Low initial payments and period of negative amortization
Graduated equity loans (GEMs)
Fixed coupon with growing payments
Balloons
Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)
Various index rates
Caps and collars
Mortgage Loan Payments
The payments on a plain vanilla mortgage are determined by
Initial principal Contract rate of interest Mortgage term in years
For Example
The monthly payments on a $187,000 loan written at 10% for 15 years is
In Excel, you can use the financial function PMT(rate, nper, pv,fv,type)
Mortgage Loan Payments
Each payment consists of
interest equal to i /12 times the amount of principal owing at the time the payment is due, and
scheduled principal repayment
Payments are calculated such that the interest due is paid first and then the remainder of the payment is used to reduce the principal owed.
A table listing the payments and how they are divided between interest and principal is called an amortization schedule.
Amortization Schedule
For example, here are the first few lines of an amortization schedule for a 15-year, 10% fixed rate loan with an initial principal of $187,000
Amortization Schedule
A better way to visualize the amortization process is to look at a graph of the payments
Amortization Schedule
The principal balance remaining after any number of payments can be determined by constructing an amortization schedule or by employing the formula
Amortization Schedule
The logic of this formula is that the principal balance remaining after s payments is always the present value of the remaining 12T-s payments discounted at the contract rate of interest
Amortization Schedule
Graphically
Mortgage Servicing
Servicing
Collection and forwarding of payments
Administration of escrow accounts
Servicing fees
Typically 50 basis points
Right to service loan is sold by owner of mortgage loan
Mortgage Servicing
For example
This servicing annuity is worth about $5,450 at a 9.5% discount rate
Prepayments
Payments made by borrowers in excess of their scheduled loan payments.
Entire (as when the house is sold or refinanced)
Partial (accelerated principal repayment)
Most prepayments are optional to the borrower
put option
Borrower incentives when rates
Rise
Fall
For Example
Consider a mortgage that’s been outstanding for two years and rates have fallen 2%
Prepayments
To the extent that prepayments cannot be perfectly predicted, they create uncertainty about the term of mortgage loans.
This uncertainty is a disadvantage from the standpoint of an investor.
What’s worse: Prepayments are more likely when rates fall and less likely when they rise, so prepayment risk is positively correlated with interest rate risk
Pass-throughs
The simplest type of MBS
Similar mortgages are pooled and
Principal and interest payments are passed through to investors (pro rata)
Less servicing and insurance (credit enhancement) fees
Pass-through cash flows are uncertain because prepayments of mortgages within the pool are uncertain.
Prepayment models
To price a pass-through bond, an estimate of prepayments is needed.
Prepayments will affect the duration of the bonds (Can you see how?)
There are several “models” for estimating prepayments
However, none of these models is designed to describe borrower response to changes in interest rates.
CPR
The constant prepayment rate model assumes a constant percentage of the outstanding principal will prepay each month.
CPR is an annual rate that can be translated to a single monthly mortality rate (SMM) as
An SMM of z% means that z% of the principal remaining in the pool after all scheduled payments have been made will prepay during the month
CPR
For example, a CPR of 6%
Translates to an SMM of .514%
So if you owned a pass-through with a beginning of the month balance of $181,824.99 and $494.30 of scheduled principal payments, then prepayments would be predicted at
PSA
The Public Securities Association standard specifies that the CPR is .2% during the first month of a pool,
Increases by .2% per month until the 30th month
Levels off at 6% for the remainder.
Prepayment speeds are quoted as % of PSA
Slow: less than 100% PSA
Fast: greater than 100% of PSA
FHA Experience
HUD publishes data on FHA insured mortgages that can be used to extrapolate prepayment speeds.
Patterns can be discerned for different types of pools.
The pattern for a given pool type can then be used to estimate a prepayment speed for other pools of that type.
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