Enhancing Interoperability Tools across Tools• Need Foresight & Anticipation • Advancing Foresight & Anticipation • Creating an Open Environment for Collaboration
    • 16. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Recommendations for Action• Approaches for Opening Access to SP Tools• Create an Online Platform to Foster Collaboration• Develop A Curriculum on Scenario Planning• Establish Model to Integrate SP into Planning• Illustrate Uses of Scenario Planning Tools• Establish Data Standards to Improve Info Sharing• Initiate Model Collaborative Projects• Advance Concepts of Anticipatory Governance www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org
    • 17. Advancing Scenario Planning Tools Recommendations for Action• Approaches for Opening Access to SP Tools• Create an Online Platform to Foster Collaboration• Develop A Curriculum on Scenario Planning• Establish Model to Integrate SP into Planning• Illustrate Uses of Scenario Planning Tools• Establish Data Standards to Improve Info Sharing• Initiate Model Collaborative Projects• Advance Concepts of Anticipatory Governance www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org
    • 18. Workshop Participants
    • 19. DiscussionShaping the Future of the West www.ScenarioPlanningTools.org