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Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon
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Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon

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This slide deck is from the Next Is Now webinar delivered by Dr. Rob Reynolds on April 25, 2012. In his presentation, Rob explores key Internet trends affecting education, and makes projections ...

This slide deck is from the Next Is Now webinar delivered by Dr. Rob Reynolds on April 25, 2012. In his presentation, Rob explores key Internet trends affecting education, and makes projections regarding the future of learning technology and learning content.

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Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon Presentation Transcript

  • Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon Rob Reynolds, Ph.D.
  • Welcome to another Next Is Now webinar• @nextisnow• nextisnow.com• Next Is Now book series – The Future of Learning Content• Upcoming workshop series – Designing your digital content and teaching strategy
  • Broad trends shaping the future• Mobile• Media Distribution• Social Networking• Cloud-based Services• Globality• Content Creation
  • The mobile Internet as the next technology wavehttp://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • Tablets are a big deal• 55 million iPads sold to date• 11.8 million iPad sold in Q1 2012• 66 million iPads will be sold in 2012• 124 million tablets will ship globally in 2012• 375 million tablets will ship globally by 2016 (760 million in use overall)• There will be 92 million tablet owners in the US by 2014• 19% of US adults now own tablet devices
  • The iPad is runaway train compared to its predecessorshttp://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • Android smartphone adoption is something to talk abouthttp://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • The information we need is always availablehttp://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • Mobile devices are changing media consumptionTablets are nowthe #2 devicefor watchingfull-length TVprogramming
  • People want to connect more than everhttp://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • Our notions about content creationare changing Newspapers are are experiencing their 6th straight year of decline http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-201160 hours of video areuploaded to YouTube eachhour
  • Digital interaction is easier than ever
  • A recap of broad consumer technology trends…• Mobile• Media Distribution• Social Networking• Cloud-based Services• Globality• Content Creation
  • … and the natural evolution of technologiesEveryones is a mechanic I can do basic I just look at my maintenance dashboard
  • Forecasts for educational technology
  • Important crosswinds to remember• The predominance of new and multiple screens• The shift from B2B-->B2C• The rise of informal learning• The evolution of mobile platforms• Our changing notions of degrees and certification• The emergence of new business models
  • 3-5 Year horizon for learning content• Broader availability of commercial textbooks in digital formats• Increased availability and acceptance of OER content• Commoditization of OER content• Self and institutional publishing• Increased adoption of digital content• A consolidation of formats and distributors (lighter DRM)• The appearance of initial subscription services• A decrease in textbook prices
  • E-textbook channels and distribution todayB2CAmazonAppleCoursesmartChegg User FeaturesGoogleInkling B2BKno Institutional CafescribeNOOKstudy Services ClassBookTextbooks.com Courseload Coursesmart MBS Direct Digital VitalSource
  • E-textbook channels in 5 yearsB2C Textbooks Commercial Content Open Content Services ServicesAmazon Amazon ?Apple (Barnes & Noble)Google Follett(Barnes & Noble) MBS
  • E-textbooks are growing in popularity http://www.nextisnow.net/
  • The overall adoption of digital content is aggressive http://www.nextisnow.net/
  • What to Expect in Educational Technology• Content and Learning Analytics• Personal Technology• Flipped Classroom Technology• Personalized Learning
  • Content and Learning Analytics• Reading analytics• 3600 learner analytics• Social learning analytics
  • Personal ComputingWearable computingdevices
  • Personal ComputingThe fight for the fifth screen
  • Flipped Classroom TechnologyTethered will become untethered, andintegrated will become disaggregated
  • Personalized Learning• Formal-informal learning• MOOCs• Flipboard for education• iTunes for education• Individualized curricula• Lifelong degree programs