How to bet baseball. Joe Duffy, long time pro gambler and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com reveals Major League Baseball betting secrets on how to defeat the Vegas baseball odds. He should know. He has been doing so for years.
3. Handicapping Pitching
• Most important stats
– WHIP
– ERA
• Also considering unearned
• Alternative (some overlapping)
– OBP and slugging percentage against
4. Class, Motivation, Form
• Recent form rated more heavily in MLB
• Define “recent”
– Seven to 10 days for offense
– Last month for pitchers
• Number of days rather than games
5. Injuries, rest, bullpen
• Fantasy sports and gambling overlap in MLB
– Injury reports
– Starters likely to be rested
• Bullpen recent play and rest
– Recent three to five games
6. Money management
• Understand basic math of moneyline
– (+150) means 40% winning to break even
– (-150) must hit 60% to break even
– Betting large underdogs can have less than 50
percent change to win