It’s 2020, and India has been spectacularly successful in improving the quality of its water treatment systems. The Ganges, India’s sacred river, has benefited from this progress — as two students from England discover...
Transcript of "Foresight for thorkorsor"
eyes on tomorrow... การมองอนาคตกับการจัดทำยุทธศาสตร์องค์กร
ศูนย์คาดการณ์เทคโนโลยีเอเปค APEC Center for Technology Foresight <ul><li>ก่อตั้งปี 1998 ภายใต้ Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
Mission of APEC CTF <ul><li>RESEARCH: APEC-wide Foresight Studies </li></ul><ul><ul><li>7 Projects finished since 1998, focusing on high impact area such as water, education, nanotechnology and energy
Methodologies include Delphi, Scenarios, and TRM </li></ul></ul><ul><li>CONSULTING: for Public and Private Sectors
T RAINING: Seminars and Workshops (2-3 times a year) </li></ul><ul><li>Conference on Foresight and Emerging Technologies </li></ul>T owards “Best Practice” in Technology Foresight
Our Customers <ul><li>Siam Cement Group, Premier Group, CDG Group, Ministry of Public Health, SCI Research and Innovation Co.,Ltd., CAT Telecom Pubic Company Limited, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, Department of Agriculture, Institute of Solar Energy Technology Development , Petroleum Institute of Thailand, TRIDI, KNIT, มหาวิทยาลัยเกษตรศาสตร์ , สำนักงานเลขาธิการรัฐสภา , TPA, SIRIM, NISTPASS, and many others . </li></ul>
Policy development Parallell activities: Intelligent benchmarking etc. Future options: Foresight etc. Past experience: Impact analysis, History etc. Current context: Policy analysis, structure and dynamics Modes of Strategic Policy Learning (partly based on Ken Guy, 2006)
Source: APEC Center for Technology Foresight Futures Studies Strategic Planning Policy Development Foresight The Foundations of Foresight
T he Johari Window KNOWN KNOWNS UNKNOWN KNOWNS KNOWN UNKNOWNS UNKNOWN UNKNOWNS Knowledge management e nvironment scanning trends imagination S trategic planning Foresight
Global Strategic Trends Source: Global Strategic Trends – Out to 2040, Ministry of Defence UK (2010)
APEC Center for Technology Foresight www.apecforesight.org <ul><li>ธุรกิจที่มีนวัตกรรม 100 ไมล์ต่อชั่วโมง
Published over 830 titles and sold </li></ul>over 4.5 million copies <ul><li>Services over 2,000 companies </li></ul>a year
Three Scenarios TPA Corp. Concentrate on profit making activities, RBM, CEO, less synergy Value of Non-Profit Organization (NPO) From association to foundation, new dimension for learning, synergy and teamwork, Prime Minister’s Price in International Cooperation for NPO New Synergy Competition from universities, synergy spear-headed by consultancy, practical solution provider, expansion of service to provinces, closer relationship with China
Two Policy Issues <ul><li>Can TPA survive if Japan cuts off its financial support?
Should TPA become a private company since some of its operations are making profit? </li></ul>
Changes in Three Years <ul><li>Library@Company: TPA library management software in 100 companies
E-commerce: book selling and training management