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“The future is alreadyhere – its just notevenly distributed.”—William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003
7 newMega Trends in Asia-Pacific“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market” Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight
Cities, and not Countries, will drive wealth creation in the future.• Cities as island of excellence and competitiveness. – Attracts young and vibrant talent – Compactness energy efficiency• Emerging countries survive only when they can manage how to merge these “island of competitiveness” into the rest of the country. – China vs. Mexico in early 2000s Source: NASA image of Canary Islands
Mega Cities Since 2008 more than ½ of the world population live in cities. • Bangkok accounts for 25% of Thailand’s GDP • Seoul accounts for 50% of Korea’s GDPIMPLICATIONS• High economic power• Hub and spoke business model• Transit-oriented development• New mobility solutions
Green Growth is Smart Growth Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
ZERO achievementfrom innovation Zero waste emissions Zero crime rates Zero defects Zero accidents Zero breaches of security Zero emissions from cars Complete recyclability from householdsCarbon neutral cities Source: CISASIA
TalentismBusiness model forcompetitiveness andcollaboration in the future willbe less based on capital andmuch more based on talent.- Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF
• Young people, the digital generation, are equipped with the capability to create their own jobs. – People with new ideas will explore the new wave of ICT
AEC by 2015 ASEAN Community ASEAN ASEAN ASEANPolitical-Security Economic Socio-Cultural Community Community Community (APSC) (AEC) (ASCC) Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
ASEAN ConnectivityThere’s plenty of room at the bottom. Photo from Flickr.com
Source: An Industrial Workersof the World poster (1911).
Mega Impact onTrend Impact product/ technology to Industry Sub Analysis of Trend opportunity and unmet needs
Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology for the Next 5-10 Years• Electrical storage for electrified transportation and grid- connected renewables• Nanostructured material for improved lighting efficiency• Terawatt-scale solar energy at fossil energy costs• Nanostructured thermoelectric materials for economical energy conversion Source: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston