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Deborah Cox at NADO's 2012 Executive Directors Leadership Forum.

Deborah Cox at NADO's 2012 Executive Directors Leadership Forum.

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Cox Cox Presentation Transcript

  • NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONSREGIONAL STRATEGIES. PARTNERSHIPS. SOLUTIONSJune 8, 2012 ● Executive Directors Leadership Forum ● Park City, Utah
  • About NADO Strengthen local governments, communities and economies through the regional strategies, partnerships, and solutions of the nation’s regional development organizations Economic Growth. Modern Infrastructure Assets.NADO.org Jobs and Sustained Workforce Readiness. Quality of Life. Vibrant Communities.
  • NADO Federal Policy Agenda White House and Hill Review of Regional Development Programs EDA Appropriations and Reauthorization SAFETEA-LU Reauthorization, with MPO and RPO Provisions HUD Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) Funding Key programs such as Fed-State Commissions, WIA, SBA and EPA FEMA Support for State and Local Preparedness and Response HUD-DOT-EPA Sustainable Development InitiativeNADO.org USDA Rural Development in 2012 Farm Bill
  • A Sense of Politics… “Politics is the art of postponing decisions until they are no longer relevant.” ~ Henri QueuilleNADO.org
  • The Political Landscape
  • Congressional approval has fallen to its lowest point in history Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? 90 82% 80 70 60 50 40 30 12% 20 10 Approve DisapproveNADO.org 0 National Gallup survey (March 27, 2012)
  • House Elections
  • DEM GOP OUTLOOK Partisan 190 242 +24 Margin Breakdown (+3 Vacancies) Seats up in 2012 435 218 is magic # TOSS UP 10 14 TOSS UP LEAN D 8 3 LEAN R LEAN R 4 15 LEAN D LIKELY D 13 25 LIKELY R SOLID D 153 181 SOLID RSource: Cook Political Report, March 8, 2012 U.S. HOUSE: 2012 ELECTION CYCLE
  • DEM GOP OUTLOOK Partisan 51 + 2 Is 47 Breakdown 33 Seats up in 2012 23 10 TOSS UP 7 3 TOSS UP LEAN D 3 0 LEAN R LEAN R 1 0 LEAN D LIKELY D 4 2 LIKELY R SOLID D 8 5 SOLID RSource: Cook Political Report, March 1, 2012 U.S. SENATE: 2012 ELECTION CYCLE
  • U.S. Senate: 2012 Election Cycle Democratic Races – Toss Up GOP Races – Toss Up Hawaii Open (Akaka) Brown (MA) McCaskill (MO) Heller (NV) Nebraska Open (Nelson) Maine Open (Snowe) New Mexico Open (Bingaman) Tester (MT) North Dakota Open (Conrad) Virginia Open (Webb) Wisconsin Open (Kohl)NADO.org
  • Presidential Election
  • USA Today May 5, 2012 12 KEY PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES
  • In the first USA Today/Gallup swing-state poll conducted since Mitt Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee, Romney and President Barack Obama are nearly tied -- 45% vs. 47%, respectively -- among registered voters in the 12 battleground states that make up the poll.USA Today May 5, 2012 12 KEY PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES
  • Politico: May 16, 2012Republican Candidates Delegate Tally
  • Presidential Campaign President Obama Base remains strong BUT Major anxiety with job market and economy, especially GAS prices Independents areNADO.org key, especially women
  • Presidential Benchmark: What Direction Is the Nation Headed?NADO.org
  • Economic Concerns Continue to Be Cited as Most Important Problem What is the most important problem facing our country today?NADO.org Gallup: Jan. 2012
  • The Obama Advantage Standing President No Primary Fundraising CapabilityNADO.org
  • Presidential Approval Rating Average: 48%
  • Key Take Away Points  The focus by the American public on government spending is unprecedented  Voters are angrier now than 2006, 2008 or 2010. It will be another very turbulent election  A majority of Americans believe the country has been on the wrong track– with no end in sight  Simply based on his ability to fundraise, President Obama will be a formidable candidate no matter the state of the economyNADO.org
  • Context for Federal Policy and Budget Debates
  • Federal Budget Picture Debt Ceiling: Hit $15 Trillion in November 2011 Fed govt. borrows 40 cents of every dollar spent now Today, national debt is now 69% of GDP vs. 2008 was 40% CBO estimates rise to 109% by 2023 if no change – the record set in WWIINADO.org
  • Outlays FY2000 FY2005 FY2010 FY2012 FY00-12 Estimate ChangeAppropriations Defense / Security $278B $443B $815B $881B + $603B Non-Security $339B $487B $491B $462B + $123BMandatory Medicare $199B $290B $446B $468B + $269B Medicaid $117B $194B $273B $269B + $152B Other Mandatory $123B $337B $644B $598B +$ 475BDebt Interest $220B $178B $196B $240B + $20B TOTAL OUTLAYS $1.790T $2.479T $3.456T $3.729T +$ 1.939T FEDERAL BUDGET TRENDS FY2000-2012
  • ABSENT REFORMS, DEBT IS SET TOSKYROCKET IN THE COMING DECADES Sources: Congressional Budget Office (January 2012) and Bipartisan Policy
  • August 1 Budget Control Act of 2011 (S. 365)
  • Debt Deal: Overview of Major Components Debt Ceiling Increase With Required Reductions in Deficit $2.1 to $2.4 trillion Discretionary Spending Caps $900 billion in spending reductions over 10 years Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction (Super Committee) Goal: Find $1.5 trillion in additional deficit reduction Or else…automatic sequestrationNADO.org
  • UNDERSTANDING THE BREAKDOWN OF SEQUESTRATION LEVELS Distribute remaining Evenly split eachTotal “triggered” cut $984 billion year’s cut $1.2 trillion evenly among fiscal between defense and years non-defense 2013 to 2021 accounts Subtract 18 percent in debt $109.3 billion service savings Defense Non-defense per year $54.7 billion $54.7 billion
  • SEQUESTRATION LEVELS
  • FY13 FEDERALAPPROPRIATIONS
  • FY2013 Federal Budget & Appropriations Senate FY13 discretionary spending level: $1.043 trillion House FY13 discretionary spending level: $1.028 trillionNADO.org
  • EDA: Budget Background President’s FY2013 request: $219M  $38M below FY12 enacted level ($257.5M) = 15% cut  $64.43M below FY11 enacted level ($283.43M) = 23% cut  $74M below FY10 enacted level ($293M) = 25% cut EDA’s final FY12 funding total of $457.5M included $200M for disaster assistance and $257.5M for programs and operations Since FY2001, funding for EDA’s core economic development assistance programs has decreased by approximately 50 percent!NADO.org
  • Economic Development Administration FY2013 FY2013 Budget figures are in millions. Final FY2012 President’s FY2013 House Senate Request Economic Development Administration 457.50 * 219.71 237.71 219.00 Planning Grants 29.00 27.00 29.00 27.00 Public Works 111.64 65.50 62.20 85.50 Economic Adjustment Grants 50.06 65.20 56.50 40.20 Technical Assistance 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Research & Evaluation 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Trade Adjustment & Assistance 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80NADO.org Regional Innovation Program 0.00 25.00 25.00 0.00 Disaster Assistance 200.00 * 0.00 0.00 0.00
  • Economic Development Administration Amendments to H.R. 5326 House FY13 Commerce-Justice-Science Appropriations Bill Michaud Amendment: to restore a $38 million cut to EDA with a $38 million funding offset from the Census Bureau’s periodic census account  The Michaud amendment was defeated by a 190-218 vote Pompeo Amendment: to eliminate EDA  The Pompeo amendment was defeated by a bipartisan vote of 129-279 Scalise Amendment: to reduce the salaries and expense line items for three U.S. Department of Commerce accounts, including EDA’s operations account by $7.5 million  The Scalise amendment was defeated by a vote of 174-233NADO.org
  • HUD CDBG Program FY12 Agency Program FY10 FY11 FY12 President’s Plan Community Development Block HUD Grants (CDBG), $3.99 B $3.34 B $2.94 B $2.94 B Entitlement Program  FY13 Senate Draft T-HUD Appropriations Bill= $3.1 B  FY13 House Draft T-HUD Appropriations Bill =$3.34 BNADO.org
  • SAFETEA-LUTRANSPORTATION REAUTHORIZATION BILL
  • NADO Priorities for Transportation Reauthorization:  Strengthen role of rural local officials in the statewide transportation planning and investment process by establishing and giving federal recognition to RTPOs for areas outside the boundaries of MPOs  MPO Threshold Issue  More than 200 of the nations 382 MPOs would lose their MPO designation if threshold was changedNADO.org
  • Transportation: Senate Senate’ s Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (S. 1813) ▪ Passed floor on March 14 as two-year, $109 billion bill (FY2012-2013) ▪ Maintains existing funding levels, adjusted for inflation RTPO Language: ▪ Establishes rural local official consultation process “separate and discrete” from the general public MPO Issues: ▪ Sets threshold for new MPOs at 200,000 ▪ Existing MPOs 50,000 - 200,000 - new multi-step process to maintain MPO statusNADO.org
  • Transportation: House House reauthorization bill: American Energy and Infrastructure Jobs Act of 2012 (H.R. 7) Five-year, $262.9 billion bill House passed 90-day extension and authorized the Keystone XL pipeline on May 18 RTPO Language: Includes NADO-championed language State DOTs may establish RTPOs for areas outside of MPOs Elevates local official role from “consultation” to “cooperation” for long-range transportation plan, STIP, and project selection If state does not recognize RTPOs, the state shall continue to “consult” with locals MPO Issue: Sets threshold for new MPOs at 100,000 Existing MPOs 50,000- 200,000 are grandfatheredNADO.org PROBLEM: When MPO and state disagree on project of state-wide significance, Governor can override MPO
  • Transportation: Key Players 47 House and Senate Conferees have been named  14 Senate Conferees  8 Democrats, 6 Republicans  ½ of Senate conferees negotiated 2005 SAFETEA-LU  33 House Conferees  20 Republicans, 13 Democrats  8 of the 20 Republicans are Freshmen (7 from the T&I Committee)  14 of the 33 House conferees negotiated 2005 SAFETEA-LUNADO.org
  • 2012 NADO Annual Training ConferenceOctober 13 – 16 | The Mirage | Las Vegas, NV
  • National Association of Development Organizations (NADO) and the NADO Research Foundation 400 North Capitol Street, NW | Suite 390 | Washington, DC 20001 NADO.org | Ruraltransportation.org | Knowyourregion.org Regionalcouncilguide.org 202.624.7806 | Info@nado.org Regional Strategies. Solutions. Partnerships.