0
Retail is the fine art of separating
consumers from their money
We often overestimate how
quickly change will happen
We often underestimate the magnitude
of the changes when it does happ...
“E-Trade Conference 2013”
The Retail Facts Belgium 2013
and the effect of E-commerce on shops
in 20 minutes
Gerard Zandber...
Locatus visits 400.000 shops every year
Amsterdam Brussels Barcelona
Overview Belgium: Shops everywhere	

212.000 Retail outlets
België: overal lege winkels..	

And: vacant units everywhere
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
14,0%
16,0%
18,0%
20,0%
A1 A2 B1 B2 C
Vacancy Belgium per segment 2013
The 4 big (external) drivers effecting retail
Crisis
Demography
Urbanisation
Technology
Retail drivers:
Bigger
Out-of-Town
Retail Chains
Footfall
Sectors effected: Hearing aids
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Sectors effected: Video stores
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Current Direct E-commerce
Retail Effects
VERY LIMITED IN BELGIUM
Not really there yet..
Video shops -47%
Internet/calling ...
Expected Direct E-commerce
Retail Effects
Where to be expected?
• Food?
• Crafts?
And by When?
We often underestimate the ...
Expected Direct E-commerce
Retail Effects, next 5 years
Not at all (hairdressers): 68%
Slightly (supermarkets): 20%
Large ...
Gerard Zandbergen	

CEO Locatus International Research	

	

Direct: +31348490270	

Mobile: +31621553096	

	

Locatus Inter...
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen
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E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen

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E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts
Gerard Zandbergen #ETS13

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Transcript of "E-Commerce and the Real Retail Facts Gerard Zandbergen"

  1. 1. Retail is the fine art of separating consumers from their money
  2. 2. We often overestimate how quickly change will happen We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen (Gerd Leonhard, Media Futurist, 2009)
  3. 3. “E-Trade Conference 2013” The Retail Facts Belgium 2013 and the effect of E-commerce on shops in 20 minutes Gerard Zandbergen @1gerard
  4. 4. Locatus visits 400.000 shops every year Amsterdam Brussels Barcelona
  5. 5. Overview Belgium: Shops everywhere 212.000 Retail outlets
  6. 6. België: overal lege winkels.. And: vacant units everywhere
  7. 7. 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0% 10,0% 12,0% 14,0% 16,0% 18,0% 20,0% A1 A2 B1 B2 C Vacancy Belgium per segment 2013
  8. 8. The 4 big (external) drivers effecting retail Crisis Demography Urbanisation Technology
  9. 9. Retail drivers: Bigger Out-of-Town Retail Chains Footfall
  10. 10. Sectors effected: Hearing aids 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  11. 11. Sectors effected: Video stores 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
  12. 12. Current Direct E-commerce Retail Effects VERY LIMITED IN BELGIUM Not really there yet.. Video shops -47% Internet/calling shops -41% Radio/TV shops -37% Betting shops -32% Photo/film shops -30% Postoffices -28% DIY small shops -27%
  13. 13. Expected Direct E-commerce Retail Effects Where to be expected? • Food? • Crafts? And by When? We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen
  14. 14. Expected Direct E-commerce Retail Effects, next 5 years Not at all (hairdressers): 68% Slightly (supermarkets): 20% Large (clothing): 9% Massive (electronics) 3% We often underestimate the magnitude of the changes when it does happen
  15. 15. Gerard Zandbergen CEO Locatus International Research Direct: +31348490270 Mobile: +31621553096 Locatus International Research Pelmolenlaan 10 Postbus 139 3440AC Woerden gerard.zandbergen@locatus.nl www.locatus.com BLOG www.retailreflect.com TWITTER @1gerard
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