Phase I Wrap Up Meeting
Steering Committee
and
Planning Advisory Committee
April 15, 2009

Tell the person next to you a few
things that stood out to you while
reviewing the Phase I materials
and the Executive Summary

Urbanization Trends
Population:
346,864
Urbanized Area:
66.2 sq miles
Population Density:
5,236 pop/sq mi

Urbanization Trends
Population:
723,955
Urbanized Area:
327.6 sq miles
Population Density:
2,210 pop/sq mi

How do you envision the Region in 2040?

Land Use Pattern Implication
Higher infrastructure and service delivery cost
“Thinner” tax base
Longer police, EMT and fire runs
Less open space and farmland
Longer commutes, more fuel, more time in vehicles
Hard to provide transit, especially in suburbs for
elderly and people with disabilities
Hard for low income and minority workers in the city
to reach jobs in the suburbs

What is Going Places?

Going Places – An Integrated Land Use
Vision of the Miami Valley Region
is to bring the
Miami Valley Region
TOGETHER
and to make this Region a
BETTER PLACE
to live, work, and play with a
Shared Land Use Vision

Planning Process
3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 years
Phase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-
Physical Condition Evaluation
Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use
Scenario Development and Assessment
Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth
Framework

Summary of Phase I
Existing Conditions Assessment

Phase I Structure
Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Supply
Evaluate the Region’s land development suitability based on
both natural and built environment factors
Examine the existing uses of land, including land use
intensities in the Region
Identify developable land in the Region
Non-Physical Condition Evaluation – Land Demand
Identify how much land is devoted to different types of land
uses
Identify socio-economic trends and develop projections
Translate these projections into future land demand

Completed Studies
Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Supply
Open Space Assessment
Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment Factors
Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment Factors
Land Development Suitability Assessment
Non – Physical Condition Evaluation - Land Demand
Economic Base Assessment
Housing Assessment
Industrial Development Assessment
Commercial Development Assessment
Land Use Demand Assessment
Study reports available on MVRPC’s Going Places website at
www.mvrpc.org/rlu/

What have we found out?

Geographically, development has been uneven
Housing Unit Change: 1990 - 2000 Commercial GLA Concentration: 2007

Development has been shifting among
land use types
Land Use Percentage Change: 1975 - 2000
Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural
Region 56.1% 148.1% 22.0% -10.5%
- Greene 105.7% 85.9% -10.7% 6.6%
- Miami 123.8% 183.3% 81.7% -6.3%
- Montgomery 25.6% 161.1% 20.3% -31.7%

The Region contains varying degrees of potential
for future land development
Not all of our land is equal in terms of development
potential – some areas are better suited for physical
development than others
Assessment of Region’s landscape from natural and
built environment perspectives provided a
comprehensive overview of where developmental
constraints and/or opportunities exist

Land Suitability Assessment – Natural
Environment
Natural Environment Suitability Composite Map
Regional Land by Development
Potential Classification

Land Suitability Assessment – Built
Environment
Residential Suitability Composite Map Non-Residential Suitability Composite Map

Comprehensive Land Suitability Measure

Land Development Condition Measure

Land Developability Measure

The Region is in the process of a demographic
and economic shift
Population is aging and household size has been
decreasing
The Region is shifting from a production-based
economy to a service-based economy
Household income has remained stagnant
Number of households who pay more than 30% of their
income on housing-related cost has been increasing

Land development not tied to population change
Population in the Region remained relatively stable
between 1970 and 2000
Between 1975 and 2000, total developed land in the
Region increased by 61.2%
Vacancy Rates have increased
Residential vacancy rate has risen from 6.34% in 1980 to
6.98% in 2000
14.6% of the Region’s commercial space is vacant*
19.3% of the Region’s industrial space is vacant*
* Estimates were calculated based on Gem Real Estate Group’s sample data from their Retail, Office, and
Industrial studies

If current development trends continue, a moderate
amount of additional developed land will be required
Regional Population Projections Regional Employment Projections

The Region has enough developable land to
accommodate future needs
Supply Vs. Demand

The entire Region will benefit if..
Development is planned and executed in a manner that
takes advantage of existing infrastructure before paying
for new construction
Development takes advantage of the Region’s natural
resources without threatening their quality

Next Step – Phase II
Given projected land demand and considering the regional
landscape, where and how should the Region develop in the
future?
Future Land Use Scenario Development
Land Use Scenario Impact Assessment
Identify and incorporate local voices into a regional vision of the
future
Focus groups and community meetings to understand the wants and needs
of the region’s citizens
All data will be used to generate regional development models

Questions?

Endorsement

Phase I Highlights
The Region has become increasingly urbanized, characterized by
decentralized, low density development patterns
The Region has experienced a demographic and economic shift
Increases in land development in the Region have not been tied
to population change
Land development in the Region has been uneven geographically
and has been shifting among land use types
The current landscape of the Region contains varying degrees of
potential for future land development
A moderate amount of additional developed land will be required
to accommodate the needs of the Region in 2040
The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future
needs

Questions, Answers, and Discussion
In terms of LAND USE between 2010
and 2040,
the Miami Valley should …

Discussion
Ways to get endorsement of Phase I
from more regional stakeholders…

Homework Assignment
Future Land Use Theme Development:
Group the input from today’s
discussion into future land use themes

Future Land Use Theme Development
To identify common future land use themes from the
input gathered from today’s meeting
Common themes identified from you and other
members of the committees will be used as the base
in the future land use scenarios mapping exercise,
which is the focus of the Joint Phase II Kick Off
meeting
Staff will compile input from today and send you a
homework assignment details

Next Meeting
Phase II Joint Kick-Off Meeting:
Future Land Use Scenario
Development
Time: 9:00 – 11:00 am
Date: TBD
Location: Center for Regional Cooperation

Thank You!