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31th Dec 2013

MARKET DIARY
SGX NIFTY : 6360 (
26pts up )

Quote of The Day
"People calculate too much and think
too little." Charles Munger

MARKET
Name
Sensex
Nifty
DOW
NASDAQ
CAC

Change
(50.57)
(22.70)
25.88
(2.39)
(1.95)

DAX
FTSE
NIKKIE
HANG SENG

Chart of the Day
India & US 10 Year Yield Spread

Value
21143.01
6291.1
1650494
4154.2
4275.61
9552.15
6731.27

(37.25)
(19.60)

Closed
23327.41

EW ALL SHARE

10146.49

82.27
(13.92)

INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER
FII
Investor

Buy(Cr.)

Sale(Cr.)

Net(Cr.)

30th Dec, 13

1304.93

1,188.87

116.06

Dec,13
2013

Index Action-Nifty (30th Dec, 13)

59604.87
742658.17

46,448.58
6,55,938.53

13156.29
86719.64

DII
Investor

Contents
Economic calendar

Page
4

Coverage
UPDATE

News

3

UPDATE

Derivative Research

2

UPDATE
UPDATE

Sale(Cr.)

Net(Cr.)

30th Dec, 13
Dec,13
2013

Index

Buy(Cr.)
676.58
19756.20
254841.99

883.73
27,062.37
3,24,035.09

(207.15)
(7306.17)
(69193.10)

COMMODITY PRICE
COMMODITY/CURRENCIES
Value
GOLD
28352.00
SILVER
44148.00
CRUDEOIL
111.25

↓
↓
↑

COPPER
NATURALGAS

466.40
274.50

↓
↑

DOLLAR/RS.
EURO/RS.
POUND/RS.

61.91
85.47
102.10

↑
↑
↓

Narnolia Securities Ltd.
124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196
email: research@narnolia.com, website : www.narnolia.com

1
Derivative Research
NIFTY SNAPSHOT
Nifty Spot
Nifty Jan 2013 Future

6291.10(-22.70)
6335

Nifty Feb 2013 Future
Nifty Jan 2013 Open Interest

6376
19243350

Nifty Feb 2013 Open Interest
7 DMA of Spot Nifty
21 DMA of Spot NIfty
50 DMA of Spot Nifty
VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX)
PUT CALL RATIO

1111800
6268
6240
6188

GRAPH

15.08(+0.42)
0.95

Nifty (Jan Series) Option OI Distribution:

Index Outlook

Activity of Nifty (Jan Series) Strike
CALL
OI
% Chng
6000
771750
0.2
6100
880100
-1.2
6200
1086100
2.2
6300
2459100
8.7
6400
3493100
10.8
6500
4392400
12.0
Fresh Long Seen In (Rising OI -Rising Price)
Scrip
OI
OI ch%
COLPAL
4,61,500
19.4
APOLLOTYRE
369,96,000
14.3
DRREDDY
9,81,125
6.8
CROMPGREAV
79,84,000
6.3
CESC
7,70,000
4.8
PCR (OI)
STOCK
T1
UPL
0.50
JISLJALEQS
0.23
BAJAJ-AUTO
0.32
INDIACEM
0.17
DABUR
0.37

FIIs Activity (Fig in Cr)
Segment

PUT
OI

Buy

Sell

Net

% Chng
2871650
3018450
3440250
3437550
1289950
680300
CMP
1355.5
101.3
2522.6
131.2
455.3
T2
0.29
0.15
0.22
0.12
0.27

-0.5
-1.5
6.9
8.8
-9.0
2.6
Ch%
3.9
0.5
0.2
1.2
1.4

INDEX FUTURE
INDEX OPTION
STOCK FUTURE
STOCK OPTION
TOTAL

743
3,846
1,022
320
5,931

458
3,545
986
314
5,303

Fresh Shorts Seen In: (Rising OI -Falling Price)
Scrip
OI
OI ch%
CMP
RELINFRA
45,09,000
6.8
424.3
JPPOWER
202,28,000
4.9
18.5
ORIENTBANK
32,66,000
4.7
224.0
MRF
36,625
4.6
19268.7
ACC
9,53,500
4.3
1096.2
YESTERDAY'S IMPACT TRADE
STOCK
STRIKE CE
STOCK
JPASSOCIAT
60 CE
DLF
RPOWER
80 CE
SSLT
APOLLOTYRE
110 CE
TATASTEEL
BHEL
190 CE
RELIANCE
SSLT
210 CE
ICICIBANK

285
301
36
6
628

Ch%
-1.5
-1.1
-1.9
-0.8
-2.2
STRIKE PE
160 PE
200 PE
420 PE
860 PE
1100 PE
Markets Snapshot
Top Price Performers
Top Performers

Top Performers 1D

% Change

Top Performers 1W

% Change

KALINDEE

20.00

A2ZMES

57.77

1M
SVCRES

% Change

GATI

19.92

RICOAUTO

49.27

MLKFOOD

93.39

LML
PGEL

19.89
19.75

TANEJAERO
SIGRUN

47.08
44.44

RICOAUTO
DQE

92.96
88.12

KERNEX

18.29

ASIANTILES

41.13

BODALCHEM

77.12

107.08

Worst Price Performers
Worst Performers
1D

% Change

Worst Performers
1W

% Change

Worst Performers
1M

% Change

SINCLAIR

(9.98)

TFL

(17.20)

STAR

(62.98)

SANWARIA

(9.92)

ONELIFECAP

(17.06)

KINETICENG

(50.00)

GITANJALI

(9.04)

FARMAXIND

(15.91)

ZENITHINFO

(45.75)

UBENGG

(8.31)

NOVAIRNSTL

(14.47)

SANWARIA

(39.69)

ARSHIYA

(7.89)

SHREERAM

(13.91)

SIGRUN

(38.10)

Top News :
• Cooper Tire & Rubber Co said it was not going ahead with a USD 2.5 billion merger with Apollo Tyres . Cooper said Apollo notified the
company that financing for the deal was no longer available . It is time to move our business forward,” said Cooper Chairman, The company said
that Cooper Chengshan Tire (CCT) in China is its top priority in near-term.
• Gitanjali Gems Clarification : With reference to Sprut in share price of the Company, Gitanjali Gems Ltd has clarified to BSE that the stock
prices of the Company are governed through market forces and investor's sentiments. The Company do not have any control on the same and
hence it's difficult to pin down a specific reason for the same.
• Jain Irrigation Systems has bagged the order for the prestigious Ramthal-Marol Integrated Micro Irrigation Project in Karnataka. The project
value is Rs 385 cr . The order is 8% of sales .
• UPL Board of Directors have unanimously approved the Buy-back of Equity Shares upto 1,40,00,000 (One Crore Forty Lacs only) fully paid-up
equity shares of Rs. 2/- each at a price not exceeding Rs. 220/- per equity share, payable in cash upto an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs.
308 Crore from the open market through Stock Exchange(s).
• Bosch Ltd has informed that adjust production to meet the demand for products and to avoid unnecessary buildup of inventory, the
manufacturing operations at the Company's Jaipur Plant have been suspended on December 30, 2013 and December 31, 2013.
• Kotak Mah Bank is witnessing a sizable reduction in its home loan book growth in the current fiscal at 10-15 percent levels on poor
consumer sentiment . For the past two years, our home loan book has been growing at 30-40 percent .
• Spanish retail sales rose by a seasonally adjusted 1.9% last month, easily surpassing expectations for a 0.3% decline. Retail sales fell by 0.5%
in October.
• Italy’s Treasury sold EUR3 billion worth of ten-year debt at an average yield of 4.11%, up from 4.01% at a similar auction last month. The
yield on Italian 10-year bonds stood at 4.163% following the auction.Rome also sold EUR2.5 billion of five-year debt at an average yield of
2.71%, compared to a yield of 2.89% in November.
• Statistics Sweden said that Swedish Retail Sales rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.9%, from 0.2% in the preceding month.Analysts had expected
Swedish Retail Sales to rise 0.2% last month.
• U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal fell to a seasonally adjusted -10.4B, from -12.5B in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from 15.4B.Analysts had expected U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal to fall -7.2B last month.
• FIPB cleared a decision on Vodafone Group Plc's (VOD.L) $1.6 billion plan to take full ownership of its local unit and approved a $110 million
investment plan by Tesco formally paving the way for the British retailer to venture.
Management Tweets
• CCL Products Mgt Guideline : CCL expects to clock almost 50 percent revenue growth in FY15 relative to FY15 earnings potential,
valuations seem cheap at just 5-6x . Promoters have increased their ownership stake by 5 percent in the September quarter. For FY14E, the
ma nagement expects to produce 6,500 million tonne at the Vietnam plant – despite poor Q1 performance. Vietnam plant has a capacity of
10,000 million tonne. CCL Products, discusses the company’s plans to 80% capacity utilization in Vietnamese plant next year, targetting Rs
700-750 crore revenues and close to 10% net margins .
• Dhanuka Mgt Guideline : Company is going to have minimum 25 percent growth in next three years . The company hopes to reduce the
inventory period by another 10-15 days going ahead .
• IL&FS Mgt Guideline : The recent order worth Rs 145 crore that IL&FS has bagged from DFCC is unlikely to contribute to Q4 FY14 . IL&FS
Engineering, says high interest costs are putting pressure on the company’s bottomline.
Economic Calendar
Monday
30-Dec

Tuesday
31-Dec

US

S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y ,
Pending Home Sales m/m .

Chicago PMI

UK/EURO
ZONE

Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q

Wednesday
1-Jan

Thursday
2-Jan

Retail PMI

Unemployment Claims , Final Manufacturing
Crude Oil Inventories , Total Vehicle Sales
PMI , ISM Manufacturing PMI , Construction
, Natural Gas Storage .
Spending m/m .

Spanish Manufacturing PMI , Italian
Manufacturing PMI , Manufacturing PMI .

Auto sales no .HSBC manufacturing PMI
data

INDIA

Friday
3-Jan

Spanish Unemployment Change , M3
Money Supply y/y , Private Loans y/y ,
Construction PMI , BOE Credit Conditions
Survey , Net Lending to Individuals m/m .

HSBC India Services PMI , HSBC India
Composite PMI.

Result Calendar Q3FY14
BSE Code

Company Name

Date

BSE Code

Company Name

Date

514358
536709
507488
521248
509567
507984
500086
532978
500034
532977

Everlon Syn
VAK POW INF
GM Breweries
Kitex Garments
Goa Carbon-$
SER Inds
Exide Inds
Bajaj Finserv
BAJFINANCE
Bajaj Auto

4-Jan-14
4-Jan-14
7-Jan-14
9-Jan-14
11-Jan-14
11-Jan-14
13-Jan-14
15-Jan-14
15-Jan-14
16-Jan-14

532977
500490
500411
533573
500010
507598
505250
500165
524038
522261

Bajaj Auto
Bajaj Holdings
Thermax
Alembic Pharma
HDFC
KLRF
GG Dandekar
Kansai Nerolac
Venlon Enter
Dolphin Offsh-$

16-Jan-14
16-Jan-14
21-Jan-14
22-Jan-14
22-Jan-14
27-Jan-14
31-Jan-14
31-Jan-14
31-Jan-14
3-Feb-14
Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer :This report/message is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any
investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This
report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person in any form. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing
“Eastwind” & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express
or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own
investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a
guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to
assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or
otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products
which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.

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Nifty Snapshot and Derivative Research Indian Stock Market of Narnolia Securities Limited Daily dairy 31.12.2013

  • 1. 31th Dec 2013 MARKET DIARY SGX NIFTY : 6360 ( 26pts up ) Quote of The Day "People calculate too much and think too little." Charles Munger MARKET Name Sensex Nifty DOW NASDAQ CAC Change (50.57) (22.70) 25.88 (2.39) (1.95) DAX FTSE NIKKIE HANG SENG Chart of the Day India & US 10 Year Yield Spread Value 21143.01 6291.1 1650494 4154.2 4275.61 9552.15 6731.27 (37.25) (19.60) Closed 23327.41 EW ALL SHARE 10146.49 82.27 (13.92) INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER FII Investor Buy(Cr.) Sale(Cr.) Net(Cr.) 30th Dec, 13 1304.93 1,188.87 116.06 Dec,13 2013 Index Action-Nifty (30th Dec, 13) 59604.87 742658.17 46,448.58 6,55,938.53 13156.29 86719.64 DII Investor Contents Economic calendar Page 4 Coverage UPDATE News 3 UPDATE Derivative Research 2 UPDATE UPDATE Sale(Cr.) Net(Cr.) 30th Dec, 13 Dec,13 2013 Index Buy(Cr.) 676.58 19756.20 254841.99 883.73 27,062.37 3,24,035.09 (207.15) (7306.17) (69193.10) COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY/CURRENCIES Value GOLD 28352.00 SILVER 44148.00 CRUDEOIL 111.25 ↓ ↓ ↑ COPPER NATURALGAS 466.40 274.50 ↓ ↑ DOLLAR/RS. EURO/RS. POUND/RS. 61.91 85.47 102.10 ↑ ↑ ↓ Narnolia Securities Ltd. 124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196 email: research@narnolia.com, website : www.narnolia.com 1
  • 2. Derivative Research NIFTY SNAPSHOT Nifty Spot Nifty Jan 2013 Future 6291.10(-22.70) 6335 Nifty Feb 2013 Future Nifty Jan 2013 Open Interest 6376 19243350 Nifty Feb 2013 Open Interest 7 DMA of Spot Nifty 21 DMA of Spot NIfty 50 DMA of Spot Nifty VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT CALL RATIO 1111800 6268 6240 6188 GRAPH 15.08(+0.42) 0.95 Nifty (Jan Series) Option OI Distribution: Index Outlook Activity of Nifty (Jan Series) Strike CALL OI % Chng 6000 771750 0.2 6100 880100 -1.2 6200 1086100 2.2 6300 2459100 8.7 6400 3493100 10.8 6500 4392400 12.0 Fresh Long Seen In (Rising OI -Rising Price) Scrip OI OI ch% COLPAL 4,61,500 19.4 APOLLOTYRE 369,96,000 14.3 DRREDDY 9,81,125 6.8 CROMPGREAV 79,84,000 6.3 CESC 7,70,000 4.8 PCR (OI) STOCK T1 UPL 0.50 JISLJALEQS 0.23 BAJAJ-AUTO 0.32 INDIACEM 0.17 DABUR 0.37 FIIs Activity (Fig in Cr) Segment PUT OI Buy Sell Net % Chng 2871650 3018450 3440250 3437550 1289950 680300 CMP 1355.5 101.3 2522.6 131.2 455.3 T2 0.29 0.15 0.22 0.12 0.27 -0.5 -1.5 6.9 8.8 -9.0 2.6 Ch% 3.9 0.5 0.2 1.2 1.4 INDEX FUTURE INDEX OPTION STOCK FUTURE STOCK OPTION TOTAL 743 3,846 1,022 320 5,931 458 3,545 986 314 5,303 Fresh Shorts Seen In: (Rising OI -Falling Price) Scrip OI OI ch% CMP RELINFRA 45,09,000 6.8 424.3 JPPOWER 202,28,000 4.9 18.5 ORIENTBANK 32,66,000 4.7 224.0 MRF 36,625 4.6 19268.7 ACC 9,53,500 4.3 1096.2 YESTERDAY'S IMPACT TRADE STOCK STRIKE CE STOCK JPASSOCIAT 60 CE DLF RPOWER 80 CE SSLT APOLLOTYRE 110 CE TATASTEEL BHEL 190 CE RELIANCE SSLT 210 CE ICICIBANK 285 301 36 6 628 Ch% -1.5 -1.1 -1.9 -0.8 -2.2 STRIKE PE 160 PE 200 PE 420 PE 860 PE 1100 PE
  • 3. Markets Snapshot Top Price Performers Top Performers Top Performers 1D % Change Top Performers 1W % Change KALINDEE 20.00 A2ZMES 57.77 1M SVCRES % Change GATI 19.92 RICOAUTO 49.27 MLKFOOD 93.39 LML PGEL 19.89 19.75 TANEJAERO SIGRUN 47.08 44.44 RICOAUTO DQE 92.96 88.12 KERNEX 18.29 ASIANTILES 41.13 BODALCHEM 77.12 107.08 Worst Price Performers Worst Performers 1D % Change Worst Performers 1W % Change Worst Performers 1M % Change SINCLAIR (9.98) TFL (17.20) STAR (62.98) SANWARIA (9.92) ONELIFECAP (17.06) KINETICENG (50.00) GITANJALI (9.04) FARMAXIND (15.91) ZENITHINFO (45.75) UBENGG (8.31) NOVAIRNSTL (14.47) SANWARIA (39.69) ARSHIYA (7.89) SHREERAM (13.91) SIGRUN (38.10) Top News : • Cooper Tire & Rubber Co said it was not going ahead with a USD 2.5 billion merger with Apollo Tyres . Cooper said Apollo notified the company that financing for the deal was no longer available . It is time to move our business forward,” said Cooper Chairman, The company said that Cooper Chengshan Tire (CCT) in China is its top priority in near-term. • Gitanjali Gems Clarification : With reference to Sprut in share price of the Company, Gitanjali Gems Ltd has clarified to BSE that the stock prices of the Company are governed through market forces and investor's sentiments. The Company do not have any control on the same and hence it's difficult to pin down a specific reason for the same. • Jain Irrigation Systems has bagged the order for the prestigious Ramthal-Marol Integrated Micro Irrigation Project in Karnataka. The project value is Rs 385 cr . The order is 8% of sales . • UPL Board of Directors have unanimously approved the Buy-back of Equity Shares upto 1,40,00,000 (One Crore Forty Lacs only) fully paid-up equity shares of Rs. 2/- each at a price not exceeding Rs. 220/- per equity share, payable in cash upto an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs. 308 Crore from the open market through Stock Exchange(s). • Bosch Ltd has informed that adjust production to meet the demand for products and to avoid unnecessary buildup of inventory, the manufacturing operations at the Company's Jaipur Plant have been suspended on December 30, 2013 and December 31, 2013. • Kotak Mah Bank is witnessing a sizable reduction in its home loan book growth in the current fiscal at 10-15 percent levels on poor consumer sentiment . For the past two years, our home loan book has been growing at 30-40 percent . • Spanish retail sales rose by a seasonally adjusted 1.9% last month, easily surpassing expectations for a 0.3% decline. Retail sales fell by 0.5% in October. • Italy’s Treasury sold EUR3 billion worth of ten-year debt at an average yield of 4.11%, up from 4.01% at a similar auction last month. The yield on Italian 10-year bonds stood at 4.163% following the auction.Rome also sold EUR2.5 billion of five-year debt at an average yield of 2.71%, compared to a yield of 2.89% in November. • Statistics Sweden said that Swedish Retail Sales rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.9%, from 0.2% in the preceding month.Analysts had expected Swedish Retail Sales to rise 0.2% last month. • U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal fell to a seasonally adjusted -10.4B, from -12.5B in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from 15.4B.Analysts had expected U.K. Housing Equity Withdrawal to fall -7.2B last month. • FIPB cleared a decision on Vodafone Group Plc's (VOD.L) $1.6 billion plan to take full ownership of its local unit and approved a $110 million investment plan by Tesco formally paving the way for the British retailer to venture.
  • 4. Management Tweets • CCL Products Mgt Guideline : CCL expects to clock almost 50 percent revenue growth in FY15 relative to FY15 earnings potential, valuations seem cheap at just 5-6x . Promoters have increased their ownership stake by 5 percent in the September quarter. For FY14E, the ma nagement expects to produce 6,500 million tonne at the Vietnam plant – despite poor Q1 performance. Vietnam plant has a capacity of 10,000 million tonne. CCL Products, discusses the company’s plans to 80% capacity utilization in Vietnamese plant next year, targetting Rs 700-750 crore revenues and close to 10% net margins . • Dhanuka Mgt Guideline : Company is going to have minimum 25 percent growth in next three years . The company hopes to reduce the inventory period by another 10-15 days going ahead . • IL&FS Mgt Guideline : The recent order worth Rs 145 crore that IL&FS has bagged from DFCC is unlikely to contribute to Q4 FY14 . IL&FS Engineering, says high interest costs are putting pressure on the company’s bottomline. Economic Calendar Monday 30-Dec Tuesday 31-Dec US S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y , Pending Home Sales m/m . Chicago PMI UK/EURO ZONE Housing Equity Withdrawal q/q Wednesday 1-Jan Thursday 2-Jan Retail PMI Unemployment Claims , Final Manufacturing Crude Oil Inventories , Total Vehicle Sales PMI , ISM Manufacturing PMI , Construction , Natural Gas Storage . Spending m/m . Spanish Manufacturing PMI , Italian Manufacturing PMI , Manufacturing PMI . Auto sales no .HSBC manufacturing PMI data INDIA Friday 3-Jan Spanish Unemployment Change , M3 Money Supply y/y , Private Loans y/y , Construction PMI , BOE Credit Conditions Survey , Net Lending to Individuals m/m . HSBC India Services PMI , HSBC India Composite PMI. Result Calendar Q3FY14 BSE Code Company Name Date BSE Code Company Name Date 514358 536709 507488 521248 509567 507984 500086 532978 500034 532977 Everlon Syn VAK POW INF GM Breweries Kitex Garments Goa Carbon-$ SER Inds Exide Inds Bajaj Finserv BAJFINANCE Bajaj Auto 4-Jan-14 4-Jan-14 7-Jan-14 9-Jan-14 11-Jan-14 11-Jan-14 13-Jan-14 15-Jan-14 15-Jan-14 16-Jan-14 532977 500490 500411 533573 500010 507598 505250 500165 524038 522261 Bajaj Auto Bajaj Holdings Thermax Alembic Pharma HDFC KLRF GG Dandekar Kansai Nerolac Venlon Enter Dolphin Offsh-$ 16-Jan-14 16-Jan-14 21-Jan-14 22-Jan-14 22-Jan-14 27-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 31-Jan-14 3-Feb-14
  • 5. Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer :This report/message is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any form. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing “Eastwind” & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.