Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
L24 The Future
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.

×
Saving this for later? Get the SlideShare app to save on your phone or tablet. Read anywhere, anytime – even offline.
Text the download link to your phone
Standard text messaging rates apply

L24 The Future

201

Published on

Looking back, the 20th century saw more innovation then history of mankind before that. This was the century of electronics, computers, software and the Internet. Now when we are at the beginning of …

Looking back, the 20th century saw more innovation then history of mankind before that. This was the century of electronics, computers, software and the Internet. Now when we are at the beginning of the 21st century what will we see in the coming decades? There is strong evidence that technology is still very primitive and that we will see more progress in the 21st century than all progress of mankind combined.

In this lecture we look into the future and look at the trends that are will shape the world in the near future. We will look at technology that dies and jobs that are changing.

References:
BBC Horizon (1964) with Arthur C. Clarke
Big Thinkers (2001) with Douglas Adams
Peter Diamandis: Abundance is our future - 2012 TED talk
Peter Diamandis: Abundance the book
IPCC Climate Change
Microsoft's Future Vision - Live, Work, Play

Published in: Technology
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
201
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
1
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
11
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. Lecture L24 THE FUTURE
  • 2. “Optimism is a strategy for making a better future.
 Because unless you believe that the future can be better, 
 you are unlikely to step up and take responsibility for making it so.” - Noam Chomsky
  • 3. PREDICTING THE FUTURE
  • 4. Illustrations by French artist Villemard in 1910 of how he imagined the future to be in the year 2000
  • 5. Read  more  at  Sad  and  Useless,  http://www.sadanduseless.com/2011/03/world-­‐in-­‐2000/#FQZyXhjwDLTbqp6Y.99   In the 21st century, in order to control traffic jams in the air, there will be more and more flying policemen.
  • 6. Read  more  at  Sad  and  Useless,  http://www.sadanduseless.com/2011/03/world-­‐in-­‐2000/#FQZyXhjwDLTbqp6Y.99   Schools will be equipped with audio books.
  • 7. Read  more  at  Sad  and  Useless,  http://www.sadanduseless.com/2011/03/world-­‐in-­‐2000/#FQZyXhjwDLTbqp6Y.99   You’ll be able to send mail just by dictating it into loudspeaker.
  • 8. Read  more  at  Sad  and  Useless,  http://www.sadanduseless.com/2011/03/world-­‐in-­‐2000/#FQZyXhjwDLTbqp6Y.99   Building sites will be equipped with 
 automatic devices and machines.
  • 9. Read  more  at  Sad  and  Useless,  http://www.sadanduseless.com/2011/03/world-­‐in-­‐2000/#FQZyXhjwDLTbqp6Y.99   Listening to an audio-newspaper. Listening  to  an  audio-­‐newspaper.  
  • 10. Walter Cronkite in the Home Office of 2001 (1967)
  • 11. 11
  • 12. This is how computers work in 2001
  • 13. WE TEND TO OVERESTIMATE THE IMMIDIATE IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGY AND UNDERESTIMATE THE LONG-TERM
  • 14. WE EMPHASISE
 THE TECHNOLOGY BUT IGNORE THE SOCIAL AND CULTURAL IMPACT
  • 15. BBC Horizon (1964) with Arthur C. Clarke
  • 16. Image: wikipedia.org
  • 17. Douglas Adams in 2001
  • 18. Stuff that works
  • 19. 1900 REVOLUTION  IN  SCIENCE  –  EINSTEIN,   CURIE,  FREUD,  BOHR,  TURING   ! BROADCAST  CULTURE  –  RADIO,   MOVIES,  TV,  SITCOMS   ! ANALOG  –  RECORDS,  CASETTES,  FILM,   BOOKS,  CD,  DVD   ! INDUSTRIAL   ! FACT  BASED  EDUCTION 2000 2100 WHAT  WILL  THE
 FUTURE  BE?
  • 20. WE ARE STILL IN THE EARLY STAGES OF TECHNOLOGY GROWTH
  • 21. 70 YEARS AGO
  • 22. 45 YEARS AGO
  • 23. “"There  is  no  reason  for  any  individual  to  have  a   computer  in  their  home.”   -­‐  Kenneth  Olsen,  president  and  founder  of  Digital   Equipment  Corp.,  1977     37 YEARS AGO
  • 24. 33 YEARS AGO
  • 25. 30 YEARS AGO
  • 26. Attribution: Chris 73 / Wikimedia Commons 25 YEARS AGO
  • 27. THE CAR AT 25 YEARS
  • 28. 10 YEARS AGO
  • 29. 7 YEARS AGO
  • 30. 4 YEARS AGO
  • 31. MUSIC PICTURES COMMUNICATION SMARTPHONES TV  SHOWS MOVIES BOOKS/MAGAZINES DIGITAL DECADE 2000 2010
  • 32. WILL THE FUTURE BE FANTASTIC?
  • 33. WTF HAPPENED TO MY JOB?!? UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 34. In 1800 most jobs were in agriculture
  • 35. INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
  • 36. THE MACHINE AGE
  • 37. 99% of jobs in 1800 don’t exist today
  • 38. WHAT ABOUT JOBS TODAY?
  • 39. 70% OF JOBS WILL DISAPPEAR
  • 40. Global Warming Financials Crisis Loss of Biodiversity and Extinctions Arms trade Drugs Conflicts Extreme weather Overpopulation Terrorism Food shortages
  • 41. IS THE WORLD GETTING WORSE?
  • 42. SO IS THERE ANY 
 REASON TO BE OPTIMISTIC?
  • 43. Peter Diamandis Abundance is our future - 2012 TED talk
  • 44. NOW IS THE TIME TO BE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE FUTURE
  • 45. 1900 REVOLUTION  IN  SCIENCE  –  EINSTEIN,   CURIE,  FREUD,  BOHR,  TURING   ! BROADCAST  CULTURE  –  RADIO,   MOVIES,  TV,  SITCOMS   ! ANALOG  –  RECORDS,  CASETTES,  FILM,   BOOKS,  CD,  DVD   ! INDUSTRIAL   ! FACT  BASED  EDUCTION 2000 2100 THE  THIRD  INDUSTRIAL  REVOLUTION   END  OF  CONTROL   EVERYTHING  IS  DIGITAL   THE  RISE  OF  SOFTWARE     ARTIFICIAL  INTELLIGENCE     INFINITE  COMPUTING   ROBOTICS   3D  PRINTING   SYNTHETIC  BIOLOGY   DIGITAL  MEDICINE   NANOMATERIAL   ABUNDANCE   SUPERMAGNETS
  • 46. SOFTWARE AND DATA ARE IN THE CLOUD
  • 47. INTERNET – 2,5 BILLION PEOPLE + 
 3 BILLION COMING ONLINE
  • 48. COMPUTERS,
 PHONES, DEVICES ARE 
 JUST GATEWAYS TO THE CLOUD
  • 49. INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
  • 50. ROBOTICS
  • 51. 20th CENTURY INDUSTRIAL ROBOTS
  • 52. 21ST CENTURY ROBOTS – SPATIAL
  • 53. ROBOTS THE LEARN
  • 54. uARM KIT $189
  • 55.  AUTOMATIC AGRICULTURE ROBOTS
  • 56. AUTOMATIC AGRICULTURE ROBOTS
  • 57. SEXBOTS http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/scott20131110
  • 58. 3D PRINTING
  • 59. JOBS OF THE FUTURE WHY IS MY JOB GONE? How will the job market change?
  • 60. THE SECOND MACHINE AGE Source:  http://www.economist.com/
  • 61. MUSIC PICTURES COMMUNICATION SMARTPHONES TV  SHOWS MOVIES BOOKS/MAGAZINES DIGITAL DECADE 2000 2010
  • 62. 2010 2020 BUSINESS
 MODELS
 OF THE 20TH CENTURY THE TRANSFORMATION DECADE NEW BUSINESS MODELS BASED ON PEER-2-PEER AND ABUNDANCE
  • 63. JOBS  IN   SALE  AND
 DISTRIBUTION     OF  PRODUCT
 THAT  CAN  BE  MADE   DIGITAL  AND   DISTRIBUTED   WITH  THE  INTERNET
  • 64. VIDEO STORES MUSIC STORES BOOKSTORES …
  • 65. BOOKSTORES ARE 
 BECOMING COFFEE HOUSES
  • 66. PHONE COMPANIES ARE BECOMING
 VIDEO STORES Source:  http://www.nationphone.com/USATVAbroad.html
  • 67. Edited program Algorithmically selected program OVER THE TOP CONTENT BEFORE FUTURE
  • 68. Buy, own, clutter Stream, temporary, subscribe, algorithmically recommended, social JOBS BECOME INTERNET SERVICE BEFORE FUTURE
  • 69. JOBS in SALE AND DISTRIBUTION OF PRODUCT THAT CAN BE BOUGHT ONLINE
  • 70. STORES ARE TURNING INTO FITTING ROOMS
  • 71. SHOP WITH APP
  • 72. HELP YOURSELF
  • 73. SJÁLFSAFGREIÐSLASHOP ONLINE AND PICK UP
  • 74. …OR GET DELIVERED
  • 75. Trucks Self driving cars, drones, quadcopters TRANSPORTATION – PRODUCTS BEFORE BECOMES
  • 76. Run on diesel, electricity Runs on super magnets TRANSPORTATION – TRAINS BEFORE BECOMES
  • 77. ! CLERK JOBS
 BECOME SOFTWARE SERVICE
  • 78. Go to the bank Online CLERK JOBS BEFORE NOW
  • 79. JOBS IN ANALYSING 
 AND CONSULTING
 BECOMES
 SOFTWARE
 SERVICE
  • 80. Assist, advice Software, videos, softbots that recommend SERVICE JOBS BEFORE FUTURE
  • 81. Legal, accounting, tax services Software that analysis data and recommends PROFESSIONAL JOBS BEFORE FUTURE
  • 82. Diagnosis, recommendation
 Software, sensors that analysis and recommend HEALTH CARE BEFORE FUTURE
  • 83. 95 Imagine a portable, wireless device in the palm of your hand that monitors and diagnoses your health conditions
  • 84. Teachers, textbooks, 
 schools, degrees MOOCs, online, virtual degrees, personalised education, livelong EDUCATION BEFORE FUTURE
  • 85. JOBS WITH
 PRODUCTION REPLACED 
 WITH 
 MACHINES
  • 86. Low paid jobs, simple skills Robots FOOD PRODUCTION BEFORE FUTURE
  • 87. PRODUCTION Low paid jobs, simple skills BEFORE Low paid jobs, simple skills Robots FUTURE
  • 88. Mass production 3D Printing, personalized DESIGN AND PRODUCTION BEFORE FUTURE
  • 89. Intellectual sexbots FUTURE OF SEX BEFORE FUTURE You know how it works,
 sex toys
  • 90. JOBS OF THE FUTURE Creative Value-added Experience Content creation Crossing skill sets OK, I GET IT
  • 91. DAWN OF MAN NOW FUTURE We tend to 
 look back ! Tyranny of common sense ! RVP Unknown Opportunity
  • 92. IS TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS GOOD OR BAD?
  • 93. “I like stepping into the future. Therefore, I look for doorknobs.” ― Mark Rosen
  • 94. New Technology 2014

×