Going Places Phase 1 Wrap Up


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Phase 1 Wrap Up presented to the Going Places Steering and Planning Advisory Committees, April 15, 2009.

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Going Places Phase 1 Wrap Up

  1. 1. Phase I Wrap Up Meeting Steering Committee and Planning Advisory Committee April 15, 2009
  2. 2. Tell the person next to you a few things that stood out to you while reviewing the Phase I materials and the Executive Summary
  3. 3. Urbanization Trends Population: 346,864 Urbanized Area: 66.2 sq miles Population Density: 5,236 pop/sq mi
  4. 4. Urbanization Trends Population: 723,955 Urbanized Area: 327.6 sq miles Population Density: 2,210 pop/sq mi
  5. 5. How do you envision the Region in 2040?
  6. 6. Land Use Pattern Implication Higher infrastructure and service delivery cost “Thinner” tax base Longer police, EMT and fire runs Less open space and farmland Longer commutes, more fuel, more time in vehicles Hard to provide transit, especially in suburbs for elderly and people with disabilities Hard for low income and minority workers in the city to reach jobs in the suburbs
  7. 7. What is Going Places?
  8. 8. Going Places – An Integrated Land Use Vision of the Miami Valley Region is to bring the Miami Valley Region TOGETHER and to make this Region a BETTER PLACE to live, work, and play with a Shared Land Use Vision
  9. 9. Planning Process 3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 years Phase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non- Physical Condition Evaluation Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use Scenario Development and Assessment Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth Framework
  10. 10. Summary of Phase I Existing Conditions Assessment
  11. 11. Phase I Structure Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Supply Evaluate the Region’s land development suitability based on both natural and built environment factors Examine the existing uses of land, including land use intensities in the Region Identify developable land in the Region Non-Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Demand Identify how much land is devoted to different types of land uses Identify socio-economic trends and develop projections Translate these projections into future land demand
  12. 12. Completed Studies Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Supply Open Space Assessment Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Factors Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Factors Land Development Suitability Assessment Non – Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Demand Economic Base Assessment Housing Assessment Industrial Development Assessment Commercial Development Assessment Land Use Demand Assessment Study reports available on MVRPC’s Going Places website at www.mvrpc.org/rlu/
  13. 13. What have we found out?
  14. 14. Geographically, development has been uneven Housing Unit Change: 1990 - 2000 Commercial GLA Concentration: 2007
  15. 15. Development has been shifting among land use types Land Use Percentage Change: 1975 - 2000 Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural Region 56.1% 148.1% 22.0% -10.5% - Greene 105.7% 85.9% -10.7% 6.6% - Miami 123.8% 183.3% 81.7% -6.3% - Montgomery 25.6% 161.1% 20.3% -31.7%
  16. 16. The Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land development Not all of our land is equal in terms of development potential – some areas are better suited for physical development than others Assessment of Region’s landscape from natural and built environment perspectives provided a comprehensive overview of where developmental constraints and/or opportunities exist
  17. 17. Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Natural Environment Suitability Composite Map Regional Land by Development Potential Classification
  18. 18. Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Residential Suitability Composite Map Non-Residential Suitability Composite Map
  19. 19. Comprehensive Land Suitability Measure
  20. 20. Land Development Condition Measure
  21. 21. Land Developability Measure
  22. 22. The Region is in the process of a demographic and economic shift Population is aging and household size has been decreasing The Region is shifting from a production-based economy to a service-based economy Household income has remained stagnant Number of households who pay more than 30% of their income on housing-related cost has been increasing
  23. 23. Land development not tied to population change Population in the Region remained relatively stable between 1970 and 2000 Between 1975 and 2000, total developed land in the Region increased by 61.2% Vacancy Rates have increased Residential vacancy rate has risen from 6.34% in 1980 to 6.98% in 2000 14.6% of the Region’s commercial space is vacant* 19.3% of the Region’s industrial space is vacant* * Estimates were calculated based on Gem Real Estate Group’s sample data from their Retail, Office, and Industrial studies
  24. 24. If current development trends continue, a moderate amount of additional developed land will be required Regional Population Projections Regional Employment Projections
  25. 25. The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs Supply Vs. Demand
  26. 26. The entire Region will benefit if.. Development is planned and executed in a manner that takes advantage of existing infrastructure before paying for new construction Development takes advantage of the Region’s natural resources without threatening their quality
  27. 27. Next Step – Phase II Given projected land demand and considering the regional landscape, where and how should the Region develop in the future? Future Land Use Scenario Development Land Use Scenario Impact Assessment Identify and incorporate local voices into a regional vision of the future Focus groups and community meetings to understand the wants and needs of the region’s citizens All data will be used to generate regional development models
  28. 28. Questions?
  29. 29. Endorsement
  30. 30. Phase I Highlights The Region has become increasingly urbanized, characterized by decentralized, low density development patterns The Region has experienced a demographic and economic shift Increases in land development in the Region have not been tied to population change Land development in the Region has been uneven geographically and has been shifting among land use types The current landscape of the Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land development A moderate amount of additional developed land will be required to accommodate the needs of the Region in 2040 The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs
  31. 31. Questions, Answers, and Discussion In terms of LAND USE between 2010 and 2040, the Miami Valley should …
  32. 32. Discussion Ways to get endorsement of Phase I from more regional stakeholders…
  33. 33. Homework Assignment Future Land Use Theme Development: Group the input from today’s discussion into future land use themes
  34. 34. Future Land Use Theme Development To identify common future land use themes from the input gathered from today’s meeting Common themes identified from you and other members of the committees will be used as the base in the future land use scenarios mapping exercise, which is the focus of the Joint Phase II Kick Off meeting Staff will compile input from today and send you a homework assignment details
  35. 35. Next Meeting Phase II Joint Kick-Off Meeting: Future Land Use Scenario Development Time: 9:00 – 11:00 am Date: TBD Location: Center for Regional Cooperation
  36. 36. Thank You!