E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen

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E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts
Gerard Zandbergen #ETS13

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E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen

  1. 1. Retail is the fine art of separating consumers from their money
  2. 2. We often overestimate how quickly change will happen We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen (Gerd Leonhard, Media Futurist, 2009)
  3. 3. “E-Trade Conference 2013” The Retail Facts Belgium 2013 and the effect of E-commerce on shops in 20 minutes Gerard Zandbergen @1gerard
  4. 4. Locatus visits 400.000 shops every year Amsterdam Brussels Barcelona
  5. 5. Overview Belgium: Shops everywhere 212.000 Retail outlets
  6. 6. België: overal lege winkels.. And: vacant units everywhere
  7. 7. 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0% 10,0% 12,0% 14,0% 16,0% 18,0% 20,0% A1 A2 B1 B2 C Vacancy Belgium per segment 2013
  8. 8. The 4 big (external) drivers effecting retail Crisis Demography Urbanisation Technology
  9. 9. Retail drivers: Bigger Out-of-Town Retail Chains Footfall
  10. 10. Sectors effected: Hearing aids 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  11. 11. Sectors effected: Video stores 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  12. 12. Current Direct E-commerce Retail Effects VERY LIMITED IN BELGIUM Not really there yet.. Video shops -47% Internet/calling shops -41% Radio/TV shops -37% Betting shops -32% Photo/film shops -30% Postoffices -28% DIY small shops -27%
  13. 13. Expected Direct E-commerce Retail Effects Where to be expected? • Food? • Crafts? And by When? We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen
  14. 14. Expected Direct E-commerce Retail Effects, next 5 years Not at all (hairdressers): 68% Slightly (supermarkets): 20% Large (clothing): 9% Massive (electronics) 3% We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen
  15. 15. Gerard Zandbergen CEO Locatus International Research Direct: +31348490270 Mobile: +31621553096 Locatus International Research Pelmolenlaan 10 Postbus 139 3440AC Woerden gerard.zandbergen@locatus.nl www.locatus.com BLOG www.retailreflect.com TWITTER @1gerard
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