Fixed Income Securities and their Derivatives

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    Fixed Income Securities and their Derivatives - Presentation Transcript

    1. Fixed Income Securities and their Derivatives
    2. Asset-Backed Securities
    3. Asset-Backed Securities
        • ABS derive their cash flows from a pool of underlying assets
          • MBS = mortgage backed securities
          • CARS = certificates for automobile receivables
          • CARDS = certificates for amortizing revolving debts
          • HELS = home equity loan securities
    4. Asset-Backed Securities
        • The underlying assets generate cash flows of principal and interest which can be repackaged and sold to investors.
      Fixed income assets Principal Interest Asset-backed securities
    5. Asset-Backed Securities
        • In ABS, the underlying assets are collected into a pool .
          • Pool assets are standardized .
        • The asset pool is placed in trust.
        • Claims on the cash flows generated by the asset pool are structured:
          • Pass-through structures
          • Multi-class structures
        • Securities representing these claims are sold.
    6. Securitization
        • By pooling and repackaging cash flows, ABS issuers can convert illiquid fixed income assets into marketable bonds.
        • Requires trust structure to hold underlying assets, and
        • Credit enhancement to achieve investment grade bond rating
          • External: guarantees
          • Internal: over-collateralization.
    7. Issuers
        • Mortgage related agencies
          • Ginnie Mae (pass-thoughs)
          • Freddie Mac (PCs)
          • Fannie Mae (MBS)
        • Private label MBS
          • Citi, GE, Prudential
        • Private label ABS
          • GMAC and other auto companies
          • Finance companies
          • Credit card issuers
    8. Investors
        • Insurance companies
        • Pension funds
        • Mutual funds
        • Wealthy individuals
    9. MBS
        • Backed by mortgage loans.
        • A mortgage loan is a loan secured by real estate
          • The “mortgage” is a security agreement that gives the lender the right to seize by foreclosure the property securing the loan if the borrower defaults
        • Mortgage loans are originated by banks and other financial firms.
        • Once originated, a mortgage loan may be held, sold to an investor for cash, or pooled and securitized.
    10. Mortgage Loan Types
        • Fixed-rate, level pay (“plain vanilla”)
          • Term of loan is fixed (30 years is common in US)
          • Contract rate of interest is fixed for the life of the loan.
          • Payments (usually monthly) are constant for the term of the loan
          • The payments fully amortize the loan.
        • FHA, conventional, conforming, nonconforming, jumbo
    11. Mortgage Loan Types
        • Graduated payment loans (GPMs)
          • Low initial payments and period of negative amortization
        • Graduated equity loans (GEMs)
          • Fixed coupon with growing payments
        • Balloons
        • Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)
          • Various index rates
          • Caps and collars
    12. Mortgage Loan Payments
        • The payments on a plain vanilla mortgage are determined by
      Initial principal Contract rate of interest Mortgage term in years
    13. For Example
        • The monthly payments on a $187,000 loan written at 10% for 15 years is
      In Excel, you can use the financial function PMT(rate, nper, pv,fv,type)
    14. Mortgage Loan Payments
        • Each payment consists of
          • interest equal to i /12 times the amount of principal owing at the time the payment is due, and
          • scheduled principal repayment
        • Payments are calculated such that the interest due is paid first and then the remainder of the payment is used to reduce the principal owed.
        • A table listing the payments and how they are divided between interest and principal is called an amortization schedule.
    15. Amortization Schedule
        • For example, here are the first few lines of an amortization schedule for a 15-year, 10% fixed rate loan with an initial principal of $187,000
    16. Amortization Schedule
        • A better way to visualize the amortization process is to look at a graph of the payments
    17. Amortization Schedule
        • The principal balance remaining after any number of payments can be determined by constructing an amortization schedule or by employing the formula
    18. Amortization Schedule
        • The logic of this formula is that the principal balance remaining after s payments is always the present value of the remaining 12T-s payments discounted at the contract rate of interest
    19. Amortization Schedule
        • Graphically
    20. Mortgage Servicing
        • Servicing
          • Collection and forwarding of payments
          • Administration of escrow accounts
        • Servicing fees
          • Typically 50 basis points
        • Right to service loan is sold by owner of mortgage loan
    21. Mortgage Servicing
        • For example
      This servicing annuity is worth about $5,450 at a 9.5% discount rate
    22. Prepayments
        • Payments made by borrowers in excess of their scheduled loan payments.
          • Entire (as when the house is sold or refinanced)
          • Partial (accelerated principal repayment)
        • Most prepayments are optional to the borrower
          • put option
        • Borrower incentives when rates
          • Rise
          • Fall
    23. For Example
        • Consider a mortgage that’s been outstanding for two years and rates have fallen 2%
    24. Prepayments
        • To the extent that prepayments cannot be perfectly predicted, they create uncertainty about the term of mortgage loans.
        • This uncertainty is a disadvantage from the standpoint of an investor.
        • What’s worse: Prepayments are more likely when rates fall and less likely when they rise, so prepayment risk is positively correlated with interest rate risk
    25. Pass-throughs
        • The simplest type of MBS
          • Similar mortgages are pooled and
          • Principal and interest payments are passed through to investors (pro rata)
          • Less servicing and insurance (credit enhancement) fees
        • Pass-through cash flows are uncertain because prepayments of mortgages within the pool are uncertain.
    26. Prepayment models
        • To price a pass-through bond, an estimate of prepayments is needed.
          • Prepayments will affect the duration of the bonds (Can you see how?)
        • There are several “models” for estimating prepayments
        • However, none of these models is designed to describe borrower response to changes in interest rates.
    27. CPR
        • The constant prepayment rate model assumes a constant percentage of the outstanding principal will prepay each month.
        • CPR is an annual rate that can be translated to a single monthly mortality rate (SMM) as
      An SMM of z% means that z% of the principal remaining in the pool after all scheduled payments have been made will prepay during the month
    28. CPR
        • For example, a CPR of 6%
        • Translates to an SMM of .514%
        • So if you owned a pass-through with a beginning of the month balance of $181,824.99 and $494.30 of scheduled principal payments, then prepayments would be predicted at
    29. PSA
        • The Public Securities Association standard specifies that the CPR is .2% during the first month of a pool,
        • Increases by .2% per month until the 30th month
        • Levels off at 6% for the remainder.
        • Prepayment speeds are quoted as % of PSA
          • Slow: less than 100% PSA
          • Fast: greater than 100% of PSA
    30. FHA Experience
        • HUD publishes data on FHA insured mortgages that can be used to extrapolate prepayment speeds.
        • Patterns can be discerned for different types of pools.
        • The pattern for a given pool type can then be used to estimate a prepayment speed for other pools of that type.
    31. Example with 165% PSA
    32. Effect of Changing PSA
        • Impact on duration
        • Excel spreadsheet
    33. Next:
    34. Pricing and Multiclass Structures

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