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CRITICAL ISSUES FORUM 2011SYRIA: ISN’T IT THE SECOND IRAQ?                                      The author:               ...
“History repeats”                                            Thucydideshttp://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A4%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%...
SAFEGUARDSNonproliferation    policy                   Export                             Control                    Staff...
Nuclear ProgramPeacef        Military  ul
When did the Gulf War finish?                                           1973                                           1...
Can Syria repeat the history ofIraq and develop its own secret      Nuclear Program?
When did Syria sign the NPT?                             1976                             1968                          ...
The Syrian Atomic EnergyCommission                                    The  main goal:                                    ...
What state supplied Syria with a miniature source                    reactor?                                             ...
The Syrian Nuclear Program:3   exploration and mining units1   uranium recovery plant1   fuel storage facility1   rese...
D o e s S yr i a h a v e a n y    possibility for thedevelopment of a nuclear          program?  The absence of         Th...
What Middle East country is in the              confrontation with Syria?                                                 ...
SY R I A N P U B L I C O P I N I O N 2 0 07If Israelwithdraws in full              7,90%                 Strongly favorfro...
WHY MAY SYRIA BE MOTIVATED TO THE NW           PRODUCTION?             Possible reasonsResistance  to the             A   ...
Does Syria possess any financial means for the nuclear program        development?   Independently             With suppor...
What country in the Middle East is the Syrianally in the nuclear sphere?                                              The...
What Asian country is suspected in secretcollaboration with Syria?                                      China            ...
Syria is the member    of the IAEASyria has signed the        NPTSyria has not signed   the Additional      Protocol
What is the Syrian position about the        suspected facilities?Syria has remained silent since 2008. It has not produc...
Will Syria repeat the history           of Iraq?
http://theuniversalentrepreneur.tumblr.com/                                               Time                            ...
SOURCES:1.    Ahtamzyan I.A., Bondarev V.M., Vildanov M.P. and others Nuclear Nonproliferation. Short encyclopedia. (Mosco...
Thank you foryour attention!Any   questions?
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Syria

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  1. 1. CRITICAL ISSUES FORUM 2011SYRIA: ISN’T IT THE SECOND IRAQ? The author: Anastasia Mikhailina The adviser: Yulia Shcherbakova Comprehensive School №216 “Didakt”, Zarechny, Russia Monterey, 2011
  2. 2. “History repeats” Thucydideshttp://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A4%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB:Thucydides-bust-cutout_ROM.jpg
  3. 3. SAFEGUARDSNonproliferation policy Export Control Staff Control
  4. 4. Nuclear ProgramPeacef Military ul
  5. 5. When did the Gulf War finish? 1973 1988 1991http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sciencenow/0401/02-hist-08.html
  6. 6. Can Syria repeat the history ofIraq and develop its own secret Nuclear Program?
  7. 7. When did Syria sign the NPT? 1976 1968 1960http://www.ippnw-students.org/NPT/oped.html
  8. 8. The Syrian Atomic EnergyCommission The main goal: to analyze the possibility of nuclear power plant creation The negotiations with: France Argentinahttp://www.aec.org.sy/index_a.php Russia
  9. 9. What state supplied Syria with a miniature source reactor?  China  Russia  The USA http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L -3726884,00.html
  10. 10. The Syrian Nuclear Program:3 exploration and mining units1 uranium recovery plant1 fuel storage facility1 research reactor3 research and development centers1 waste management and reprocessing unit1 education and training facility (atDamascus University) [8]
  11. 11. D o e s S yr i a h a v e a n y possibility for thedevelopment of a nuclear program? The absence of The issue of uranium military nuclear enrichment unit program creation as the necessary actively element of NW discussed in the production world
  12. 12. What Middle East country is in the confrontation with Syria? Libya Israel Iraqhttp://maarbolet.dreamwidth.org/362954.html http://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki /630396
  13. 13. SY R I A N P U B L I C O P I N I O N 2 0 07If Israelwithdraws in full 7,90% Strongly favorfrom the Golan 5,50%and recognizes Strongly opposeSyrian 6%sovereignty 34.60% Somewhat favorover theGolan, do you Somewhat 16%favor or oppose opposea peace treaty Refusedbetween Syriaand Israel? 30% Dont know[9]
  14. 14. WHY MAY SYRIA BE MOTIVATED TO THE NW PRODUCTION? Possible reasonsResistance to the A An indicatoraggression psychologica of prestige in of other l barrier the world states
  15. 15. Does Syria possess any financial means for the nuclear program development? Independently With support• The reduction of • Probable Syrian economic investments growth to 1.8%[10]• No • Yes
  16. 16. What country in the Middle East is the Syrianally in the nuclear sphere? The UAE Israel Iranhttp://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=12635901
  17. 17. What Asian country is suspected in secretcollaboration with Syria? China NorthKorea Japan http://pensardelado.wordpress.com/
  18. 18. Syria is the member of the IAEASyria has signed the NPTSyria has not signed the Additional Protocol
  19. 19. What is the Syrian position about the suspected facilities?Syria has remained silent since 2008. It has not produced any evidence of Al-Kibar‟snon-nuclear purposethe IAEA experts has not got the access to theterritory of the facilities The facts do not give us an opportunity to eliminate the connection between the Syrian units and nuclear program
  20. 20. Will Syria repeat the history of Iraq?
  21. 21. http://theuniversalentrepreneur.tumblr.com/ Time will show…
  22. 22. SOURCES:1. Ahtamzyan I.A., Bondarev V.M., Vildanov M.P. and others Nuclear Nonproliferation. Short encyclopedia. (Moscow: ROSSPEN, 2009)2. “File:Flag-map of Syria.svg “ http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Flag-map_of_Syria.svg3. “The great people‟s quotations” http://www.epwr.ru/quotation/txt_467_2.php4. http://primamedia.ru/news/show/?id=1364125. http://fabiosalvador.com.br/index.php?mat=2386. http://www.clker.com/clipart-12282.html7. http://chemistry.about.com/od/PrintableQuizzes/tp/Printable-Lab-Safety-Sign-Quiz.htm8. “Syria Profile: Nuclear Facilities.” NTI: Research Library: Country Profiles. http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles/Syria/Nuclear/facilities.html9. „TFT Syria Poll Report 2007” http://www.terrorfreetomorrorw.org10. “Middle East. Syria” CIA - The World Factbook. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/sy.html11. “Syria supports Iran in the nuclear program development” IA REGNUM 20|04|2007 http://www.regnum.ru/news/816435.html12. Ganor E. “How was Syria left without…?” Kontinent Media Group http://www.kontinent.org/article_rus_4b0617142b885.html13. http://www.globalsecurity.org/jhtml/jframe.html#http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/syria/2008/syria-080424-dni01- 38.jpg14. http://www.globalsecurity.org/jhtml/jframe.html#http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/syria/2008/syria-080424-dni01- 43.jpg15. http://www.globalsecurity.org/jhtml/jframe.html#http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/news/syria/2008/syria-080424-dni01- 04.jpg16. http://news.webshots.com/photo/2030653240028137981KJLOyD17. “The Basic Points of the IAEA report about Syria” 25/11/2008 AtomInfo.ru http://www.atominfo.ru/news/air5440.htm18. Albright D. and Brannan P.“ISIS Reports. Satellite Image Shows Suspected Uranium Conversion Plant in Syria” 23/02/2011 http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-shows-suspected-uranium-conversion-plant-in-syria1/19. Albright D. and Brannan P.“ISIS Reports. Satellite Image Shows Syrian Site Functionally Related to Al Kibar Reactor 01/12/2010 http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/satellite-image-shows-syrian-site-functionally-related-to-al-kibar-reactor/20. The IAEA Report by the Director General. Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement in the Syrian Arab Republic. Board of Governors. 25/02/2011
  23. 23. Thank you foryour attention!Any questions?
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