Gartner. Evolution of app infrastructure

Gartner WebinarEvolution of the Application Infrastructure &Middleware MarketPresenter(s): Fabrizio Biscotti, Research Director Massimo Pezzini, Vice President & Distinguished Analyst Upcoming Webinars: www.gartner.com/webinars Looking for On-Demand webinars? Check out our Replay Archives link on the left in www.gartner.com/webinars Notes accompany this presentation. Please select Notes Page view. These materials can be reproduced only with written approval from Gartner. Such approvals must be requested via e-mail: vendor.relations@gartner.com. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. 0

Welcome!Thank you for joining us on today’s Gartner webinar. 10,800 60,000 Client Clients Enterprises 100,000 5,500 IT End-User Benchmarks Inquiries 70% of 2.7 Million Fortune 1000 IT End-User 80% of Searches Global 500 750 Analysts 55 Serving Clients Conferences in 85 Countries 10,000 4,000 Media CIOs Inquiries 1

The Application Infrastructure andMiddleware Market: The EvolutionAround Cloud and SOA Fabrizio Biscotti, Research Director Massimo Pezzini, VP Distinguished Analyst 5 April 2011Notes accompany this presentation. Please select Notes Page view.These materials can be reproduced only with written approval from Gartner.Such approvals must be requested via e-mail: vendor.relations@gartner.com.Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.

Table of Contents• Key Data and Figures• Vendor Dynamics• Emerging Trends

―Over the past decade, thesoftware industryperformance has trackedthe ups and downs of theworld economy to aremarkable extent‖

2011– Return to Economic Growth (Despite All) +4.2% +2.9% +1.8% +3.2% +9.5% -2.3% +5.8%-6.5% +1.1% +8.3% -4.3% +0.5% -2.8% +7.2% -0.7% - 6.8% +4.0% +5.6% +2.6% -6.0% +4.7% +5.5% -0.1% -1.0% +2.5% -0.9%Source:IHS Global InsightMarch 2011 2011 World GDP Growth Rate = +3.5%

Global CIO IT budgets are projected toremain essentially flat for 2011 6

CIO strategic technologies reflect increasedinterest in “lighter-weight” solutions n: 1700 CIOs

Top searches on gartner.com: Software related terms dominate the scene1. Cloud Computing2. CRM Question: what terms made it into the top3. business intelligence searches so far on gartner.com in 2010?4. ERP5. virtualization6. SaaS7. SAP8. enterprise architecture9. smartphone10. outsourcing11. Sharepoint (Microsoft)12. mobile13. security14. semiconductor15. BPM16. SOA17. unified communications18. IT spending19. data center Tot. ~400,000 searches20. social media Source: Search Analytics: IT End-User Topic and Vendor Mind Share Wizard, 4Q10

Enterprise Software 2010 – 2015: Where is themoney and growth? CAGR Average Size (12bn$) 20% Performance of the2010-15 Software Market Segments 2010-2015 Web Conf. 15% Applications Infrastructure ECM 10% Virtual. Infrastr. ITOM Data int. BI Security DCC AIM Email & C. DBMS CRM PPM SCM Storage OS 6.7% Market CAGR 5% Mng Office Suites 2010-15 ERP Other Apps AD Other Infrast. 0% $0bn $7.5bn $15bn $22.5bn $30bn Total Software Spending

The AIM Market Forecast by Segment US$ Bn Growth Rate 2010 2015 2010-2015 CAGR 5.0 25% 4.5 20% 4.0 15% Applications CAGR 11.5% 3.5 10% 3.0 5% 2.5 2.0 Infrastructure CAGR 7.9% 0% -5% 1.5 1.0 -10% 0.5 -15% 0.0 -20%Forecast: Enterprise Software Markets, Worldwide, 2010-2015, 1Q11

The Application Infrastructure MiddlewareMarket in 2011: M&A shape the landscape In 2010, 1.2 bn$ worth of sales have changed hands because of acquisitions > US$ IBM, Oracle 2.000 Ml Microsoft, Software AG, Tibco, SterlingCommerce, US$ 200-600 Sun Microsystems, BEASystems, GXS, Fujitsu, Million Adobe, NEC, Hitachi Axway, Progress Software, Pegasystems, IDS Scheer, SAP, Inovis, Sybase, EasyLink, Global 360, Fujitsu Siemens, Seeburger, ILOG, Metastorm, SOA Software, Global Healthcare Exchange, Red Hat, TMax, US$ 20-200 Million Vitria, Borland, IONA, Appian, SalesForce.Com, Magic Software, Cast Iron, Information Builders, CA, DST Systems, Lombardi, Singularity, AmberPoint, Cordys, Savvion, Vignette, HP, Crossgate, Kabira Generix, InterSystems, HandySoft, nuBridges, Corel, Ultimus, data interchange, Chordiant, SPS Commerce, Pramati, BroadVision, Extol, IVANS, CapeClear, < US$ 20 Million Liaison, BT, Cisco, Bezeq, ECOutlook, Softwired, B2B Servicios, Fiorano, Intesa, Cleo Communications, Elemica, Covast, Telelogic AB, Kingdee, WebMethods, Abaxx.. 2010 license, maintenance and subscription revenue In red companies acquired between 2008 and 1Q11

The Application Infrastructure MiddlewareMarket Shares 2009 2010 Change in Company Name 2009 2010 2009-2010 2010 Rank Rank Rank Revenue Revenue Annual Market Growth Rate Share (%) (%) 1 1 - IBM 5,035 5,759 14.4% 32.6% 2 2 - Oracle 2,663 2,996 12.5% 17.0% 3 3 - Microsoft 769 875 13.9% 5.0% 4 4 - Software AG 472 601 27.3% 3.4% 5 5 - TIBCO 418 502 20.1% 2.8% 7 6 1 Fujitsu 311 346 11.4% 2.0% 8 7 1 GXS 260 290 11.6% 1.6% 9 8 1 Adobe 235 278 18.5% 1.6% 10 9 1 Hitachi 224 259 15.3% 1.5% 6 10 -4 Sterling Commerce 393 226 -42.4% 1.3% 11 11 - Axway 172 186 8.2% 1.1% 13 12 1 Pegasystems 166 177 6.8% 1.0% 16 13 3 SAP 103 156 52.6% 0.9% 14 14 - Progress Software 148 155 4.6% 0.9% 15 15 - Global Healthcare Exchange 141 147 3.9% 0.8% 12 16 -4 NEC 168 137 -18.5% 0.8% 18 17 1 Red Hat 67 92 38.0% 0.5% 17 18 -1 SOA Software 70 78 12.4% 0.4% 19 19 - SalesForce.Com 43 75 74.4% 0.4% Other Vendors 4,586 4,310 -6.0% 24.4% Total 16,443 17,647 7.3% 100.0%

Vendors Shift PortfoliosWorld Wide Market Share Rankings 2010ESB Suite & Business Process Application Servers SOA GovernanceAppliances Management Suite 2010 Market Size 2010 Market Size2010 Market Size 2010 Market Size = = $3.2 Bn = $424 mil= $2.4 Bn $2.1 Bn 1. IBM 1. IBM 1. Oracle 1. TIBCO 2. Oracle 2. Oracle 2. IBM 2. Oracle 3. Microsoft 3. Adobe 3. Fujitsu 3. Software AG 4. Software AG 4. Pegasystems 4. Hitachi 4. SOA Software 5. TIBCO 5. Software AG 5. SalesForce.c om 5. IBM

SOA Adoption• SOA has definitely entered the mainstream: - Large organizations: wide and growing adoption across verticals and geographies among - Mid-size organizations: increasing interest and adoption - Mature offerings from application infrastructure vendors• Adoption across verticals: - High: banking, telecom - Medium: insurance, government, travel - Low: energy and utilities, manufacturing, life sciences, retail

SOA Drivers• Business Drivers: - Vary from vertical to vertical - Reducing time to market (e.g., insurance, telecom) - Multi-channel ecommerce (e.g.,banking, insurance, travel, retail) - Clients/Suppliers/Employees portals - Business process integration (BPM)• IT Drivers: - Reduction in application developmen/maintenance costs - Faster time-to-deployment - Situation awareness

Multiple SOA Adoption Styles Intelligence BusinessCharacterization Incidental SOA Canonical SOA Operations SOA Federated SOAScope One or multiple Most or all large One or many Most or all large applications in one new applications in business processes new applications SOA domain one SOA domain in one SOA domain and/or one or many business processes in multiple SOA domainsMotivations to Sharing of Sharing of Real-time business Sharing ofService application functions application functions insight. Sharing of application functionsOrientation and flexibility in application functions and, optionally, application life cycle and, optionally, flexibility in management flexibility in application life cycle application life cycle management managementOwnership Project-centric Shared across Business Enterprise CIO multiple projects in involvement, shared a domain across multiple projects in a domain

SOA Technology Adoption Trends• ―Pioneers‖ users engaging in ambitious SOA application infrastructure ―technology refresh‖ projects.• Prevailing buying pattern: ―integrated SOA platform‖ (ESB+orchestration+governance+BPM)• Newcomers to SOA still prefer an incremental buying pattern (ESB, then orchestration, then governance etc.)• Emerging interest about ―intelligent business operations‖ enablers (BAM, CEP)• Growing interest around Open Source SOA enabling application infrastructure (ESB, orchestration)• Often the need for SOA is expressed in the form of ―application integration‖ requirements

The Cloud Architecture Isa Three-Layer Cake Private Cloud Public Cloud Application Services (SaaS*) Application Infrastructure Services (PaaS*) System Infrastructure Services (IaaS*) V-Cloud* According to NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology), http://csrc.nist.gov/groups/SNS/cloud-computing/index.html

PaaS 2015: Comprehensive ApplicationInfrastructure Platform as a ServiceApplication Infrastructure Services Targeted Application Application Security Infrastructure Platforms as a Service Integrated Application Servers Application DBMS, File Systems Platform Application Services Platform Application and B2B Integration Process as a Data Integration Improvement service Platform Managed File Transfer (APaaS) Services Comprehensive Portal/User Experience Application Business Process Management Infrastructure Platform Management/Governance Integration as a service Extreme TP Application Server Platform Integration Services Platform (PaaS) Messaging Middleware Management as a Application Life Cycle Management Platform service Services (IPaaS) 2015 App. Marketplace (Catalog) 2011 2013

Application Platform-as-a-Service (aPaaS) vs. Integration-Platform-as-a-Service (iPaaS)Private or public cloud Enterprise A Cloud-to-on-prem App aPaaS Domain B1 B2B Flow Flow Flow Cloud-to-cloud iPaaS Private or public cloud App App Federated SOA A2A aPaaS Domain B2 Enterprise BPrivate or public cloud Enterprise C

PaaS Adoption Trends• Wide adoption of SaaS solutions as ―complementary‖ to mainstream on premises packaged apps• Growing adoption of iPaaS for SaaS integration (often at the departmental/BU level. Not via the central IT organization)• Some adoption of aPaaS for development of ―situational‖ or ―throw away‖ applications (but also some examples of business critical deployments)• IaaS/PaaS for Development and testDrivers: time to deployment, cost-of-entry, pay-as-you-goInhibitors: security, data privacy, trust, lack of standards, fragmented offerings, technology immaturity,―supply chain‖

Recommended Research Market Share: All Software Markets, Worldwide, 2010 Forecast: Enterprise Software Markets, Worldwide, 2008-2015, 1Q11 Update Market Trends: Multienterprise/B2B Infrastructure Market, Worldwide, 2010-2015, 1Q11 Update Market Trends: Application Infrastructure and Middleware in Small and Midsize Businesses, 2009-2014 Market Trends: Application Infrastructure and Middleware, Europe, 2009-2014 Survey Analysis: BPM Spending to Grow Significantly in 2011 Gartners Four Styles of SOA Taxonomy, Definitions and Vendor Landscape for Application Platform Products Integration Platform as a Service: Moving Integration to the Cloud Market Profile: Platform as a Service 2011 Productivity vs. Control: Cloud Application Platforms Must Split to Win From OLTP to Cloud TP: The Third Era of Transaction Processing Aims to the Cloud

Gartner Application Architecture, Development & Integration Summit 2011 16-17 June in London© 2008 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.

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Gartner. Evolution of app infrastructure

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