2010 02-27 saratoga-plan-r0
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2010 02-27 saratoga-plan-r0

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Population growth trends analyzed for the Capital District of New York. Various growth scenarios are examed including impacts on land use and taxation.

Population growth trends analyzed for the Capital District of New York. Various growth scenarios are examed including impacts on land use and taxation.

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2010 02-27 saratoga-plan-r0 Presentation Transcript

  • 1. Start End Saratoga P.L.A.N. Rocco A. Ferraro, AICP, Executive Director Capital District Regional Planning Commission
  • 2. Commission End CDRPC Commissioners Albany County Willard A. Bruce, Secretary John Graziano, Jr. Lucille M. McKnight Michael B. Whalen, Jr. {Vacant} Rensselaer County Judy Breselor Stan Brownell Leon Fiacco James D. Shaughnessy, Treasurer Mike Stammel Saratoga County Fred Acunto Philip Barrett, Chair Jason Kemper John Murray Paul Sausville Schenectady County Robert J. Godlewski Gary Hughes Barbara Mauro, Vice Chair Michael Petta David Vincent
  • 3. Pop50C End
  • 4. Pop60C End
  • 5. Pop70C End
  • 6. Pop80C End
  • 7. Pop90C End
  • 8. Pop00C End
  • 9. Pop50 End
  • 10. Pop60 End
  • 11. Pop70 End
  • 12. Pop80 End
  • 13. Pop90 End
  • 14. Pop00 End
  • 15. BP2 End
  • 16. PopProj End
  • 17. Age Cohort Proj End Saratoga County Age Cohort Projections
  • 18. HH by Type End Saratoga County Households by Type
  • 19. Fam HH by Type End Saratoga County Family Households by Type
  • 20. Persons/HH End Saratoga County Avg. Persons/Household
  • 21. HH Proj End Saratoga County Household Projections
  • 22. HH Proj Chart End
  • 23. Map-S1 End Development Scenario 1 2000-2030 Status Quo Trend 72,707 net persons 1 dot = 50 people
    • CDRPC Projections
    • Current Policies
  • 24. Map-S2 End Development Scenario 2 2000-2030 Concentrated Growth 72,707 net persons 1 dot = 50 people
    • CDRPC Projections
    • Higher Density
    • Urban Policy Initiatives
  • 25. Map-S3 End Development Scenario 3 2000-2030 Trend Hyper-Growth 229,341 net persons 1 dot = 50 people
    • Average U.S. Growth Rate (1%/year)
    • Current Policies
  • 26. Map-S4 End Development Scenario 4 2000-2030 Concentrated Hyper-Growth 229,340 net persons 1 dot = 50 people
    • Average U.S. Growth Rate (1%/year)
    • Higher Density
    • Urban Policy Initiatives
  • 27. CDR Fiscal Impact End
    • Critical Points
    • The faster the Region grows, the more critical it is to manage growth to avoid escalating infrastructure costs.
    • More dispersed development patterns means higher infrastructure costs, in particular for education.
    • Under the trend scenarios the costs to maintain existing infrastructure will be borne by a smaller and less wealthy population.
    • Private costs for Water and Wastewater would be less under the concentrated versus the trend growth scenarios.
    • Mutual aid assistance agreements for fire and emergency services may not ensure adequate personnel and property protection in fast growing suburban and rural areas dependent on volunteer staffing, accelerating the need to professionalize some currently volunteer districts.
    Capital Region Fiscal Impacts of Growth to 2030 $1,698.3 M $1,620.7 M $4,796.0 M $3,789.7 M Fire/EMS Education Wastewater Water Status Quo Trend Concentrated Hyper-Growth Trend Hyper-Growth Concentrated Growth $340.9 M $1,087.6 M $151.0 M $118.8 M $346.9 M $1,015.1 M $155.4 M $103.3 M $868.6 M $3,329.6 M $356.6 M $241.1 M $881.7 M $2,203.8 M $463.0 M $241.2 M
  • 28. Sar Fiscal Impact End Saratoga County Fiscal Impacts of Growth to 2030
  • 29. End End Capital District Regional Planning Commission One Park Place, Suite 102, Albany, New York 12205 518-453-0850 Fax 453-0856 cdrpc@cdrpc.org http://cdrpc.org
  • 30. CDR Migration End Capital District Migration of Taxpayers & Dependents
  • 31. Sar Migration End Saratoga County Migration of Taxpayers & Dependents