Technology Vision 2008 at ICCG HD08


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  • Technology Vision 2008 at ICCG HD08

    1. 1. Niklaus Weissenstein Heidelberg, 13.09.2008 The Future of IT Technology Vision 2008
    2. 2. A lot happened in 2007 … Wii PS3 Xbox Market Caps Apple $155B IBM $137B Intel $131B
    3. 3. Power Shift From technology to people
    4. 4. Eight Major Technology Trends 2008 <ul><li>Cloud computing </li></ul><ul><li>SI – Regular & Lite </li></ul><ul><li>Enterprise intelligence at scale </li></ul><ul><li>Continuous access to people and content </li></ul><ul><li>Social computing </li></ul><ul><li>User-generated content </li></ul><ul><li>Industrialization of software development </li></ul><ul><li>Green computing </li></ul>
    5. 5. 1. Cloud Computing Hardware Cloud Services Cloud Desktop Cloud SaaS Cloud
    6. 6. Cloud - “everything as a service” over the Internet
    7. 7. Cloud Computing: Implications <ul><li>What’s the business case? </li></ul><ul><li>Data – privacy & trust </li></ul><ul><li>Data Integration </li></ul><ul><li>Migration & Migration to what? </li></ul>
    8. 8. 2. SI – Regular & Lite SI Lite = REST + Mashups + Widgets <ul><li>REST is a lighter “protocol” for inter-operability & data extraction </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Easier to use, 6 to 10 times faster </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Supported by Yahoo, eBay, Amazon, del.ici.ous, Facebook, Salesforce, J2EE 5.0, Oracle and many open source software </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Mashups are a way of combining data from multiple sources </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Originated as a way of aggregating RSS feeds </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Today: 2500+ Mashups, MDE environments (Yahoo Pipes, Microsoft Popfly), Enterprise Mashups (JackBe, IBM, Duet) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Widgets and Gadgets are light-weight desktop UIs that continually update some data </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Yahoo, Google, Microsoft, Apple and others </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>1000s of widgets exist </li></ul></ul>
    9. 9. Enterprise Mashups are coming …
    10. 10. <ul><li>Application long tail? </li></ul><ul><li>End-user integration means shift from apps to data services for IT shops </li></ul><ul><li>How do users/CIOs control and test thousands of end-user mashups? </li></ul>Mashups & Widgets: Implications
    11. 11. 3. Enterprise intelligence at scale Internet-scale computing Scalable analytic algorithms Petabytes of data <ul><li>Bayesian statistics </li></ul><ul><li>Machine learning </li></ul><ul><li>Information theory </li></ul><ul><li>… </li></ul>
    12. 12. The consolidation trend … Jan, 2008 Oct, 2007 Feb, 2007 ??? Nov,2007 Oct, 2007 * Partnership on Internet-scale computing for universities
    13. 13. Analytics & BI – maturity model MDM Security, Privacy, Data governance policies in place Data access and integration across different SaaS Data Quality Assurance Scrub data, ensure clean future data Consolidate, integrate data across enterprise Identify reliable external sources, access policies Data Services Data as “services” inside the enterprise Access policies Standardize Mash-up, widget tools Train, enable users Mash-up distribution mechanisms, quality assurance Analytics Sophisticated analytics at user, business unit & corporate level COTS & Custom tools Outsourced “Insight” services Tying analytics to process change and orchestration
    14. 14. Cloud + SI Lite + Enterprise Intelligence => The new CIO <ul><li>Hardware, software – procured from the cloud </li></ul><ul><li>Business units, end-users create their own light-weight apps </li></ul><ul><ul><li>from corporate data provided as REST services </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The new CIO </li></ul><ul><ul><li>“ Data Fort Commander” – ensure security, privacy, integrity of corporate data & manage back-end apps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>“ Chief Intelligence Officer” – provide data analysis services & insights to business units </li></ul></ul>
    15. 15. 4. Continuous access to people and information <ul><li>Smart Phones </li></ul><ul><li>Thin computing </li></ul><ul><li>Wireless connectivity (GPRS, 3G, Wi-Fi, WiMax) </li></ul><ul><li>New interface (touch, gesture) </li></ul><ul><li>Voice recognition </li></ul><ul><li>Syndication & web feeds </li></ul><ul><li>User tracking & profiling </li></ul><ul><li>Widgets/gadgets </li></ul><ul><li>OLPC </li></ul><ul><li>Business responsiveness </li></ul><ul><li>Workforce productivity </li></ul><ul><li>Marketing and sales effectiveness </li></ul><ul><li>Market reach </li></ul>
    16. 16. <ul><li>Mobile devices become first-class objects </li></ul><ul><li>Enterprise desktop/laptop may become outmoded </li></ul><ul><li>Location-based services </li></ul>Continuous Access: Implications
    17. 17. 5. Social Computing - Amplify the power of people & communities <ul><li>Unified communications </li></ul><ul><li>Explosion of social networks </li></ul><ul><li>SNS as platforms </li></ul><ul><li>Interoperable social platforms </li></ul><ul><li>Virtual identity management </li></ul><ul><li>Device independent social software </li></ul><ul><li>Telepresence </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated cameras in devices </li></ul><ul><li>Global distribution of work </li></ul><ul><li>Worker productivity </li></ul><ul><li>Work-life balance </li></ul><ul><li>Green & sustainability </li></ul><ul><li>Innovation </li></ul>
    18. 18. The case of social network services… LinkedIn FaceBook MySpace OpenSocial? A P I Friendster <ul><li>SNS is rapidly evolving into “portals” of information, people, & applications </li></ul>
    19. 19. <ul><li>Social computing is not just a technology problem </li></ul><ul><li>New enterprise software (e.g., IBM’s Lotus Connections) emerging in this area </li></ul><ul><li>Facebook & MySpace are becoming “platforms” – do we know how to build enterprise apps on them? </li></ul><ul><li>Will social networks define the new “portals”? </li></ul>Social Computing: Implications
    20. 20. 6. Explosion of user generated content <ul><li>Explosion of digital cameras, camera phones, & camcorders </li></ul><ul><li>Prosumer multimedia editing SW </li></ul><ul><li>Home broadband & wireless networks </li></ul><ul><li>UGC aggregator market </li></ul><ul><li>New distribution/consumption models </li></ul><ul><li>New monetization models </li></ul><ul><li>Individual prestige, reputation, and influence </li></ul><ul><li>Community contribution </li></ul><ul><li>Freedom of expression </li></ul><ul><li>Consumer engagement </li></ul><ul><li>Monetization potentials </li></ul>
    21. 21. What it means… <ul><li>Power shift from content distribution to content aggregation </li></ul><ul><li>Shorter head & longer tail – for entertainment, education </li></ul><ul><li>Rapid growth in digital advertising </li></ul><ul><li>New approaches to CRM </li></ul>
    22. 22. 7. Industrialization of software development <ul><li>Requirement engineering </li></ul><ul><li>Agile methodologies </li></ul><ul><li>Software metrics </li></ul><ul><li>Collaborative development tools </li></ul><ul><li>Model-driven development </li></ul><ul><li>Intentional programming </li></ul><ul><li>Mashup development environments </li></ul><ul><li>RIA development tools </li></ul><ul><li>Development cost </li></ul><ul><li>Software quality </li></ul><ul><li>Development time </li></ul><ul><li>Software maintainability </li></ul>Tools Process & Metrics Automation
    23. 23. 8. Green Computing increasing energy cost regulatory compliance consumer pressure company valuation Carbon vs. Silicon: replacing energy-intensive activities with information-intensive activities
    24. 24. IT’s role … green commuting green logistics & supply chain green manufacturing green offices green IT & data centers green homes green education
    25. 25. Conclusion <ul><li>Dramatically-changed role of IT & CIO </li></ul><ul><ul><li>IT: From standardization & control to empowerment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>CIO: Data-Fort Commander? Chief Intelligence Officer? </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Disruptive “Cloud” </li></ul><ul><li>Data. Period </li></ul>
    26. 26. Contact <ul><li>Niklaus Weissenstein </li></ul><ul><li>Accenture GmbH </li></ul><ul><li>System Integration & Technology </li></ul><ul><li>Campus Kronberg 1 </li></ul><ul><li>D-61476 Kronberg im Taunus </li></ul><ul><li>Phone +49 6173 94-67185 </li></ul><ul><li>Fax +49 6173 94-47185 </li></ul><ul><li>Mobile +49 175 57- 67185 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>Material based on the presentation given by Frank Mang in Munich at 28.02.2008. </li></ul>
    27. 27. Niklaus Weissenstein Heidelberg, 13.09.2008 The Future of IT Technology Vision 2008